Carefree-Significance — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$49.0K

Unrealized P&L

-$92

Hit rate

63.0%

Resolved

42,095

Trades

195,756

lifetime

Volume

$13.2M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$68

Open exposure

$5.41K

15 positions

First seen

2026-05-17

last 10-28 16:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 161 days

Categories

Other

99% 50% -$41,370

Sports

1% 64% -$5,468

Crypto

0% 53% +$202

Politics

0% 38% -$2,327

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

85 active days in 12wk • peak 7669 trades/day

Open positions (15) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No		+1,715	$726	42¢	$729	+$3	10-28 16:29
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-10-28?	No		+2,598	$704	28¢	$714	+$11	10-28 15:24
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	No		+1,850	$763	38¢	$694	-$69	10-28 16:23
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-10-10?	Yes		+1,957	$620	31¢	$607	-$13	10-10 11:59
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Lorenzo Musetti		+537	$228	99¢	$532	+$303	10-28 14:29
AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5	Under		+939	$498	54¢	$502	+$5	10-28 12:12
Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?	No		+511	$476	92¢	$473	-$3	10-28 16:25
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	No		+492	$221	46¢	$229	+$7	10-28 15:25
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-28?	Yes		+426	$230	54¢	$228	-$2	10-28 07:07
Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	—	+257	$224	88¢	$227	+$4	10-28 16:20
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-10-10?	No		+357	$224	56¢	$202	-$23	10-10 11:31
Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Ugo Humbert		+424	$123	29¢	$121	-$2	10-26 15:30
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5	Over		+255	$115	32¢	$82	-$33	10-10 11:14
Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5	Over	—	+136	$69	50¢	$69	-$1	10-28 16:08
Courmayeur: Elsa Jacquemot vs Caroline Werner	Caroline Werner		+1,203	$282	0¢	$2	-$280	10-28 12:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinska	50	$62.3K	118,376	0	+118,376	Maja Chwalinska	-$43,970	06-03 09:00
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	36	$50.0K	101,063	0	+101,063	Flavio Cobolli	+$1,197	06-03 13:34
wta kostyuk andreev 2026 06 04	59	$45.4K	78,426	0	+78,426	Mirra Andreeva	-$17,213	06-04 14:12
Exact Score: CF Villarreal C 0 - 0 Levante UD?	316	$41.6K	60,369	0	+60,369	No	+$18,756	08-05 05:03
Exact Score: Real Betis Seville 0 - 0 AD Ceuta?	1,071	$40.4K	31,647	31,644	+3	Yes	-$20,320	10-07 21:49
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	82	$38.0K	185,000	14,367	+170,633	Alexander Zverev	-$31,790	06-07 16:31
Exact Score: Ipswich Town FC 3 - 2 Liverpool FC?	13	$28.1K	28,864	0	+28,864	No	+$741	09-04 12:13
Roland Garros WTA: Xiyu Wang vs Yulia Starodubtseva	12	$27.3K	45,195	0	+45,195	Xiyu Wang	-$23,092	05-29 08:51
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	209	$24.7K	12,124,633	62,066	+12,062,567	No	-$23,935	06-17 12:27
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-10-13?	69	$23.3K	49,693	0	+49,693	Yes	-$22,853	10-13 18:48
Will Recoleta FC win on 2026-08-11?	67	$23.1K	27,687	0	+27,687	No	+$1,194	08-11 21:59
Roland Garros ATP: Nuno Borges vs Andrey Rublev	10	$22.8K	32,157	0	+32,157	Andrey Rublev	+$9,216	05-29 09:00
Will HB Køge win on 2026-09-22?	787	$22.1K	22,828	0	+22,828	No	+$693	09-22 18:59
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?	188	$22.0K	24,708	0	+24,708	No	+$2,718	07-12 00:59
Will FC Barcelona vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?	71	$22.0K	24,132	0	+24,132	No	+$2,157	10-10 16:27
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain 0 - 0 Aston Villa?	4	$20.9K	22,473	0	+22,473	No	+$1,573	08-12 17:42
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 3 - 3 Málaga CF?	4	$20.3K	20,533	0	+20,533	No	+$185	08-19 15:02
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Italy?	21	$19.9K	20,207	0	+20,207	No	+$355	10-02 18:36
atp arnaldi cobolli 2026 06 05	7	$19.8K	30,000	0	+30,000	cancelled	-$4,800	06-05 16:37
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?	154	$19.6K	20,326	0	+20,326	No	+$716	07-10 16:26
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-10-10?	39	$19.0K	62,761	0	+62,761	No	-$719	10-10 16:15
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 0 - 0 Real Madrid CF?	31	$18.7K	19,020	0	+19,020	No	+$317	10-25 19:25
Exact Score: Levante UD 2 - 0 FC Barcelona?	3	$18.2K	18,373	0	+18,373	No	+$178	09-13 13:02
Exact Score: RC Deportivo A Coruña 0 - 0 Elche CF?	10	$18.0K	20,224	0	+20,224	No	+$2,225	08-17 14:46
Exact Score: Chelsea FC 2 - 3 Brighton & Hove Albion FC?	2	$18.0K	18,489	0	+18,489	No	+$490	08-30 09:23
Will Servette FC Chênois Féminin win on 2026-09-23?	340	$17.3K	17,608	0	+17,608	No	+$299	09-23 16:44
Exact Score: Club Puebla 1 - 0 CD Guadalajara?	174	$17.1K	18,081	0	+18,081	No	+$940	07-31 21:11
