Visible-Belfry — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$231

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

92.0%

Resolved

6,497

Trades

8,714

lifetime

Volume

$440.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$51

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-29 09:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 282 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 94% -$218

Other

6% 45% -$12

Politics

0% 33% +$1

Tech

0% 50% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 158 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 18:45 UTC	15	$1.2K	1,120	1,098	+22	Down	-$214	01-03 18:59
cricipl che pun 2026 04 03	4	$1.2K	677	672	+5	Punjab Kings	+$145	04-03 18:38
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 18:30 UTC	12	$1.1K	854	854	+0	Down	+$14	01-03 18:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 05:00 UTC	14	$997	862	761	+101	Down	+$42	01-04 05:14
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	2	$916	636	636	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$356	05-03 18:53
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	5	$913	494	493	+2	Royal Challengers Bengaluru	+$30	04-27 14:57
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 15:30 UTC	8	$868	587	587	+0	Down	+$13	01-03 15:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 09:15 UTC	9	$864	636	487	+148	Down	+$76	01-04 09:27
cricipl luc guj 2026 04 12	9	$857	705	696	+8	Gujarat Titans	+$13	04-12 13:37
highest temperature in lucknow on april 24 2026 42c	10	$812	475	472	+3	Yes	-$1	04-24 10:31
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 19:00 UTC	9	$812	532	532	+0	Down	+$12	01-03 19:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 13:00 UTC	6	$810	487	487	+0	Down	+$8	01-03 13:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 05:30 UTC	11	$796	634	634	+0	Down	+$14	01-04 05:40
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 12:30 UTC	10	$783	592	395	+197	Up	+$12	01-03 12:44
cricipl pun sun 2026 04 11	12	$766	534	529	+5	Punjab Kings	+$26	04-11 13:22
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 12:00 UTC	4	$727	542	542	+0	Down	+$18	01-03 12:02
crint nam sco 2026 02 04	8	$711	650	650	+0	Namibia	-$219	02-04 10:43
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalore	10	$659	781	781	+0	Lucknow Super Giants	-$8	05-07 18:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 05:15 UTC	13	$652	557	557	+0	Up	-$41	01-05 05:27
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 05:45 UTC	8	$650	388	388	+0	Up	+$13	01-04 05:56
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru	5	$639	450	450	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$261	04-30 18:11
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-05 05:00 UTC	10	$633	503	503	+0	Up	+$8	01-05 05:10
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 09:45 UTC	11	$615	607	455	+152	Up	-$163	01-04 09:57
cricipl del guj 2026 04 08	9	$584	470	394	+76	Gujarat Titans	-$102	04-08 18:00
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 18:15 UTC	6	$561	478	347	+131	Up	+$33	01-03 18:20
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 10:45 UTC	15	$514	483	483	+0	Up	-$55	01-04 10:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 07:15 UTC	8	$504	402	402	+0	Down	-$54	01-04 07:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-03 17:00 UTC	7	$494	387	387	+0	Down	+$27	01-03 17:06
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-04 08:45 UTC	8	$490	434	434	+0	Down	-$39	01-04 08:54
cricipl raj roy 2026 04 10	6	$477	323	320	+3	Rajasthan Royals	+$26	04-10 19:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 10:39:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xe07fc9…
10-29 10:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x033ae0…
10-29 09:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x49240d…
10-29 09:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	97¢	$18	0x447cae…
10-29 08:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x16df75…
10-29 07:59:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	98¢	$15	0xc4c730…
10-29 07:09:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	SELL	218	99¢	$216	0xd27bfd…
10-29 07:09:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	218	94¢	$204	0x7d1696…
10-29 06:09:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	207	99¢	$205	0xef0244…
10-29 06:09:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	207	88¢	$181	0xe7282a…
10-28 18:22:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xfaa3ce…
10-28 18:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0xa5db0a…
10-28 18:21:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	6	45¢	$3	0x7cb53b…
10-28 18:20:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x7d4e2b…
10-28 18:19:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	SELL	16	32¢	$5	0x3f171b…
10-28 18:18:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x42c296…
10-28 17:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0x260675…
10-28 17:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	26	73¢	$19	0xdb56fc…
10-28 16:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x504f23…
10-28 16:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xba806c…
10-28 16:49:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x89d08d…
10-28 16:34:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x6d15eb…
10-28 16:33:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xe8a8b1…
10-28 16:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x6c2d41…
10-28 16:28:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	97¢	$18	0x205ae2…
10-28 16:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	98¢	$18	0x3ffb77…
10-28 15:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	18	98¢	$18	0x8fbc05…
10-28 15:53:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	18	88¢	$16	0x0b0e3c…
