Hot-Belief — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$52

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

21.2%

Resolved

149

Trades

4,377

lifetime

Volume

$8.88K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 07-22 14:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 29% $-62

Other

4% 12% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

79 active days in 12wk • peak 79 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$35	93	0	+93	open	—	04-29 11:32
Will Coinbase (COIN) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$32	500	150	+350	No	$-8	05-05 12:40
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	1	$20	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	06-03 06:21
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$18	285	285	+0	open	—	05-15 10:43
btc updown 5m 1774013700	2	$16	12	12	+0	open	—	03-20 13:39
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	7	$10	300	0	+300	open	—	04-29 15:28
Will Broadcom (AVGO) beat quarterly earnings?	5	$10	432	250	+182	open	—	06-01 18:35
Will Disney (DIS) beat quarterly earnings?	2	$10	500	0	+500	Yes	$-10	05-06 10:40
xrp updown 5m 1774311600	6	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	03-24 00:20
Will Occidental Petroleum (OXY) beat quarterly earnings?	3	$10	150	0	+150	Yes	$-10	05-05 20:13
xrp updown 5m 1774312200	2	$10	28	0	+28	open	—	03-24 00:31
btc updown 15m 1774310400	2	$9	28	0	+28	open	—	03-24 00:00
xrp updown 5m 1774312500	5	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-24 00:38
xrp updown 15m 1774316700	1	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-24 01:47
sol updown 5m 1774316400	2	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-24 01:44
xrp updown 5m 1774316400	1	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-24 01:43
btc updown 5m 1774325400	3	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-24 04:13
btc updown 5m 1774269900	5	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-23 12:46
btc updown 15m 1774269900	5	$9	27	0	+27	open	—	03-23 12:47
xrp updown 5m 1774312800	1	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 00:44
btc updown 5m 1774312800	3	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 00:40
sol updown 5m 1774316700	2	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 01:48
xrp updown 5m 1774316700	3	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 01:47
btc updown 5m 1774308000	1	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-23 23:21
btc updown 5m 1774326900	2	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 04:36
btc updown 5m 1774316700	2	$9	26	0	+26	open	—	03-24 01:49
btc updown 5m 1774327200	2	$9	25	0	+25	open	—	03-24 04:42
sol updown 5m 1774327200	3	$9	25	0	+25	open	—	03-24 04:42
btc updown 5m 1774273200	1	$9	25	0	+25	open	—	03-23 13:42
btc updown 5m 1774328700	3	$9	25	0	+25	open	—	03-24 05:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-23 10:00:55	eth updown 15m 1784800800	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x42fffa…
07-23 10:00:54	btc updown 15m 1784800800	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x45ae89…
07-23 10:00:51	btc updown 15m 1784800800	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xfc88ec…
07-23 10:00:49	xrp updown 15m 1784800800	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf19803…
07-23 08:25:24	btc updown 15m 1784794500	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf3d7f0…
07-23 07:39:40	eth updown 15m 1784791800	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xef956c…
07-22 14:04:10	xrp updown 15m 1784728800	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x605ea8…
07-22 13:52:10	xrp updown 15m 1784727900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa34d81…
07-22 13:46:37	eth updown 15m 1784727900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x050744…
07-22 13:07:09	btc updown 15m 1784725200	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x285883…
07-22 12:17:51	btc updown 15m 1784722500	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x92d6d1…
07-22 11:32:52	xrp updown 15m 1784719800	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x484d84…
07-22 11:32:39	xrp updown 15m 1784719800	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xecd206…
07-22 10:46:24	eth updown 15m 1784717100	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x13a181…
07-22 10:38:04	xrp updown 15m 1784716200	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x54102e…
07-21 11:52:13	btc updown 15m 1784634300	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbe3e0b…
07-21 11:47:04	xrp updown 15m 1784634300	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x49c626…
07-21 07:46:33	btc updown 15m 1784619900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x908ade…
07-21 05:41:06	btc updown 15m 1784611800	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x950ad2…
07-21 03:02:46	btc updown 15m 1784602800	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa494b5…
07-21 03:02:40	xrp updown 15m 1784602800	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x54e1f5…
07-21 03:02:04	eth updown 15m 1784602800	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf28578…
07-20 23:44:03	xrp updown 15m 1784590200	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf2c03c…
07-20 23:16:57	eth updown 15m 1784589300	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x92a3c2…
07-20 23:16:57	eth updown 15m 1784589300	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x2a953c…
07-20 23:15:37	xrp updown 15m 1784589300	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb1e95e…
07-20 18:28:52	xrp updown 15m 1784571300	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf1fb74…
07-20 18:17:25	eth updown 15m 1784571300	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbff476…
07-20 18:01:54	btc updown 15m 1784570400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4d28a2…
07-20 18:01:54	eth updown 15m 1784570400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x41085d…
07-20 18:01:54	xrp updown 15m 1784570400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x038693…
07-20 11:47:19	xrp updown 15m 1784547900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb06425…
07-20 11:47:16	eth updown 15m 1784547900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9eb106…
07-20 11:46:40	btc updown 15m 1784547900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xccf7f6…
07-20 10:43:03	xrp updown 15m 1784543400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x40ba5c…
07-20 01:26:28	xrp updown 15m 1784510100	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x1934ee…
