Electric-Cotton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.01K

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

44.7%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$12.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-30

last 08-12 06:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Politics

53% — —

Crypto

41% 98% -$42

Other

6% 50% +$1,056

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	—	+1,533	$5	0¢	$2	-$2	05-28 08:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	2	$6.9K	3,437	3,437	+0	open	—	06-16 07:07
ethereum above 3000 on january 30	3	$3.3K	1,648	1,648	+0	No	+$0	01-30 10:59
si up or down on february 2 2026	2	$764	1,820	0	+1,820	Down	+$1,056	02-02 11:41
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6AM ET	1	$49	100	0	+100	Down	-$49	05-25 09:08
will bitcoin reach 67k on july 8	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-08 09:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 13?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-13 07:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 22?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$1	07-22 07:22
Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 23?	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-23 06:52
will bitcoin reach 67k on august 11	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	08-11 06:23
will bitcoin reach 68k on july 10	1	$34	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-10 08:28
bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	1	$34	34	0	+34	Yes	+$0	07-03 07:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 7?	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-07 07:55
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 17?	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$0	06-17 07:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 4?	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-04 07:24
Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on July 29?	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$0	07-29 06:14
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 31?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-31 07:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-15 07:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 17?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-17 06:54
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 9?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-09 07:05
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	08-06 07:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 10?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	08-10 07:44
Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 11?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	06-11 09:17
will bitcoin reach 65k on july 2	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-02 06:42
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 16?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-16 09:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 14?	1	$33	33	0	+33	No	+$0	07-14 09:29
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 12?	1	$32	33	0	+33	No	+$0	08-12 06:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 23?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-23 06:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 22?	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-22 08:15
xrp above 1pt3 on june 8 2026	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	06-08 07:19
will bitcoin reach 70k on july 24	1	$32	32	0	+32	No	+$0	07-24 07:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 06:53:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 12?	No	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0xac6feb…
08-12 06:53:21	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on August 12?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$32	0xd052a5…
08-11 06:24:51	will xrp reach 1pt2 on august 11	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x8a34a8…
08-11 06:23:45	will bitcoin reach 67k on august 11	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd08d0e…
08-10 07:44:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 10?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x4b0e3c…
08-06 07:03:35	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on August 6?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x22d249…
08-06 07:02:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 6?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xbf9a3d…
07-31 07:36:06	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 31?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xb95c95…
07-31 07:35:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 31?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2b13a9…
07-29 06:16:26	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 29?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x13e845…
07-29 06:14:41	Will Bitcoin reach $71,000 on July 29?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x646dcf…
07-24 07:01:58	will xrp reach 1pt25 on july 24	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x61cb97…
07-24 07:00:52	will bitcoin reach 70k on july 24	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x25305b…
07-23 06:41:57	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 23?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x89cd04…
07-23 06:40:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 23?	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x1d78eb…
07-22 07:23:13	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 22?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0xa8e160…
07-22 07:22:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 22?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$34	0xae29b5…
07-20 05:59:03	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 20?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x23625f…
07-20 05:57:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 20?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xbbe635…
07-18 07:20:37	will xrp reach 1pt2 july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x579108…
07-18 07:19:48	will bitcoin reach 70k july 13 19 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x90efc9…
07-17 06:57:48	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 17?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xb1e854…
07-17 06:54:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 17?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2137bc…
07-16 09:09:05	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 16?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xde78f8…
07-16 09:08:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 16?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x2c4861…
07-15 07:18:20	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 15?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xbffbac…
07-15 07:17:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x347d80…
07-14 09:30:55	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 14?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x224ebe…
07-14 09:29:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 14?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x5f2fc2…
07-13 07:27:08	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 13?	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xeca74d…
07-13 07:24:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 13?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$34	0x345d93…
07-10 08:29:25	will xrp reach 1pt3 on july 10	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x4b5764…
