Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

-$27

Hit rate

69.1%

Resolved

520

Trades

1,616

lifetime

Volume

$5.76K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$29

2 positions

First seen

2026-09-11

last 10-23 13:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 18 days

Categories

Other

100% 56% -$13

Tech

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

24 active days in 12wk • peak 223 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes		+25	$20	62¢	$16	-$4	09-30 19:37
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes		+94	$36	14¢	$13	-$23	10-22 20:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	5	$50	68	0	+68	Yes	+$18	10-01 10:24
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	5	$50	57	0	+57	Yes	+$7	10-09 09:30
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18?	4	$46	34	34	+0	Yes	+$22	09-18 18:11
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	7	$44	121	28	+94	open	—	10-22 20:31
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 19?	8	$43	41	41	+0	Yes	+$12	09-19 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19?	7	$37	25	25	+0	No	+$13	09-19 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 18?	4	$37	25	25	+0	No	+$13	09-18 18:11
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?	4	$37	29	29	+0	Yes	+$21	09-21 16:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 17?	4	$34	30	30	+0	Yes	+$19	09-17 07:43
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 19?	5	$34	26	26	+0	Yes	+$18	09-19 09:24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 14?	7	$32	31	31	+0	Yes	+$12	09-14 18:12
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21?	4	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$8	09-21 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 19?	4	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$8	09-19 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 21?	4	$31	19	19	+0	No	+$7	09-21 22:27
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 14?	13	$31	19	19	+0	No	+$7	09-14 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 20?	6	$31	19	19	+0	No	+$7	09-20 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 20?	7	$30	22	21	+1	Yes	+$6	09-20 16:11
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 16?	4	$29	17	17	+0	No	+$5	09-16 09:17
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 17?	8	$29	18	18	+0	No	+$5	09-17 10:42
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16?	4	$28	16	16	+0	No	+$4	09-16 15:11
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 20?	5	$28	31	31	+0	Yes	+$4	09-20 02:10
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 15?	6	$28	19	19	+0	No	+$4	09-15 22:46
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 14?	3	$27	19	19	+0	No	+$11	09-14 18:12
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 12?	5	$27	19	19	+0	No	+$11	09-12 09:32
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 17?	4	$27	15	15	+0	No	+$3	09-17 03:11
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 17?	5	$27	15	15	+0	No	+$3	09-17 10:42
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on September 18?	4	$26	14	14	+0	No	+$2	09-18 06:11
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 30°C on September 19?	6	$26	21	21	+0	No	+$2	09-19 09:11
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 13?	5	$26	18	18	+0	Yes	+$10	09-13 10:02
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C on September 19?	6	$26	17	17	+0	No	+$2	09-19 13:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-23 13:27:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0x4c0d22…
10-23 13:27:56	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	21¢	$0	0x0f74c7…
10-22 20:31:38	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	13	15¢	$2	0xc5aa97…
10-22 20:25:03	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	11	14¢	$2	0x73db1a…
10-22 20:19:44	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0xf558d1…
10-21 14:57:08	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	71¢	$1	0xd84574…
10-21 13:29:23	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0x35e383…
10-19 15:42:59	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	75¢	$2	0x28e142…
10-15 04:29:58	next claude opus released by october 31 2026	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xeb8181…
10-14 01:46:25	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd46730…
10-13 19:54:57	Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x7bb1dc…
10-13 11:59:05	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xf7c597…
10-13 11:40:47	Gemini 4.0 released by October 13, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x1bb58d…
10-09 09:30:42	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x056d65…
10-09 03:39:48	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x8f01c8…
10-09 02:27:11	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x498140…
10-09 00:29:45	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x950f64…
10-09 00:23:36	Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x828749…
10-08 21:44:27	gemini 4pt0 released by october 12 2026	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x118c7b…
10-08 21:44:20	gemini 4pt0 released by october 12 2026	No	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xb707fa…
10-08 21:34:09	Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x66e960…
10-08 18:34:00	Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena \| WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x5c2a94…
10-01 10:24:14	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0xf1c1f1…
10-01 10:24:12	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x156fd1…
10-01 10:24:11	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x96aa46…
10-01 10:22:57	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0xb12b42…
09-30 19:37:08	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0x5f4269…
09-29 18:48:33	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x6fd7ea…
09-29 18:34:14	Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x22e6e4…
09-29 18:34:12	Will DeepSeek IPO by June 30, 2027?	Yes	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xd1cfa4…
09-29 14:29:30	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x45e49e…
09-29 14:29:29	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe64c1a…
09-29 14:29:29	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xde6c1c…
09-29 14:29:27	Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?	Yes	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xe94996…
