Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3.89K

Unrealized P&L

+$17

Hit rate

72.1%

Resolved

157

Trades

2,055

lifetime

Volume

$176.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$86

Open exposure

$289

10 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-07 08:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

100% 53% +$3,966

Politics

0% 0% -$75

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day

Open positions (10) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	+128	$55	100¢	$127	+$73	11-07 01:18
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	No	+57	$11	92¢	$53	+$42	11-04 05:23
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	+57	$38	80¢	$45	+$7	11-07 02:03
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	+100	$49	18¢	$19	-$30	11-07 08:56
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+115	$14	15¢	$18	+$3	11-07 06:40
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+105	$13	11¢	$12	-$2	11-07 04:44
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	+10	$9	92¢	$9	$0	11-07 04:48
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	+59	$18	8¢	$4	-$13	11-05 17:48
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	Yes	+90	$5	2¢	$2	-$3	11-06 01:32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	+127	$59	0¢	$0	-$59	11-07 06:34

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
elon musk of tweets march 24 march 31 200 219	60	$9.8K	9,332	5,298	+4,035	No	+$430	03-31 08:17
elon musk of tweets march 19 march 21 65 89	36	$5.6K	3,405	2,852	+552	No	+$605	03-21 10:11
elon musk of tweets march 20 march 27 240 259	30	$5.3K	4,283	2,333	+1,950	No	+$244	03-26 23:44
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	42	$5.0K	3,510	3,510	+0	No	-$44	11-03 16:16
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 65 89	16	$3.8K	2,332	2,332	+0	No	+$306	03-30 02:54
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 40 64	33	$3.7K	2,544	2,125	+418	No	+$31	03-28 09:53
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 31 to November 2, 2026?	60	$3.6K	2,647	2,647	+0	No	+$204	11-01 23:49
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	57	$3.5K	3,897	2,650	+1,247	Yes	+$341	10-23 15:33
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	3	$3.2K	1,692	1,692	+0	No	+$70	10-07 15:04
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	30	$2.9K	2,339	1,899	+441	No	+$175	11-06 16:18
elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	20	$2.9K	1,693	1,693	+0	No	+$27	04-10 06:32
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?	60	$2.9K	3,095	2,585	+510	No	-$105	10-28 07:43
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 17 to October 19, 2026?	40	$2.8K	2,008	1,776	+233	Yes	-$295	10-19 05:05
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	39	$2.8K	2,033	2,033	+0	Yes	-$129	11-03 13:09
elon musk of tweets march 28 march 30 40 64	17	$2.8K	2,116	2,187	-71	Yes	-$499	03-30 02:55
elon musk of tweets february 7 february 9 65 89	20	$2.8K	1,745	2,095	-350	No	-$309	02-09 05:41
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?	13	$2.7K	1,754	1,754	+0	No	-$120	10-07 17:10
elon musk of tweets march 13 march 20 300 319	10	$2.7K	1,550	1,750	-200	No	+$404	03-20 06:51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	17	$2.6K	1,717	1,500	+217	No	+$223	11-04 05:54
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	40	$2.5K	2,128	2,027	+100	open	—	11-07 08:56
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	58	$2.5K	2,224	1,969	+255	open	—	11-07 06:34
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	25	$2.4K	1,412	1,467	-55	No	+$248	02-06 06:46
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	14	$2.4K	1,683	1,683	+0	No	+$393	10-30 13:50
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 2 to November 4, 2026?	53	$2.4K	2,667	2,442	+225	Yes	-$759	11-04 15:13
elon musk of tweets december 30 january 6 500 519	4	$2.3K	1,085	1,459	-374	No	+$119	01-06 06:36
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	52	$2.3K	2,135	2,081	+54	Yes	+$77	10-27 15:44
elon musk of tweets march 5 march 7 0 39	1	$2.2K	2,195	0	+2,195	No	+$5	03-06 14:46
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	36	$2.2K	1,544	1,544	-0	No	+$82	10-31 07:01
elon musk of tweets february 9 february 11 65 89	10	$2.1K	1,991	574	+1,417	No	+$468	02-10 13:15
elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 90 114	6	$2.0K	1,121	1,121	+0	No	+$15	03-28 10:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-07 08:56:42	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	64	19¢	$12	0xbf1e06…
11-07 07:57:45	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	57	22¢	$13	0x05eab6…
11-07 06:51:13	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	107	21¢	$22	0xdc3c99…
11-07 06:48:54	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	118	20¢	$23	0xbcd14c…
11-07 06:48:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	31	19¢	$6	0xfbbea7…
11-07 06:48:24	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x5daaa4…
11-07 06:45:54	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	21¢	$6	0xb5655a…
11-07 06:43:16	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	21¢	$12	0x6006a5…
11-07 06:41:12	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xa0ebde…
11-07 06:40:22	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	14¢	$8	0x9de0f4…
11-07 06:36:21	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	55	17¢	$9	0xfe0137…
11-07 06:35:04	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xbd0eb5…
11-07 06:34:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	0¢	$0	0x9e958a…
11-07 06:10:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0xe186cb…
11-07 05:36:46	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	34	82¢	$28	0x4edf68…
11-07 05:16:31	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	74	79¢	$59	0x6fe907…
11-07 04:48:39	Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x22521c…
11-07 04:44:03	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	105	13¢	$13	0xa4eb84…
11-07 04:28:48	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	108	81¢	$88	0x50ddc6…
11-07 04:28:43	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	203	20¢	$41	0x0883bd…
11-07 03:46:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	45	27¢	$12	0xc36d2a…
11-07 03:46:27	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	43	27¢	$12	0x1f5116…
11-07 03:46:12	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	0	27¢	$0	0x4cc1cc…
11-07 03:38:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	5¢	$6	0x89b3b7…
11-07 02:03:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x295985…
