Alarming-Bulk — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$260

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

69.3%

Resolved

Trades

375

lifetime

Volume

$13.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$35

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-25 10:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

73% 55% +$334

Sports

21% 0% $-73

Tech

4% — —

Other

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	5	$401	524	192	+332	open	—	05-23 18:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	5	$395	451	451	+0	open	—	05-23 17:29
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	38	$383	4,363	4,390	-26	open	—	04-27 16:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	5	$340	329	329	+0	open	—	05-23 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$300	348	0	+348	open	—	05-22 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$299	203	203	+0	open	—	05-22 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	4	$283	339	189	+150	open	—	05-23 17:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	3	$272	302	302	+0	open	—	05-23 17:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$214	606	606	+0	open	—	05-23 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	2	$200	325	0	+325	open	—	05-23 18:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$200	317	0	+317	open	—	05-23 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	4	$200	561	0	+561	open	—	05-23 16:56
will the us strike somalia next 656	7	$198	200	200	+0	open	—	01-21 00:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	3	$196	277	92	+185	open	—	05-22 14:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$187	431	98	+333	open	—	05-23 17:52
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$175	474	474	+0	open	—	04-28 07:15
nba nop min 2026 02 06	2	$160	130	130	+0	open	—	02-07 03:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$160	206	135	+71	Up	+$80	05-12 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	2	$150	438	0	+438	open	—	05-22 19:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$150	501	0	+501	open	—	05-23 18:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$150	508	0	+508	open	—	05-23 17:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	5	$114	169	169	+0	Up	+$54	05-12 05:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-22 16:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$100	256	0	+256	open	—	05-23 18:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$100	202	0	+202	open	—	05-22 19:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-23 16:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-23 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-22 16:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$100	200	0	+200	open	—	05-22 19:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$100	185	0	+185	open	—	05-23 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-25 10:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xc52b4b…
05-25 10:00:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xa4477d…
05-25 10:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x26bef7…
05-25 09:57:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x0f3006…
05-25 09:51:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x81d4e8…
05-25 09:51:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xf4c8de…
05-25 09:51:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x13c696…
05-25 09:50:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	SELL	96	15¢	$14	0x7c02f2…
05-25 09:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x7fc080…
05-25 09:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x9b1d5c…
05-25 09:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x0248cd…
05-25 09:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x488792…
05-25 09:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	89	56¢	$50	0xc1072a…
05-24 07:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	85	58¢	$49	0xb9cc8b…
05-24 05:33:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	474	11¢	$50	0x6bb67a…
05-24 05:30:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	227	22¢	$50	0x618a58…
05-24 05:26:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	208	24¢	$50	0x85a9df…
05-24 05:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0xce26d5…
05-23 18:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x9b3112…
05-23 18:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0xd7dac2…
05-23 18:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x8d0dc4…
05-23 18:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0xb3f556…
05-23 18:51:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	192	27¢	$51	0xf8a24b…
05-23 18:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0x2442f8…
05-23 18:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	215	46¢	$100	0x5bdafd…
05-23 18:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xfd5feb…
05-23 18:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x6370d6…
05-23 18:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	289	17¢	$50	0x107373…
05-23 18:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	212	47¢	$100	0xf4c3b5…
05-23 18:33:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x62a1fe…
05-23 18:29:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xc83ab1…
05-23 18:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	358	10¢	$36	0xb52bd4…
05-23 18:08:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	358	14¢	$50	0x056b8d…
05-23 18:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	248	11¢	$28	0xf47311…
05-23 18:05:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	248	40¢	$100	0xef6aba…
05-23 18:00:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0x900dc2…
