Utilized-Underestimate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$237

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

51.4%

Resolved

307

Trades

413

lifetime

Volume

$3.17K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-05-23

last 10-27 14:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

62% 34% -$279

Sports

38% 30% +$42

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?	Yes	+13	$5	22¢	$3	-$2	08-31 16:14
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	+22	$3	10¢	$2	-$1	08-07 15:41
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	+11	$1	0¢	$0	-$1	07-05 10:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?	10	$292	284	259	+24	Yes	-$18	06-11 10:57
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	3	$290	709	0	+709	No	-$290	05-30 13:51
Spurs vs. Thunder	2	$132	93	93	+0	Spurs	+$52	05-31 02:56
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?	3	$108	69	69	+0	Yes	+$28	09-13 23:13
English Premier League: Bruno Fernandes breaks assists record?	2	$94	65	65	+0	Yes	+$34	05-24 17:04
Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?	2	$89	49	49	+0	Yes	+$9	07-03 19:58
nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	4	$64	59	59	+0	Knicks	+$14	06-11 03:33
Will San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks be the 2026 NBA Finals matchup?	2	$51	37	37	+0	Yes	+$21	05-31 02:56
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$51	31	31	+0	Yes	+$11	06-14 03:04
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?	4	$49	39	39	+0	Yes	+$9	06-15 03:43
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	2	$48	33	33	+0	Spurs	+$18	06-09 03:32
Will England win on 2026-07-05?	2	$41	26	26	+0	Yes	+$11	07-06 03:10
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?	3	$34	31	31	+0	Yes	+$28	06-21 01:58
Chelsea FC vs. Hull City AFC: Both Teams to Score	2	$30	20	20	+0	Yes	+$10	09-12 15:58
Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score	4	$29	26	26	+0	Yes	+$3	09-20 15:01
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$26	32	28	+4	No	-$14	09-19 15:50
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?	2	$24	19	19	+0	Yes	+$14	09-19 13:34
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	1	$20	34	0	+34	No	-$20	09-19 13:02
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	1	$20	30	0	+30	Yes	+$10	06-15 05:54
Knicks vs. Cavaliers	1	$20	36	0	+36	Knicks	-$20	05-23 18:38
fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	1	$20	30	0	+30	Spain	+$10	07-06 16:28
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$20	36	0	+36	Spurs	+$16	05-23 20:04
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	1	$20	34	0	+34	No	-$20	06-13 13:43
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$20	53	0	+53	Thunder	-$20	05-25 04:38
fifwc civ nor 2026 06 30 btts	4	$20	15	15	+0	Yes	+$4	06-30 18:47
Rayan Cherki: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$20	15	15	+0	Yes	+$10	09-20 15:00
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance	5	$19	24	16	+8	Norway	-$3	06-30 14:53
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?	2	$17	12	12	+0	Yes	+$7	09-13 14:45
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?	2	$16	15	15	+0	Yes	+$14	06-15 17:58
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17?	2	$16	11	11	+0	Yes	+$6	06-18 01:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 14:12:48	Walker Kessler: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x4ef8f0…
10-27 14:11:57	Cade Cunningham: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x2d1174…
10-25 16:05:30	Walker Kessler: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	13	31¢	$4	0xee35b8…
10-25 16:03:44	Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa85d66…
10-25 16:02:24	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5993af…
10-24 11:39:26	Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0xb88c21…
10-24 11:32:17	Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 34.5	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xe192ec…
10-24 11:29:06	Anthony Davis: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x51541f…
10-24 11:28:21	Anthony Davis: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0x9e25fd…
10-24 11:27:02	Trae Young: Assists O/U 11.5	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x9ccf64…
10-24 03:59:44	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x21d59a…
10-24 03:59:15	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x8d3c2d…
10-24 03:58:39	Will Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x68e801…
10-24 03:57:50	Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x6e8699…
10-24 03:57:39	Will Coventry City FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xe1a6e9…
10-24 01:32:51	Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x010873…
10-24 01:32:20	Austin Reaves: Points O/U 22.5	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xa4acfc…
10-23 06:16:12	Anthony Edwards: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xe885da…
10-23 06:15:26	nba min orl 2026 10 23 points jonathan kuminga 14pt5	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xa0822e…
10-23 06:14:38	nba min orl 2026 10 23 assists lamelo ball 9pt5	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0xbfba0b…
10-23 06:14:06	nba min orl 2026 10 23 assists lamelo ball 8pt5	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xb3653e…
10-23 06:13:54	nba min orl 2026 10 23 assists lamelo ball 7pt5	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x9d9afd…
10-22 06:24:04	LeBron James: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0xf64fe8…
10-22 06:23:01	Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xec17de…
10-22 06:22:37	VJ Edgecombe: Points O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0e8093…
10-22 06:22:28	Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 22.5	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xee90d5…
10-22 04:30:20	Knicks vs. Celtics	Knicks	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x206c6d…
10-22 04:29:45	nba nyk bos 2026 10 23 assists paul george 3pt5	Yes	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x2425ef…
10-22 04:28:11	Timberwolves vs. Magic	Timberwolves	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x676885…
10-22 04:16:09	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x7cd672…
10-22 04:15:35	Nikola Jokić: Assists O/U 10.5	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0xd4da4f…
