Hot-Belief — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.2%

Resolved

149

Trades

4,692

lifetime

Volume

$9.25K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 08-12 12:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 29% $-62

Other

3% 12% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

71 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$35	93	0	+93	open	—	04-29 11:32
Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$32	500	150	+350	No	$-8	05-05 12:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	06-03 06:21
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$18	285	285	+0	open	—	05-15 10:43
btc updown 5m 1774013700	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	03-20 13:39
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$10	300	0	+300	open	—	04-29 15:28
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$10	432	250	+182	open	—	06-01 18:35
Will Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$10	500	0	+500	Yes	$-10	05-06 10:40
xrp updown 5m 1774311600	6	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	03-24 00:20
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$10	150	0	+150	Yes	$-10	05-05 20:13
xrp updown 5m 1774312200	2	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	03-24 00:31
btc updown 15m 1774310400	2	$9	28	0	+28	open	—	03-24 00:00
xrp updown 5m 1774312500	5	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-24 00:38
xrp updown 15m 1774316700	1	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-24 01:47
xrp updown 5m 1774316400	1	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-24 01:43
sol updown 5m 1774316400	2	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-24 01:44
btc updown 5m 1774325400	3	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-24 04:13
btc updown 5m 1774269900	5	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-23 12:46
btc updown 15m 1774269900	5	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-23 12:47
xrp updown 5m 1774312800	1	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 00:44
btc updown 5m 1774312800	3	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 00:40
sol updown 5m 1774316700	2	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 01:48
xrp updown 5m 1774316700	3	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 01:47
btc updown 5m 1774308000	1	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-23 23:21
btc updown 5m 1774326900	2	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 04:36
btc updown 5m 1774316700	2	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 01:49
btc updown 5m 1774327200	2	$9	25	0	+25	open	—	03-24 04:42
sol updown 5m 1774327200	3	$9	25	0	+25	open	—	03-24 04:42
btc updown 5m 1774273200	1	$9	25	0	+25	open	—	03-23 13:42
btc updown 5m 1774328700	3	$9	25	0	+25	open	—	03-24 05:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 12:04:15	xrp updown 15m 1786536000	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf0d53e…
08-12 09:31:49	eth updown 15m 1786527000	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x016405…
08-12 09:16:01	xrp updown 15m 1786526100	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf2123d…
08-12 07:16:54	xrp updown 15m 1786518900	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x9119fa…
08-12 06:32:07	btc updown 15m 1786516200	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xa48d3d…
08-12 06:32:07	btc updown 15m 1786516200	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x7d37be…
08-12 06:22:30	btc updown 15m 1786515300	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0x6eed3b…
08-12 06:22:27	btc updown 15m 1786515300	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x52af9c…
08-12 05:30:52	xrp updown 15m 1786512600	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xcb05b4…
08-12 05:30:21	xrp updown 15m 1786512600	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xe50be9…
08-12 05:24:18	xrp updown 15m 1786511700	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x368f48…
08-12 05:23:40	xrp updown 15m 1786511700	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x502ffd…
08-11 13:31:42	btc updown 15m 1786455000	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x847c11…
08-11 13:31:42	btc updown 15m 1786455000	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x2655cf…
08-11 12:01:57	btc updown 15m 1786449600	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0f1b10…
08-11 10:31:12	xrp updown 15m 1786444200	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x8f4777…
08-11 10:16:00	xrp updown 15m 1786443300	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x4bc6e4…
08-11 06:34:06	eth updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xbd089b…
08-11 06:34:04	eth updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x9d2357…
08-11 06:31:45	xrp updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x2fcb3b…
08-11 06:30:48	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xdb7321…
08-11 06:30:48	btc updown 15m 1786429800	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x2899c1…
08-11 06:02:13	xrp updown 15m 1786428000	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xa0dccb…
08-11 06:02:13	xrp updown 15m 1786428000	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x2329b3…
08-11 06:02:12	btc updown 15m 1786428000	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe25969…
08-11 06:01:16	eth updown 15m 1786428000	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf9f6c3…
08-10 12:48:49	btc updown 15m 1786365900	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xcef3c7…
08-10 12:48:37	xrp updown 15m 1786365900	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x0ab46b…
08-10 12:47:51	eth updown 15m 1786365900	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x2488db…
08-10 12:47:49	eth updown 15m 1786365900	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xa14a33…
08-10 12:47:49	eth updown 15m 1786365900	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x6a17a7…
08-10 12:34:33	xrp updown 15m 1786365000	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xf9b080…
08-10 12:02:33	btc updown 15m 1786363200	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x80d0a9…
08-10 10:55:45	eth updown 15m 1786358700	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x831ce1…
08-10 10:55:43	eth updown 15m 1786358700	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x069f05…
08-10 09:46:07	btc updown 15m 1786355100	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc87470…
08-10 09:46:07	btc updown 15m 1786355100	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xb6cb7b…
