Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.2%

Resolved

Trades

106

lifetime

Volume

$514

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-25

last 02-19 20:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Crypto

62% 29% -$21

Other

23% 25% -$3

Politics

15% 11% +$21

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-02-19).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	6	$64	57	57	+0	Yes	+$8	01-31 12:13
bitcoin above 84k on january 31	6	$50	94	52	+42	No	-$10	01-31 12:15
bitcoin above 82k on january 31	4	$44	180	26	+155	No	+$2	01-31 14:45
ethereum above 2600 on january 31	5	$42	55	34	+20	No	+$6	01-31 14:54
ethereum above 2500 on january 31	3	$25	26	15	+10	No	+$7	01-31 14:53
bitcoin above 78k on february 2	2	$22	15	15	+0	Yes	+$8	02-02 18:33
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	2	$22	271	271	+0	No	-$4	02-19 19:59
will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	3	$22	133	133	+0	No	-$10	02-03 13:17
will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	2	$21	17	17	+0	Yes	+$11	02-02 02:44
will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 31	2	$20	21	21	+0	Yes	+$10	01-31 14:43
bitcoin above 80k on january 31	2	$16	46	0	+46	Yes	-$3	01-31 14:47
bitcoin above 88k on january 28	4	$15	19	19	+0	Yes	-$1	01-28 11:03
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$14	56	0	+56	Yes	+$42	02-19 20:00
bitcoin above 78k on february 3	1	$12	18	0	+18	No	-$12	02-03 14:04
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	5	$11	365	365	+0	No	-$8	02-03 13:17
bitcoin above 90k on january 28	2	$10	7	7	+0	No	+$0	01-28 11:03
will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	1	$10	74	0	+74	No	-$10	01-31 21:58
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	2	$9	107	107	+0	No	-$1	02-01 19:45
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	2	$6	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$4	02-19 19:59
bitcoin up or down on february 3	1	$6	16	0	+16	Down	-$6	02-03 14:07
xrp above 1pt6 on february 1	2	$6	5	5	+0	No	+$4	02-01 19:00
will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	2	$5	450	0	+450	Yes	-$5	01-31 21:54
ethereum above 2500 on february 1	1	$5	15	0	+15	No	-$5	01-31 23:53
xrp above 1pt7 on february 1	1	$4	16	0	+16	No	-$4	02-01 01:51
bitcoin above 88k on january 27	1	$4	9	0	+9	Yes	+$5	01-27 13:52
bitcoin above 90k on january 27	1	$4	4	0	+4	No	+$0	01-27 13:52
ethereum above 2700 on january 31	2	$3	243	0	+243	No	-$3	01-31 14:54
xrp above 1pt9 on february 6	2	$3	23	23	+0	No	-$1	02-01 19:00
Will the US strike another country first?	1	$2	675	0	+675	No	-$2	02-04 02:14
will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	1	$2	22	0	+22	No	-$2	01-31 22:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
02-19 20:00:12	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	Yes	BUY	56	25¢	$14	0x354c15…
02-19 19:59:48	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	SELL	271	3¢	$9	0x5651dc…
02-19 19:59:40	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$5	0xe85f7f…
02-12 16:38:49	Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	271	5¢	$13	0xd85466…
02-04 02:14:36	Will the US strike another country first?	Yes	BUY	675	0¢	$2	0x86c5ff…
02-04 02:14:26	Will the US strike Somalia next?	No	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xff3d36…
02-03 14:07:28	bitcoin up or down on february 3	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x854bed…
02-03 14:04:58	bitcoin above 78k on february 3	Yes	BUY	18	67¢	$12	0x294566…
02-03 13:17:22	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	Yes	SELL	133	4¢	$6	0x979eaf…
02-03 13:17:12	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	Yes	SELL	365	0¢	$1	0xcd1a85…
02-02 18:33:42	bitcoin above 78k on february 2	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xf4577a…
02-02 13:43:58	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	Yes	BUY	69	13¢	$9	0x0892c3…
02-02 02:44:16	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	Yes	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0xe62701…
02-01 19:46:02	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	250	3¢	$6	0xfbe662…
02-01 19:45:44	us strikes iran by february 2 2026	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0xc65fab…
02-01 19:45:36	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$1	0x4ef6c9…
02-01 19:45:32	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	Yes	SELL	107	4¢	$4	0x107b4b…
02-01 19:44:24	us strikes iran by february 1 2026	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xff8b99…
02-01 19:44:16	us strikes iran by february 4 2026	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x4c61a8…
02-01 19:43:56	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xdcffd2…
02-01 19:43:50	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0x472b9a…
02-01 19:43:42	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xd72a72…
02-01 19:43:34	us strikes iran by february 2 2026	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x499ea5…
02-01 19:42:16	us strikes iran by february 5 2026	Yes	BUY	107	5¢	$5	0x61f982…
02-01 19:41:16	will the price of bitcoin be less than 80000 on february 1	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbf1e9a…
02-01 19:40:18	ethereum above 2400 on february 1	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa99e80…
02-01 19:39:56	bitcoin above 78k on february 2	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x91e53a…
02-01 19:39:18	bitcoin above 82k on february 2	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xac2f84…
02-01 19:38:40	bitcoin up or down on february 1	Up	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xbc2e6c…
02-01 19:37:44	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xa38780…
02-01 19:00:46	xrp above 1pt9 on february 6	Yes	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0xe9359c…
02-01 19:00:36	xrp above 1pt6 on february 1	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc5ec62…
02-01 01:55:22	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0b72cb…
02-01 01:55:16	Will Trump nominate Jerome Powell as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x971d33…
02-01 01:55:08	Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x468a48…
02-01 01:55:02	Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x0ff8b5…
02-01 01:54:54	Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xf17f68…