10-21 18:59:17	Kings vs. Clippers	Kings	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x546fdb…
10-21 18:54:39	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x1d0a65…
10-21 15:48:23	Trae Young: Assists O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xe65cdf…
10-21 15:47:05	Austin Reaves: Points O/U 23.5	Yes	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x0c9981…
10-21 15:46:51	Luka Dončić: Points O/U 32.5	Yes	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdaa317…
10-21 15:45:14	Timberwolves vs. Heat	Timberwolves	BUY	8	49¢	$4	0x3e4552…
10-21 15:44:35	Hawks vs. Magic	Magic	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x18792b…
10-21 15:43:48	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x40b9c4…
10-21 15:43:32	Will Como 1907 win on 2026-10-21?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x8560f6…
10-19 05:09:23	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x0f091e…
10-18 03:34:21	Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xb1a770…
10-17 09:10:56	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xa1a153…
10-17 09:10:36	Will Fulham FC vs. Hull City AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x06e1bb…
10-17 09:10:24	Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-10-17?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xdb37fa…
10-17 09:09:35	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-18?	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x766987…
10-17 09:09:18	Will Leeds United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0xd081ac…
10-11 12:24:18	Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	26¢	$2	0x84ba0c…
10-10 16:14:06	Matheus Cunha: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x610557…
10-10 16:13:57	Harry Maguire: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf4406b…
10-10 16:13:45	Bryan Mbeumo: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb30a65…
10-10 16:13:21	Amad Diallo: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb809f0…
10-10 16:10:06	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc42484…
10-10 16:09:46	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaff888…
10-10 10:50:28	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xdb317b…
10-10 10:50:03	Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	72	3¢	$2	0xb6cc1c…
10-10 10:49:39	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x30f35d…
10-10 07:21:24	Will Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x0a14b0…
10-06 06:27:30	Will Manchester United FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x83b897…
10-06 06:26:15	Will Aston Villa FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	7	28¢	$2	0xc0867e…
10-06 06:25:31	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?	Yes	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x51cdaa…
10-06 06:24:19	Arsenal FC vs. Leeds United FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0xa460f6…
10-02 08:22:53	France vs. Italy: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x4bb837…
10-02 08:22:36	Will Italy win on 2026-10-02?	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x4675e2…
10-01 01:51:54	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x5779cc…
10-01 01:51:38	Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xdcebcb…
09-20 17:21:33	Exact Score: Fulham FC 1 - 1 Manchester United FC?	Yes	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x09db6e…
09-20 15:29:40	Joshua King: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa276ed…
09-20 15:10:07	Exact Score: Fulham FC 2 - 0 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x48af75…
09-20 15:09:22	Exact Score: Fulham FC 3 - 3 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x5800e0…
09-20 15:08:54	Exact Score: Fulham FC 1 - 3 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xac5621…
09-20 15:08:15	Exact Score: Fulham FC 0 - 3 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x6a91f8…
09-20 15:07:51	Exact Score: Fulham FC 0 - 0 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1fd721…
09-20 15:07:30	Exact Score: Fulham FC 1 - 1 Manchester United FC?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x1e678c…
09-20 15:06:19	Shea Lacey: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x4d3dac…
09-20 15:06:00	Gonzalo Garcia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x50bc39…
09-20 15:04:52	Benjamin Sesko: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xf2de6e…
09-20 15:04:34	Bruno Fernandes: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x7756bd…
09-20 15:04:25	Bryan Mbeumo: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xea0aed…
09-20 15:02:39	Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x1753c1…
09-20 15:01:43	Alexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x2a4bc3…
09-20 15:01:27	Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x74270a…
09-20 15:01:15	Erling Haaland: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcf9ee0…
09-20 15:01:04	Antoine Semenyo: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x41e87d…
09-20 15:00:49	Rayan Cherki: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0x92ec1d…
09-20 10:36:07	Dominik Szoboszlai: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x970956…
09-20 10:35:46	Alexander Isak: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x754f56…
09-20 10:35:34	Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-20?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa45836…
09-20 07:38:23	Will Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x5c45e3…
09-20 07:38:08	Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xfa6a61…
09-20 07:36:55	Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	20	49¢	$10	0x142ffd…
09-19 15:58:26	Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x5930f8…
09-19 15:56:29	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe05f18…
09-19 15:50:36	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	28	14¢	$4	0xa24676…
09-19 14:45:29	Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x4060a5…
09-19 14:37:08	Levante UD vs. Athletic Club: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x608b6d…
09-19 13:34:17	Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x4746e1…
09-19 13:02:11	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	Yes	BUY	34	58¢	$20	0xbb6382…
09-19 12:59:33	Antoine Semenyo: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x65ca51…
09-19 12:59:09	Rayan Cherki: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x7afee0…