International-Wrench — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$143

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

18.3%

Resolved

Trades

305

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-11

last 05-24 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

67% 100% +$34

Other

33% 0% $-177

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 60 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	31	$6.9K	4,329	4,329	+0	open	—	04-05 12:48
Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	53	$1.9K	19,789	15,882	+3,907	open	—	04-30 17:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	34	$1.9K	7,233	7,233	+0	open	—	05-23 21:01
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	13	$1.7K	3,642	3,642	+0	open	—	03-26 21:09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	4	$1.5K	930	930	+0	open	—	04-23 13:44
will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	9	$1.5K	1,635	1,635	+0	open	—	04-21 22:17
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	6	$1.0K	723	723	+0	open	—	04-28 16:14
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	13	$1.0K	786	786	+0	open	—	04-28 16:14
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	6	$707	456	456	+0	open	—	05-24 14:28
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	13	$705	1,310	1,310	+0	open	—	04-21 20:28
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	7	$538	354	354	+0	open	—	04-25 15:46
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	14	$538	450	450	+0	open	—	05-06 15:11
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?	10	$526	627	627	+0	open	—	04-08 15:50
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	3	$486	318	318	+0	open	—	04-23 21:39
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?	13	$483	4,000	4,000	+0	open	—	04-22 16:59
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	6	$348	2,513	2,513	+0	open	—	04-30 01:51
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	8	$331	3,345	3,345	+0	No	$-177	04-30 01:51
Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?	4	$298	588	588	+0	open	—	04-23 18:02
will israel conduct military action against iran by april 21 2026	5	$297	2,025	2,025	+0	open	—	04-18 13:02
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	4	$282	396	396	+0	open	—	04-23 21:30
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	4	$258	408	408	+0	open	—	05-06 14:59
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	7	$253	464	464	+0	open	—	04-08 15:50
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 21 2026	6	$237	405	405	+0	open	—	04-20 16:52
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	11	$211	466	446	+20	open	—	04-30 01:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$189	123	123	+0	open	—	05-06 15:11
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	6	$166	226	226	+0	open	—	05-23 20:46
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	2	$143	370	370	+0	open	—	05-23 21:01
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	03-14 01:13
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	2	$98	100	100	+0	open	—	04-21 16:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	4	$74	167	167	+0	No	+$34	05-04 17:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-24 14:28:43	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	356	75¢	$267	0xda1e2c…
05-23 21:01:18	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	189	1¢	$2	0x2a79bd…
05-23 21:01:11	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	SELL	370	12¢	$43	0x584ae6…
05-23 20:52:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	63	1¢	$0	0xb72ea4…
05-23 20:46:21	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	26	40¢	$10	0x9e5113…
05-23 20:20:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 7?	No	BUY	370	27¢	$100	0xa2caf6…
05-23 20:17:23	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	118	84¢	$100	0xd06661…
05-23 20:06:42	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x0a22f1…
05-23 20:05:48	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	237	84¢	$200	0x7c0406…
05-23 20:03:25	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	252	4¢	$10	0xdebe14…
05-06 15:11:27	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	75	60¢	$45	0xef6b32…
05-06 15:11:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	93	72¢	$67	0x83d1cf…
05-06 15:11:18	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	253	48¢	$122	0x4238bf…
05-06 15:09:31	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	25	62¢	$16	0xd7d8f9…
05-06 15:09:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	31	72¢	$22	0x105643…
05-06 15:02:45	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	84	50¢	$42	0x7bdf9e…
05-06 15:01:07	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	982	4¢	$43	0xf02168…
05-06 15:00:32	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$45	0xdb10eb…
05-06 14:59:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	204	27¢	$55	0x91f9ad…
05-06 14:59:33	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$45	0xfeb0fa…
05-06 14:59:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	5¢	$45	0xe758b9…
05-06 14:32:06	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	5¢	$46	0x4f76b5…
05-06 13:57:22	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	112	47¢	$53	0x4c20c7…
05-06 13:56:56	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	100	21¢	$21	0x2f70ab…
05-06 13:47:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1,000	4¢	$43	0xe14b9a…
05-06 13:24:20	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	204	26¢	$53	0x2b8add…
05-04 17:26:22	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	83	31¢	$26	0x1b0449…
05-04 16:33:10	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	50	41¢	$20	0xbdc8b3…
05-04 16:04:10	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	SELL	50	40¢	$20	0xed8f52…
05-04 16:03:28	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	83	34¢	$28	0xb0fb61…
05-03 20:21:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	73	10¢	$7	0x63873b…