09-29 11:19:44	Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	79¢	$10	0xf03a75…
09-22 13:38:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 22?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x3b8e9f…
09-22 09:11:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on September 22?	No	SELL	1	78¢	$0	0x9923c0…
09-22 06:11:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on September 22?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc3c4d6…
09-22 06:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 22?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x58760e…
09-22 03:11:27	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on September 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x5a8c9d…
09-22 03:11:27	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 22?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x57ffd7…
09-22 03:10:59	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 22?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0x0f4c64…
09-22 02:10:44	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 22?	No	SELL	2	77¢	$2	0xede873…
09-22 01:10:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on September 22?	No	SELL	0	75¢	$0	0x20d73b…
09-21 23:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4f39c2…
09-21 23:13:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x09cc29…
09-21 23:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x8e39d3…
09-21 22:54:09	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 21?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x02f52f…
09-21 22:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xb83096…
09-21 22:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x683886…
09-21 21:10:52	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on September 22?	No	SELL	1	66¢	$1	0x02dbfe…
09-21 20:11:06	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on September 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9bf73c…
09-21 19:39:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on September 21?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xd7e346…
09-21 19:10:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 22?	No	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x581591…
09-21 18:12:06	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 21?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x40a6c2…
09-21 18:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 22?	No	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x9ca178…
09-21 18:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 22?	No	SELL	1	50¢	$0	0x8650d1…
09-21 17:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 21?	No	SELL	4	46¢	$2	0xfdab47…
09-21 17:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on September 22?	No	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x4c19d9…
09-21 16:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 21?	No	SELL	1	33¢	$0	0xb0d9b1…
09-21 16:10:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	10	84¢	$8	0x2634be…
09-21 16:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0x947dcf…
09-21 15:29:06	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x3ef10a…
09-21 15:12:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 21?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xe6b374…
09-21 15:11:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x8e9ea6…
09-21 15:11:40	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21?	No	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x25d87c…
09-21 14:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa0f63d…
09-21 14:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x57e542…
09-21 14:35:54	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa44f1f…
09-21 14:35:51	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x68a9bb…
09-21 14:35:48	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xb6f6f9…
09-21 14:35:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7489c1…
09-21 14:35:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xcedd09…
09-21 14:35:41	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x6c5165…
09-21 14:35:33	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xbd03e5…
09-21 14:35:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xec8d1b…
09-21 14:35:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xc0bc59…
09-21 14:35:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x997a7d…
09-21 14:35:21	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x979332…
09-21 14:35:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa2b51a…
09-21 14:35:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x5c935e…
09-21 14:35:12	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0fc776…
09-21 14:35:03	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xecce76…
09-21 14:35:00	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on September 21?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe80b4d…
09-21 14:10:48	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 21?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0x4f076a…
09-21 12:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	1	43¢	$1	0x4b6d26…
09-21 12:10:56	Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 22?	Yes	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x0ed5c9…
09-21 10:11:05	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 21?	Yes	SELL	12	22¢	$3	0x811cec…
09-21 09:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xb43202…
09-21 09:17:39	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xf87888…
09-21 08:34:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8a10e3…
09-21 08:13:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 21?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x9d8c9b…
09-21 08:11:18	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 22?	Yes	SELL	11	41¢	$4	0x58ad9b…
09-21 08:11:17	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C or higher on September 21?	Yes	SELL	2	28¢	$1	0xa98ddf…
09-21 08:11:15	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	8	51¢	$4	0xc56104…
09-21 06:11:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0xd1cc01…
09-21 06:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xbe4fe0…
09-21 06:11:23	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x28f0ec…
09-21 06:11:22	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on September 21?	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x4749f4…
09-21 05:11:03	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 21?	Yes	SELL	11	31¢	$3	0xbdd4d8…