Mysterious-Ligula — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$36.7K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

25.6%

Resolved

111

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$97.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$345

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-16

last 10-25 14:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 27 days

Categories

Other

52% 19% -$25,945

Crypto

24% 23% -$6,959

Politics

24% 25% -$3,784

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fif can isl 2026 03 28 isl	3	$13.7K	19,145	0	+19,145	No	-$13,727	03-28 18:37
fif hun slv1 2026 03 28 hun	5	$10.8K	14,009	14,009	+0	Yes	-$1,208	03-28 19:07
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	8	$7.7K	22,909	22,909	+0	No	-$2,748	06-08 19:52
Indiana vs. Michigan	2	$6.8K	3,663	3,663	+0	Indiana	+$480	10-24 19:34
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	3	$4.1K	7,708	7,708	+0	No	+$141	06-08 10:44
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	3	$3.4K	3,472	3,472	+0	No	-$638	06-08 10:46
fif hun slv1 2026 03 28 total 2pt5	2	$3.2K	7,243	0	+7,243	Under	-$3,248	03-28 16:54
fif hun slv1 2026 03 28 total 3pt5	2	$3.2K	13,186	0	+13,186	Under	-$3,247	03-28 16:54
iran closes its airspace by june 8	3	$2.9K	1,911	1,911	+0	Yes	+$939	06-08 06:19
fif sco jpn 2026 03 28 sco	2	$2.5K	11,153	0	+11,153	No	-$2,498	03-28 17:58
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	4	$2.4K	13,559	13,559	+0	No	-$574	10-24 20:25
fif usa bel 2026 03 28 bel	2	$2.2K	1,113	1,113	+0	Yes	+$53	03-28 23:51
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 13:10 UTC	4	$2.1K	1,343	1,058	+285	Down	-$142	04-08 13:13
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	4	$1.9K	9,535	9,535	+0	No	-$673	10-24 20:25
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	9	$1.7K	5,004	5,004	+0	No	+$30	06-08 11:08
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	2	$1.6K	10,493	10,493	+0	Yes	-$380	10-25 14:32
Baylor vs. Kansas	3	$1.4K	1,976	0	+1,976	Kansas	-$1,439	10-24 20:11
Tennessee vs. South Carolina	2	$1.4K	1,167	1,167	+0	South Carolina	-$23	10-24 20:25
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	4	$1.3K	4,874	4,874	+0	No	-$333	06-08 20:30
bitcoin up or down january 20 12pm et	4	$1.2K	794	794	+0	Down	+$410	01-20 18:17
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-08 12:45 UTC	3	$1.1K	753	728	+25	Up	+$352	04-08 13:01
bitcoin above 72k on march 16	2	$1.1K	7,301	0	+7,301	Yes	-$1,098	03-16 10:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-02-14 15:00 UTC	5	$965	567	563	+4	Down	+$153	02-14 15:16
bitcoin above 90k on january 21	2	$937	1,789	1,789	+0	No	-$63	01-21 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-08 16:40 UTC	3	$855	877	365	+512	Up	-$131	04-08 16:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$826	730	380	+350	Down	-$74	05-05 20:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	3	$803	1,955	0	+1,955	Up	-$803	05-05 20:56
bitcoin up or down january 21 3am et	3	$801	629	629	+0	Down	+$445	01-21 09:00
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?	2	$755	6,366	6,366	+0	No	-$245	05-05 20:22
bitcoin up or down january 20 1pm et	2	$714	514	514	+0	Down	+$314	01-20 19:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-25 14:32:42	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	SELL	10,493	6¢	$611	0xbe225b…
10-25 10:56:17	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27?	No	BUY	10,493	9¢	$991	0xf4b6bd…
10-24 20:25:42	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6,491	7¢	$436	0xf93fe0…
10-24 20:25:32	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9,067	7¢	$597	0xd29ec0…
10-24 20:25:09	Tennessee vs. South Carolina	South Carolina	SELL	1,167	58¢	$677	0x81d485…
10-24 20:11:17	Baylor vs. Kansas	Baylor	BUY	154	58¢	$89	0x9d52c9…
10-24 19:59:51	Baylor vs. Kansas	Baylor	BUY	1,239	81¢	$1,000	0xe96cbb…
10-24 19:42:03	Baylor vs. Kansas	Baylor	BUY	583	60¢	$350	0xbabb48…
10-24 19:41:26	Tennessee vs. South Carolina	South Carolina	BUY	1,167	60¢	$700	0x328686…
10-24 19:34:00	Indiana vs. Michigan	Indiana	SELL	3,663	100¢	$3,659	0x80b0e4…
10-24 19:28:11	Indiana vs. Michigan	Indiana	BUY	3,663	87¢	$3,179	0x27a9cb…
10-24 18:13:03	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6,491	12¢	$800	0x33cd16…
10-24 18:12:14	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	9,067	11¢	$1,000	0x29cf1f…
10-22 12:27:41	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3,044	6¢	$183	0xe3ab46…
10-22 12:27:32	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,493	7¢	$329	0x9db56f…
10-21 22:20:44	Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,044	16¢	$491	0x4a8bca…
10-21 22:16:20	Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4,493	11¢	$500	0xbfc004…
06-19 22:47:38	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	SELL	1,738	4¢	$77	0xa7689c…
06-19 21:47:32	Scotland vs. Morocco: Neither team to score first?	Yes	BUY	120	10¢	$12	0x35f928…
06-19 21:47:22	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x1704eb…
06-19 21:47:01	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	625	16¢	$100	0x25e50f…
06-19 21:13:04	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	513	16¢	$82	0x541502…
06-19 21:12:43	fifwc sco mar 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	Scotland	BUY	565	4¢	$25	0x12603c…
06-19 20:36:46	Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19?	Yes	BUY	600	16¢	$96	0xa44c60…
06-19 20:19:31	fifwc usa aus 2026 06 19 btts	Yes	BUY	152	33¢	$50	0xb7d0b8…
06-12 06:43:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0xe3cf55…
06-12 06:34:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x7fe78a…
06-12 06:34:27	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-12 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	59	8¢	$5	0x5cc377…
06-12 06:28:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x5644b1…
06-12 06:23:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x71ba4d…
06-12 06:20:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xe4e3b9…
06-12 06:15:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x6c6327…
06-12 06:15:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-12 06:15 UTC	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xa4615d…
