Grubby-Participation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$396

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

1,063

Trades

3,836

lifetime

Volume

$8.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

5 positions

First seen

2026-05-26

last 10-24 20:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Crypto

88% 42% -$162

Other

11% 28% -$187

Politics

1% 0% -$47

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	Yes	+30	$3	17¢	$5	+$2	10-22 21:49
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	No	+28	$5	2¢	$1	-$4	10-22 21:40
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?	Yes	+20	$2	1¢	$0	-$2	10-22 21:41
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?	Yes	+26	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-23 12:30
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October?	Yes	+10	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	10-23 14:12

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	12	$122	273	273	+0	No	-$62	06-15 00:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	18	$85	96	49	+47	Up	+$2	05-30 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	14	$78	114	102	+12	Up	+$2	05-30 05:34
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 8?	6	$64	50	50	+0	Yes	+$32	06-08 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	16	$63	70	70	+0	Down	+$1	05-31 14:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	8	$56	67	67	+0	Down	+$2	05-30 05:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	10	$56	664	24	+640	Down	-$30	05-30 06:00
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 9?	4	$56	42	42	+0	Yes	+$24	06-09 21:55
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	2	$47	85	85	+0	No	-$13	05-29 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	16	$46	614	562	+53	Up	-$6	05-31 15:28
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 8?	2	$45	35	35	+0	Yes	+$25	06-08 08:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	8	$45	150	50	+100	Down	+$5	05-30 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	16	$42	56	56	+0	Up	-$2	05-31 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June 11?	7	$41	49	39	+10	Yes	+$1	06-11 16:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	12	$39	58	20	+38	Down	-$1	05-31 05:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	11	$39	43	33	+9	Down	+$10	05-31 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	9	$39	46	15	+30	Up	+$1	05-30 06:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	9	$37	34	18	+15	Down	-$1	05-29 14:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	10	$36	54	24	+30	Up	$0	05-30 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	13	$36	32	32	+0	Down	+$4	05-30 17:29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 6?	6	$35	55	55	+0	No	+$23	06-06 21:50
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?	4	$35	111	111	+0	No	+$1	06-26 02:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	7	$34	54	16	+38	Up	-$2	05-29 17:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	11	$34	37	8	+29	Up	-$22	05-27 22:16
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	7	$33	21	21	+0	Up	+$1	06-01 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	6	$33	26	22	+4	Down	+$3	05-28 13:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	11	$33	57	57	+0	Up	-$1	05-31 06:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$32	17	17	+0	Down	+$2	05-27 21:49
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 96°F or higher on September 9?	2	$32	17	17	+0	Yes	+$2	09-09 21:58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 6?	3	$31	30	20	+9	Yes	-$7	09-06 22:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-24 20:48:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xd73db7…
10-24 20:47:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	90¢	$2	0x1e457b…
10-24 20:43:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xdd4351…
10-24 20:41:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x95caca…
10-24 20:38:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xafa35f…
10-24 17:25:15	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x729697…
10-24 17:23:35	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	69¢	$2	0x62e7a1…
10-24 17:23:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x92f54e…
10-24 16:55:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3d248d…
10-24 16:40:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xd1a401…
10-24 16:35:44	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x6fb197…
10-24 16:31:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x0902cd…
10-24 16:28:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	2	62¢	$1	0xf811a4…
10-24 16:22:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x76398e…
10-24 16:21:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xca1ef2…
10-24 16:18:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x0de6a3…
10-24 16:18:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0xfc5eed…
10-24 16:14:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x2a8738…
10-24 16:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd4a4c6…
10-24 16:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x8b8008…
10-24 16:09:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xaf6e5d…
10-24 16:03:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xff0406…
10-24 16:03:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x52d919…
10-24 15:57:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3b0ce0…
10-24 15:57:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xaaaf90…
10-24 15:57:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x574bc4…
10-24 15:55:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xddf426…
10-24 15:53:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	2	22¢	$0	0x30ab10…
10-24 15:49:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd81994…
10-24 15:48:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x39262a…
10-24 15:47:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x9d378e…
10-24 15:47:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x13c417…
10-24 15:44:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfe9374…
10-24 15:44:20	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xeeca0c…
10-24 15:43:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x01995b…
10-24 15:42:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0x19e162…
10-24 15:41:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe2e2a9…
10-24 15:40:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xbf8fc4…
10-24 15:40:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x467b23…
10-24 15:36:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x289742…
10-24 15:32:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xb9b1bd…
10-24 15:29:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x674aab…
10-24 15:28:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x5b7beb…
10-24 15:21:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x567e43…
10-24 15:21:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x3fc06c…
10-24 15:19:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x17852f…
10-24 15:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbe1037…
10-24 15:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x552098…
10-24 15:18:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3f5034…
10-24 15:16:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x0bf720…
10-24 15:15:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	4	70¢	$3	0x064022…
10-24 15:13:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xac928e…
10-24 15:13:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x3039f7…
10-24 15:13:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	6	60¢	$4	0x534f19…
10-24 15:10:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x7880e9…
10-24 15:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xcb244c…
10-24 15:09:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x64e480…
10-24 15:08:18	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0xe3082c…
10-24 15:06:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x1d49aa…
10-24 15:06:02	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0x6e68e2…
10-24 15:04:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xb107e2…
10-24 15:04:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xb6ffe7…
10-24 12:43:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	44	3¢	$1	0xb34e3f…
10-24 12:41:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x19cc40…
10-24 12:40:26	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb88d35…
10-24 12:38:57	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xec86ba…
10-24 12:35:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	45¢	$2	0x362115…
10-24 12:34:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x4547b8…
10-24 12:34:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x84e442…
10-24 12:33:50	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x642d01…
10-24 12:33:42	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	4	67¢	$3	0x693776…
10-24 12:33:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xcb1eef…
10-24 12:32:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	18	32¢	$6	0x1e890c…
10-24 12:31:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xee5f7d…
10-24 12:31:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xfb1463…
10-24 12:27:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$1	0xaab252…
10-24 12:24:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x192c9d…
10-24 12:24:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x3be1b7…
10-24 12:19:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x9f0b41…
10-23 23:59:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0xd7d066…
10-23 23:58:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x65be1b…
10-23 20:53:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xab6917…
10-23 20:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x20caf3…
10-23 17:58:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xc78f11…
10-23 17:55:47	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	64¢	$1	0x40091e…
10-23 17:55:05	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x5cfe67…
10-23 17:54:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe3093f…
10-23 17:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	15¢	$1	0xfb54b7…
10-23 17:52:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	77¢	$2	0x5055f2…
10-23 17:52:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x073c7f…
10-23 17:52:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0xcc4fc3…
10-23 17:51:12	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x3e5231…
10-23 17:48:38	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe939f8…
10-23 17:48:23	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfaab30…
10-23 17:47:17	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	19¢	$1	0x8596a8…
10-23 17:45:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x7d0aa4…
10-23 17:44:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc1d8f8…
10-23 17:43:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	11	1¢	$0	0x349588…
10-23 17:43:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x957abd…
10-23 17:29:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0xa9f46c…