Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.09K

Unrealized P&L

-$3

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

421

Trades

2,928

lifetime

Volume

$131.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-12

last 10-01 04:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 100 days

Categories

Other

58% 54% +$5,760

Tech

22% 61% -$834

Crypto

11% 53% +$343

Politics

9% 59% -$185

Sports

1% 75% +$11

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes		+200	$4	0¢	$0	-$3	09-12 13:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will claude go down 1 2 times in march	22	$4.8K	2,460	2,460	+0	No	+$119	03-13 10:47
Bitway FDV above $20M one day after launch?	6	$3.9K	2,279	1,602	+677	Yes	+$4	03-03 16:29
will spacex have 11 or more launches in february	53	$3.6K	1,938	1,962	-24	Yes	+$258	02-25 14:18
will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 5	11	$2.7K	1,444	1,359	+85	No	+$9	03-06 05:02
will elon musks net worth be at least 700b on february 28	49	$2.6K	1,653	1,697	-44	No	+$344	02-27 20:29
will chatgpt be out as the 1 free app in the us apple store by february 8	30	$2.3K	3,383	3,483	-100	Yes	-$1,313	02-09 04:09
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	50	$2.2K	2,768	480	+2,288	Yes	+$112	02-15 12:59
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	22	$2.2K	1,940	1,940	+0	Yes	-$63	01-29 23:23
Over $2M committed to the Foresee public sale?	7	$2.2K	1,214	1,214	+0	No	+$67	02-08 12:53
will claude 5 be released by february 6 2026 173 394	29	$1.7K	845	1,057	-212	No	+$91	02-06 15:22
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 8	13	$1.7K	1,946	1,946	+0	Yes	-$464	03-08 11:05
will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 2	2	$1.7K	1,702	0	+1,702	No	+$6	03-03 05:01
Critical Discord Incident by January 31, 2026?	15	$1.7K	1,758	104	+1,654	No	+$48	02-01 05:31
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	36	$1.7K	2,850	1,482	+1,368	No	-$149	01-29 16:52
Over $1M committed to the Sol Raffle public sale?	4	$1.7K	870	870	+0	No	+$53	01-22 15:07
andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 130 159	14	$1.6K	1,778	1,778	+0	No	-$267	03-06 15:57
Over $5M committed to the Fabric public sale?	7	$1.6K	1,144	1,244	-100	No	+$761	02-02 05:00
donald trump of truth social posts february 24 march 3 160 179	2	$1.5K	1,563	0	+1,563	Yes	+$50	03-03 16:43
Over $1M committed to the Foresee public sale?	15	$1.5K	1,771	0	+1,771	No	+$316	02-09 06:10
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28 2026	30	$1.4K	1,219	1,222	-4	No	+$45	02-22 12:46
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	15	$1.3K	900	900	+0	Yes	-$14	02-28 05:59
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	10	$1.3K	1,120	1,120	+0	No	+$197	02-09 13:32
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	18	$1.3K	1,036	688	+348	Yes	+$121	02-28 14:30
Over $4M committed to the Fabric public sale?	23	$1.2K	1,796	902	+894	No	+$449	02-02 11:50
andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 100 129	13	$1.2K	707	707	+0	Yes	+$186	03-06 17:00
andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 100 129	22	$1.2K	1,205	1,179	+27	No	-$121	03-03 16:36
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 9	6	$1.2K	765	765	+0	Yes	+$322	03-08 11:04
Over $500K committed to the Foresee public sale?	10	$1.2K	2,286	0	+2,286	No	+$1,132	02-09 04:15
will openai have the best ai model for coding on march 31	21	$1.1K	708	708	+0	Yes	+$21	03-09 09:27
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 13 689 255	12	$1.1K	923	923	+0	Yes	+$100	03-08 11:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-01 04:15:11	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 September 28-October 4?	Yes	BUY	133	4¢	$6	0x4efff1…
10-01 02:48:38	Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in September?	No	SELL	31	98¢	$30	0x696dc6…
10-01 02:48:00	Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	109	98¢	$107	0xbfa3b9…
10-01 02:48:00	Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in September?	No	SELL	127	98¢	$125	0x223d97…
09-30 22:33:54	Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x77abd3…
09-30 19:08:11	Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x501651…
09-30 14:02:08	Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0x9e497e…
09-30 12:25:57	Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in September?	No	SELL	25	98¢	$25	0x6ca221…
09-28 17:31:53	Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x5a0502…
09-28 17:22:14	Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September?	No	SELL	80	93¢	$74	0xc1f0e5…
09-28 17:22:14	Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0x626b11…
09-28 17:20:59	Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $130B by September 30?	No	SELL	113	93¢	$105	0xa33674…
09-27 16:28:53	Will Seattle have between 1.5 and 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	135	87¢	$117	0xa2a508…
09-27 16:27:18	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	Yes	SELL	130	92¢	$120	0x8c5ed3…
09-25 16:34:30	Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	80	85¢	$68	0x5a8d28…
09-25 15:34:29	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	40¢	$5	0x5b1c34…
09-25 15:34:14	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	54¢	$17	0xff11dc…
09-25 15:33:54	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	40¢	$8	0xb8186f…
09-25 15:32:56	Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $130B by September 30?	No	BUY	113	86¢	$97	0x4bbc6d…
09-25 15:25:53	Will NYC have more than 6 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x4a971b…
09-25 15:25:26	Will Claude go down 5-7 times in September?	Yes	BUY	130	76¢	$99	0x1e9411…
09-25 15:03:44	Will Seattle have between 2 and 2.5 inches of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	183	80¢	$146	0x19d32e…
09-25 14:56:53	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	375	98¢	$366	0x3428e8…
09-25 14:55:53	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	25	98¢	$24	0x0c6c29…
09-22 03:29:30	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	136	93¢	$126	0x20625d…
09-20 01:42:37	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	50	90¢	$45	0x86d422…
09-18 17:06:10	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?	No	BUY	3	10¢	$0	0x185ea3…
09-14 09:02:45	Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin September 8-14?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xff82bd…
09-13 19:54:12	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 8-14?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x861ef5…
09-13 19:53:12	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 8-14?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x0ab91a…
09-13 19:52:12	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 8-14?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xd09257…
09-13 19:51:54	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 8-14?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xf584dd…
09-13 19:51:12	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 8-14?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0x4377a2…
