Tight-Understanding — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$15

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$23

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 07-04 05:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

79% — —

Other

17% 100% +$16

Crypto

3% 50% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Avalanche vs. Kings	6	$531	388	383	+4	open	—	04-27 00:07
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	3	$161	103	102	+1	open	—	04-25 16:50
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-5.5)	2	$91	49	49	+0	open	—	06-03 04:35
Hurricanes vs. Senators	2	$82	145	0	+145	open	—	04-25 18:34
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	4	$64	136	36	+100	open	—	04-26 03:01
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	2	$54	36	36	+0	open	—	06-03 02:50
Penguins vs. Flyers	2	$50	31	30	+0	open	—	04-26 03:11
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	3	$50	28	28	+0	open	—	05-30 05:22
Parma: Lois Boisson vs Dominika Salkova	4	$48	32	32	+0	Dominika Salkova	+$16	05-11 15:24
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	1	$45	0	46	-46	open	—	06-03 03:47
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers	2	$45	27	27	+0	open	—	04-26 02:14
mlb mil ari 2026 07 03 total 11pt5	2	$42	23	23	+0	open	—	07-04 05:18
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	2	$38	47	47	+0	open	—	06-03 04:13
Spread: Athletics (-2.5)	2	$33	18	18	+0	open	—	05-16 04:28
wta bartunk shnaide 2026 06 15	2	$31	19	19	+0	open	—	06-15 16:17
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?	1	$30	46	0	+46	open	—	04-26 03:19
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	2	$27	18	18	+0	open	—	05-16 03:57
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?	1	$25	44	0	+44	open	—	04-27 13:51
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$25	61	0	+61	open	—	04-27 01:21
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	2	$23	31	30	+0	open	—	04-26 03:01
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	05-24 20:09
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	2	$20	13	13	+0	open	—	05-16 03:38
Lightning vs. Canadiens	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	04-27 00:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	1	$20	26	0	+26	open	—	04-27 13:52
mlb nym sea 2026 06 03	3	$20	32	32	+0	open	—	06-03 21:15
mlb mil ari 2026 07 03 total 10pt5	1	$16	35	0	+35	open	—	07-04 05:12
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	1	$15	28	0	+28	open	—	05-21 20:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-27 13:58
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)	1	$12	16	0	+16	open	—	05-24 20:10
Lakers vs. Rockets	1	$8	29	0	+29	open	—	04-24 12:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 05:18:14	mlb mil ari 2026 07 03 total 11pt5	Under	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0xfe201a…
07-04 05:16:26	mlb mil ari 2026 07 03 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xd4adc0…
07-04 05:12:28	mlb mil ari 2026 07 03 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	35	46¢	$16	0xeca4ca…
06-15 16:17:48	wta bartunk shnaide 2026 06 15	Nikola Bartunkova	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x9936f0…
06-15 14:17:00	wta bartunk shnaide 2026 06 15	Nikola Bartunkova	BUY	19	66¢	$12	0xdb6c37…
06-04 00:28:07	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 5pt5	Spurs	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf5993b…
06-04 00:26:31	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03	Philadelphia Phillies	SELL	3	91¢	$2	0xace7dc…
06-03 22:19:10	mlb sd phi 2026 06 03	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x10ffc3…
06-03 22:18:25	mlb nym sea 2026 06 03 spread away 3pt5	New York Mets	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x2b89c6…
06-03 21:16:57	mlb nym sea 2026 06 03 spread away 3pt5	New York Mets	BUY	2	74¢	$1	0x0a57f7…
06-03 21:15:55	mlb nym sea 2026 06 03	Seattle Mariners	SELL	25	3¢	$1	0x9d3bb2…
06-03 21:01:58	mlb nym sea 2026 06 03	Seattle Mariners	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0xcbb7d1…
06-03 13:41:49	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	32	58¢	$18	0xc45465…
06-03 13:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	34	15¢	$5	0xd14662…
06-03 04:35:37	Spread: Colorado Rockies (-5.5)	Colorado Rockies	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x49693d…
06-03 04:16:39	Spread: Colorado Rockies (-5.5)	Colorado Rockies	BUY	49	85¢	$42	0x09129d…
06-03 04:13:34	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	SELL	47	38¢	$18	0xd7d9b6…
06-03 04:13:16	Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x7ac523…
06-03 03:47:29	New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	SELL	46	98¢	$45	0x28e813…
06-03 02:50:45	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	SELL	36	100¢	$35	0xa8a728…
06-02 18:55:34	Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	36	53¢	$19	0x6220d1…