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 1 - 1 Málaga CF?	2	$17.1K	17,666	0	+17,666	No	+$574	08-30 14:19
wta chwalin andreev 2026 06 06	17	$16.2K	87,738	0	+87,738	Mirra Andreeva	-$16,201	06-06 08:34
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	114	$15.8K	35,266	0	+35,266	Marta Kostyuk	-$15,811	06-02 10:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 16:36:29	Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	92	13¢	$12	0xbfe306…
10-28 16:36:01	Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x4af460…
10-28 16:35:28	Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-1.5)	SC Paderborn 07	BUY	31	53¢	$16	0xf5d000…
10-28 16:32:05	Set Handicap: Elizara Yaneva (-1.5) vs Oksana Selekhmeteva (+1.5)	Elizara Yaneva	BUY	57	39¢	$22	0x9b64a7…
10-28 16:30:05	Set 1 Winner: Taylor Fritz vs Rinky Hijikata	Rinky Hijikata	BUY	2	20¢	$0	0x742108…
10-28 16:29:38	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	164	42¢	$69	0xc42841…
10-28 16:29:01	Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x3b09f1…
10-28 16:28:53	Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0xa9c3c4…
10-28 16:28:23	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	52	42¢	$22	0x582190…
10-28 16:28:22	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xdf7ccb…
10-28 16:27:44	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	17	42¢	$7	0xce80ee…
10-28 16:27:43	Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0xe89ac9…
10-28 16:26:53	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x790313…
10-28 16:26:52	SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	47	14¢	$7	0x000125…
10-28 16:26:26	AC Milan leading at halftime?	No	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x56285d…
10-28 16:26:25	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x506f60…
10-28 16:25:55	Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x8fa118…
10-28 16:25:31	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	212	42¢	$89	0x771655…
10-28 16:24:53	FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x81731b…
10-28 16:24:44	Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 1 Bologna FC 1909?	No	BUY	48	94¢	$45	0x798a2c…
10-28 16:24:29	Will Vasteraas SK win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	135	60¢	$81	0x64cf7d…
10-28 16:23:35	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	7	24¢	$2	0x346b6c…
10-28 16:23:17	Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	141	39¢	$55	0xc430a2…
10-28 16:22:04	Exact Score: AC Milan 3 - 1 Bologna FC 1909?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x6c02f4…
10-28 16:21:41	FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	3	24¢	$1	0x1a367c…
10-28 16:21:35	Exact Score: SC Paderborn 07 1 - 3 VfB Stuttgart?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x3d33f8…
10-28 16:21:34	Exact Score: SC Paderborn 07 1 - 3 VfB Stuttgart?	No	BUY	150	91¢	$136	0x9fca19…
10-28 16:21:04	Sunderland AFC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x95edbf…
10-28 16:20:34	Will Venezia FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	86	87¢	$75	0x460f4b…
10-28 16:19:41	SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Team to Advance	VfL Wolfsburg	BUY	19	19¢	$4	0x73a446…
10-28 16:18:23	SSV Jeddeloh II vs. Hertha BSC: Team to Advance	SSV Jeddeloh II	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xb39e1b…
10-28 16:18:14	FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xd443fe…
10-28 16:17:22	Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x5991ac…
10-28 16:17:20	FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x684ad0…
10-28 16:16:26	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x09e08c…
10-28 16:14:38	SG Dynamo Dresden vs. FC Schalke 04: Team to Advance	SG Dynamo Dresden	BUY	2	39¢	$1	0xafef97…
10-28 16:13:17	SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: Team to Advance	VfL Wolfsburg	BUY	31	26¢	$8	0xcf9dcf…
10-28 16:13:05	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x4709b3…
10-28 16:12:44	Juventus FC leading at halftime?	No	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x4b7105…
10-28 16:12:38	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x002230…
10-28 16:12:23	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x74fe03…
10-28 16:12:16	FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	2	38¢	$1	0xd05e5c…
10-28 16:12:16	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xcb2586…
10-28 16:12:14	FC DAC 1904 Dunajská Streda leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x485c3f…
10-28 16:12:10	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x9c3f94…
10-28 16:12:04	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xc78507…
10-28 16:12:04	Spread: AC Milan (-2.5)	Bologna FC 1909	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0xc38079…
10-28 16:11:58	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x55ade5…
10-28 16:11:53	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xc4dde9…
