Bronze-Graduate — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$203

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.0%

Resolved

1,298

Trades

1,761

lifetime

Volume

$15.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-08

last 08-20 17:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 84 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 91% -$104

Other

32% 68% -$7

Politics

19% 19% -$75

Sports

5% 33% -$20

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	34	$1.5K	1,191	1,191	+0	Yes	+$5	03-27 10:11
italy nordio reform referendum passes	3	$510	271	271	+0	No	+$5	03-23 14:58
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	8	$402	471	471	+0	Yes	-$5	02-27 13:52
highest temperature in ankara on march 22 2026 11c	22	$390	284	284	+0	No	+$35	03-22 10:00
spx up or down on march 23 2026	2	$378	200	200	+0	Up	+$0	03-23 16:12
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	7	$374	300	300	+0	Yes	-$2	02-27 21:05
will zachxbt release his investigation on february 26	31	$367	190	190	+0	Yes	$0	02-26 05:43
will mrbeasts next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 432	8	$361	220	220	+0	No	-$2	03-22 11:58
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	3	$342	200	200	+0	No	-$6	04-15 21:20
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$340	200	200	+0	Yes	+$0	03-21 19:32
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$304	200	200	+0	Yes	+$4	03-29 13:54
iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by march 31	8	$297	800	800	+0	No	-$4	02-26 14:49
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$296	400	400	+0	No	-$48	04-17 17:14
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 31 483 852 436 833 347 948	4	$259	160	160	+0	Yes	-$3	03-01 12:49
will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	4	$188	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	03-22 15:00
highest temperature in london on march 22 2026 13c	8	$166	100	100	+0	Yes	-$8	03-22 12:04
will hyperliquid dip to 24 in february 157	2	$149	80	80	+0	No	-$2	02-28 08:10
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$146	500	500	+0	Yes	-$13	06-17 14:47
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	9	$135	100	100	+0	No	-$1	03-01 18:47
highest temperature in chicago on march 22 2026 63forbelow	7	$129	100	100	+0	No	-$17	03-19 17:11
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	2	$127	100	100	+0	Yes	-$1	03-09 16:50
Will Drake officially release Iceman by April 30, 2026?	2	$119	82	82	+0	No	+$2	04-17 17:14
elon musk of tweets february 20 february 27 300 319	2	$116	100	100	+0	Yes	+$0	02-27 07:43
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	3	$115	80	80	+0	No	-$2	03-01 14:59
amzn close above 205 on february 27 2026	2	$115	100	100	+0	Yes	-$13	02-27 13:32
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	9	$113	66	66	+0	Yes	$0	02-27 07:22
bitcoin up or down june 19 2026 7am et	21	$103	109	0	+109	Up	+$6	06-19 11:55
hezbollah strike on israel by march 7	5	$101	100	100	+0	Yes	-$9	03-01 10:54
donald trump of truth social posts february 17 february 24 120 139	2	$97	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	02-24 16:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 16:15 UTC	10	$96	98	0	+98	Up	+$2	06-17 16:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-20 17:14:16	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 17:00 UTC	Down	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0xe91eae…
08-20 17:13:45	XRP Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	7	87¢	$6	0xc3ebb8…
08-20 16:08:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 16:05 UTC	Up	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xc023ac…
08-20 15:43:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 15:30 UTC	Down	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x687af0…
08-20 12:28:45	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 12:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$6	0x9dcf98…
08-20 11:28:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x176f1a…
08-20 10:28:48	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Down	SELL	12	44¢	$5	0x86e556…
08-20 10:28:43	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-20 10:15 UTC	Down	BUY	12	66¢	$8	0xdc0559…
08-20 09:34:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:30 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xa2b717…
08-19 22:43:33	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 22:30 UTC	Up	BUY	7	85¢	$6	0xe2aabb…
08-19 19:59:15	BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-19 16:00 UTC	Down	BUY	6	95¢	$6	0x744367…
08-19 19:29:06	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	6	94¢	$5	0xed5d2d…
08-19 15:58:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:45 UTC	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0xaa11e4…
08-19 15:53:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:50 UTC	Down	BUY	7	94¢	$6	0x21b6e4…
08-19 15:43:33	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-19 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3f4b02…
08-19 15:03:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 15:00 UTC	Up	BUY	9	87¢	$8	0x5f0d75…
08-19 12:53:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-19 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xb564e0…
08-17 15:58:33	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-17 12:00 UTC	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0x7a46c7…
08-15 23:59:46	ETH Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-15 20:00 UTC	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xe8e1ce…
08-13 16:14:45	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-13 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xdbc075…
08-11 16:30:01	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 16:15 UTC	Down	SELL	7	33¢	$2	0x384973…
08-11 16:29:54	ETH Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 16:15 UTC	Down	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xb160aa…