08-10 09:46:07	eth updown 15m 1786355100	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xb26719…
08-10 08:46:01	xrp updown 15m 1786351500	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x368d46…
08-10 06:50:28	btc updown 15m 1786344300	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x871a10…
08-10 06:03:09	eth updown 15m 1786341600	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xbb9cd3…
08-10 06:03:09	eth updown 15m 1786341600	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xa92a99…
08-10 06:03:07	eth updown 15m 1786341600	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x568e93…
08-10 06:02:39	eth updown 15m 1786341600	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xcf3d98…
08-10 06:02:39	eth updown 15m 1786341600	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x0bfaad…
08-10 06:02:12	eth updown 15m 1786341600	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xf69b15…
08-10 06:02:07	eth updown 15m 1786341600	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x060d24…
08-10 06:00:42	btc updown 15m 1786341600	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xfa7eac…
08-10 06:00:40	btc updown 15m 1786341600	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x568c3a…
08-02 13:59:23	eth updown 15m 1785678300	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xee8df9…
08-02 13:23:11	xrp updown 15m 1785676500	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x226ee3…
08-02 11:53:09	eth updown 15m 1785671100	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xbfe93d…
08-02 11:53:09	eth updown 15m 1785671100	Up	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x506aef…
08-02 11:22:23	btc updown 15m 1785669300	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xf16c94…
08-02 11:22:23	btc updown 15m 1785669300	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x341e65…
08-02 11:22:23	btc updown 15m 1785669300	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x03892a…
08-02 09:02:18	btc updown 15m 1785661200	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xbd9904…
08-02 09:02:18	btc updown 15m 1785661200	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x6b022e…
08-02 09:02:17	btc updown 15m 1785661200	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xcf00e2…
08-02 09:02:15	btc updown 15m 1785661200	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x3b300f…
08-02 06:30:47	btc updown 15m 1785652200	Down	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x6167c4…
08-02 05:01:42	eth updown 15m 1785646800	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xde9213…
08-02 05:01:42	eth updown 15m 1785646800	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x509844…
08-02 05:01:42	eth updown 15m 1785646800	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x0f014a…
08-02 05:01:18	btc updown 15m 1785646800	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xffa397…
08-02 04:21:57	btc updown 15m 1785644100	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3aa8c1…
08-02 02:25:03	xrp updown 15m 1785636900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa5533a…
08-02 02:18:06	eth updown 15m 1785636900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc41598…
08-02 02:18:06	eth updown 15m 1785636900	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xae2135…
08-02 02:15:24	btc updown 15m 1785636900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xab181d…
08-02 01:18:02	xrp updown 15m 1785633300	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x0de15c…
08-02 00:51:21	btc updown 15m 1785631500	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x72a613…
08-01 23:35:56	xrp updown 15m 1785627000	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x2c34e4…
08-01 23:16:33	btc updown 15m 1785626100	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xd94f02…
08-01 23:16:33	btc updown 15m 1785626100	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x274ab7…
08-01 18:30:41	eth updown 15m 1785609000	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfa5c39…
08-01 17:31:11	btc updown 15m 1785605400	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xeff87a…
08-01 17:31:11	btc updown 15m 1785605400	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xdb8d82…
08-01 17:31:11	eth updown 15m 1785605400	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x83dbb1…
08-01 17:31:11	xrp updown 15m 1785605400	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x46b7e7…
08-01 17:15:15	xrp updown 15m 1785604500	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xa7c88a…
08-01 17:15:15	xrp updown 15m 1785604500	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x80858d…
08-01 17:12:09	btc updown 15m 1785603600	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x478538…
08-01 17:12:09	btc updown 15m 1785603600	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4507d8…
08-01 17:01:48	eth updown 15m 1785603600	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4bafcc…
08-01 17:01:20	xrp updown 15m 1785603600	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x70a729…
08-01 16:49:50	xrp updown 15m 1785602700	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xc5656e…
08-01 16:49:50	xrp updown 15m 1785602700	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x0ed7e2…
08-01 16:48:00	xrp updown 15m 1785602700	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc59bbf…
08-01 16:20:29	btc updown 15m 1785600900	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x22132a…
08-01 16:20:24	btc updown 15m 1785600900	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x14855e…
08-01 16:20:23	btc updown 15m 1785600900	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x01c2e9…
08-01 16:10:23	xrp updown 15m 1785600000	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xe56fa8…
08-01 16:01:14	btc updown 15m 1785600000	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xae3802…
08-01 15:35:50	btc updown 15m 1785598200	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0xa6b437…
08-01 15:35:48	btc updown 15m 1785598200	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x9ff99a…
08-01 15:35:48	btc updown 15m 1785598200	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x4b1eaf…
08-01 13:46:42	btc updown 15m 1785591900	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x13388d…
08-01 13:42:06	btc updown 15m 1785591000	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xfca838…
08-01 10:03:36	btc updown 15m 1785578400	Up	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xc7cb8d…