07-10 08:28:28	will bitcoin reach 68k on july 10	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0x85909e…
07-08 09:22:19	will xrp reach 1pt2 on july 8	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x40fa88…
07-08 09:21:16	will bitcoin reach 67k on july 8	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xcd40de…
07-07 07:56:28	xrp above 1pt3 on july 7 2026	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x67a97c…
07-07 07:55:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 7?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x8c95df…
07-04 07:25:52	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on July 4?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xba5328…
07-04 07:24:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 4?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0xf6843e…
07-03 07:41:35	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 3?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x545c9b…
07-03 07:40:43	bitcoin above 58k on july 3 2026	Yes	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xd73735…
07-02 06:43:34	Will the price of XRP be between $0.80 and $0.90 on July 2?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$13	0x95feb5…
07-02 06:42:28	will bitcoin reach 65k on july 2	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x656d17…
07-01 07:12:11	will bitcoin reach 63k on july 1	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0xa497d9…
07-01 07:11:25	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on July 1?	No	BUY	31	98¢	$31	0x3885ce…
06-23 06:53:58	will bitcoin reach 71k on june 23	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x5febcc…
06-23 06:52:56	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on June 23?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xe4b455…
06-22 08:19:49	xrp above 1pt2 on june 22 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x9d4f2b…
06-22 08:15:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 22?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0x9cf714…
06-17 07:29:56	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x657176…
06-17 07:29:07	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 17?	No	BUY	34	100¢	$33	0x692599…
06-16 07:07:36	Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	SELL	3,437	100¢	$3,431	0x544a09…
06-16 07:06:39	Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	No	BUY	3,437	100¢	$3,434	0x99a2ce…
06-15 07:46:09	bitcoin above 70k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x58c113…
06-15 07:42:39	bitcoin above 70k on june 15 2026	No	BUY	13	100¢	$12	0x6f2fb3…
06-15 07:41:49	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 15?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x29c032…
06-12 07:14:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 12?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$12	0x28bc3e…
06-12 07:09:57	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 12?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xa8e632…
06-11 09:19:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 11?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x330059…
06-11 09:17:40	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 11?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x72fade…
06-10 06:58:16	will bitcoin reach 68k on june 10	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x7eb7e7…
06-10 06:57:31	will xrp reach 1pt25 on june 10	No	BUY	32	100¢	$31	0x67afcf…
06-09 07:05:51	bitcoin above 58k on june 9 2026	Yes	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x114603…
06-09 07:05:09	Will the price of XRP be between $0.90 and $1.00 on June 9?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x2de606…
06-08 07:19:49	bitcoin above 68k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x7181de…
06-08 07:19:03	xrp above 1pt3 on june 8 2026	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xf82f45…
06-05 07:32:52	bitcoin above 68k on june 5 2026	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x868022…
06-05 07:31:15	xrp above 1 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x4940f7…
06-04 08:21:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0xaa3452…
06-04 08:21:06	xrp above 1 on june 4 2026	Yes	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x0c3890…
06-03 07:47:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 3?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x685f43…
06-03 07:46:37	Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 3?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd0c493…
06-02 07:49:31	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x9e7453…
06-02 07:48:28	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 2?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x8f7093…
06-01 07:53:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x0f0278…
06-01 07:49:09	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 1?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0xf8f145…
05-30 07:45:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 30?	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0x5208cb…
05-30 07:44:36	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 30?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xd38fc3…
05-29 08:07:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 29?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xe6f33b…
05-29 08:03:01	Will XRP reach $1.40 on May 29?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x5afe94…
05-28 08:22:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 28?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x80029b…
05-28 08:21:51	Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on May 28?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xbb73f5…
05-28 08:16:36	Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,533	0¢	$5	0x6797db…
05-28 08:04:22	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x6a385a…
05-28 08:03:56	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 26?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x110a4a…
05-27 09:34:48	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 27?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x5f2daf…
05-27 09:33:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x04af67…
05-26 08:09:56	Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on May 26?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x207082…
05-26 08:09:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$30	0x438f62…
05-25 09:08:23	XRP Up or Down - May 25, 6AM ET	Up	BUY	100	49¢	$49	0x22bb9d…
05-25 09:01:44	Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 25?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x821245…
05-22 05:43:55	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on May 22?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0xc4fe14…
05-22 05:43:09	Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on May 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf3ce32…
05-22 05:41:26	Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x60d266…
02-02 11:41:04	si up or down on february 2 2026	Down	BUY	1,240	42¢	$521	0x76b67f…
02-02 11:41:04	si up or down on february 2 2026	Down	BUY	580	42¢	$244	0x469c44…
01-30 11:04:14	Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	80k	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x7b2c66…
01-30 10:59:52	ethereum above 3000 on january 30	No	SELL	1,631	99¢	$1,623	0xfb0cdc…
01-30 10:59:50	ethereum above 3000 on january 30	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xe21a26…
01-30 10:20:30	ethereum above 3000 on january 30	No	BUY	1,648	100¢	$1,640	0xfeddb9…