Slippery-Union — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$35

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$423

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-21 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 38% +$40

Politics

16% 0% $-5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$86	77	77	+0	Down	+$66	05-09 10:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$76	46	46	+0	Down	+$16	05-08 23:35
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	2	$64	100	100	+0	open	—	05-21 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	2	$45	59	59	+0	Down	+$25	05-09 04:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	2	$30	15	15	+0	Down	+$0	05-08 20:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	2	$23	30	30	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 10:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	2	$17	14	14	+0	Up	$-3	05-10 05:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	1	$10	66	0	+66	Up	$-10	05-10 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	Down	$-10	05-08 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	1	$10	17	0	+17	Down	$-10	05-08 21:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	1	$10	47	0	+47	Up	$-10	05-09 10:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	1	$10	53	0	+53	Down	$-10	05-09 09:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	2	$8	10	10	+0	Down	$-2	05-09 04:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	1	$6	24	0	+24	Up	$-6	05-10 05:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	Yes	$-5	05-09 05:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Down	+$3	05-09 05:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$5	167	0	+167	Up	$-5	05-09 11:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	1	$5	29	0	+29	Down	$-5	05-10 05:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 18:00:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x351a47…
05-18 20:50:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0x8a188c…
05-10 05:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	66	15¢	$10	0x9754fb…
05-10 05:12:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Down	BUY	24	25¢	$6	0x14f6d1…
05-10 05:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	14	46¢	$7	0xcf62e9…
05-10 05:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x277d26…
05-10 05:04:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xbf1b32…
05-09 11:13:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x71d82c…
05-09 10:54:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	47	21¢	$10	0x34d3c5…
05-09 10:30:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	77	99¢	$76	0x85864d…
05-09 10:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x50b79a…
05-09 10:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	30	42¢	$13	0xefb590…
05-09 10:17:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xafc6be…
05-09 09:57:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x3aece8…
05-09 05:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x21e8ca…
05-09 05:15:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0x6409cf…
05-09 04:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Down	SELL	59	59¢	$35	0x6da42b…
05-09 04:59:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x0c65d0…
05-09 04:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0x0c6e0d…
05-09 04:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x863242…
05-08 23:35:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	46	99¢	$46	0x8620f4…
05-08 23:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x4e1b9d…
05-08 21:34:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x2c4604…
05-08 21:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xdb8d16…
05-08 20:40:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0xc435c7…
05-08 20:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Down	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2c4d2b…