Same-Melody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$128

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.0%

Resolved

353

Trades

518

lifetime

Volume

$47.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$92

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-26

last 10-29 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 191 days

Categories

Crypto

82% 94% +$82

Other

16% 77% +$48

Tech

1% — —

Politics

0% 75% -$1

Sports

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

34 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 70k on july 16 2026	3	$998	500	500	+0	No	+$2	07-15 17:03
bitcoin above 60k on july 24 2026	4	$998	500	500	+0	Yes	+$2	07-24 09:42
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	2	$998	500	500	+0	Yes	+$2	07-24 21:32
bitcoin above 58k on july 30 2026	2	$998	500	500	+0	Yes	+$2	07-30 00:23
bitcoin above 68k on july 15 2026	3	$997	500	500	+0	No	+$1	07-15 10:52
bitcoin above 58k on july 14 2026	14	$996	500	500	+0	Yes	+$2	07-14 04:47
bitcoin above 68k on july 7 2026	2	$804	404	404	+0	No	+$4	07-07 05:13
bitcoin above 68k on july 8 2026	2	$804	404	404	+0	No	+$4	07-08 07:52
bitcoin above 70k on june 18 2026	2	$804	404	404	+0	No	+$4	06-18 13:14
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	3	$802	403	403	+0	No	+$2	07-02 14:33
bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	4	$799	400	400	+0	Yes	+$1	06-21 11:38
bitcoin above 68k on june 28 2026	2	$798	400	400	+0	No	+$1	06-28 00:06
bitcoin above 68k on july 13 2026	2	$798	400	400	+0	No	+$2	07-13 11:38
bitcoin above 68k on july 11 2026	2	$798	400	400	+0	No	+$2	07-11 00:15
bitcoin above 68k on august 12 2026	2	$757	380	380	+0	No	+$2	08-12 07:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on August 12?	2	$603	396	396	+0	No	+$3	08-11 03:51
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 11?	2	$602	302	302	+0	No	+$2	08-11 05:27
bitcoin above 60k on june 16 2026	2	$601	301	301	+0	Yes	+$1	06-16 01:40
bitcoin above 60k on june 17 2026	2	$601	301	301	+0	Yes	+$1	06-17 13:08
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on August 14?	2	$598	300	300	+0	No	+$1	08-14 08:41
bitcoin above 74k on march 4	2	$575	301	301	+0	No	-$25	03-04 16:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 22?	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	07-21 12:16
bitcoin above 60k on august 10 2026	2	$499	500	0	+500	Yes	+$1	08-09 12:37
bitcoin above 60k on july 28 2026	1	$499	500	0	+500	Yes	+$1	07-27 14:31
bitcoin above 70k on august 6 2026	2	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	08-05 12:55
bitcoin above 56k on august 4 2026	1	$499	500	0	+500	Yes	+$1	08-03 07:58
bitcoin above 70k on july 20 2026	1	$499	500	0	+500	No	+$1	07-19 14:16
bitcoin above 60k on july 26 2026	3	$499	500	0	+500	Yes	+$1	07-25 17:14
will aurora reach the grand final at iem cologne major 2026	5	$495	300	300	+0	No	-$33	06-15 07:48
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	5	$473	500	500	+0	open	—	08-11 02:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 03:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x65031f…
10-29 03:44:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	63	96¢	$60	0xa47ec7…
10-29 03:44:14	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 29?	No	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0xd4cb84…
10-27 07:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	90	97¢	$87	0x68d64f…
10-24 04:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 24?	No	BUY	95	98¢	$93	0xd42628…
10-24 04:21:18	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 24?	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x786b01…
10-22 05:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x7f84a2…
10-22 05:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 22?	Yes	BUY	75	89¢	$67	0x317360…
10-21 06:20:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xe14c94…
10-21 06:12:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	39	87¢	$34	0xc29528…
10-12 07:07:23	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0x293c06…
10-10 08:05:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	29	97¢	$28	0x450749…
10-10 08:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x73ff0a…
10-10 07:24:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x3989c9…
10-10 07:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xb6cbf3…
10-08 07:29:40	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x75744c…
10-08 07:29:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 8?	No	BUY	39	94¢	$37	0x7c4b7d…
10-08 07:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	93¢	$7	0x39d5c8…
10-08 07:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 8?	No	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xcf84ee…
10-08 07:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on October 8?	No	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xba4975…
10-08 07:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x2e5574…
10-07 07:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0xbad423…
10-07 07:34:45	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	92	97¢	$90	0x5f4c7f…
10-06 06:34:48	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	95	94¢	$90	0xaab8ff…
10-05 05:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on October 5?	Yes	BUY	103	99¢	$102	0x1f6998…
10-04 06:48:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xd877fc…
10-04 06:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb6ec0a…
10-04 06:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x17f9ab…
10-04 06:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x13a12c…
10-04 06:36:53	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0ce003…
10-04 06:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	54	99¢	$53	0x801fcd…
10-04 06:36:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xfd82e4…
10-03 07:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	95	96¢	$91	0x88942b…
10-03 07:05:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 3?	Yes	SELL	18	7¢	$1	0x95a9d0…
