Insecure-Temporariness — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$470

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.1%

Resolved

378

Trades

526

lifetime

Volume

$67.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$129

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 09-12 15:56

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 183 days

Categories

Other

85% 92% -$434

Politics

11% 100% +$103

Crypto

2% 94% -$155

Sports

1% 100% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C or below on June 23?	3	$987	497	497	+0	Yes	+$6	06-23 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C or below on June 21?	2	$907	457	457	+0	Yes	+$5	06-21 22:03
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 17?	2	$752	383	383	+0	No	+$13	06-17 16:35
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?	2	$736	370	370	+0	Yes	+$4	06-17 11:08
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 16?	2	$698	360	360	+0	No	+$20	06-16 15:48
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 200 219	2	$698	420	419	+1	No	-$115	04-21 12:46
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 4?	2	$693	349	349	+0	No	+$5	06-04 22:27
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$690	348	348	+0	No	+$2	03-31 23:17
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 4?	2	$673	345	345	+0	No	+$16	06-04 11:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 3?	2	$655	329	329	+0	No	+$2	06-03 18:28
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?	2	$634	328	328	+0	No	+$21	06-03 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 20?	2	$611	312	312	+0	Yes	+$11	06-20 18:00
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 5?	3	$603	303	303	+0	No	+$3	06-05 14:30
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C or higher on June 1?	2	$582	294	294	+0	No	+$5	06-01 09:34
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on June 13?	2	$575	293	293	+0	Yes	+$11	06-13 20:37
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	2	$548	300	300	+0	Yes	-$46	04-30 20:46
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on June 12?	2	$536	270	270	+0	Yes	+$2	06-12 20:10
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 31?	2	$536	273	273	+0	No	+$10	05-31 20:15
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 12?	2	$530	268	268	+0	No	+$4	06-12 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on May 31?	2	$518	264	264	+0	No	+$9	05-31 13:18
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 19?	3	$512	313	202	+111	Yes	+$3	06-19 15:25
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage	2	$509	275	275	+0	Team Falcons	-$25	05-11 09:18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 10?	2	$499	251	251	+0	No	+$3	06-10 19:57
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?	2	$493	248	248	+0	No	+$3	06-10 14:12
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on June 22?	1	$482	491	0	+491	No	+$8	06-22 18:56
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 20?	2	$455	230	230	+0	Yes	+$4	06-20 13:38
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 28?	2	$445	225	225	+0	No	+$3	05-28 19:03
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on May 28?	2	$441	221	221	+0	No	+$1	05-28 08:52
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 7?	2	$438	221	221	+0	No	+$2	06-07 12:54
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on May 27?	2	$438	220	220	+0	No	+$2	05-27 21:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-12 15:56:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on September 12?	No	BUY	34	75¢	$25	0x168ca3…
09-12 15:56:12	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?	Yes	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xb966f4…
09-12 07:08:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x8d7091…
09-12 07:07:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0x33c65f…
09-11 09:55:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 11?	No	BUY	26	89¢	$23	0xc1c578…
09-11 09:55:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 11?	No	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x092e8d…
09-11 09:54:22	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x4b68c0…
09-10 10:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 10?	No	BUY	22	98¢	$22	0x12d83f…
09-10 10:32:22	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0x04011c…
09-10 10:31:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 10?	No	BUY	24	92¢	$22	0x626010…
09-09 20:00:18	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 9?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0xe66815…
09-09 19:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 9?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x7b2697…
09-09 19:59:25	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on September 9?	No	BUY	22	97¢	$21	0x5f7304…
09-09 19:57:39	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 9?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc6081a…
09-09 19:57:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 9?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x655f3a…
09-09 19:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or higher on September 9?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0xc95227…
09-09 08:33:54	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C or higher on September 9?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$21	0xe1d425…
09-09 08:33:33	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on September 9?	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x2ea3eb…
09-09 08:33:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 9?	No	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0xe05afd…
09-08 14:34:55	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 8?	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0x6c9c45…
09-08 14:34:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 8?	No	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x3f0273…
09-08 14:33:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 32°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x58979a…
09-07 15:51:19	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 7?	No	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0x8f40d4…
09-07 15:51:01	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 7?	No	BUY	28	85¢	$24	0xef128c…
09-06 22:46:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 6?	No	BUY	25	88¢	$22	0xdee64f…
09-06 22:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 6?	No	BUY	23	94¢	$22	0x11a25b…
09-06 13:00:24	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on September 6?	No	BUY	20	94¢	$19	0x2aea63…
09-06 12:59:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 6?	No	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x0c42c2…
09-05 12:37:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 5?	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd2a6ee…
09-05 12:36:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0x1794ae…
09-04 09:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 4?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x2df63b…
09-04 09:36:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	31	96¢	$30	0xbc6bed…
09-03 10:17:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on September 3?	No	BUY	9	73¢	$7	0xcc87ed…
09-03 10:16:40	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on September 3?	No	BUY	34	93¢	$32	0x6103df…
09-03 10:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 3?	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0x2a427a…