10-28 15:39:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xfe7f50…
10-28 15:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$19	0x3cbda3…
10-28 14:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa02225…
10-28 14:48:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0xa76d91…
10-28 14:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0xd438d9…
10-28 14:14:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x21a65f…
10-28 14:14:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0x4ade13…
10-28 13:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x618a03…
10-28 13:59:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0xbda7c0…
10-28 13:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x404f66…
10-28 13:54:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	81¢	$14	0xb4f41e…
10-28 13:29:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xcaf852…
10-28 13:28:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	90¢	$13	0xf186af…
10-28 11:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Up	BUY	192	99¢	$190	0x18182e…
10-28 11:44:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	193	99¢	$191	0xafff07…
10-28 11:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	193	99¢	$191	0xd366a9…
10-28 11:19:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	190	99¢	$188	0xb005dc…
10-28 10:19:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	189	94¢	$178	0x5fff83…
10-28 10:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	181	99¢	$179	0xdec809…
10-28 10:04:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	181	97¢	$175	0xa8d988…
10-28 09:49:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	SELL	178	99¢	$176	0x09bddc…
10-28 09:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	178	96¢	$171	0xa7bd53…
10-28 09:39:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	171	99¢	$169	0x1c7092…
10-28 09:29:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0xbee599…
10-28 09:19:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0x19c339…
10-28 09:09:16	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:05 UTC	Up	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x127ff4…
10-28 08:34:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x88bdf2…
10-28 08:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x08aa46…
10-28 07:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xa74be7…
10-28 07:34:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x53391d…
10-28 07:19:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	23	93¢	$21	0x78e620…
10-28 06:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x5aac3d…
10-28 06:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$20	0xadc954…
10-28 05:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x2edabe…
10-28 05:39:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0x92b271…
10-28 05:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x82e31d…
10-28 05:23:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	19	89¢	$17	0xd19192…
10-28 05:19:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0xa7121d…
10-28 05:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0xf87820…
10-28 04:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	16	97¢	$16	0x7faee5…
10-27 17:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd69ddd…
10-27 17:14:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x7cd14b…
10-27 16:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x5ecff7…
10-27 16:13:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x3c00de…
10-27 14:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0xa71199…
10-27 14:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	92¢	$18	0xe3628a…
10-27 14:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xdbe8fd…
10-27 14:08:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	92¢	$16	0x021a91…
10-27 13:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	17	99¢	$16	0xd9f0e6…
10-27 13:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	17	88¢	$15	0x7e401b…
10-27 12:44:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x9fe680…
10-27 12:39:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xc34f96…
10-27 12:39:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Up	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x69d210…
10-27 12:14:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0xab56b6…
10-27 12:14:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	SELL	13	99¢	$12	0x972038…
10-27 12:14:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0xc3a50a…
10-27 12:09:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0xbb549b…
10-27 11:59:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0xc2b72f…
10-27 11:54:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$20	0xa0ba45…
10-27 11:53:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x85d551…
10-27 11:44:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	SELL	20	93¢	$19	0xa7d5bd…
10-27 11:44:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0xae1ea8…
10-27 11:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xc8c846…
10-27 11:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	96¢	$17	0x4566ca…
10-27 10:34:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	17	98¢	$17	0xf235b7…
10-27 09:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	167	99¢	$165	0x495cd6…
10-27 08:44:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	165	97¢	$159	0xc59302…
10-27 07:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	161	99¢	$160	0xf29b5e…
10-27 07:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	161	96¢	$155	0xc71f25…
10-27 07:34:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	157	99¢	$156	0xa3af38…
10-27 07:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	157	94¢	$148	0x547647…
10-27 07:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	SELL	152	98¢	$149	0x8cddfb…