05-30 05:22:58	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	SELL	27	99¢	$27	0x910018…
05-30 05:16:56	Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)	Seattle Mariners	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9507fa…
05-30 05:16:38	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x4af34a…
05-30 05:16:02	Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners	Seattle Mariners	BUY	28	78¢	$22	0x4d68db…
05-24 20:10:20	Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)	Minnesota Twins	BUY	16	72¢	$12	0x1ee0c2…
05-24 20:09:10	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2aaf7f…
05-24 19:59:19	Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x834a55…
05-21 20:10:56	New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals	Washington Nationals	BUY	28	53¢	$15	0x62fb1e…
05-16 16:04:04	Spread: Canadiens (-1.5)	Canadiens	BUY	17	39¢	$6	0x9a8498…
05-16 04:28:34	Spread: Athletics (-2.5)	Athletics	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x3caecf…
05-16 03:59:53	Spread: Athletics (-2.5)	Athletics	BUY	18	81¢	$15	0xbe0e5e…
05-16 03:57:39	Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	San Diego Padres	SELL	18	84¢	$15	0xadecdc…
05-16 03:39:14	Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)	San Diego Padres	BUY	18	70¢	$12	0x38392e…
05-16 03:38:32	Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	SELL	13	100¢	$13	0x6f33df…
05-16 02:28:22	Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	13	61¢	$8	0x61ae11…
05-11 19:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	47¢	$6	0xe676c6…
05-11 15:24:52	Parma: Lois Boisson vs Dominika Salkova	Dominika Salkova	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xbf08b0…
05-11 13:29:56	Parma: Lois Boisson vs Dominika Salkova	Dominika Salkova	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x0f0f48…
05-11 13:29:22	Parma: Lois Boisson vs Dominika Salkova	Dominika Salkova	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7b06ee…
05-11 13:07:21	Parma: Lois Boisson vs Dominika Salkova	Dominika Salkova	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x3229f3…
05-11 12:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x4f1ca7…
05-11 12:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7e05a7…
04-27 14:01:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	67¢	$8	0xa5d0c9…
04-27 13:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	10	81¢	$8	0x2fa9cd…
04-27 13:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x9fb422…
04-27 13:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	26	77¢	$20	0xa84a9a…
04-27 13:51:46	Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?	Yes	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0xeccc88…
04-27 01:21:42	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	61	41¢	$25	0x54d418…
04-27 00:18:48	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0x95bf31…
04-27 00:07:48	Avalanche vs. Kings	Avalanche	SELL	147	100¢	$146	0x20f460…
04-26 04:51:22	Avalanche vs. Kings	Avalanche	BUY	145	62¢	$90	0x1b1190…
04-26 03:55:06	Avalanche vs. Kings	Avalanche	SELL	154	61¢	$94	0x0f15dc…
04-26 03:39:46	Avalanche vs. Kings	Avalanche	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xa41d76…
04-26 03:37:32	Avalanche vs. Kings	Avalanche	SELL	83	61¢	$51	0x04a9ba…
04-26 03:19:30	Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	46	65¢	$30	0x2017c9…
04-26 03:13:16	Avalanche vs. Kings	Avalanche	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x8a3724…
04-26 03:11:02	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xca6826…
04-26 03:01:32	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	SELL	30	10¢	$3	0xf837cc…
04-26 03:01:26	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	56	5¢	$3	0x025eca…
04-26 02:15:58	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	44	61¢	$27	0xc9ca9d…
04-26 02:14:24	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Pittsburgh Pirates	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xe585ad…
04-26 01:51:56	Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers	Pittsburgh Pirates	BUY	27	64¢	$18	0xa9df83…
04-26 01:32:24	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	SELL	36	40¢	$14	0x9c6d65…
04-26 01:28:32	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x189cd5…
04-26 01:18:44	Penguins vs. Flyers	Penguins	BUY	31	65¢	$20	0x5d2210…
04-25 18:34:14	Hurricanes vs. Senators	Hurricanes	BUY	88	57¢	$50	0x4228c5…
04-25 16:56:28	Hurricanes vs. Senators	Hurricanes	BUY	58	55¢	$32	0x02bc33…
04-25 16:56:12	Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves	Atlanta Braves	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0xd91423…
04-25 16:50:56	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	SELL	102	100¢	$102	0x154c29…
04-25 12:30:26	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	55	57¢	$31	0xe805eb…
04-25 11:48:08	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?	Yes	BUY	48	58¢	$28	0x9d5ca7…
04-24 12:21:36	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	29	28¢	$8	0x6ef95a…