Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.90K

Unrealized P&L

-$17

Hit rate

57.8%

Resolved

160

Trades

811

lifetime

Volume

$83.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-09-17

last 10-08 18:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 44% -$3,382

Other

1% 33% +$196

Politics

1% 100% +$281

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 581 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+331	$21	1¢	$4	-$17	10-07 23:18

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 14:45 UTC	13	$3.2K	2,942	2,942	+0	Down	+$1,611	09-19 14:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 11:40 UTC	18	$2.6K	6,190	3,956	+2,233	Up	+$648	09-19 11:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:10 UTC	18	$2.4K	3,599	2,191	+1,407	Up	-$112	09-19 12:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 11:30 UTC	16	$2.1K	4,211	1,734	+2,478	Down	-$237	09-19 11:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 11:45 UTC	17	$1.9K	2,116	1,161	+955	Up	+$169	09-19 11:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 11:15 UTC	6	$1.9K	1,365	1,365	+0	Up	+$851	09-19 11:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:50 UTC	8	$1.8K	1,111	1,111	+0	Up	+$400	09-19 12:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC	10	$1.8K	1,158	1,158	+0	Up	+$178	09-19 16:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:55 UTC	10	$1.8K	2,163	2,163	+0	Down	+$176	09-19 21:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:30 UTC	12	$1.5K	1,705	1,125	+580	Up	+$79	09-19 12:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:20 UTC	8	$1.5K	1,097	1,097	+0	Up	+$354	09-19 16:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 11:05 UTC	12	$1.5K	2,444	1,838	+605	Up	-$274	09-19 11:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:05 UTC	14	$1.4K	1,698	0	+1,698	Up	+$298	09-19 12:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:20 UTC	7	$1.3K	769	769	+0	Up	+$144	09-19 20:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 11:20 UTC	10	$1.3K	2,216	1,150	+1,066	Up	-$106	09-19 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:15 UTC	14	$1.3K	2,393	2,393	+0	Down	-$1,012	09-19 21:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 15:10 UTC	8	$1.3K	1,145	1,145	+0	Up	+$488	09-19 15:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:55 UTC	8	$1.3K	1,424	1,424	+0	Up	+$83	09-19 12:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:35 UTC	7	$1.2K	793	793	+0	Down	+$171	09-19 16:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 21:50 UTC	9	$1.1K	1,362	1,362	+0	Up	-$330	09-19 21:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 19:10 UTC	6	$1.1K	720	720	+0	Down	+$265	09-19 19:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:00 UTC	8	$1.0K	1,838	1,122	+716	Up	-$153	09-19 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 10:50 UTC	6	$995	1,107	1,107	+0	Up	+$195	09-19 10:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:40 UTC	10	$913	1,539	0	+1,539	Up	-$913	09-19 20:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:15 UTC	9	$900	3,168	0	+3,168	Down	-$900	09-19 12:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 07:55 UTC	8	$872	1,254	1,254	+0	Down	+$132	09-20 07:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 20:55 UTC	10	$816	16,157	355	+15,802	Up	-$784	09-19 20:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	5	$812	517	517	+0	Up	+$176	09-20 15:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 12:35 UTC	8	$800	1,119	0	+1,119	Down	-$800	09-19 12:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	6	$787	1,345	727	+618	Up	-$213	09-20 11:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-08 18:24:41	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,000	6¢	$120	0xbe1c41…
10-08 01:29:41	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	8¢	$2	0x1cc192…
10-07 23:18:47	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	233	7¢	$16	0xa425dc…
10-07 16:20:28	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	567	8¢	$45	0xac23b7…
10-04 16:00:49	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	26	5¢	$1	0xde527a…
10-04 16:00:49	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x9dc7c7…
10-04 01:20:32	Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	5¢	$2	0xfe4f4f…
09-27 05:41:08	Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,587	1¢	$18	0xe117bb…
09-25 11:42:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	171	4¢	$7	0xd12197…
09-25 11:41:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:40 UTC	Up	BUY	264	15¢	$40	0xe1a063…
09-25 11:35:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	267	15¢	$40	0x68e146…
09-25 11:30:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	165	24¢	$40	0x93a588…
09-25 11:30:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	182	22¢	$40	0xa13d70…
09-25 11:28:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 11:25 UTC	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x94daa2…
09-25 10:57:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:55 UTC	Up	BUY	456	2¢	$10	0xaaf6f0…
09-25 10:27:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0x2942d5…
09-25 10:25:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	217	18¢	$40	0xfbaa79…
09-25 10:18:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	589	7¢	$40	0xbf3102…
09-25 10:12:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	231	4¢	$10	0x004ebc…
09-25 10:11:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:10 UTC	Down	BUY	333	12¢	$40	0xa8e225…
09-25 10:01:47	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0xf55960…
09-25 10:01:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-25 10:00 UTC	Up	BUY	125	8¢	$10	0x3aa3f6…
09-23 18:34:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	189	98¢	$185	0xea5691…
09-23 18:34:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x7986c5…
09-23 18:27:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	450	48¢	$216	0x280e65…
09-23 18:26:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xba0452…
09-23 18:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xd12e70…
09-23 18:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	152	66¢	$100	0x0fd29c…
