Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.03K

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

60.8%

Resolved

210

Trades

316

lifetime

Volume

$11.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-02

last 10-20 20:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 38 days

Categories

Other

70% 69% +$439

Politics

18% 59% -$889

Crypto

11% 52% -$571

Sports

1% 78% -$9

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	Yes		+37	$27	2¢	$1	-$27	09-06 06:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	3	$954	628	628	+0	open	—	10-08 23:28
Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	2	$331	430	0	+430	Yes	-$331	09-12 06:30
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$319	205	205	+0	No	+$12	10-07 12:14
Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	2	$273	355	0	+355	Yes	-$273	09-12 06:29
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	4	$254	150	150	+0	open	—	10-13 21:35
Will Christian Democrats (KD) win between 7% and 9% of all valid votes?	2	$232	303	0	+303	No	+$71	09-12 06:30
Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?	3	$214	151	151	+0	Yes	-$3	10-07 12:17
Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	3	$205	143	143	+0	open	—	10-20 18:43
Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VIII?	4	$193	133	113	+20	No	+$2	10-07 12:17
Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	3	$192	130	130	+0	No	+$26	10-08 23:29
Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?	2	$191	126	126	+0	No	+$41	10-08 23:28
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes?	2	$171	214	0	+214	No	+$43	09-12 06:31
Will Moderate Party (M) win less than 16% of all valid votes?	2	$151	189	0	+189	No	+$38	09-12 06:31
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	2	$147	189	0	+189	No	+$41	09-17 18:56
Will SPD win 30-33 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	2	$147	192	0	+192	No	+$45	09-20 02:00
Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?	2	$141	194	0	+194	No	+$53	09-18 18:45
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$129	175	0	+175	No	+$46	10-01 03:30
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	2	$114	80	80	+0	No	-$1	10-07 12:16
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	2	$112	146	0	+146	Yes	-$112	09-30 21:16
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026?	2	$110	171	0	+171	No	+$61	09-15 09:00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 16?	2	$109	148	0	+148	No	-$109	09-15 09:00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?	2	$105	159	0	+159	No	+$54	09-16 18:29
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 25?	1	$105	164	0	+164	No	-$105	09-21 18:22
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 24?	1	$102	126	0	+126	No	-$102	09-23 05:15
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $158 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$101	144	0	+144	Yes	-$101	09-23 05:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 14?	1	$96	120	0	+120	Yes	+$24	09-12 06:33
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 23?	1	$95	156	0	+156	No	-$95	09-22 05:36
Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?	2	$95	123	0	+123	Yes	-$95	09-27 00:30
Will “Hate That I Made You Love Me” by Ariana Grande win Video of the Year at the 2026 MTV Video Music Awards?	2	$94	136	0	+136	No	+$42	09-25 17:15
Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?	1	$93	290	0	+290	No	+$197	09-23 05:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 20:31:51	Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?	No	SELL	33	24¢	$8	0x692b85…
10-20 18:43:44	Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	Yes	SELL	43	80¢	$35	0x4a9f4d…
10-13 21:35:45	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	SELL	24	81¢	$19	0x16b61d…
10-13 21:35:45	Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?	Yes	SELL	3	92¢	$2	0x06a8ad…
10-13 21:35:43	Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?	No	SELL	24	73¢	$18	0xece3d2…
10-13 21:35:40	Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	No	SELL	43	83¢	$36	0x4a8ae5…
10-13 21:35:39	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	45	85¢	$38	0x52f9fe…
10-13 21:35:37	Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	Yes	SELL	100	74¢	$74	0x6c15b8…
10-08 23:29:11	Will Alfred Cannan be the next Chief Minister of the Isle of Man?	No	SELL	130	84¢	$109	0x92be27…
10-08 23:28:59	Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?	No	SELL	126	92¢	$116	0xb72af4…
10-08 23:28:47	Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	Yes	SELL	628	79¢	$496	0xa64352…
