Average-Timer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.33K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-17

last 10-29 15:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 39 days

Categories

Other

55% 97% -$18

Crypto

34% 100% +$1

Politics

11% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	01-30 15:33
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 220 239	1	$103	103	+103	No	+$0	01-17 12:51
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	1	$44	44	+44	No	+$0	06-09 14:16
Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	1	$40	40	+40	No	+$0	04-19 14:38
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	05-07 13:55
Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	04-19 14:39
elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 120 139	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	04-01 14:08
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	06-09 14:16
will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	03-23 14:15
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$0	05-07 13:55
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$26	26	+26	No	+$0	08-04 15:36
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	2	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	06-24 14:46
bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	07-20 14:06
bitcoin above 62k on february 19	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	02-19 15:31
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	05-31 11:29
will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	03-23 14:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 25?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	06-24 14:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	05-07 13:56
will mrbeasts next video get less than 40 million views on week 1 391	2	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	03-23 14:22
Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-18 15:40
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-01 13:41
Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	08-22 15:07
bitcoin above 54k on july 23 2026	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	+$0	07-20 14:06
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	07-20 14:05
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	07-05 13:52
elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 190 214	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	03-01 14:33
Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	Yes	-$20	08-22 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	09-18 15:41
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	08-04 15:36
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	1	$20	20	+20	No	+$0	08-04 15:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 15:47:40	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x164b21…
10-29 15:47:37	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb67e92…
10-13 05:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xa83ed7…
10-11 13:00:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C or below on October 13?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x56028b…
10-11 13:00:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 12?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x376224…
10-11 12:59:49	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C or below on October 13?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xc55d49…
10-11 12:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on October 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b7a5a…
09-18 15:41:19	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xef1b2d…
09-18 15:41:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xae4006…
09-18 15:41:04	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8d43b5…
09-18 15:40:55	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xcc39e9…
09-01 13:41:51	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf6e4bb…
08-22 15:07:48	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from August 25 to September 1, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdc750e…
08-22 15:07:36	Will Zelenskyy post 200+ posts from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xac39ec…
08-04 15:36:41	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x12b553…
08-04 15:36:36	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x522dac…
08-04 15:36:30	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf51df2…
08-04 15:36:23	Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x7d2be1…
08-04 15:35:08	Will Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x44fcc4…
07-20 14:06:18	bitcoin above 54k on july 23 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3dfb70…
07-20 14:06:09	bitcoin above 72k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xfa2b75…
07-20 14:06:01	bitcoin above 74k on july 22 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2a2e09…
07-20 14:05:54	bitcoin above 58k on july 22 2026	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3f464c…
07-20 14:05:24	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0xac465d…
07-20 14:05:13	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 17 to July 24, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x9b9a96…
07-05 13:52:47	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdcd96f…
07-05 13:52:41	Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xce4c23…
07-05 13:52:32	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x8c828f…
07-05 13:52:25	Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc00df9…
06-24 14:47:07	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 25?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xf52c48…
06-24 14:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 25?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x24ee0b…
06-24 14:46:41	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xab1c62…
06-24 14:46:32	Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x737b61…
06-24 14:46:22	Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x4563fe…
06-24 14:45:40	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x1e4b94…
06-24 14:45:34	Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from June 25 to June 27, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xd5c931…
06-09 14:16:57	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x2cf694…
06-09 14:16:37	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x947a87…
06-09 14:16:24	Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x729414…
05-31 11:29:51	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1b14f8…
05-31 11:29:42	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x1c366d…
05-31 11:29:33	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x69b5de…
05-25 11:15:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x16c57f…
05-25 11:15:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 26?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x8de1f4…
05-25 11:15:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 26?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x11cd97…
05-07 13:56:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 8?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xdcd712…
05-07 13:55:45	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x837435…
05-07 13:55:38	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xc187e0…
04-26 15:12:52	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xeea235…
04-26 15:12:46	Will Solana dip to $30 in April?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0xcdaf98…
04-19 14:39:44	ethereum above 2600 on april 20	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x69b59a…
04-19 14:39:14	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x6e2b17…
04-19 14:38:22	Will Solana dip to $10 in April?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x20e67b…
04-01 14:08:17	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 120 139	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xe0ed81…
03-23 14:22:11	will mrbeasts next video get less than 40 million views on week 1 391	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x401f91…
03-23 14:15:49	will ethereum reach 4000 in march 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x23c482…
03-23 14:15:35	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xf2931d…
03-23 14:14:13	will mrbeasts next video get less than 40 million views on week 1 391	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdbae2a…
03-23 14:13:53	will alibaba have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 712	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x93fe9a…
03-01 14:33:15	elon musk of tweets february 28 march 2 190 214	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf98271…
02-19 15:32:50	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 6 be 90 or more	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x585f3e…
02-19 15:31:36	bitcoin above 62k on february 19	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xf17766…
01-30 15:33:16	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x811b92…
01-17 12:51:14	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 220 239	No	BUY	103	100¢	$103	0x42d790…