Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5.61K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

58.9%

Resolved

206

Trades

10,729

lifetime

Volume

$227.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 03-03 04:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

89% 43% -$4,365

Tech

11% 36% -$1,246

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-03).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 348	211	$12.7K	8,581	8,690	-109	Yes	+$616	01-14 15:29
will mrbeasts next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1 595	98	$11.0K	8,833	8,222	+610	Yes	+$640	01-31 16:21
will mrbeasts latest video get between 50 and 55 million views on week 1	127	$9.8K	7,518	7,030	+488	Yes	+$2,976	02-14 02:47
will mrbeasts celebrity challenge video get between 79 and 82 million views on week 1	201	$9.5K	8,755	9,268	-513	Yes	-$124	01-14 19:51
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 60 million views on week 1?	51	$8.9K	5,055	5,044	+12	Yes	+$587	02-11 16:39
will mrbeasts next video get between 50pt5 and 51pt0 million views on day 6	53	$7.7K	6,285	6,741	-456	Yes	+$519	02-13 14:42
gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	16	$7.5K	7,626	7,310	+316	Yes	-$260	03-03 04:50
will mrbeasts celebrity challenge video get between 76 and 79 million views on week 1	145	$6.7K	8,231	8,682	-451	No	+$1,092	01-14 19:50
will claude 5 not be released by february 28 2026	35	$6.7K	3,929	3,337	+592	Yes	+$91	02-21 19:31
will grok 4pt20 not be released by january 31 2026	148	$6.7K	8,242	4,872	+3,370	Yes	+$489	01-31 13:26
grok 4pt20 released by february 28 844	226	$6.6K	13,860	7,389	+6,471	Yes	-$1,521	02-17 17:58
will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	127	$6.2K	11,444	4,859	+6,585	No	-$492	02-28 16:50
will mrbeasts latest video get 1820 million views on day 1 938 134	86	$6.1K	5,913	7,103	-1,190	Yes	+$1,102	02-22 14:21
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 887	82	$5.9K	3,181	4,812	-1,631	Yes	+$1,083	01-25 15:52
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	93	$5.2K	7,231	4,767	+2,464	Yes	+$1,969	02-08 14:18
will google have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	31	$4.7K	4,268	1,510	+2,758	Yes	+$711	02-28 18:54
will mrbeasts latest video get 60 million or more views on week 1	68	$4.3K	6,414	5,800	+614	No	+$4	02-13 14:33
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 697	174	$4.0K	6,023	6,548	-525	No	-$658	01-14 08:37
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?	87	$4.0K	7,076	2,544	+4,532	Yes	-$794	02-21 21:09
will mrbeasts next video get between 50pt0 and 50pt5 million views on day 6	62	$3.8K	24,643	13,160	+11,483	No	-$95	02-13 20:06
will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	118	$3.2K	16,242	9,894	+6,348	Yes	-$600	02-28 18:35
will mrbeasts next video get between 32 and 34 million views on day 3	54	$3.2K	3,416	1,512	+1,905	Yes	+$1,031	02-24 15:08
will mrbeasts latest video get between 55 and 60 million views on week 1	93	$3.1K	7,379	7,340	+38	No	-$2,218	02-13 14:33
will mrbeasts next video get between 35pt0 and 35pt5 million views on day 4	112	$3.1K	13,288	160	+13,128	No	-$2,195	02-25 16:38
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	177	$2.8K	21,496	23,990	-2,494	No	-$262	02-12 09:27
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 264	78	$2.8K	7,097	7,030	+67	Yes	+$862	01-08 19:17
will mrbeasts next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 948	93	$2.8K	6,075	5,982	+92	No	-$2,175	01-08 18:24
will mrbeasts next video get between 24 and 28 million views on day 2	56	$2.5K	7,974	5,420	+2,554	No	+$450	02-23 12:53
will mrbeasts latest video get 2022 million views on day 1 835 752	99	$2.4K	5,711	7,539	-1,828	No	-$906	02-22 14:15
will grok 4pt20 not be released by february 14 2026	48	$2.4K	2,621	1,966	+655	Yes	+$440	02-14 23:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-03 04:50:47	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	Yes	SELL	3,705	90¢	$3,320	0x6807d5…
03-03 04:50:47	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	SELL	563	21¢	$117	0x4ca2b6…
03-03 04:45:33	will claude go down 1 2 times in march	Yes	SELL	137	4¢	$5	0x6d6129…
03-03 04:45:31	will claude go down 1 2 times in march	No	SELL	290	90¢	$262	0xd4b033…
03-03 04:45:29	will claude go down 0 times in march	No	SELL	310	99¢	$305	0x6665c3…
03-03 04:45:25	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	Yes	SELL	661	81¢	$535	0x491d31…
