Squiggly-Thermostat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$817

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.2%

Resolved

458

Trades

1,025

lifetime

Volume

$43.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-07

last 06-02 10:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Sports

34% 73% -$599

Other

33% 69% -$116

Crypto

32% 42% -$102

Politics

0% 0% $0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-02).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl van lak 2026 04 09	6	$2.6K	1,390	1,310	+80	Kings	+$3	04-10 05:52
nhl wpg utah 2026 04 14	4	$2.2K	1,122	1,122	+0	Utah	+$20	04-15 03:39
highest temperature in taipei on april 11 2026 33c	2	$2.0K	1,020	1,019	+1	Yes	+$18	04-11 08:57
nhl sj ana 2026 04 09	2	$2.0K	1,003	1,003	+0	Ducks	+$2	04-10 05:52
Canadiens vs. Sabres	1	$1.7K	1,729	0	+1,729	Canadiens	+$29	05-15 01:15
Oilers vs. Ducks	3	$1.6K	840	839	+1	Ducks	+$40	04-25 05:03
mlb sea sd 2026 04 14	3	$1.6K	831	806	+25	San Diego Padres	+$4	04-15 05:18
highest temperature in shanghai on april 11 2026 18c	3	$1.4K	747	745	+2	Yes	+$47	04-11 08:56
highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 72 73f	2	$1.4K	705	704	+0	Yes	+$4	04-16 04:51
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	3	$1.2K	606	606	+0	Yes	+$5	04-21 01:28
highest temperature in hong kong on april 12 2026 28c	2	$815	416	415	+1	Yes	+$16	04-13 02:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	2	$805	406	406	+0	Yes	+$5	04-24 06:07
highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 72 73f	2	$803	404	404	+0	No	+$4	04-21 01:28
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	2	$801	402	402	+0	Yes	+$1	04-16 04:14
mlb sea sd 2026 04 15	1	$700	704	0	+704	San Diego Padres	-$700	04-16 04:19
nhl wpg las 2026 04 13	3	$613	362	312	+50	Golden Knights	+$11	04-14 04:20
nhl utah cal 2026 04 12	3	$609	310	310	+0	Flames	+$9	04-13 03:33
bitcoin up or down march 21 2026 2am et	8	$579	317	316	+1	Up	+$8	03-21 07:00
highest temperature in wellington on april 11 2026 20c	5	$524	293	291	+2	Yes	+$38	04-11 06:01
highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	1	$496	498	0	+498	Yes	+$2	04-21 06:41
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 04:55 UTC	5	$464	244	244	+0	Down	+$13	03-26 05:01
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 04:00 UTC	2	$440	221	221	+0	Down	+$2	03-27 04:11
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 05:00 UTC	4	$422	219	219	+0	Down	+$6	03-26 05:06
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 05:40 UTC	4	$413	210	210	+0	Down	+$6	03-26 05:47
highest temperature in london on april 11 2026 14c	2	$411	212	212	+1	Yes	+$12	04-11 16:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-26 05:55 UTC	4	$410	217	217	+0	Down	+$0	03-26 06:02
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-27 04:30 UTC	3	$409	315	105	+209	Up	+$4	03-27 04:44
highest temperature in seattle on april 13 2026 54 55f	3	$408	209	209	+0	Yes	+$8	04-14 01:50
nba den sas 2026 04 12	3	$405	206	206	+0	Nuggets	+$6	04-13 03:00
highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 19c	2	$401	201	201	+0	Yes	+$1	04-14 04:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 10:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xd82fab…
06-02 10:51:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x988181…
06-02 10:50:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x93e5f8…
06-02 10:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x3ea95e…
06-02 10:43:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x6b4707…
06-02 10:38:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x2a45d7…
05-20 08:14:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xa13a84…
05-20 08:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xcac519…
05-20 08:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x0424df…
05-20 06:28:28	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	670	11¢	$73	0x179d8f…
05-19 00:57:41	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x802161…
05-15 01:15:22	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	1,729	98¢	$1,700	0x626491…
05-01 07:35:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 1?	Yes	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x824d1d…
05-01 02:55:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on May 1?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x14acd7…
05-01 01:01:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 1?	No	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x7ad6cb…
04-30 22:08:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xc9f1e8…
04-29 19:18:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6d9ef0…
04-29 05:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf24045…
04-29 05:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	12	25¢	$3	0xe72d97…
04-29 05:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xe4695f…
04-29 02:50:38	Ducks vs. Oilers	Ducks	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x95ecee…
04-28 05:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7a2052…
04-28 05:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x846da9…
04-28 05:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x21652c…
04-28 05:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xdade50…
04-28 05:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x4fa3cf…
04-28 05:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xd0c453…
04-28 03:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xd90f69…
04-28 03:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x923059…
04-28 02:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x5abd83…
04-28 02:45:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xba0509…
04-28 02:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xaada96…
04-28 02:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xd8b823…
04-27 04:19:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa10a65…
04-27 04:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xa9b04d…
04-27 04:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x00d492…
