Reasonable-Laryngitis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

441

Trades

850

lifetime

Volume

$11.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-05

last 10-19 16:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 125 days

Categories

Other

72% 79% -$19

Crypto

20% 91% +$1

Politics

6% 59% $0

Sports

1% 60% +$0

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on July 23?	6	$84	42	42	+0	No	+$0	07-23 10:03
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on July 23?	7	$74	37	37	+0	No	$0	07-23 12:50
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	6	$69	35	35	+0	Yes	+$0	07-25 03:33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on July 20?	2	$69	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-19 16:06
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 19?	8	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-19 01:12
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on July 22?	3	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-21 17:47
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 22?	4	$68	34	34	+0	No	$0	07-22 14:21
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?	2	$68	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-26 19:22
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 91°F or below on July 28?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-28 17:55
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 24?	2	$67	34	34	+0	No	+$0	07-24 16:01
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on July 21?	6	$65	33	33	+0	No	$0	07-20 15:44
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 11?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-11 01:55
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 43°C on July 21?	2	$64	32	32	+0	No	$0	07-21 05:06
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 30?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-30 01:54
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on July 28?	2	$62	31	31	+0	No	$0	07-27 19:22
bitcoin above 70k on july 27 2026	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	07-27 06:26
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on October 12?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	$0	10-12 07:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on July 26?	5	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-25 23:08
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on May 13?	6	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-12 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on July 27?	3	$59	30	30	+0	No	+$0	07-27 11:53
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 18?	2	$59	59	0	+59	No	+$0	09-18 00:59
Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	5	$57	29	29	+0	No	$0	05-27 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on July 19?	4	$55	28	28	+0	No	$0	07-19 11:56
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 91°F or below on July 23?	4	$54	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-22 21:20
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on July 21?	2	$54	27	27	+0	No	+$0	07-21 01:01
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on July 25?	2	$53	27	27	+0	No	$0	07-24 07:08
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$52	52	0	+52	No	+$0	02-05 14:39
Will Jude Bellingham win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$52	26	26	+0	No	$0	07-19 11:55
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 27?	3	$52	26	26	+0	No	+$0	06-27 00:50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 40°C on July 10?	2	$50	25	25	+0	No	+$0	07-10 18:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 16:52:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xfd92a4…
10-18 18:57:17	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on October 19?	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xce83a7…
10-13 04:45:59	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 13?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0xd4f1ff…
10-12 23:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x11f883…
10-12 07:00:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on October 12?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xa522bf…
10-12 05:49:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on October 12?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd3731b…
10-11 20:08:37	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	SELL	13	100¢	$12	0xd9fa77…
10-11 20:06:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 12?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$21	0x35d468…
10-11 18:31:58	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xa6ceec…
10-11 17:48:06	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 12?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$21	0x227f4d…
10-10 06:19:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x0eca6b…
10-07 19:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Austin be 75°F or below on October 8?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xa16b5c…
10-05 09:55:37	Will David Lavoie win the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xb76739…
10-02 01:22:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x2aa6e7…
10-01 21:26:11	Will the price of Solana be above $140 on October 2?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x05a92a…
10-01 06:30:42	Will Barrett Pfeiffer win Big Brother season 28?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x50c23a…
09-28 04:44:29	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x206e1c…
09-27 22:25:18	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 21-27?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1fe341…
09-23 20:59:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C or below on September 24?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x7571ba…
09-23 19:35:07	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 24?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x08fa10…
09-23 01:51:52	Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x41ef7f…
09-22 18:19:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C or higher on September 23?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xbf59de…
09-22 14:26:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on September 23?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x4e2bfd…
09-21 21:28:43	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 22?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x3b31bf…
09-19 02:24:06	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 19?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xda2a6d…
09-18 00:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 18?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xb54350…
09-17 15:54:48	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 18?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xd9a118…
09-13 03:24:57	Will the highest temperature in Denver be 102°F or higher on September 13?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x108aca…
09-11 03:20:34	Will Trump's approval rating be less than 37.5 on September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd6f6b5…
09-10 20:41:06	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or higher on September 11?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5815ad…
09-07 16:36:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C or higher on September 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x2999bd…
09-06 16:13:33	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 33°C or higher on September 7?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x742af1…
09-06 06:53:57	Will Grüne win less than 3% of all valid second votes?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x514a4d…