05-03 20:14:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	22	10¢	$2	0xf93425…
05-03 18:05:50	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	269	37¢	$100	0x0d2167…
05-03 18:05:12	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x831d41…
05-03 18:04:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	BUY	139	36¢	$50	0xe680d6…
05-03 18:04:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xa046dc…
05-03 18:00:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0x3ecd82…
05-03 17:56:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0x0b944a…
05-03 17:54:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x98bb66…
05-02 17:04:28	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0xa6c244…
05-02 17:04:28	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x15b3db…
05-02 01:47:24	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	17	73¢	$12	0x386724…
05-02 01:20:24	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	32	73¢	$24	0xb50279…
05-01 23:38:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	98	73¢	$72	0x23dcaf…
05-01 17:54:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$6	0xfc7119…
05-01 17:52:24	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	15	73¢	$11	0x725910…
05-01 17:43:14	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xa4668b…
05-01 17:41:26	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	12	73¢	$9	0x718add…
05-01 17:37:16	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	15¢	$75	0x18934e…
05-01 16:37:00	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x8800b2…
05-01 16:31:26	Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	200	42¢	$84	0xa6ea29…
05-01 16:31:20	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	No	BUY	8	73¢	$5	0xdf9d46…
04-30 17:21:04	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,368	0¢	$7	0xbf9265…
04-30 02:00:52	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xc9c9c6…
04-30 01:59:28	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xeb17d5…
04-30 01:52:04	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x0c6cfe…
04-30 01:51:56	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	313	0¢	$2	0xa7fd98…
04-30 01:51:26	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	2,000	0¢	$2	0xc44f6c…
04-30 01:50:46	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,229	0¢	$5	0x8ce7e0…
04-28 16:14:30	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	396	92¢	$365	0xdca3ae…
04-28 16:14:20	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	523	86¢	$452	0x9ba0b6…
04-25 15:46:00	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	254	96¢	$245	0x196890…
04-24 16:51:48	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0xe192ad…
04-24 16:16:30	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	133	17¢	$23	0xa19a4d…
04-24 16:03:44	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xda875b…
04-24 15:59:42	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xbe7209…
04-24 15:40:10	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	365	17¢	$62	0x7937e1…
04-24 15:29:06	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	60	87¢	$52	0x0b4f6d…
04-24 15:18:12	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,000	19¢	$190	0x92e07a…
04-24 15:16:50	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2,000	5¢	$100	0x4c56cb…
04-24 14:30:08	Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	200	90¢	$180	0xe21013…
04-24 14:28:42	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	No	SELL	277	87¢	$241	0xe7fba8…
04-24 10:29:46	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	1,035	6¢	$65	0x64fb07…
04-24 10:18:36	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	415	6¢	$24	0x72a0d5…
04-24 10:17:50	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	220	6¢	$13	0xef8182…
04-24 10:13:44	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	55	6¢	$3	0x5a02db…
04-24 10:12:16	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x9b8eb4…
04-24 10:08:54	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	131	6¢	$8	0x83ecae…
04-24 10:08:38	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	169	6¢	$10	0x831843…
04-24 10:08:22	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	604	6¢	$37	0x1e7c17…
04-24 01:56:54	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	9	8¢	$1	0xb710a8…
04-24 01:14:12	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	25¢	$8	0x851044…
04-24 01:03:44	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0xbc7366…
04-24 01:01:54	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	50	94¢	$47	0x211cb7…
04-24 01:00:12	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	491	8¢	$39	0xad3bff…
04-24 00:30:28	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	15	94¢	$14	0x14d096…
04-24 00:27:04	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	25¢	$4	0x105a00…
04-24 00:18:24	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	116	8¢	$9	0x563914…
04-24 00:00:12	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30?	No	SELL	23	94¢	$22	0xe67b45…
04-23 23:55:12	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	338	8¢	$26	0x5073e0…
04-23 23:13:30	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	500	8¢	$38	0xddbdd8…
04-23 22:15:02	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	50	7¢	$4	0x3c4353…
04-23 21:43:44	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	13	6¢	$1	0xcbd25b…
04-23 21:39:58	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	No	SELL	318	90¢	$286	0xbb0494…
04-23 21:30:20	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	No	SELL	370	17¢	$63	0x8e06a6…
04-23 19:01:28	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	86	7¢	$6	0x1d608b…
04-23 18:12:28	Israel military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 30?	Yes	SELL	360	7¢	$25	0xde8f9c…
04-23 18:10:22	Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	19¢	$17	0x5f4bf3…
04-23 18:09:40	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	315	5¢	$16	0x87c667…
04-23 18:08:34	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	882	6¢	$52	0xec7ee9…