10-03 07:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	18	30¢	$5	0xa0c318…
10-02 07:37:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x99260c…
10-02 07:21:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x91aa94…
10-02 07:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2?	No	SELL	41	1¢	$0	0xc7b367…
10-02 07:12:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2?	No	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x489a92…
10-02 06:26:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x8d58ff…
10-02 05:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2?	No	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0xd3019e…
10-02 04:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$19	0xa2f801…
09-29 07:40:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc7e355…
09-28 06:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 28?	No	SELL	17	26¢	$4	0x45c241…
09-28 06:21:23	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 28?	No	SELL	3	50¢	$2	0x46512f…
09-28 06:19:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 28?	No	BUY	70	93¢	$65	0x4d8901…
09-28 06:19:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 28?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0xa06ede…
09-28 04:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 28?	No	BUY	20	82¢	$16	0x3f634e…
09-22 07:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0xf479ac…
09-22 07:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x7d6e56…
09-22 07:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x550bd0…
09-22 07:03:43	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	22	94¢	$20	0x9f4263…
09-22 07:03:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 22?	Yes	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x9aeb27…
09-15 06:53:36	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	65	93¢	$61	0xe1a107…
09-15 06:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xf17506…
09-15 06:53:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	56	92¢	$51	0x3645ea…
09-10 03:48:28	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 10?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xa5819f…
09-07 00:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 7?	No	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x85e643…
09-07 00:38:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 7?	No	BUY	93	97¢	$90	0x73c9e1…
09-07 00:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xa69ce0…
09-07 00:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 7?	No	BUY	24	98¢	$23	0xcb65c3…
09-05 07:39:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xe451b3…
09-05 04:19:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	No	BUY	25	92¢	$23	0x971d30…
09-05 04:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xdf3f0c…
09-05 04:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0xed74f1…
09-05 04:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x00b177…
09-05 04:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	97	99¢	$96	0xe4326e…
09-05 04:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on September 5?	No	BUY	95	99¢	$94	0x983533…
09-05 04:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 5?	No	BUY	162	99¢	$161	0xabb5ab…
08-29 07:37:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0x5d99ae…
08-29 07:36:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	83	95¢	$79	0x719ace…
08-21 04:25:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?	No	SELL	20	54¢	$11	0x42204f…
08-21 03:59:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0x5d6b87…
08-19 08:17:19	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xc0eb18…
08-19 08:16:46	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	12	96¢	$12	0x3fe0a8…
08-19 08:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	14	95¢	$13	0xfdc7a6…
08-19 08:16:21	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$40	0x770025…
08-19 07:49:57	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0x48a34b…
08-19 07:48:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x170718…
08-19 07:41:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x3a0bba…
08-19 07:37:58	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf730b3…
08-19 07:10:07	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 19?	No	BUY	60	98¢	$59	0x0a7bd1…
08-19 06:25:18	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 19?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$181	0xc597a8…
08-19 06:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 19?	No	BUY	63	97¢	$61	0x1a1f86…
08-19 05:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0xeb5123…
08-19 03:38:04	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xaf858e…
08-19 02:31:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?	No	SELL	90	100¢	$90	0xc31ed8…
08-19 02:17:55	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on August 20?	No	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x79962a…
08-18 10:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	90	94¢	$85	0xe2d778…
08-18 08:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	118	99¢	$116	0xb2d79e…
08-18 08:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	8	96¢	$8	0x3ee36b…
08-18 00:18:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	101	98¢	$99	0xa5fefe…
08-17 15:06:04	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa0ac7f…
08-17 09:07:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	33	97¢	$32	0xb22be6…
08-17 08:42:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 18?	No	BUY	65	97¢	$63	0x91f4f5…
08-17 07:50:31	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	91	99¢	$90	0x8204ee…
08-17 03:30:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 17?	No	SELL	30	86¢	$26	0xc24748…
08-17 03:29:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	166	97¢	$161	0xb1c9a1…
08-17 03:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x92b96b…
08-17 03:28:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	50	97¢	$48	0x7427a2…