Mad-Inflation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$28

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.1%

Resolved

107

Trades

224

lifetime

Volume

$529

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-14 20:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 49% $-28

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	2	$10	14	14	+0	Down	$-0	05-13 15:48
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	1	$7	9	0	+9	Down	+$2	05-14 01:42
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-14 01:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Down	+$0	05-14 01:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-14 01:02
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	1	$6	6	0	+6	Up	+$0	05-14 01:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$6	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-14 00:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-14 00:04
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	2	$5	11	0	+11	Up	+$6	05-14 00:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Up	$-5	05-14 01:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-14 01:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 23:33
XRP Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	3	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-13 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 23:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 23:30
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 23:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$1	05-14 01:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-14 01:50
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 23:30
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	4	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 23:31
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-13 23:30
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	+$1	05-14 01:12
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-14 09:40
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	2	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-14 09:40
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Down	+$2	05-14 01:35
Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	Down	$-5	05-14 01:55
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	1	$5	6	0	+6	Up	$-5	05-14 01:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	05-14 09:40
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	2	$4	9	0	+9	Down	$-4	05-14 00:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 20:05:23	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x41b4c6…
05-14 20:00:14	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x64f676…
05-14 20:00:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xed3379…
05-14 19:48:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd2acc1…
05-14 19:47:38	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe46e05…
05-14 19:47:32	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x37fff4…
05-14 19:35:51	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xcc77c8…
05-14 19:35:37	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x421a02…
05-14 19:24:05	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xb7f9a2…
05-14 19:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x91bf4e…
05-14 19:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xd1d83e…
05-14 19:10:16	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xedd2ea…
05-14 19:05:01	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xcbf236…
05-14 19:02:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xc6cf40…
05-14 19:01:33	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x71fa1d…
05-14 18:50:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xab8663…
05-14 18:50:10	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x5b2fe9…
05-14 18:30:22	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xab9f69…
05-14 18:30:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x7d7974…
05-14 18:30:13	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x7bfa66…
05-14 18:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0031d1…
05-14 18:30:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x4b20f8…
05-14 18:15:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5e01e2…
05-14 18:15:14	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x719025…
05-14 18:15:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x66d210…
05-14 18:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x6186f2…
05-14 18:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x96eb82…
05-14 18:00:25	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x055495…
05-14 18:00:19	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x3d6d0f…
05-14 18:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	52¢	$0	0xc8e076…
05-14 18:00:12	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5e5cd1…
05-14 18:00:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x614c0d…
05-14 17:46:05	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x5aa3b5…
05-14 17:46:00	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xeb42b7…
05-14 17:45:22	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x774368…
05-14 17:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc98a7e…
05-14 17:32:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x8bae94…
05-14 17:19:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x08d7ce…
05-14 17:19:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0x6dc043…
05-14 17:18:32	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x5cb7bd…
05-14 17:08:14	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xbb8e44…
05-14 17:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x073072…
05-14 17:06:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x7e2596…
05-14 17:06:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x005c91…
05-14 17:05:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8d3db6…
05-14 17:05:00	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x60e8ed…
05-14 16:45:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xb63d25…
05-14 16:45:38	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x7b620d…
05-14 16:45:38	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x497b50…
05-14 16:45:38	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1bdd59…
05-14 16:45:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xb5dbe3…
05-14 16:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0x46587d…
05-14 16:45:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x313c8e…
05-14 16:32:13	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xc8a37f…
05-14 16:30:47	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x72226f…
05-14 16:30:29	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xc39b5f…
05-14 16:30:28	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x0f8891…
05-14 16:30:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xaf7729…
05-14 16:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x7d561b…
05-14 16:18:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xbb461b…
05-14 16:16:12	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd0fd29…
05-14 16:16:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x44e186…
05-14 16:15:12	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x63ac53…
05-14 16:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x63f693…
05-14 16:06:19	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x1882d6…
05-14 16:06:19	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0x0a1fa4…
05-14 11:21:09	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x54cabe…
05-14 11:21:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe43ddc…
05-14 09:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0x5c70d7…
05-14 09:50:56	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x273da1…
05-14 09:50:54	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xea91ab…
05-14 09:50:49	Solana Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0xcbd711…
05-14 09:50:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x457ae4…
05-14 09:40:23	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x443aa7…
05-14 09:40:21	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x1bcd10…
05-14 09:40:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x9e80d2…
05-14 09:40:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	51¢	$4	0x65898e…
05-14 09:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	50¢	$5	0x857105…
05-14 07:35:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x4eeb3d…
05-14 07:33:41	XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x5ef27d…
05-14 03:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x624789…
05-14 03:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	61¢	$4	0x1c7b8a…
05-14 01:55:38	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x90e2c2…
05-14 01:50:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x15cc04…
05-14 01:45:48	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xb09f96…
05-14 01:45:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	39¢	$3	0x96d989…
05-14 01:45:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xf7838d…
05-14 01:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	49¢	$4	0x2d32c0…
05-14 01:45:10	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x1d5ae2…
05-14 01:42:25	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	79¢	$7	0x5e70d1…
05-14 01:41:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xa980a6…
05-14 01:41:22	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xacf03a…
05-14 01:41:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xdf1928…
05-14 01:40:49	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0xb5b5ef…
05-14 01:35:50	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0x603cf0…
05-14 01:35:46	Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x23e537…
05-14 01:35:43	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x0729eb…
05-14 01:35:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	71¢	$5	0x6bce67…
05-14 01:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x59f189…
05-14 01:31:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xe76661…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x20d2…e29d	146	$13.4K	1,339	05-14 20:14
(anonymous) 0x5bd8…1ab1	144	$910	474	05-14 20:02
(anonymous) 0x89b5…8beb	140	$25.2K	2,033	05-14 20:13
Weird-Peak 0x9f5f…a008	140	$20.5K	2,312	05-14 20:13
(anonymous) 0x75cc…3ce1	140	$12.5K	1,765	05-14 20:14
(anonymous) 0x5d4a…55d3	134	$3.71K	913	05-14 20:14
Optimal-Door 0xf6d2…86e7	132	$5.73K	1,409	05-14 20:13
Incomparable-Front 0xd093…767e	129	$5.20K	1,311	05-14 20:13