09-23 18:21:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	308	13¢	$40	0xfcc438…
09-23 18:21:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	364	11¢	$40	0xdd691a…
09-23 18:20:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	153	26¢	$40	0xd3ceca…
09-23 07:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x8a2df7…
09-23 06:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	98	41¢	$40	0xfbea76…
09-23 06:56:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0xbdad7c…
09-23 06:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	294	59¢	$174	0x62cf49…
09-23 06:53:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	342	61¢	$209	0xcc19f4…
09-23 06:50:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	294	34¢	$100	0xcb833e…
09-23 06:50:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	342	29¢	$100	0xe8ad03…
09-23 06:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x6017d9…
09-23 06:46:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Up	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x4e447f…
09-23 06:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x413994…
09-22 21:26:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	369	68¢	$251	0x4b0f89…
09-22 21:26:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0xd8a0b2…
09-22 21:26:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	185	54¢	$100	0x26d949…
09-22 21:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	SELL	279	97¢	$271	0x2cbbaa…
09-22 21:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0xc847d7…
09-22 21:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0x82c91c…
09-22 21:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0x3aaf01…
09-22 21:14:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	SELL	159	97¢	$155	0xd920a5…
09-22 21:14:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0x860266…
09-22 21:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x433a18…
09-22 21:09:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	SELL	298	99¢	$295	0x69bd93…
09-22 21:07:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0x33c73c…
09-22 21:07:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x5b87bc…
09-22 21:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	SELL	40	1¢	$0	0xf6d599…
09-22 21:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xfffbae…
09-22 21:01:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	283	14¢	$40	0x6bebeb…
09-22 20:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	218	99¢	$216	0xb7d966…
09-22 20:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x4d2ac7…
09-22 20:53:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x42d579…
09-22 20:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	SELL	323	61¢	$195	0x5b6ed4…
09-22 20:50:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Down	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x629437…
09-21 23:47:15	Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0xa8ba4b…
09-21 23:47:07	Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0xad4df0…
09-21 23:37:51	Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x538fc3…
09-21 23:37:19	Will Discord IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	11¢	$0	0x5ce2e2…
09-21 13:17:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:15 UTC	Up	SELL	196	16¢	$31	0x78cbdf…
09-21 13:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 13:15 UTC	Up	BUY	196	51¢	$100	0x5906c4…
09-21 09:05:59	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-21 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xcaaef9…
09-20 18:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0xaad48d…
09-20 18:43:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	SELL	135	43¢	$58	0x53b77a…
09-20 18:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0xada8b2…
09-20 18:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	82	8¢	$6	0x3ec8a4…
09-20 18:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	713	6¢	$44	0x08caee…
09-20 18:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	275	36¢	$100	0x2f0b60…
09-20 18:25:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	577	17¢	$100	0xa967ff…
09-20 18:25:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	492	20¢	$100	0xadfb10…
09-20 18:21:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xab7d66…
09-20 18:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xbcb50c…
09-20 18:16:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0x49efb1…
09-20 18:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	220	45¢	$100	0xd7aae5…
09-20 18:11:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	192	26¢	$50	0x8df238…
09-20 18:10:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0xcf7443…
09-20 18:10:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0x8828a9…
09-20 18:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	143	7¢	$10	0xa8591e…
09-20 18:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	532	89¢	$473	0xcdca0e…
09-20 18:07:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	532	19¢	$100	0x898bd1…
09-20 18:03:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	300	3¢	$9	0xa0daf7…
09-20 18:02:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	130	48¢	$62	0xc26d12…
09-20 18:00:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xd65ea1…
09-20 17:52:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	406	2¢	$8	0xd3852d…
09-20 17:50:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	256	39¢	$100	0xd26abe…
09-20 17:50:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	149	34¢	$50	0x0a814a…
09-20 17:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	390	54¢	$209	0x261ffc…
09-20 17:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	390	26¢	$100	0xf2c850…
09-20 17:43:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	404	11¢	$44	0x2e24a1…
09-20 17:43:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	SELL	252	17¢	$42	0x4ea5d7…
09-20 17:41:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0x74b626…
09-20 17:41:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	323	31¢	$100	0x1e26cd…
09-20 17:38:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	439	2¢	$9	0x7aa42f…