Thirsty-Geology — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

64.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$324

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-11

last 05-15 15:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 75% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$29	18	18	+0	Down	$-1	05-12 06:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	1	$25	32	0	+32	Down	+$7	05-12 07:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$25	35	0	+35	Down	$-25	05-12 07:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	05-12 07:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$25	25	0	+25	Up	+$0	05-12 07:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$20	15	15	+0	Up	$-0	05-12 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	1	$16	18	0	+18	Down	$-16	05-12 06:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	4	$16	10	10	+0	Down	+$4	05-13 04:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	1	$13	16	0	+16	Down	+$3	05-12 06:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$10	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-11 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-11 17:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	+$4	05-11 16:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$4	05-12 04:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	7	0	+7	Down	$-5	05-12 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-12 04:17
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 09:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-12 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-11 17:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-11 16:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-12 05:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-12 04:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-11 17:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	1	$4	15	0	+15	Up	+$11	05-12 06:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 15:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	1	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-13 05:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	1	$3	10	0	+10	Up	$-3	05-12 17:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$3	4	0	+4	Up	+$1	05-13 07:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$3	17	0	+17	open	—	05-15 08:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$3	8	0	+8	open	—	05-15 08:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 15:44:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x46e598…
05-15 15:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xef0eee…
05-15 15:19:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9cf9f7…
05-15 15:18:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x08c335…
05-15 09:04:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x385add…
05-15 08:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x837a9c…
05-15 08:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0x826e20…
05-15 08:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x00afbd…
05-15 08:37:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xf1cfe7…
05-15 08:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xea359c…
05-15 08:36:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x023339…
05-15 08:30:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x3cebac…
05-15 08:25:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe011a9…
05-15 08:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x94348b…
05-15 08:20:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x598b06…
05-15 08:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x37551f…
05-15 08:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xe1cd3a…
05-15 08:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xcb7cfd…
05-13 07:40:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x526d54…
05-13 07:39:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x998b7a…
05-13 05:09:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x95a381…
05-13 04:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	93¢	$4	0x4b9742…
05-13 04:54:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	SELL	6	95¢	$5	0x2ab406…
05-13 04:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x8ad8d0…
05-13 04:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x98363f…
05-13 04:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x348cde…
05-12 17:21:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x079887…
05-12 17:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x870d17…
05-12 17:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x66b142…
05-12 15:56:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x42ec18…
05-12 15:41:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0x4777e2…
05-12 07:32:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x4f8d79…
05-12 07:27:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	32	77¢	$25	0x9be141…
05-12 07:24:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x07c80f…
05-12 07:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xcac1ca…
05-12 06:36:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	90¢	$16	0x94213b…
05-12 06:27:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x0f6a91…
05-12 06:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	18	77¢	$14	0xf5040c…
05-12 06:24:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	84¢	$15	0x49e974…
05-12 06:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0xb8fffc…
05-12 06:02:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x805b85…
05-12 05:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x2ac7fe…
05-12 05:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x7554e2…
05-12 05:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xe4e24d…
05-12 04:44:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x8f8245…
05-12 04:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x572ce9…
05-12 04:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	15	66¢	$10	0xbf0571…
05-12 04:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x33e77b…
05-12 04:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xc654b1…
05-12 04:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x48467f…
05-12 04:14:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x0e261f…
05-11 17:18:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x63d3c4…
05-11 17:17:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xb20931…
05-11 17:11:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	68¢	$5	0xfe54d3…
05-11 17:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0x5bbf39…
05-11 17:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x922387…
05-11 16:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xd1b708…
05-11 16:53:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xec6b57…
05-11 16:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xc07f10…
05-11 16:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x4702f0…
05-11 16:41:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x58cb7d…
05-11 16:37:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x05a287…