03-03 04:45:23	will google gemini score at least 40 on humanitys last exam	No	SELL	701	0¢	$2	0x3ba3a2…
03-03 04:45:21	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	SELL	2,605	4¢	$111	0xc90284…
03-03 04:45:21	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	No	SELL	909	7¢	$67	0x456e60…
03-03 04:29:31	will claude go down 1 2 times in march	No	BUY	50	91¢	$46	0xa3a948…
03-03 03:54:23	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x0bffa8…
03-03 03:48:47	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	35	25¢	$9	0x43ce50…
03-03 03:17:35	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	35	68¢	$24	0x589222…
03-03 03:12:49	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x923f87…
03-03 03:04:19	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	Yes	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0x627a48…
03-03 02:54:25	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	45	71¢	$32	0xd4142e…
03-03 02:54:03	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0x839cd1…
03-03 02:13:45	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xc7e394…
03-03 01:48:13	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	30	25¢	$8	0xa01d87…
03-03 01:31:17	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	30	26¢	$8	0x2d4a52…
03-03 00:38:57	will claude go down 0 times in march	No	BUY	310	99¢	$307	0xd15d56…
03-02 23:57:41	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x78e068…
03-02 23:16:15	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	BUY	1,030	5¢	$57	0x8524a7…
03-02 20:34:29	will claude go down 1 2 times in march	Yes	BUY	137	5¢	$7	0x316a48…
03-02 20:23:57	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x582921…
03-02 19:32:25	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xd47bc4…
03-02 18:50:29	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x18a57e…
03-02 18:50:23	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x26731d…
03-02 18:28:17	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0x20a6f3…
03-02 18:04:53	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	43	26¢	$11	0x7c4538…
03-02 18:03:57	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	35	71¢	$25	0x5560c9…
03-02 17:46:31	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	35	72¢	$25	0x3a1ff3…
03-02 17:15:25	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	18	21¢	$4	0x6fe765…
03-02 16:44:21	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0xda7bdb…
03-02 16:43:49	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	32	23¢	$7	0x7e2784…
03-02 15:44:35	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	Yes	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0xf6be58…
03-02 15:37:41	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	Yes	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0x65c5f1…
03-02 15:31:33	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	35	29¢	$10	0x513a41…
03-02 15:29:13	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	BUY	1,500	5¢	$74	0x3d59f3…
03-02 14:40:09	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	BUY	21	4¢	$1	0xad1198…
03-02 14:39:05	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	BUY	34	4¢	$1	0xb90537…
03-02 14:34:47	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	No	BUY	102	4¢	$4	0xfaba98…
03-02 14:15:49	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	Yes	BUY	2,700	96¢	$2,602	0x882e03…
03-02 13:39:01	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	25	68¢	$17	0x1c5ce2…
03-02 13:31:33	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	16	69¢	$11	0x27d121…
03-02 13:27:57	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	53	21¢	$11	0xdab20e…
03-02 13:22:35	will claude go down 1 2 times in march	No	BUY	16	88¢	$14	0x776d71…
03-02 13:07:07	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	Yes	BUY	429	91¢	$390	0x953920…
03-02 13:05:33	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x630d3b…
03-02 12:57:43	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	Yes	BUY	97	88¢	$86	0xe03c77…
03-02 12:53:15	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0xcfa96c…
03-02 12:50:37	will claude go down 1 2 times in march	No	BUY	142	92¢	$130	0x1ab415…
03-02 12:45:37	will claude go down 1 2 times in march	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xa4aeae…
03-02 11:57:47	will claude go down 1 2 times in march	Yes	SELL	191	5¢	$9	0xe82f15…
