Realized P&L
-$65
Unrealized P&L
-$4
Hit rate
97.1%
Resolved
27
Trades
190
lifetime
Volume
$4.28K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$994
25 positions
First seen
2026-10-30
last 11-07 00:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
61% 96% -$66
Other
26% 100% +$0
Sports
13% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
9 active days in 12wk • peak 56 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +167 $166 100¢ $166 +$0 11-05 04:47
Will Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in November 2026? No +129 $129 100¢ $129 $0 11-05 16:40
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +118 $92 78¢ $93 +$1 11-03 09:14
Will NEC win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? No +83 $83 100¢ $83 $0 11-04 00:40
Will Legacy Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +77 $76 97¢ $75 -$1 11-06 19:15
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 0 - 0 Athletic Club? No — +67 $63 87¢ $59 -$5 11-04 16:23
Exact Score: Rayo Vallecano de Madrid 3 - 4 Athletic Club? No +63 $0 60¢ $38 +$37 11-05 11:51
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? No +37 $36 97¢ $36 +$0 11-04 00:38
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +36 $35 96¢ $35 $0 11-05 10:26
Will Kamala Harris be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? No +34 $34 98¢ $33 $0 11-06 01:13
Will Imperial Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +33 $33 100¢ $33 $0 11-06 12:22
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +30 $28 100¢ $30 +$2 11-05 16:24
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +33 $31 90¢ $30 -$2 11-05 16:23
Will PARIVISION Win the PGL Major Singapore 2026? No +26 $26 99¢ $26 $0 11-06 00:57
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +24 $23 93¢ $22 -$1 11-05 09:09
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in November 2026? No +19 $19 98¢ $19 +$0 11-06 18:32
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +21 $19 87¢ $18 $0 11-06 21:56
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +17 $14 88¢ $15 +$1 11-06 23:47
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +13 $13 97¢ $13 $0 11-05 04:29
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026? No +10 $10 96¢ $9 $0 11-05 02:50
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 6 to November 13, 2026? No +9 $9 97¢ $9 $0 11-07 00:06
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 $0 11-06 05:26
Will Elon Musk post 680-699 tweets in November 2026? No +8 $8 100¢ $8 +$0 11-06 18:32
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats? No +271 $41 2¢ $5 -$36 11-04 03:44
Will Kansas be the closest Governor's race in 2026? No +32 $2 10¢ $3 +$1 11-04 23:18