11-07 02:01:07	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x9b3b1b…
11-07 01:57:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xcdfdef…
11-07 01:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xc0dfa3…
11-07 01:56:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0xadcbe8…
11-07 01:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x26f675…
11-07 01:56:30	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x262773…
11-07 01:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x3f7404…
11-07 01:54:33	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x30e202…
11-07 01:53:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x99343a…
11-07 01:53:42	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x5a2380…
11-07 01:45:55	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x70df9a…
11-07 01:45:01	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x1c36c8…
11-07 01:41:07	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	115	32¢	$37	0x6b5ff5…
11-07 01:18:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	296	92¢	$273	0x8b3947…
11-07 01:18:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x5f7172…
11-07 01:06:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	255	92¢	$235	0x9a0a4b…
11-07 01:06:25	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x22d8e4…
11-07 00:58:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0x9fc5bd…
11-07 00:26:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	121	87¢	$105	0xd7a20a…
11-07 00:15:45	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	134	2¢	$3	0x1e0b2a…
11-06 23:16:49	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0xe67348…
11-06 23:14:34	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0xfdf6a0…
11-06 23:07:03	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	77	79¢	$61	0x337c9a…
11-06 23:06:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	138	76¢	$105	0xbac7f9…
11-06 23:05:07	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	222	3¢	$6	0x5c842a…
11-06 22:56:46	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	70¢	$38	0x869b09…
11-06 22:40:03	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	56¢	$12	0x2fb51d…
11-06 22:38:28	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	26	72¢	$19	0x5379cf…
11-06 22:34:49	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 8, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0xb88fce…
11-06 22:32:16	US x Iran effective ceasefire continues through November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	222	8¢	$17	0x28ac97…
11-06 21:55:45	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	48	76¢	$37	0xb8344a…
11-06 21:55:01	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	116	11¢	$12	0xdbc527…
11-06 21:54:46	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	100	76¢	$76	0xeaf9b2…
11-06 21:32:36	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	116	15¢	$18	0x616e5c…
11-06 21:17:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	255	74¢	$189	0xb1b001…
11-06 19:49:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?	Yes	BUY	58	11¢	$6	0x40e1fd…
11-06 19:47:49	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	SELL	241	73¢	$177	0xa39f43…
11-06 19:43:39	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	137	46¢	$63	0xff1480…
11-06 19:43:33	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	0¢	$0	0x38d8f1…
11-06 19:43:28	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	434	1¢	$3	0xc2265b…
11-06 19:43:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	272	10¢	$28	0xa41116…
11-06 19:42:52	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	99	49¢	$49	0x74446b…
11-06 19:42:21	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	37¢	$29	0xf1c0c9…
11-06 16:21:40	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x768301…
11-06 16:20:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	159	76¢	$120	0x3df1df…
11-06 16:20:12	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	4	36¢	$1	0xf213c9…
11-06 16:18:52	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	133	1¢	$1	0x2beba7…
11-06 16:18:43	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	124	1¢	$1	0x8aaca5…
11-06 16:18:37	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	124	2¢	$2	0xb80313…
11-06 16:18:01	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	348	3¢	$12	0xc59967…
11-06 16:17:39	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	90	65¢	$58	0xbea422…
11-06 16:17:12	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	46	37¢	$17	0x15021e…
11-06 16:17:04	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0xe9a97d…
11-06 16:15:31	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	15	15¢	$2	0xc39fd3…
11-06 16:11:51	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	86	2¢	$2	0x4a8b7e…
11-06 16:11:39	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	80	12¢	$10	0x6378ed…
11-06 16:10:40	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0xdd1b20…
11-06 16:10:33	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	54	60¢	$32	0xa5c32a…
11-06 16:10:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	118	98¢	$116	0x009c79…
11-06 16:09:48	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 7 to November 9, 2026?	No	BUY	225	71¢	$160	0x71f85d…
11-06 16:08:55	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	25	12¢	$3	0x0b8e6f…
11-06 16:06:00	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	12¢	$18	0x8cd6ef…
11-06 16:04:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	195	98¢	$192	0xd0bec5…
11-06 16:04:39	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	405	98¢	$399	0x158de7…
11-06 16:00:07	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x4f61ac…
11-06 15:51:10	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	28	41¢	$12	0x3d71da…
11-06 14:24:36	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	55	7¢	$4	0xda093c…
11-06 13:30:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	115	34¢	$39	0x97274b…
11-06 13:30:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	49¢	$28	0xc8028e…
11-06 13:04:37	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	13	51¢	$7	0x1ea67d…
11-06 13:04:24	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	SELL	65	53¢	$34	0x9ea2da…
11-06 13:04:01	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	SELL	57	16¢	$9	0xab9543…
11-06 12:56:51	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	16¢	$7	0xe991ba…
11-06 12:48:19	Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from November 5 to November 7, 2026?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xdffaba…
11-06 12:47:24	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	34	19¢	$6	0xe5b25e…