Favorable-Neuron — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$115.8K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

1,091

Trades

3,863

lifetime

Volume

$4.50M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$1.17K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-01

last 11-01 14:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 139 days

Categories

Other

81% 58% -$89,409

Sports

19% 58% -$30,695

Politics

0% 100% +$4,313

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

66 active days in 12wk • peak 246 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Antofagasta: Joaquin Aguilar vs Lautaro Midon	13	$51.8K	45,823	45,823	+0	Lautaro Midon	-$7,972	10-08 19:20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexei Popyrin vs Jakub Mensik	2	$46.5K	31,409	31,409	+0	Alexei Popyrin	+$16,277	05-09 23:06
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants	8	$45.9K	27,519	27,519	+0	Chennai Super Kings	+$9,054	05-10 15:26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?	2	$45.0K	27,619	27,619	+0	Yes	+$10,191	05-10 18:39
Baltimore Orioles vs. Miami Marlins	4	$43.3K	45,954	27,323	+18,631	Miami Marlins	-$14,926	05-08 00:41
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings	25	$41.9K	24,858	24,858	+0	Gujarat Titans	+$7,727	05-03 17:54
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Cameron Norrie	102	$35.8K	25,086	25,086	+0	Thiago Agustin Tirante	+$14,324	05-09 10:38
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-07?	3	$35.2K	22,699	22,699	+0	Yes	+$10,192	05-07 21:04
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Jiri Lehecka	3	$32.2K	19,514	19,514	+0	Casper Ruud	+$6,830	05-10 10:42
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Madison Keys vs Nikola Bartunkova	2	$30.3K	20,950	20,950	+0	Nikola Bartunkova	+$11,529	05-10 11:03
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks	2	$30.3K	18,299	18,299	+0	Pittsburgh Pirates	+$6,281	05-07 22:53
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Ugo Humbert vs Dino Prizmic	2	$30.0K	15,906	15,906	+0	Dino Prizmic	+$1,734	05-10 12:53
Santos: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Miguel Tobon	2	$28.9K	14,896	14,896	+0	Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida	+$881	05-08 21:29
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Rebeka Masarova	47	$26.2K	14,042	14,042	+0	Jessica Pegula	+$1,857	05-10 12:26
atp wu walton 2026 08 30	4	$26.2K	20,515	20,515	+0	Yibing Wu	-$1,310	08-30 17:33
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	10	$26.1K	15,200	15,200	+0	Yes	+$4,241	05-05 23:29
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	6	$25.1K	19,408	19,408	+0	Tampa Bay Rays	-$1,738	10-08 03:15
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	4	$24.9K	15,393	15,393	+0	Cavaliers	+$5,834	05-09 22:01
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sebastian Ofner vs Alex Michelsen	3	$23.4K	12,666	12,666	+0	Sebastian Ofner	+$1,893	05-07 18:55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Leolia Jeanjean	8	$23.2K	13,000	13,000	+0	Leolia Jeanjean	+$2,777	05-05 11:21
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Karen Khachanov vs Arthur Fery	9	$22.9K	30,059	27,646	+2,412	Karen Khachanov	-$6,055	10-09 11:34
New York Mets vs. Colorado Rockies	2	$22.7K	12,247	12,247	+0	Colorado Rockies	+$1,728	05-07 22:13
Porto: Miguel Damas vs Dimitar Kuzmanov	7	$22.1K	18,607	18,607	+0	Miguel Damas	-$2,071	09-03 14:37
New York Yankees vs. Milwaukee Brewers	19	$22.1K	32,509	0	+32,509	Milwaukee Brewers	-$22,106	05-10 18:45
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Alexandre Muller vs Botic van de Zandschulp	2	$22.0K	14,021	14,021	+0	Botic van de Zandschulp	+$6,007	05-06 13:16
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-05-03?	57	$21.6K	12,016	12,016	+0	Yes	+$2,391	05-03 13:32
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Yannick Hanfmann vs Luciano Darderi	2	$21.5K	11,337	11,337	+0	Luciano Darderi	+$1,125	05-08 23:29
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-05-08?	2	$21.2K	13,183	13,183	+0	No	+$5,170	05-08 20:54
Wuxi: Hayato Matsuoka vs Maximus Jones	23	$20.4K	13,500	13,500	+0	Maximus Jones	+$6,602	05-05 09:23
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Alexander Shevchenko	2	$20.2K	13,860	13,860	+0	Alexander Shevchenko	+$7,496	05-06 13:52