10-07 12:17:07	Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	SELL	151	70¢	$105	0x7112d4…
10-07 12:17:01	Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	SELL	18	74¢	$13	0x043fba…
10-07 12:16:55	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	SELL	100	90¢	$90	0x18972a…
10-07 12:16:44	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0x75ec9f…
10-07 12:16:35	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	SELL	58	78¢	$45	0x407f45…
10-07 12:16:14	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	80	70¢	$56	0x8899af…
10-07 12:14:13	Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	SELL	95	78¢	$74	0xe6abc4…
10-07 12:14:10	Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?	Yes	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0x5320c3…
10-07 12:14:08	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	SELL	51	69¢	$35	0xa7d031…
10-07 12:14:07	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?	Yes	SELL	11	46¢	$5	0x89253f…
10-07 12:14:04	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	SELL	205	81¢	$166	0x03bac5…
10-06 21:00:38	Will Jynxzi, Ron and Los beat the Minecraft challenge by October 8?	No	BUY	51	75¢	$38	0x2b40f6…
10-06 18:03:15	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?	No	BUY	58	79¢	$46	0x20343f…
10-06 18:02:50	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	80	71¢	$57	0x2e004a…
10-06 14:45:32	Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	59	80¢	$47	0x56e0d5…
10-06 14:45:18	Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	67	72¢	$48	0xf3a05b…
10-06 08:30:37	Will Team Spirit win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	74	79¢	$59	0xa6ee09…
10-06 08:30:19	Will Team Yandex win BLAST Slam VIII?	No	BUY	83	72¢	$60	0x0f78e5…
10-06 05:53:09	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 12?	Yes	BUY	18	68¢	$12	0xfd1f04…
10-06 05:52:55	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	90	75¢	$67	0x3502de…
10-06 02:15:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	No	BUY	115	75¢	$86	0x98aed4…
10-04 00:47:56	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	56	61¢	$34	0xde2a0c…
10-04 00:47:22	Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?	Yes	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0xbd0a5d…
10-04 00:46:50	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	40	71¢	$28	0x2d85e0…
10-03 18:15:45	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	No	BUY	20	62¢	$12	0xf6c3d7…
10-03 05:02:30	Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	42	69¢	$29	0xc74b71…
10-03 05:02:03	Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	49	70¢	$34	0x51d626…
10-03 05:00:47	Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	No	BUY	23	62¢	$15	0x53e517…
10-02 22:46:41	Will Carlos Jordy win the most votes in the 2026 Rio de Janeiro Senate election?	No	BUY	34	72¢	$24	0xcedde8…
10-02 22:46:15	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	2	67¢	$1	0x0c09c7…
10-02 22:45:41	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	43	58¢	$25	0xaa00a3…
10-02 22:45:26	Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	23	61¢	$14	0x41db92…
10-02 18:14:53	Will Ricardo Ferraço win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?	Yes	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0x435193…
10-02 16:15:44	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	9,282	0¢	$27	0x8d1684…
10-02 06:03:26	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	BUY	48	71¢	$34	0x60cda0…
10-02 06:02:53	Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	53	70¢	$37	0x98156e…
10-02 06:01:14	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	64¢	$32	0x60183d…
10-01 22:35:18	Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	43	76¢	$33	0x9b67c6…
10-01 22:34:54	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x8b73fd…
10-01 22:33:41	Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xddd66f…
10-01 22:32:59	Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	45	67¢	$30	0x270f8a…
10-01 22:32:36	Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	BUY	47	65¢	$30	0xadf4f8…
10-01 22:32:14	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	BUY	52	58¢	$30	0x487d5d…
10-01 22:31:50	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	No	BUY	55	59¢	$33	0xf82930…
10-01 22:31:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 2?	No	BUY	48	74¢	$35	0x1b5950…
10-01 22:31:00	Will the September 2026 unemployment rate be 4.2%?	No	BUY	29	71¢	$21	0xce722a…
10-01 09:46:50	Will SV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	27	66¢	$18	0x0f876e…