07-20 01:24:31	eth updown 15m 1784510100	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x05dc9a…
07-20 00:16:09	xrp updown 15m 1784506500	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x43e4df…
07-19 21:49:28	xrp updown 15m 1784497500	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc1e089…
07-19 20:24:45	eth updown 15m 1784492100	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x6b4c67…
07-19 20:24:33	btc updown 15m 1784492100	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$1	0x6a6f7d…
07-19 20:24:33	btc updown 15m 1784492100	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x6307ee…
07-19 12:28:07	btc updown 15m 1784463300	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xc2da53…
07-19 12:02:42	btc updown 15m 1784462400	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb9c970…
07-19 12:02:36	btc updown 15m 1784462400	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$0	0xa4c427…
07-19 10:46:30	btc updown 15m 1784457900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x8ddf3d…
07-19 10:46:30	eth updown 15m 1784457900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x77334d…
07-19 10:36:22	btc updown 15m 1784457000	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x8a88f9…
07-19 10:36:22	btc updown 15m 1784457000	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x03b8cd…
07-18 21:20:00	xrp updown 15m 1784409300	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xcda0ed…
07-18 21:15:43	btc updown 15m 1784409300	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x045db1…
07-18 21:12:34	btc updown 15m 1784408400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfc761e…
07-18 20:20:10	btc updown 15m 1784405700	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x23e1b0…
07-18 17:48:45	xrp updown 15m 1784396700	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xa5d2fe…
07-18 17:47:16	btc updown 15m 1784396700	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x91f9a0…
07-18 17:47:15	eth updown 15m 1784396700	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5c6db4…
07-18 17:13:55	btc updown 15m 1784394000	Down	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xe0b9aa…
07-18 17:13:54	btc updown 15m 1784394000	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xec4cbe…
07-18 13:20:58	eth updown 15m 1784380500	Up	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xedf908…
07-18 13:20:55	eth updown 15m 1784380500	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xd1d291…
07-18 13:20:25	xrp updown 15m 1784380500	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4937f0…
07-18 12:00:55	btc updown 15m 1784376000	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9dcd5c…
07-18 11:34:25	btc updown 15m 1784374200	Down	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xab1b76…
07-18 11:34:25	btc updown 15m 1784374200	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x317788…
07-18 11:06:10	btc updown 15m 1784372400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfdceaf…
07-18 10:35:54	btc updown 15m 1784370600	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9dab7f…
07-18 10:04:57	btc updown 15m 1784368800	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf00fc5…
07-18 09:31:40	xrp updown 15m 1784367000	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xecbb0c…
07-18 08:30:58	eth updown 15m 1784363400	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xb1f398…
07-18 08:01:25	xrp updown 15m 1784361600	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfc9b5b…
07-18 08:01:09	eth updown 15m 1784361600	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x324296…
07-18 07:21:27	btc updown 15m 1784358900	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x7c355b…
07-18 06:10:00	xrp updown 15m 1784354400	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x9d9561…
07-18 06:09:49	xrp updown 15m 1784354400	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xd14acd…
07-18 06:09:40	xrp updown 15m 1784354400	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xf42890…
07-18 03:43:40	xrp updown 15m 1784345400	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xfaab15…
07-18 03:17:15	xrp updown 15m 1784344500	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xaf5d3c…
07-18 02:36:01	xrp updown 15m 1784341800	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xeed091…
07-17 21:01:45	btc updown 15m 1784322000	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xca34f6…
07-17 17:27:51	eth updown 15m 1784308500	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xde160c…
07-17 17:27:51	eth updown 15m 1784308500	Down	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0x27d744…
07-17 17:22:55	btc updown 15m 1784308500	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x5c9767…
07-17 17:17:01	xrp updown 15m 1784308500	Down	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbf270a…
07-17 11:18:13	xrp updown 15m 1784286900	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xde1339…
07-17 11:18:13	xrp updown 15m 1784286900	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0x10182f…
07-17 06:10:58	btc updown 15m 1784268000	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x689888…
07-17 05:45:57	btc updown 15m 1784267100	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x4705cc…
07-17 05:45:54	eth updown 15m 1784267100	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf91b01…
07-17 05:36:21	xrp updown 15m 1784266200	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x62013c…
07-17 05:35:19	btc updown 15m 1784266200	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x3b903a…
07-17 05:34:43	eth updown 15m 1784266200	Up	BUY	0	31¢	$0	0xb163fb…
07-17 05:34:42	eth updown 15m 1784266200	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xca488f…
07-17 05:34:42	eth updown 15m 1784266200	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0xa365c9…
07-17 05:34:42	eth updown 15m 1784266200	Up	BUY	1	31¢	$0	0x9a98ed…
07-17 04:19:00	eth updown 15m 1784261700	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x18195d…
07-17 02:09:55	xrp updown 15m 1784253600	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xbf22e9…
07-17 02:09:48	btc updown 15m 1784253600	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x730483…
07-17 02:09:46	eth updown 15m 1784253600	Up	BUY	2	31¢	$1	0xc5cf73…
07-17 02:09:46	eth updown 15m 1784253600	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x5107ad…
07-17 01:45:58	btc updown 15m 1784252700	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x365871…