Grave-Stupidity — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

66.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

4 positions

First seen

2026-03-10

last 06-23 11:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

38% — —

Politics

32% — —

Crypto

17% 67% +$1

Sports

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	-2	$-2	71¢	$-2	+$0	06-17 11:56
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	-1	$-1	94¢	$-1	$-0	06-22 18:19
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	-1	$-1	97¢	$-1	$-0	06-15 16:24
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	-8	$-1	11¢	$-1	+$1	06-17 11:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$3	3	2	+2	open	—	06-23 11:27
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	1	$2	0	2	-2	open	—	06-17 11:56
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	1	$1	0	8	-8	open	—	06-17 11:56
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-22 18:19
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	1	$1	0	1	-1	open	—	06-15 16:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	1	$1	3	0	+3	Up	+$2	05-08 16:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-05 15:54
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	1	$1	5	0	+5	open	—	03-31 12:32
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-10 17:02
btc updown 5m 1782147600	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	06-22 17:00
no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	1	$1	13	0	+13	open	—	03-10 17:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-12 13:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-10 17:02
bra int sao 2026 04 01 sao	1	$1	4	0	+4	open	—	03-31 12:28
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	1	$1	3	0	+3	open	—	03-10 17:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	03-10 17:07
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-12 10:46
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-10 17:01
kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	03-31 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 17:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-23 11:27:28	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xa9bcdd…
06-22 18:25:19	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xc46b53…
06-22 18:19:11	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x59c390…
06-22 17:00:31	btc updown 5m 1782147600	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x4f64b6…
06-17 11:56:35	Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?	Yes	SELL	8	17¢	$1	0x6be6bd…
06-17 11:56:14	Nothing Ever Happens: 2026	Yes	SELL	2	83¢	$2	0x1c99f0…
06-15 16:24:13	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0xe9d2b8…
05-29 15:59:45	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	2	17¢	$0	0x0afa69…
05-12 10:46:28	Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xfb1cf1…
05-08 16:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xea4b11…
05-05 17:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xc05935…
05-05 15:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc95b5b…
03-31 12:32:39	kharg island no longer under iranian control by april 15	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xf419b7…
03-31 12:32:19	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x7f30f4…
03-31 12:28:21	bra int sao 2026 04 01 sao	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa9b884…
03-12 13:52:03	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x683828…
03-10 17:11:13	no change in the selic rate after bank of brazils march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x3e4504…
03-10 17:07:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xb83ef6…
03-10 17:02:17	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbf50b7…
03-10 17:02:13	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x091262…
03-10 17:02:07	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x7a43dd…
03-10 17:01:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x0118e5…