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-01 14:26:39	Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Lorenzo Sonego	Lorenzo Sonego	BUY	2,299	87¢	$2,000	0x3c0639…
11-01 05:24:40	Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Elena Pridankina	Himeno Sakatsume	BUY	2,602	68¢	$1,767	0x448e54…
11-01 05:00:46	Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Diana Shnaider	Leylah Fernandez	BUY	2,671	75¢	$2,000	0x5aae19…
11-01 01:39:54	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2,774	83¢	$2,300	0xd8205d…
10-31 21:27:30	Purdue vs. Penn State	Penn State	BUY	3,327	83¢	$2,770	0xd88bf8…
10-31 21:17:51	Kansas State vs. Colorado	Colorado	SELL	3,237	56¢	$1,803	0x7ee17c…
10-31 19:50:48	Kansas State vs. Colorado	Colorado	BUY	2,768	56¢	$1,550	0xc47d79…
10-31 19:50:27	Kansas State vs. Colorado	Colorado	BUY	469	53¢	$247	0x38d7d4…
10-31 19:42:51	Michigan vs. Rutgers	Michigan	SELL	1,840	100¢	$1,833	0x0a679e…
10-31 19:22:43	Michigan vs. Rutgers	Michigan	BUY	1,840	87¢	$1,600	0x645496…
10-31 14:37:04	Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz	Carlos Alcaraz	BUY	1,549	71¢	$1,100	0x5d2d79…
10-31 14:35:18	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	1,133	100¢	$1,132	0xf30da7…
10-31 14:00:39	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	1,133	75¢	$850	0x46fe1c…
10-31 13:59:27	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Chelsea FC O/U 0.5	Over	SELL	1,876	100¢	$1,874	0xe8c8a7…
10-31 13:59:01	Arizona vs. Texas Tech	Arizona	BUY	2,632	38¢	$1,000	0x825852…
10-31 12:57:07	Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: Chelsea FC O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	1,876	80¢	$1,500	0x752849…
10-31 02:03:28	Lakers vs. Warriors	Warriors	BUY	2,556	45¢	$1,150	0x256c98…
10-31 02:02:13	Baylor vs. UCF	Baylor	SELL	1,143	99¢	$1,132	0x1bcdde…
10-30 23:38:54	Baylor vs. UCF	Baylor	BUY	1,143	54¢	$617	0x4381c2…
10-30 23:35:51	Guayaquil: Valerio Aboian vs Nick Hardt	Nick Hardt	SELL	1,671	39¢	$644	0xfb8a2d…
10-30 22:53:10	Guayaquil: Valerio Aboian vs Nick Hardt	Nick Hardt	BUY	1,671	73¢	$1,220	0x4b755c…
10-30 22:52:58	Guayaquil: Valerio Aboian vs Nick Hardt	Valerio Aboian	SELL	1,959	27¢	$529	0xfb9a11…
10-30 21:44:57	Guayaquil: Valerio Aboian vs Nick Hardt	Valerio Aboian	BUY	620	82¢	$508	0xf9dd18…
10-30 21:44:42	Guayaquil: Valerio Aboian vs Nick Hardt	Valerio Aboian	BUY	1,339	86¢	$1,146	0x8a3fb7…
10-30 19:24:46	Brest: Moise Kouame vs Francesco Maestrelli	Moise Kouame	SELL	2,314	100¢	$2,311	0x75e79c…
10-30 18:05:00	Brest: Moise Kouame vs Francesco Maestrelli	Moise Kouame	BUY	2,314	86¢	$1,990	0x334b30…
10-29 17:38:26	Erste Bank Open: Arthur Fery vs Lorenzo Musetti	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	129	53¢	$69	0x9ce259…
10-29 15:11:16	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Cameron Norrie	SELL	1,399	5¢	$70	0xc6f267…
10-29 14:08:37	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Daniil Medvedev	Cameron Norrie	BUY	1,399	32¢	$448	0x559747…
10-29 01:22:59	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	69	71¢	$49	0xee3a46…
10-29 01:22:17	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x417ffc…
10-29 00:31:50	Heat vs. Hawks	Heat	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0x4ba2d5…
10-28 22:45:13	Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-10-28?	No	BUY	1,625	48¢	$777	0x8ab04e…
10-28 22:42:10	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Luisina Giovannini	Nauhany Leme Da Silva	SELL	801	100¢	$800	0x5a7b9a…
10-28 22:21:26	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Luisina Giovannini	Nauhany Leme Da Silva	BUY	801	73¢	$581	0x47f787…
10-28 22:17:29	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	SELL	596	99¢	$590	0xab7451…