02-01 01:54:34	Will Trump nominate Janet Yellen as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x8e73fd…
02-01 01:54:18	Will Trump nominate Barron Trump as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5fc9fc…
02-01 01:54:10	Will Trump nominate himself as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xedbabf…
02-01 01:54:02	Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe676a1…
02-01 01:51:52	xrp above 1pt7 on february 1	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x987524…
02-01 01:51:42	xrp above 1pt6 on february 1	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xbbddbf…
02-01 01:50:24	xrp above 1pt9 on february 6	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x2a1eff…
02-01 01:49:26	ethereum above 2700 on february 3	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0d36bd…
02-01 01:48:14	will bitcoin reach 92k january 26 1	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x82a5c4…
02-01 01:47:20	bitcoin above 98k on february 1	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x5c7270…
02-01 01:46:36	will solana reach 150 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xb572ae…
02-01 01:46:18	will solana dip to 90 in january 2026	Yes	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0x5de68f…
01-31 23:53:38	ethereum above 2500 on february 1	Yes	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0x046b38…
01-31 23:53:00	ethereum above 2600 on february 1	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8b029b…
01-31 22:05:22	will the government shutdown last 10 days or more 772 652	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x786f33…
01-31 22:02:20	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	No	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x87a681…
01-31 22:01:26	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0x2d804b…
01-31 22:01:14	russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x759bf9…
01-31 21:59:00	will bitcoin dip to 70k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xf166c1…
01-31 21:58:34	will bitcoin dip to 75k in january 2026	Yes	BUY	74	14¢	$10	0x3ac781…
01-31 21:54:56	will the government shutdown last 7 days or more 188 769 669 728 992	Yes	BUY	64	11¢	$7	0xb6553b…
01-31 21:54:32	will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	No	BUY	250	1¢	$3	0x3bc720…
01-31 14:54:24	ethereum above 2600 on january 31	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x6ceb5b…
01-31 14:54:00	ethereum above 2700 on january 31	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x427294…
01-31 14:53:20	ethereum above 2500 on january 31	Yes	SELL	15	71¢	$11	0x6114ee…
01-31 14:52:38	ethereum above 2500 on january 31	No	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x2def7f…
01-31 14:50:40	will the government shutdown last 3 days or more	No	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0xd66d6d…
01-31 14:50:18	will the government shutdown last 4 days or more 831	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x4a655f…
01-31 14:47:52	bitcoin above 80k on january 31	Yes	BUY	13	87¢	$11	0xe21d6a…
01-31 14:47:26	bitcoin above 80k on january 31	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xd5f793…
01-31 14:45:10	bitcoin above 82k on january 31	Yes	BUY	106	10¢	$11	0x8f3dae…
01-31 14:44:38	bitcoin above 82k on january 31	Yes	BUY	49	10¢	$5	0x5fc8aa…
01-31 14:43:48	ethereum above 2600 on january 31	No	SELL	26	93¢	$24	0x45b36b…
01-31 14:43:34	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 31	Yes	SELL	21	70¢	$15	0xe413ef…
01-31 14:43:22	bitcoin above 82k on january 31	No	SELL	26	90¢	$23	0xeb8548…
01-31 14:42:50	ethereum above 2500 on january 31	Yes	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x8c7642…
01-31 14:42:00	ethereum above 2600 on january 31	Yes	SELL	9	6¢	$1	0x19b315…
01-31 14:21:24	will trump talk to kim jong un in january	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xb993bf…
01-31 14:21:04	will trump talk to nicols maduro in january	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x3a96d1…
01-31 14:19:56	ethereum above 2600 on january 31	Yes	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x4de9f2…
01-31 14:19:20	ethereum above 2600 on january 31	No	BUY	26	43¢	$11	0xb132e9…
01-31 14:18:52	ethereum above 2700 on january 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x78a772…
01-31 14:17:52	will the price of bitcoin be between 80000 82000 on january 31	Yes	BUY	21	23¢	$5	0x5bb6ab…
01-31 14:16:56	bitcoin above 82k on january 31	No	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x867534…
01-31 12:15:30	bitcoin above 84k on january 31	Yes	BUY	42	5¢	$2	0x86a1d4…
01-31 12:14:16	bitcoin above 84k on january 31	Yes	SELL	33	3¢	$1	0xb20c5c…
01-31 12:14:04	bitcoin above 84k on january 31	No	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x9c2a4d…
01-31 12:13:50	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	35	99¢	$34	0x89df95…
01-31 03:06:48	bitcoin above 84k on january 31	No	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x93fa8e…
01-31 03:06:32	bitcoin above 84k on january 31	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x3b16bc…
01-31 03:05:56	bitcoin above 84k on january 31	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0xb2856e…
01-31 02:54:12	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x7783f9…
01-30 01:07:14	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x633594…
01-30 01:07:08	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x1e3587…
01-30 01:02:48	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x71ce16…
01-30 01:02:38	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x91a541…
01-28 11:03:55	bitcoin above 88k on january 28	No	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x4c6648…
01-28 11:03:47	bitcoin above 88k on january 28	Yes	SELL	6	90¢	$6	0x733c90…
01-28 11:03:45	bitcoin above 90k on january 28	No	SELL	7	71¢	$5	0xca1828…
01-27 22:25:53	bitcoin above 88k on january 28	Yes	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x162506…
01-27 22:25:41	bitcoin above 88k on january 28	No	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x7ed871…
01-27 22:25:15	bitcoin above 90k on january 28	No	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd75e51…
01-27 13:52:57	bitcoin above 90k on january 27	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xd1a6a7…