03-02 11:49:41	will claude go down 1 2 times in march	Yes	BUY	191	15¢	$29	0xb2bcf0…
03-02 11:33:15	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	15	70¢	$10	0x63fbcd…
03-02 11:24:11	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x6da825…
03-02 11:23:27	gpt 5pt3 released by march 15 2026 733	No	BUY	909	12¢	$109	0x100b5a…
03-02 11:19:35	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	Yes	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x7940d0…
03-02 11:16:43	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	Yes	BUY	1,113	94¢	$1,050	0xa96378…
03-02 11:10:09	gpt 5pt3 released by march 8 2026	No	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xd1a07f…
02-28 23:05:19	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	Yes	SELL	1,900	0¢	$8	0x4db91e…
02-28 23:00:49	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x3c0df3…
02-28 21:34:01	will mrbeasts latest video get between 37 and 39 million views on week 1	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x276d09…
02-28 20:31:43	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	Yes	SELL	506	0¢	$2	0xd700d5…
02-28 18:54:33	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf35550…
02-28 18:35:21	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc61bf5…
02-28 18:34:37	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	SELL	388	5¢	$19	0x63f37d…
02-28 17:14:37	will xai have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0xf1eff8…
02-28 17:13:55	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	56	100¢	$56	0x526d10…
02-28 17:11:27	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd55bec…
02-28 17:10:41	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9b6442…
02-28 17:10:23	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	745	100¢	$744	0x1a9de2…
02-28 17:00:43	will anthropic have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	580	100¢	$578	0xf29099…
02-28 17:00:41	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x76c517…
02-28 17:00:39	will anthropic have the 2 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,025	100¢	$1,021	0x5f7c72…
02-28 17:00:37	will google have the 3 ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	943	100¢	$939	0x9adc0d…
02-28 16:50:13	will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	Yes	SELL	50	0¢	$0	0xe988fe…
02-28 14:47:35	will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	Yes	SELL	576	0¢	$1	0x92c866…
02-28 14:28:47	will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0x79565b…
02-28 11:22:47	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	SELL	476	0¢	$1	0xeff1d6…
02-28 10:55:47	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	SELL	104	0¢	$0	0x14f86a…
02-28 10:47:37	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	SELL	107	0¢	$0	0x89eba7…
02-28 10:47:35	will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	Yes	SELL	355	0¢	$0	0x3bbd38…
02-28 10:32:39	will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	Yes	SELL	448	0¢	$1	0x69e870…
02-28 10:28:17	will mrbeast hit 117 billion views by march 31 hzzm 934	No	SELL	297	80¢	$238	0x312ce6…
02-28 09:57:13	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	SELL	190	0¢	$1	0x82460b…
02-28 09:56:53	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	SELL	81	0¢	$0	0x605627…
02-28 09:35:07	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x35b7a2…
02-28 09:34:21	will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	52	0¢	$0	0x641a43…
02-28 09:34:05	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	BUY	475	0¢	$0	0xda7195…
02-28 09:27:25	will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	Yes	SELL	510	0¢	$1	0xc1cbd1…
02-28 09:27:23	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	SELL	152	0¢	$0	0x93ba70…
02-28 09:07:55	will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x0d4e59…
02-28 09:03:49	will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xc3b646…
02-28 08:58:23	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	BUY	6,000	0¢	$6	0x2abac9…
02-28 08:58:09	will mrbeasts latest video get between 39 and 41 million views on week 1	Yes	BUY	4,000	0¢	$4	0x2b1e6e…
02-28 08:33:09	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	SELL	412	0¢	$2	0x806d5e…
02-28 08:25:51	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	SELL	1,905	0¢	$4	0xf503ea…
02-28 08:22:29	will mrbeasts latest video get 41 million or more views on week 1	No	BUY	814	0¢	$2	0x6dab5e…