10-28 16:11:50	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xb530b4…
10-28 16:11:04	Sunderland AFC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	12	5¢	$1	0xe01261…
10-28 16:11:04	Venezia FC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	1,118	2¢	$27	0x8dfbaa…
10-28 16:11:04	Arsenal WFC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x3ff839…
10-28 16:11:02	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x9ba62c…
10-28 16:11:02	Fulham FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0x145522…
10-28 16:10:59	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x36cdfa…
10-28 16:10:55	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: Team to Advance	SC Paderborn 07	BUY	16	18¢	$3	0x17d79c…
10-28 16:10:47	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	10	3¢	$0	0xcd1207…
10-28 16:10:46	Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	14	3¢	$0	0xf8569d…
10-28 16:10:25	Exact Score: Venezia FC 0 - 0 FC Internazionale Milano?	Yes	BUY	216	2¢	$5	0x557378…
10-28 16:10:22	Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x07b78b…
10-28 16:09:56	Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0x4ac570…
10-28 16:09:41	Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xcffc1c…
10-28 16:08:37	Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?	No	BUY	30	93¢	$28	0xce5378…
10-28 16:08:29	Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x0d7e1c…
10-28 16:08:28	Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	12	51¢	$6	0x49d581…
10-28 16:08:20	SSV Jeddeloh II vs. Hertha BSC: Team to Advance	SSV Jeddeloh II	BUY	163	4¢	$7	0x424469…
10-28 16:07:53	Exact Score: SC Paderborn 07 2 - 0 VfB Stuttgart?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xf11629…
10-28 16:06:49	Will SC Paderborn 07 win on 2026-10-28?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x912046…
10-28 16:06:47	Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	168	43¢	$72	0xd78eec…
10-28 16:06:10	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x97f81e…
10-28 16:06:07	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	169	11¢	$19	0x61f68f…
10-28 16:05:25	SG Dynamo Dresden vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	16	56¢	$9	0xf4ed7a…
10-28 16:04:44	Udinese Calcio leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	139	26¢	$36	0xf3b6d5…
10-28 16:04:44	Udinese Calcio leading at halftime?	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x5c55d3…
10-28 16:03:07	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	509	12¢	$61	0xd9110d…
10-28 16:02:38	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xd28d6e…
10-28 16:02:38	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	139	52¢	$72	0x128f1e…
10-28 16:02:37	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0x24af0f…
10-28 16:02:22	Set Handicap: J.J. Wolf (-1.5) vs Daniel Milavsky (+1.5)	J.J. Wolf	BUY	18	44¢	$8	0xcc1378…
10-28 16:01:37	Sunderland AFC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	61	92¢	$56	0xf105e9…
10-28 16:01:25	Sunderland AFC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x8ca68c…
10-28 16:00:47	AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	0	89¢	$0	0x9ba641…
10-28 16:00:19	AFC Bournemouth vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 7.5	Under	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x9c0d93…
10-28 15:59:40	Will FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?	No	BUY	89	93¢	$83	0x463de1…
10-28 15:58:13	Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)	SC Paderborn 07	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x43caee…
10-28 15:58:11	Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)	SC Paderborn 07	BUY	16	75¢	$12	0xc2409a…
10-28 15:58:11	Spread: VfB Stuttgart (-2.5)	SC Paderborn 07	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0xa69cb7…
10-28 15:58:02	SC Paderborn 07 vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 1.5	Under	BUY	469	13¢	$61	0x3bbb7e…
10-28 15:57:31	Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xa29612…
10-28 15:56:34	Exact Score: FK Radnicki Nis 1 - 3 FK Partizan Belgrade?	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0xb98259…
10-28 15:56:20	Spread: VfL Wolfsburg (-2.5)	VfL Wolfsburg	BUY	92	3¢	$3	0xee4961…
10-28 15:55:10	Courmayeur: Gabriela Knutson vs Alina Charaeva	Gabriela Knutson	BUY	51	37¢	$19	0xf69a2b…
10-28 15:54:53	AC Oulu vs. Vaasan Palloseura: Draw at halftime?	No	BUY	15	58¢	$9	0x4e5ab4…
10-28 15:53:49	Holstein Kiel vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xf2bcf7…
10-28 15:53:44	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	1,495	6¢	$90	0xfff120…
10-28 15:53:44	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	904	7¢	$63	0xe43579…
10-28 15:53:44	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	909	7¢	$64	0xb6edd2…
10-28 15:53:44	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	293	7¢	$20	0x97af29…
10-28 15:53:44	AC Milan vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 0.5	Under	BUY	1,043	6¢	$63	0x00b3ce…