04-27 04:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x57ea7d…
04-27 04:05:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0x9dad37…
04-27 04:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9e2937…
04-27 04:01:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xea0e49…
04-25 06:24:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x7cc7e8…
04-25 06:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x0efbdf…
04-25 06:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	35¢	$2	0xfdfd9d…
04-25 06:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x3cdf40…
04-25 05:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x5fee09…
04-25 05:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x90c13f…
04-25 05:50:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$8	0x28c19f…
04-25 05:49:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x512ddb…
04-25 05:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xaffe6a…
04-25 05:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$18	0xc98f9c…
04-25 05:44:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x9d8997…
04-25 05:03:20	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	SELL	839	100¢	$838	0x4a08a0…
04-25 04:43:50	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	707	99¢	$700	0x052685…
04-25 04:28:22	Oilers vs. Ducks	Ducks	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x07cafc…
04-24 06:07:52	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	Yes	SELL	406	100¢	$405	0xef562f…
04-24 04:15:44	highest temperature in wellington on april 24 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	406	98¢	$400	0xe37279…
04-24 02:39:24	highest temperature in seattle on april 23 2026 58 59f	Yes	BUY	138	1¢	$2	0x1bd3d0…
04-23 04:45:22	nhl ana edm 2026 04 22	Ducks	SELL	117	100¢	$117	0x40a9d2…
04-23 04:38:48	nhl ana edm 2026 04 22	Ducks	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xd00697…
04-21 13:01:28	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 15c	No	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0x9f989f…
04-21 06:43:48	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 15c	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0xc739bb…
04-21 06:41:34	highest temperature in seoul on april 21 2026 14c	Yes	BUY	498	100¢	$496	0x3e2e2e…
04-21 03:23:52	highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 11c	Yes	BUY	329	91¢	$300	0x22dd37…
04-21 01:28:32	highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 72 73f	No	SELL	404	100¢	$403	0x61b4bf…
04-21 01:28:12	highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	Yes	SELL	606	100¢	$605	0xdceee8…
04-21 01:27:42	nhl ott car 2026 04 20	Senators	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xfe6477…
04-21 00:58:34	nhl ott car 2026 04 20	Senators	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xf1bb84…
04-21 00:10:22	highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 72 73f	No	BUY	404	99¢	$400	0x58f1ad…
04-21 00:09:14	highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xdd363f…
04-21 00:07:54	highest temperature in dallas on april 20 2026 71forbelow	Yes	BUY	505	99¢	$500	0x64d6e1…
04-16 04:51:06	highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 72 73f	Yes	SELL	704	100¢	$704	0x74cf23…
04-16 04:19:52	mlb sea sd 2026 04 15	Seattle Mariners	BUY	704	99¢	$700	0x76d5ac…
04-16 04:14:06	highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	Yes	SELL	402	100¢	$401	0xb91033…
04-16 01:08:00	nhl det fla 2026 04 15	Red Wings	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6a0be7…
04-16 01:03:12	highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	705	99¢	$700	0xc311d3…
04-16 00:58:52	highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 86 87f	Yes	BUY	402	100¢	$400	0x834f78…
04-15 05:18:16	mlb sea sd 2026 04 14	San Diego Padres	SELL	806	100¢	$805	0xcde833…
04-15 04:53:16	nhl lak van 2026 04 14	Canucks	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xfa4104…
04-15 04:13:22	nhl lak van 2026 04 14	Canucks	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x9444b3…
04-15 03:55:40	mlb sea sd 2026 04 14	San Diego Padres	BUY	806	99¢	$800	0x69af61…
04-15 03:44:36	mlb sea sd 2026 04 14	Seattle Mariners	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xd20234…
04-15 03:39:42	nhl wpg utah 2026 04 14	Utah	SELL	1,009	100¢	$1,008	0x4d20f6…
04-15 03:22:46	nhl wpg utah 2026 04 14	Utah	BUY	1,009	99¢	$1,000	0x2aef9c…
04-15 03:21:46	nhl wpg utah 2026 04 14	Utah	SELL	114	99¢	$113	0x4b2e72…
04-15 03:10:22	nhl wpg utah 2026 04 14	Utah	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xf6bad2…
04-14 04:31:55	highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 19c	Yes	SELL	201	100¢	$201	0xa5c135…
04-14 04:20:59	nhl wpg las 2026 04 13	Golden Knights	SELL	312	100¢	$312	0xa22066…
04-14 04:18:13	nhl lak sea 2026 04 13	Kings	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0x158188…
04-14 04:14:17	nhl wpg las 2026 04 13	Golden Knights	BUY	312	96¢	$300	0xbf9647…
04-14 04:13:35	nhl lak sea 2026 04 13	Kings	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xb5f7dc…
04-14 04:04:05	nhl wpg las 2026 04 13	Jets	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3e3474…
04-14 02:36:03	nhl min stl 2026 04 13	Wild	BUY	121	1¢	$1	0x66b5b7…
04-14 02:26:21	nhl min stl 2026 04 13	Wild	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x317982…
04-14 02:15:15	nhl dal tor 2026 04 13	Stars	SELL	108	100¢	$107	0x3ae4fd…
04-14 02:05:57	nhl dal tor 2026 04 13	Stars	BUY	108	93¢	$100	0xad6c7f…
04-14 02:03:55	nhl dal tor 2026 04 13	Maple Leafs	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xc2f189…
04-14 02:00:53	highest temperature in wellington on april 14 2026 19c	Yes	BUY	201	99¢	$200	0x83b615…
04-14 01:50:49	highest temperature in seattle on april 13 2026 54 55f	Yes	SELL	209	100¢	$208	0xec1d5d…
04-14 00:28:49	highest temperature in seattle on april 13 2026 54 55f	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xe7d373…
04-14 00:23:15	highest temperature in seattle on april 13 2026 54 55f	Yes	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x0e4836…