09-02 21:50:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xa24404…
09-02 21:49:37	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 2?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0x009df9…
09-02 21:47:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 2?	Yes	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0xdbde09…
09-02 13:22:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	37	85¢	$31	0xe1fafc…
08-31 13:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 31?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x6f9fb3…
08-31 13:08:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 31?	No	BUY	30	92¢	$28	0x4d5c7f…
08-29 22:43:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0xe24e96…
08-29 22:43:07	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 29?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0x0e3b24…
08-29 00:43:40	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on August 29?	No	BUY	29	94¢	$27	0x4f10f4…
08-29 00:42:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 29?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$27	0xeb735a…
08-29 00:41:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 28?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x37d6e0…
08-29 00:40:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 28?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xb1b74d…
08-28 16:09:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 28?	No	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x274ef3…
08-28 16:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 28?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x956c44…
08-27 17:12:34	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 27?	No	BUY	24	97¢	$23	0xc8c074…
08-27 17:12:06	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 27?	No	BUY	26	91¢	$24	0xba4cb7…
08-27 17:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 27?	No	SELL	48	100¢	$48	0x762d74…
08-27 08:17:52	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 27?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0x43df8a…
08-26 10:18:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 26?	No	BUY	47	94¢	$44	0x2058c2…
08-25 23:16:37	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 26?	No	BUY	42	85¢	$36	0x419cf1…
08-25 09:21:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 25?	No	BUY	45	99¢	$44	0xb5bf63…
08-24 09:46:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 24?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x024755…
08-24 09:46:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 25?	No	BUY	36	98¢	$35	0x078cad…
08-24 09:44:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 24?	No	SELL	38	96¢	$37	0x607045…
08-23 15:04:55	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 23?	No	BUY	41	93¢	$38	0x01756d…
08-23 15:04:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 24?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x11ad13…
08-22 22:02:40	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 76-77°F on August 22?	No	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x0af902…
08-22 22:02:04	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 22?	No	BUY	32	93¢	$30	0xcc12d3…
08-20 21:53:55	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 86-87°F on August 20?	No	BUY	38	90¢	$34	0xc80c55…
08-20 21:53:21	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 20?	No	BUY	33	99¢	$33	0x38ea42…
08-20 21:52:42	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 20?	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0xfaef15…
08-20 12:48:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	35	89¢	$31	0x1650b5…
08-20 12:47:45	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on August 20?	No	BUY	33	95¢	$31	0x4b2bd3…
08-19 07:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 19?	No	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x447b44…
08-19 07:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	31	97¢	$30	0xf9d6f9…
08-19 07:00:06	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?	Yes	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xee9087…
08-19 06:59:48	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 18?	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x389a31…
08-18 21:16:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 18?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x1a4122…
08-18 21:15:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 18?	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x45e6ba…
08-18 21:15:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?	No	SELL	28	100¢	$28	0xf27e1f…
08-18 21:15:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 18?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xac19e6…
08-18 11:50:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 18?	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xc6c20a…
08-18 11:48:58	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on August 18?	No	BUY	30	94¢	$28	0x18fb8d…
08-16 09:58:13	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 28°C on August 16?	No	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x286cc0…
08-15 20:41:19	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 104-105°F on August 15?	No	BUY	27	98¢	$26	0xd6610c…
08-15 20:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 73°F or below on August 15?	No	BUY	26	95¢	$25	0x5bac60…
08-15 20:37:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?	No	SELL	25	100¢	$25	0xe12995…
08-15 20:37:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15?	No	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x16db65…
08-15 12:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 15?	No	BUY	27	89¢	$24	0x06f564…
08-15 12:13:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 15?	No	BUY	25	93¢	$23	0xbf406a…
08-14 22:17:24	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 14?	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x9ff033…
08-14 22:16:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on August 14?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xdf8342…
08-14 09:51:51	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 29°C on August 14?	No	BUY	45	88¢	$39	0x99484d…
08-13 20:51:52	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on August 13?	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x738274…
08-13 20:49:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 14?	No	SELL	44	87¢	$38	0xe34b14…
08-13 09:52:52	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 14?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x539cbe…
08-13 09:51:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?	No	BUY	39	76¢	$30	0x22b5d7…
08-12 22:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on August 12?	No	BUY	73	99¢	$71	0x31e8d3…
08-12 22:39:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 12?	No	SELL	72	100¢	$72	0x8166d0…
08-12 09:44:33	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 12?	No	BUY	52	79¢	$41	0xfab0e4…
08-12 09:44:12	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 12?	No	BUY	72	98¢	$70	0x28da10…
08-11 22:50:34	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 11?	Yes	BUY	61	96¢	$58	0x2f8b66…
08-11 22:48:04	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 11?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x740d32…
08-11 22:46:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 11?	No	SELL	108	100¢	$108	0x33a04f…
08-11 09:51:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 11?	No	BUY	108	92¢	$99	0xc5e24d…