10-01 09:46:38	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	54	66¢	$36	0xb5065a…
10-01 09:46:26	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $107.50 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	55	76¢	$42	0x4209eb…
10-01 03:33:00	Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	No	BUY	29	64¢	$19	0x163e84…
10-01 03:32:38	Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	36	63¢	$22	0x44ecc9…
10-01 03:31:38	will ewy reach 191 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xf61475…
10-01 03:30:54	will ewy reach 189 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	40	60¢	$24	0x63b104…
10-01 03:30:36	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	85	69¢	$59	0xed4368…
09-30 21:18:50	Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	Yes	BUY	42	65¢	$27	0x2f6f7a…
09-30 21:18:24	Will Federação União Progressista (UPB) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election?	No	BUY	34	65¢	$22	0x4691b0…
09-30 21:17:53	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Tocantins?	Yes	BUY	36	65¢	$23	0xa115e5…
09-30 21:17:27	Will Teresa Surita win the most votes in the 2026 Roraima Senate election?	Yes	BUY	38	65¢	$25	0x2f2408…
09-30 21:16:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	68	80¢	$55	0x3f8c8a…
09-30 21:15:48	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	90	78¢	$70	0xea63a2…
09-30 18:27:05	Will Jerônimo Rodrigues win the 2026 Bahia gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	32	61¢	$19	0xd2368c…
09-30 18:26:44	Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 35 and 40 million views in week 1?	No	BUY	42	77¢	$32	0xcff60b…
09-30 18:26:26	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	78	74¢	$58	0xf05659…
09-30 18:26:05	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	62	80¢	$50	0x15b0b6…
09-30 18:25:44	Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?	No	BUY	44	65¢	$28	0x86d017…
09-30 15:03:38	Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	42	67¢	$28	0x74a8ce…
09-30 15:03:09	Will Augusto Cury finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x5dca3d…
09-30 15:02:03	Will Mara Rocha win the most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election?	No	BUY	22	65¢	$14	0xf6bd69…
09-30 15:01:44	Will Delegado André David win the most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?	No	BUY	37	64¢	$24	0xb114dd…
09-30 15:01:18	Will Marília Campos win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	No	BUY	41	56¢	$23	0x910061…
09-30 15:01:06	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	Yes	BUY	38	62¢	$23	0xc80d40…
09-30 15:00:51	Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?	No	BUY	41	65¢	$26	0x252df9…
09-30 15:00:36	Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,030	4¢	$39	0xb2a872…
09-29 04:01:42	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $240 in September?	No	BUY	40	77¢	$31	0xefcc6b…
09-29 04:01:29	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (LOW) $345 in September?	No	BUY	44	78¢	$35	0xe8bbaf…
09-29 04:01:17	Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	54	69¢	$37	0x0e97a5…
09-29 04:01:03	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 in September?	No	BUY	56	69¢	$39	0xb5ef66…
09-29 04:00:41	Will there be between 25 and 29 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on September 30?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0xbe8389…
09-29 04:00:30	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in September?	No	BUY	71	45¢	$32	0x4e7ac3…
09-28 21:45:27	Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $700 in September?	No	BUY	31	57¢	$17	0x8659ea…
09-28 05:01:15	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	38	74¢	$28	0x583351…
09-28 05:01:02	Will there be exactly 3 North Korea tests in September 2026?	No	BUY	35	72¢	$26	0xcef241…
09-28 05:00:50	Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026?	No	BUY	30	63¢	$19	0x104455…
09-28 05:00:30	will dxy dip to 100 50 in september 2026 from september 23	No	BUY	55	76¢	$41	0x33e64d…
09-28 05:00:18	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.50 in September?	No	BUY	73	64¢	$47	0x69e7b0…
09-27 22:45:48	Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.50 in September?	No	BUY	38	59¢	$23	0x633218…
09-27 22:45:36	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.4% in August?	No	BUY	46	69¢	$32	0xe6bf85…
09-27 22:45:24	Will Core PCE YoY be 3.3% in August?	No	BUY	45	68¢	$31	0x8c6ce1…
09-27 00:30:14	Will "Forgotten Island" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?	No	BUY	44	74¢	$33	0xb1f456…