Shiny-Twist — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

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Unrealized P&L

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Hit rate

—

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

1,666 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$25.5K lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

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0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 09-04 03:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 42% +$2,353

Other

33% 26% -$652

Sports

3% 41% -$47

Politics

1% 14% -$111

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 total 2pt5	1	$1000	1,754	0	+1,754	Under	-$1,000	07-04 20:51
bitcoin above 92k on january 26	2	$920	814	814	+0	No	+$220	01-20 19:13
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?	3	$614	246	493	-247	No	+$94	06-24 00:29
fifwc fra swe 2026 06 30 total 2pt5	1	$545	856	0	+856	Over	+$311	06-30 22:06
bitcoin above 94k on january 20	3	$522	554	554	+0	No	+$244	01-19 15:45
bitcoin above 90k on january 12	3	$482	720	720	+0	Yes	+$166	01-09 14:44
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$469	330	330	+0	$80k	+$69	02-28 09:01
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	2	$451	742	742	+0	80k	-$149	01-14 14:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	2	$416	294	284	+10	No	+$126	04-15 21:58
highest temperature in lucknow on march 5 2026 34corbelow	4	$362	382	0	+382	Yes	+$20	03-04 20:25
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?	2	$334	294	294	+0	No	+$234	06-19 20:27
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	1	$300	337	0	+337	No	+$37	03-16 17:50
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	2	$288	192	192	+0	No	+$88	02-18 18:11
bitcoin above 64k on february 11	4	$279	200	200	+0	Yes	+$75	02-06 19:03
bitcoin above 62k on february 12	2	$277	200	200	+0	Yes	+$83	02-06 19:03
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	3	$269	200	200	+0	No	+$129	05-29 19:51
highest temperature in nyc on march 2 2026 32 33f	2	$245	273	0	+273	Yes	+$28	03-02 21:12
highest temperature in toronto on march 3 2026 3c	5	$235	299	0	+299	Yes	+$64	03-03 19:53
bitcoin above 66k on february 11	2	$234	200	200	+0	Yes	+$34	02-06 14:49
bitcoin above 64k on february 12	2	$201	150	150	+0	Yes	+$51	02-06 19:03
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	3	$200	283	0	+283	Yes	-$200	03-16 17:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $80 on the final trading day of June 2026?	3	$177	62	177	-116	No	+$19	06-24 00:29
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?	2	$170	122	122	+0	No	+$70	06-19 20:27
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 7?	6	$168	110	109	+0	No	+$36	07-08 00:39
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?	3	$167	73	135	-62	No	+$29	06-24 10:06
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on July 5?	6	$161	400	0	+400	Yes	-$161	07-06 00:09
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 7?	7	$152	207	0	+207	Yes	-$152	07-08 00:46
bitcoin above 68k on february 11	4	$144	130	130	+0	No	+$2	02-06 14:47
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 13?	2	$131	132	132	+0	Yes	+$130	07-13 23:15
bitcoin above 94k on january 26	2	$129	90	90	+0	No	+$17	01-20 19:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-04 03:25:51	Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	98	4¢	$4	0x58d2c8…
09-04 03:25:33	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	214	7¢	$15	0x8d881a…
09-04 03:25:12	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in September?	Yes	BUY	125	12¢	$15	0x72f6ee…
09-04 03:24:58	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in September?	Yes	BUY	333	18¢	$60	0x7b9220…
08-05 15:24:00	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on August 5?	No	BUY	44	66¢	$29	0x1c7c14…
08-05 12:28:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 11?	Yes	BUY	109	5¢	$5	0x2e997a…
08-05 12:28:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 11?	Yes	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xd26e4e…
08-05 12:28:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 11?	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x5aa476…
08-05 12:27:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 11?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x44f9c6…
08-05 12:27:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 11?	Yes	BUY	154	13¢	$20	0x84ee5f…
08-05 12:26:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 11?	Yes	BUY	326	5¢	$15	0xcda496…
08-05 12:24:20	will bitcoin reach 65k in august 2026	No	BUY	909	11¢	$100	0x1d6311…
07-16 15:54:04	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0xee547b…
07-16 15:53:38	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	34	3¢	$1	0x0ec978…
07-16 02:29:28	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x044ff5…
07-16 02:29:23	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on July 17?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x70167a…
07-16 02:29:10	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xe0ee11…
07-16 02:29:07	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x943a53…
07-15 17:58:32	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 15?	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x786aaf…
07-15 00:57:43	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or below on July 16?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xb54392…
07-15 00:57:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0xb9b86e…
07-15 00:57:25	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xb8262f…
07-15 00:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x05d22d…
07-15 00:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	64	2¢	$1	0xec45cc…
07-15 00:56:44	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x97eb71…
07-15 00:56:40	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	318	0¢	$1	0xa37438…
07-15 00:55:23	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x95295b…
07-15 00:55:14	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xdd7da5…
07-15 00:55:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or below on July 16?	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$1	0x06ef95…
07-15 00:53:53	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xd972ce…