09-12 14:28:16	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	450	79¢	$358	0xe23dcf…
09-12 14:27:37	Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0x6dc6cc…
09-12 14:11:51	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	SELL	59	8¢	$5	0xa1b744…
09-12 13:30:28	Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by September 30?	No	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x3994b4…
09-12 13:24:58	Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0x680e53…
09-11 01:58:58	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0x27e363…
09-08 07:27:00	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	34	57¢	$19	0x789309…
09-08 07:01:58	Will London have 80mm or more of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0xb8c7fd…
09-07 16:25:07	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x19b951…
09-07 13:23:55	Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin September 1-7?	Yes	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd6d73f…
09-07 07:01:55	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x4cbea7…
09-07 07:01:55	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x1a4284…
09-07 04:22:46	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x525092…
09-06 15:09:07	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x6058db…
09-06 04:51:28	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x770a09…
09-06 03:15:39	Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	7	5¢	$0	0xa5a302…
09-05 04:07:34	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?	Yes	BUY	46	7¢	$3	0x635b7d…
09-04 18:12:25	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?	Yes	BUY	54	7¢	$4	0xf08e06…
09-04 11:55:57	Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin September 1-7?	Yes	BUY	170	3¢	$5	0x8b4a0d…
09-04 10:26:27	Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin September 1-7?	Yes	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xe2e2dc…
09-04 03:48:07	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30?	No	BUY	47	10¢	$5	0x09577b…
09-03 11:27:51	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xe7c74c…
09-03 09:17:58	Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin September 1-7?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xd60dd6…
09-03 09:10:07	Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin September 1-7?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x7a3cee…
09-03 09:06:42	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?	Yes	BUY	0	7¢	$0	0xaf2a22…
09-02 23:00:40	Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0xc80876…
09-02 22:53:46	Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	179	3¢	$5	0x58621c…
09-02 20:16:21	Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $18B?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$9	0x106cec…
09-02 20:15:06	Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $17B?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x4cf8c4…
09-02 20:00:10	Will Broadcom (AVGO) Q3 AI revenue be above $18B?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0x2a9d91…
09-02 18:46:58	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?	Yes	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x800bef…
09-02 08:55:28	Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0xd98f4d…
09-02 08:26:34	Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x576322…
09-01 17:00:54	Will Anthropic have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	Yes	SELL	130	95¢	$124	0x2f209d…
09-01 12:19:48	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?	Yes	BUY	80	10¢	$8	0x7402ba…
08-31 20:07:22	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xf609fa…
08-31 20:07:22	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xe68bf9…
08-31 14:56:37	Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xab4ace…
08-31 14:56:37	Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	3¢	$0	0x3a7a73…
08-31 14:56:28	Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	3¢	$0	0xace7e2…
08-31 14:56:28	Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x5d694f…
08-31 14:25:27	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase september 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xcde7fb…
08-31 14:24:18	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase september 1 7 2026	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xec71c0…
08-31 13:42:06	Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in August?	Yes	SELL	68	1¢	$1	0x4a5cf0…
08-31 13:08:22	Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in August?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xde119d…
08-31 13:04:57	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase august 25 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x634917…
08-31 01:12:36	Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xc755d0…
08-31 00:29:16	Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	SELL	120	95¢	$114	0x49824e…
08-30 21:00:03	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	Yes	SELL	140	95¢	$133	0xe51965…
08-30 15:21:52	Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x924609…
08-30 13:51:28	will microstrategy announce selling any bitcoin august 25 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x451d10…
08-30 13:40:40	Stripe vs Databricks — greater valuation growth August 2026	Databricks	SELL	51	96¢	$49	0x7da1fd…
08-30 11:30:10	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase august 25 31 2026	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x8f5301…
08-30 09:53:39	Will Hong Kong have less than 425mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	SELL	64	95¢	$61	0xf7fe4f…
08-29 14:37:51	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?	Yes	SELL	181	60¢	$108	0xf893d4…
08-29 14:25:30	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?	Yes	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x085937…
08-29 14:24:39	Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of August 2026?	Yes	BUY	70	88¢	$62	0x293c76…
08-29 14:24:27	Will Anthropic have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	90¢	$22	0x3e7ca8…
08-29 14:22:15	Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in August?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xa76e9f…
08-29 14:21:16	Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in August?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4ddf14…
08-29 14:21:06	Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0xade40d…
08-29 14:21:06	Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	45	7¢	$3	0x03beae…
08-29 14:00:31	Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	347	2¢	$5	0x042ac4…
08-29 04:07:13	Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x4d416c…
08-29 03:42:09	Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	10	7¢	$1	0x788248…
08-29 03:42:09	Will Hong Kong have between 450-475mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	10	2¢	$0	0x1f4798…
08-29 03:42:04	Will Hong Kong have between 425-450mm of precipitation in August?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0xbda746…