09-06 04:37:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x3e1208…
09-05 07:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 5?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x016b05…
09-05 04:42:34	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 5?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x41fa26…
09-04 20:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on September 5?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x3c9233…
09-04 19:06:10	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on September 5?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x945f04…
09-04 09:25:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on September 4?	Yes	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0xa5f126…
09-03 23:01:06	Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xa767eb…
09-03 21:22:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on September 4?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x4c872a…
09-03 05:27:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 3?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84005c…
09-02 22:28:58	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on September 3?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xcdebe5…
09-02 18:58:52	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on September 2?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf458b8…
09-02 10:54:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5f7157…
09-02 08:52:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 2?	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xc64810…
09-01 15:11:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 1?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x53b0f5…
09-01 12:23:10	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x4ea20d…
09-01 05:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 1?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x9bfdc8…
08-31 04:26:13	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in August?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x631a16…
08-31 03:03:18	Will ByteDance be the #2 AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x0a0041…
08-30 19:14:10	Will Trump meet with Keir Starmer in August 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x7b4c6b…
08-30 17:21:16	Will Solana reach $140 in August?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x389cac…
08-29 23:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xd745fe…
08-29 19:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf19bf4…
08-29 17:20:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on August 30?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x55163a…
08-28 16:55:43	will bitcoin reach 84k on august 28 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x8367ab…
08-28 06:29:19	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 28?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x6c0289…
08-27 11:49:51	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on August 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e71a9…
08-27 05:52:55	Will the price of Solana be above $120 on August 27?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xc72616…
08-26 22:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 27?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x034838…
08-26 20:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 35°C on August 27?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc610dd…
08-26 12:05:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4da0af…
08-26 08:52:49	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on August 26?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x0e9482…
08-25 08:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 25?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x8ead7f…
08-25 07:34:33	Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x38b98c…
08-24 23:29:31	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xe87070…
08-24 15:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 25?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x3ec02f…
08-24 08:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x04b68a…
08-24 03:43:54	Will Zelenskyy post 140-159 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x93ffe8…
08-23 21:21:04	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$9	0x904cb2…
08-18 09:36:46	Will National Dialogue Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xb20c2a…
08-14 17:41:27	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$22	0xb1042c…
08-14 07:08:37	Will CZ post 0-19 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb3219a…
08-13 18:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x805fdb…
08-13 17:00:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 15 20260727171036148	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xc2f9f4…
08-13 10:11:24	bitcoin above 66k on august 13 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x42e3c5…
08-13 07:58:42	ethereum above 1700 on august 13 2026	Yes	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x8d0338…
08-12 22:28:10	Will voter turnout be at least 80% in the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x99683a…
08-12 08:30:15	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 12?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xb70a4c…
08-12 02:51:25	Will annual inflation be 3.8% in July?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3a6344…
08-12 00:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 12?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x11705f…
08-11 15:11:01	Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on August 11?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb76daf…
08-11 12:56:54	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 11?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0xd003c5…
08-10 21:41:46	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 11?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x6fdde5…
08-10 19:04:39	will bitcoin dip to 60k on august 10	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8f4ab4…
08-10 15:22:42	ethereum above 1700 on august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x51a2e2…
08-10 11:26:25	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x642b4b…
08-10 10:35:16	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 11?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x545740…
08-09 10:25:07	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 94-95°F on August 10?	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x4a51f8…
08-09 04:29:33	Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 15, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x715bd7…
08-09 03:13:55	will bitcoin reach 70k august 3 9 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0xe2f91d…
08-08 18:47:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 9?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x7de213…
08-08 03:30:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 38°C on August 8?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x8782a6…
08-08 02:50:18	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 8?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xb3f314…
08-07 21:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 8?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5324b…
08-07 15:38:22	will wti reach 100 by august 3 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xa01e28…
08-07 12:58:04	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 7?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x040a21…
08-07 10:21:51	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C or higher on August 7?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x1490eb…
08-06 08:18:27	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x622eeb…