06-08 20:40:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xe62c14…
06-08 20:40:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xd3a44c…
06-08 20:40:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:40 UTC	Down	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0xb2fd33…
06-08 20:38:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:35 UTC	Down	SELL	559	5¢	$31	0xffc9a1…
06-08 20:36:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x8058c1…
06-08 20:36:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x884449…
06-08 20:35:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x3f30f7…
06-08 20:35:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	71	35¢	$25	0x601505…
06-08 20:35:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:35 UTC	Down	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x31ccf0…
06-08 20:33:24	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:30 UTC	Down	SELL	745	5¢	$39	0xa67dfc…
06-08 20:31:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	745	13¢	$100	0xca4c33…
06-08 20:30:45	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	4,874	10¢	$474	0x8138b2…
06-08 20:19:28	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	276	36¢	$100	0xea9f3e…
06-08 20:19:07	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	269	37¢	$100	0xa15892…
06-08 20:18:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	285	35¢	$100	0x8edcd8…
06-08 20:18:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	273	37¢	$100	0xd6a998…
06-08 20:18:37	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	278	36¢	$100	0x53df05…
06-08 20:17:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:15 UTC	Up	SELL	581	8¢	$48	0xf1b548…
06-08 20:15:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0xf03975…
06-08 20:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x52b1f2…
06-08 20:15:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-08 20:15 UTC	Up	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x207cbc…
06-08 20:10:40	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	449	22¢	$100	0x8a4e37…
06-08 20:09:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x3d71ff…
06-08 20:09:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	74	34¢	$25	0x3a587c…
06-08 20:09:39	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	271	37¢	$100	0xc8e658…
06-08 20:02:18	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x8f97b4…
06-08 20:02:16	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-06-08 20:00 UTC	Up	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0xa23a83…
06-08 19:53:04	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,271	15¢	$350	0x609261…
06-08 19:52:34	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	19,409	10¢	$1,982	0x4c2a6f…
06-08 19:35:31	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x75db7a…
06-08 19:31:25	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	2,583	18¢	$453	0x38dca0…
06-08 19:31:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	SELL	3,500	13¢	$472	0x852213…
06-08 13:22:42	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	719	22¢	$158	0xc206fe…
06-08 13:22:15	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	SELL	2,273	7¢	$158	0xc5032e…
06-08 11:08:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	5,549	21¢	$1,168	0x041a09…
06-08 11:08:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	SELL	5,004	17¢	$871	0x77e959…
06-08 10:57:58	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	4,955	20¢	$1,000	0xb144c2…
06-08 10:50:49	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	3,015	29¢	$875	0x039764…
06-08 10:49:24	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	3,808	26¢	$1,000	0x1a9841…
06-08 10:47:12	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 9	Yes	BUY	2,273	11¢	$250	0x177938…
06-08 10:46:12	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	3,472	39¢	$1,361	0x83114f…
06-08 10:45:07	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	Yes	BUY	4,862	21¢	$1,000	0x4c14bc…
06-08 10:44:16	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	7,708	28¢	$2,141	0x7f43cf…
06-08 06:27:13	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,932	17¢	$325	0xc919fd…
06-08 06:25:49	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x32dd38…
06-08 06:25:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	24	17¢	$4	0x5fa7d6…
06-08 06:24:55	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$168	0x67dad4…
06-08 06:24:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,000	17¢	$168	0xad9b52…
06-08 06:24:46	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	34	17¢	$6	0x236867…
06-08 06:24:39	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	927	17¢	$156	0x9245c4…
06-08 06:24:19	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	Yes	BUY	81	17¢	$14	0xd5e75f…
06-08 06:19:07	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	1,911	100¢	$1,907	0x1444da…
06-07 20:01:39	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	807	66¢	$530	0x4e7520…
06-07 19:50:51	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,819	55¢	$1,000	0x9555d0…
06-07 19:50:18	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	BUY	1,653	60¢	$1,000	0xd2ef6a…
06-07 18:42:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	1,104	40¢	$439	0xdbcfe4…
06-07 18:25:36	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	1,852	27¢	$500	0xf78e0e…
06-07 18:21:31	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	5,856	26¢	$1,500	0x4448d9…
05-05 20:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	956	32¢	$303	0xebcac5…
05-05 20:55:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	492	51¢	$250	0x982fe6…
05-05 20:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	506	49¢	$250	0x137dc5…
05-05 20:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	311	32¢	$100	0x463eb8…
05-05 20:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	584	34¢	$200	0xe7e378…
05-05 20:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	185	14¢	$26	0xfb98d3…
05-05 20:47:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	982	13¢	$124	0x06776c…
05-05 20:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	738	14¢	$100	0xb7f016…
05-05 20:41:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	380	99¢	$376	0x1b70ca…