07-15 00:38:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 18°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	198	1¢	$1	0x5e27e0…
07-15 00:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	74	1¢	$1	0x702a01…
07-15 00:38:02	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	81	1¢	$1	0xbe2261…
07-15 00:08:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on July 14?	Yes	SELL	15	100¢	$15	0xfa8582…
07-14 14:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	716	0¢	$1	0x156524…
07-14 14:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0x5e16a5…
07-14 14:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xeb5db6…
07-14 14:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	169	1¢	$1	0xd3670d…
07-14 14:14:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x0c159c…
07-14 14:14:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	44	4¢	$2	0x3ed896…
07-14 14:14:19	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 13°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	389	0¢	$1	0x6917e3…
07-14 14:13:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xef689b…
07-14 14:13:53	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x40f151…
07-14 14:13:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	170	1¢	$1	0x9cc78d…
07-14 14:12:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x4f926c…
07-14 14:12:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x7824b2…
07-14 14:07:38	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C or below on July 16?	Yes	BUY	365	0¢	$1	0x590726…
07-14 14:07:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	234	0¢	$1	0x8658f6…
07-14 14:07:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	156	1¢	$1	0xd22f86…
07-14 14:06:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xe5a8bb…
07-14 14:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	SELL	40	28¢	$11	0x409d77…
07-14 13:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	SELL	21	26¢	$6	0x14c85e…
07-14 13:46:49	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd21d37…
07-14 13:45:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	49¢	$2	0xe675eb…
07-14 12:51:55	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 15°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x08c6b2…
07-14 12:51:47	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 16°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0xbe697d…
07-14 12:51:41	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 14°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	277	0¢	$1	0x884f5f…
07-14 12:51:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0xa28501…
07-14 09:55:19	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x245c36…
07-14 09:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	641	0¢	$1	0xce1de7…
07-14 09:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xc8310c…
07-14 09:38:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xe5b8c2…
07-14 09:38:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x4338d0…
07-14 09:37:17	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on July 14?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xabeee2…
07-14 09:36:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C or below on July 16?	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x8a4f0b…
07-14 09:36:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xd1f2eb…
07-14 09:35:26	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x31938f…
07-14 01:26:41	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c318e…
07-14 01:26:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x246712…
07-14 01:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x5e16fe…
07-14 01:25:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	952	0¢	$1	0x4904c9…
07-14 01:25:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 34°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	802	0¢	$1	0x1996cd…
07-14 01:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	363	0¢	$1	0x416193…
07-14 01:24:47	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	109	1¢	$1	0xfcedc8…
07-14 01:24:37	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	24	4¢	$1	0x662e20…
07-14 01:24:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0xce128c…
07-14 01:24:20	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C or below on July 14?	Yes	BUY	89	1¢	$1	0xe990ff…
07-14 01:22:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x4e1b2a…
07-14 01:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	106	1¢	$1	0x9d6860…
07-14 01:22:28	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	160	1¢	$1	0xe45fc6…
07-14 01:22:14	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	392	1¢	$2	0xa0afd4…
07-14 01:21:35	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	267	1¢	$2	0xdaf921…
07-14 01:21:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x5b707f…
07-14 01:21:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x8a6338…
07-14 01:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	59	2¢	$1	0xab31a2…
07-14 01:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C or below on July 14?	Yes	BUY	178	1¢	$2	0x2cf9f0…
07-14 01:19:20	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on July 13?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xad1fa0…
07-14 01:18:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C or higher on July 15?	Yes	BUY	202	0¢	$1	0xce55ba…
07-14 01:18:38	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	77	1¢	$1	0x2c3018…
07-14 01:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0xc00b18…
07-14 01:18:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	414	0¢	$2	0xb81923…
07-14 01:17:56	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	347	1¢	$2	0x08d441…
07-14 01:17:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$2	0x21c406…
07-14 01:17:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0xd70661…
07-14 01:17:23	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xdeefe5…
07-14 01:16:53	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C or below on July 14?	Yes	BUY	549	0¢	$2	0x4ef20b…
07-14 01:16:50	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$2	0xcf048e…
07-14 01:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	144	1¢	$2	0x194681…
07-14 01:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	137	1¢	$2	0x1a49dc…
07-14 01:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	21	7¢	$1	0xed4f5c…