10-28 22:09:46	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Holger Rune	BUY	596	85¢	$507	0xc181fc…
10-28 22:07:49	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	SELL	4,396	12¢	$528	0x6a748d…
10-28 20:57:10	Swiss Indoors Basel: Hubert Hurkacz vs Holger Rune	Hubert Hurkacz	BUY	4,396	82¢	$3,599	0xa18887…
10-28 19:41:01	Sioux Falls: Aidan Mayo vs Maks Kasnikowski	Aidan Mayo	SELL	3,639	100¢	$3,635	0xb96422…
10-28 18:42:29	Sioux Falls: Aidan Mayo vs Maks Kasnikowski	Aidan Mayo	BUY	3,639	84¢	$3,047	0x3686cc…
10-28 18:42:10	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	SELL	3,072	100¢	$3,069	0x8741b5…
10-28 18:28:08	Erste Bank Open: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	3,072	68¢	$2,086	0xd2f6fe…
10-28 17:57:08	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	SELL	2,126	100¢	$2,124	0x8ef245…
10-28 16:50:56	Swiss Indoors Basel: Novak Djokovic vs Ugo Humbert	Novak Djokovic	BUY	2,126	77¢	$1,644	0x6b1da3…
10-28 16:50:10	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Lorenzo Musetti	SELL	1,667	100¢	$1,665	0xaa8f74…
10-28 15:36:25	Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe	Lorenzo Musetti	BUY	1,667	60¢	$1,000	0x7573f5…
10-28 04:26:40	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	597	78¢	$466	0xb948cb…
10-28 04:26:08	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	835	79¢	$658	0x9e67de…
10-28 00:03:42	Pistons vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	1,074	62¢	$666	0x228247…
10-27 22:15:36	Erste Bank Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Grigor Dimitrov	Grigor Dimitrov	BUY	1,467	50¢	$733	0x1b0843…
10-27 22:15:15	Swiss Indoors Basel: Stan Wawrinka vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	SELL	756	100¢	$755	0x6e37df…
10-27 20:13:03	Swiss Indoors Basel: Stan Wawrinka vs Jiri Lehecka	Jiri Lehecka	BUY	756	85¢	$642	0xb6afa0…
10-27 19:53:50	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Ben Shelton	SELL	647	100¢	$647	0xf34a1b…
10-27 19:22:42	Swiss Indoors Basel: Ben Shelton vs Aleksandar Kovacevic	Ben Shelton	BUY	647	73¢	$473	0x8b0d37…
10-27 19:06:42	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	SELL	2,349	21¢	$493	0xf65024…
10-27 18:51:20	Erste Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Martin Landaluce	Martin Landaluce	BUY	2,349	31¢	$728	0x6bc93c…
10-27 18:50:57	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo	Cameron Norrie	SELL	759	100¢	$758	0xc446fe…
10-27 18:26:47	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo	Cameron Norrie	BUY	759	76¢	$577	0xbfb45b…
10-27 18:26:29	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo	Francisco Cerundolo	SELL	2,323	26¢	$604	0x8d2ad7…
10-27 17:49:32	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	1,804	70¢	$1,263	0xe10e76…
10-27 17:49:14	Erste Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Cerundolo	Francisco Cerundolo	BUY	519	72¢	$374	0x8a58e7…
10-27 16:02:14	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x60c558…
10-27 16:02:03	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse	Adrian Mannarino	BUY	1,661	70¢	$1,163	0x836069…
10-27 16:01:53	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse	Ignacio Buse	SELL	3,877	31¢	$1,202	0x7f78ee…
10-27 15:23:35	Erste Bank Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Ignacio Buse	Ignacio Buse	BUY	3,877	62¢	$2,400	0xf19cd4…
10-27 13:39:26	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Tommy Paul	BUY	1,974	76¢	$1,500	0x9969c4…
10-27 13:38:48	Erste Bank Open: Tommy Paul vs Andrey Rublev	Tommy Paul	BUY	494	64¢	$317	0xd19483…
10-27 04:39:21	Pan Pacific Open: Diane Parry vs Cristina Bucsa	Cristina Bucsa	BUY	2,913	63¢	$1,835	0x666857…