05-23 17:54:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xe95d20…
05-23 17:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	333	15¢	$50	0xba02cc…
05-23 17:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	98	89¢	$87	0xb64976…
05-23 17:50:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x1f94f4…
05-23 17:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	220	76¢	$168	0xe3b1b6…
05-23 17:48:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x995532…
05-23 17:48:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	112	45¢	$50	0x6fde7d…
05-23 17:46:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	109	21¢	$23	0xa4ccdb…
05-23 17:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x65562a…
05-23 17:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x584b7f…
05-23 17:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x36684a…
05-23 17:39:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	182	58¢	$105	0x6d27e1…
05-23 17:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	120	56¢	$67	0xc09b51…
05-23 17:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	BUY	302	33¢	$100	0xfdd7f7…
05-23 17:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	286	35¢	$100	0x6ad718…
05-23 17:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	251	43¢	$109	0x591b6c…
05-23 17:28:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x466098…
05-23 17:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	151	33¢	$50	0x9ea9f6…
05-23 17:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	200	43¢	$87	0x1427d7…
05-23 17:25:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xd02be4…
05-23 17:20:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Up	BUY	435	23¢	$100	0xc5c8e3…
05-23 17:16:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0x6a4026…
05-23 17:16:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	156	32¢	$50	0xdc0a31…
05-23 17:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xf248de…
05-23 17:06:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x83133d…
05-23 17:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	150	33¢	$50	0xe2e3ad…
05-23 17:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	189	71¢	$133	0x9f882c…
05-23 17:00:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0xa4d6bf…
05-23 17:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	101	49¢	$50	0x408162…
05-23 16:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	124	40¢	$50	0x7fcb3f…
05-23 16:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x2a0453…
05-23 16:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	144	35¢	$50	0xf6a35f…
05-23 16:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x899e22…
05-23 16:48:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0x5d5a4a…
05-23 14:20:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	102	49¢	$50	0x333e52…
05-23 14:13:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	272	18¢	$50	0xe55717…
05-23 14:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x98a95f…
05-23 14:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0x3ae9e4…
05-23 13:55:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	234	21¢	$50	0x7794fe…
05-23 13:49:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x397ff1…
05-23 08:36:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	177	28¢	$50	0xed4ae9…
05-23 05:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x31aac3…
05-23 05:07:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	215	23¢	$50	0x666cdb…
05-23 05:06:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	BUY	82	61¢	$50	0x57f5c9…
05-22 20:01:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	204	13¢	$27	0x0d2d1e…
05-22 20:00:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	105	48¢	$50	0x23f092…
05-22 19:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	263	19¢	$50	0xf48dd9…
05-22 19:51:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	217	23¢	$50	0xa3b5ee…
05-22 19:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	220	45¢	$100	0x41638c…
05-22 19:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	91	55¢	$50	0x426d72…
05-22 19:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	348	86¢	$300	0x33a022…
05-22 19:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	179	56¢	$100	0x8192df…
05-22 19:29:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	202	50¢	$100	0xaf9707…
05-22 19:20:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	221	45¢	$100	0x92d850…
05-22 19:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x9da9d2…
05-22 19:01:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xa6aa51…
05-22 18:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x85d189…
05-22 18:51:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	111	10¢	$11	0x1a71c9…
05-22 18:48:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0x212009…
05-22 18:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	203	98¢	$199	0x36b935…
05-22 18:34:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0x984858…
05-22 18:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	185	27¢	$50	0x1cd93d…
05-22 17:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x99070e…
05-22 16:38:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	200	50¢	$100	0xbb4cfa…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	142	$179.3K	6,712	05-25 10:05
(anonymous) 0xbf33…6bf7	138	$62.5K	11,773	05-25 10:04
Slight-Goodnight 0x6088…f361	138	$56.4K	2,164	05-25 10:03
(anonymous) 0x424e…263b	138	$46.7K	7,812	05-25 10:04
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	138	$45.3K	13,173	05-25 10:04
(anonymous) 0xd901…8e14	138	$44.0K	12,522	05-25 10:04
(anonymous) 0xba67…4727	138	$40.0K	6,385	05-25 10:04
Wordy-Biosphere 0xa689…559b	138	$36.2K	1,031	05-25 10:02