10-27 04:34:39	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	SELL	1,878	100¢	$1,876	0x086da7…
10-27 03:30:18	Warriors vs. Nuggets	Warriors	BUY	1,878	58¢	$1,089	0x90c846…
10-27 03:29:57	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	SELL	1,089	100¢	$1,088	0x8848b6…
10-27 02:15:18	Cowboys vs. Eagles	Cowboys	BUY	1,089	61¢	$664	0x6480cd…
10-27 01:50:05	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	SELL	2,806	24¢	$673	0x7ad71b…
10-27 01:37:12	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	66	70¢	$46	0x6ee0af…
10-27 01:36:56	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	3,568	1¢	$46	0x5a5812…
10-27 01:30:45	Mavericks vs. Heat	Heat	BUY	2,739	69¢	$1,890	0xb5cd6b…
10-27 00:13:56	Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay Rays	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	3,568	52¢	$1,851	0xe68450…
10-26 22:41:42	Sioux Falls: Daniel Milavsky vs Harry Wendelken	Daniel Milavsky	BUY	1,883	66¢	$1,251	0xf6e323…
10-26 22:41:11	Sioux Falls: Daniel Milavsky vs Harry Wendelken	Harry Wendelken	SELL	3,847	34¢	$1,319	0x93469a…
10-26 22:24:06	Sioux Falls: Daniel Milavsky vs Harry Wendelken	Harry Wendelken	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x07da13…
10-26 22:23:53	Sioux Falls: Daniel Milavsky vs Harry Wendelken	Harry Wendelken	BUY	3,828	52¢	$1,976	0x0a7850…
10-26 22:02:03	Curitiba: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti	Luisina Giovannini	SELL	1,948	100¢	$1,946	0x4344d4…
10-26 21:40:21	Curitiba: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti	Luisina Giovannini	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xc09ba6…
10-26 21:40:06	Curitiba: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti	Luisina Giovannini	BUY	1,503	62¢	$934	0x87aa58…
10-26 21:39:44	Curitiba: Luisina Giovannini vs Lucia Bronzetti	Luisina Giovannini	BUY	421	59¢	$247	0x92081f…
10-26 21:33:54	Swiss Indoors Basel: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Casper Ruud	Dominic Stephan Stricker	SELL	6,727	20¢	$1,345	0x0b217f…
10-26 20:02:48	Swiss Indoors Basel: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Casper Ruud	Dominic Stephan Stricker	BUY	6,132	36¢	$2,207	0x0173e3…
10-26 20:02:35	Swiss Indoors Basel: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Casper Ruud	Dominic Stephan Stricker	BUY	135	42¢	$56	0x818234…
10-26 20:02:15	Swiss Indoors Basel: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Casper Ruud	Dominic Stephan Stricker	BUY	460	39¢	$180	0x90c238…
10-26 19:15:30	Erste Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Matteo Arnaldi	Luciano Darderi	SELL	1,753	100¢	$1,751	0xe4d183…
10-26 19:15:30	Erste Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Matteo Arnaldi	Luciano Darderi	SELL	781	100¢	$780	0xb4f51b…
10-26 18:25:36	Erste Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Matteo Arnaldi	Luciano Darderi	BUY	2,534	51¢	$1,292	0xb6fc45…
10-26 17:46:45	Brest: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Federico Cina	Shintaro Mochizuki	BUY	621	50¢	$311	0x178660…
10-26 17:46:20	Brest: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Federico Cina	Shintaro Mochizuki	BUY	401	44¢	$177	0x57eaa4…
10-26 17:42:08	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	SELL	3,187	16¢	$516	0x0d507d…
10-26 16:09:08	Swiss Indoors Basel: Holger Rune vs Quentin Halys	Quentin Halys	BUY	3,187	35¢	$1,115	0x97dc22…
10-26 16:08:15	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Tomas Machac	SELL	4,632	26¢	$1,204	0xe24938…
10-26 14:59:59	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Tomas Machac	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x5d3ba5…
10-26 14:59:53	Erste Bank Open: Tomas Machac vs Alex de Minaur	Tomas Machac	BUY	4,617	65¢	$3,001	0xdb167d…