08-11 16:14:55	SOL Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-11 16:00 UTC	Up	BUY	6	91¢	$5	0x9c634c…
08-07 12:34:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 12:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xdaf060…
08-06 16:00:03	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 12:00 UTC	Down	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x4c044c…
08-06 15:59:53	SOL Up/Down 4h · 2026-08-06 12:00 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x992924…
08-06 04:24:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-06 04:20 UTC	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x4009e5…
08-06 00:44:56	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-06 00:30 UTC	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2c102e…
08-05 13:38:44	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xaca993…
08-05 13:38:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 13:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfccfb2…
08-05 00:49:44	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-05 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x329792…
08-04 14:49:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x093b78…
08-04 14:39:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 14:35 UTC	Up	BUY	6	95¢	$5	0x4d4477…
08-04 14:34:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-04 14:30 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xd7873a…
08-03 14:54:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa8cdc6…
08-03 14:48:53	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-03 14:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x6f8003…
08-03 14:28:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x2453f9…
08-02 23:24:50	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 23:20 UTC	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x8d9976…
08-02 08:59:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xddb852…
08-02 02:23:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:20 UTC	Down	BUY	6	96¢	$5	0xfbeb10…
08-02 02:19:08	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-02 02:15 UTC	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf0d7ec…
08-01 23:44:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 23:40 UTC	Down	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0xe65369…
07-31 14:03:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0xd49b27…
07-31 02:29:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x8faeca…
07-31 00:09:29	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 00:05 UTC	Down	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xffa7e4…
07-30 02:49:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x788c27…
07-29 13:59:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:55 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xb059bf…
07-29 13:49:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xbc7233…
07-29 03:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x639788…
07-29 02:49:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xef9e14…
07-29 01:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x7f5c5a…
07-29 01:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x13fc93…
07-29 01:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	94¢	$3	0x0525bd…
07-29 00:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xe89a7d…
07-29 00:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x28c0e0…
07-29 00:24:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x251d6f…
07-28 15:34:32	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x8d690f…
07-28 15:28:41	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 15:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xe9d7fa…
07-28 13:53:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:50 UTC	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x26ca1e…
07-28 13:48:34	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$3	0x8c7523…
07-28 13:38:56	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x04cd75…
07-28 06:29:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 06:25 UTC	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x9871bf…
07-27 23:03:33	Ethereum Up or Down - July 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xa85d4d…
07-27 23:03:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x4bd9f9…
07-27 14:39:46	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x831e02…
07-27 14:33:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 14:30 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x00c18b…
07-27 13:43:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xac7199…
07-27 06:34:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x747ae7…
07-27 02:54:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 02:50 UTC	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0xd672be…
07-27 01:29:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-27 01:15 UTC	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x11f8cf…
07-26 22:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$5	0x1cbac4…
07-26 21:49:07	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 21:45 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x9b4402…
07-25 01:40:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 01:35 UTC	Up	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x0e1990…
07-25 01:39:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 01:35 UTC	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xdcaba1…
07-24 21:44:52	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 21:30 UTC	Down	SELL	4	25¢	$1	0xa3edca…
07-24 21:44:51	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-24 21:30 UTC	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x85e296…
07-24 02:19:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 02:15 UTC	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x1a8b67…
07-24 02:19:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 02:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x2d6dbe…
07-24 02:14:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x429af3…
07-24 01:54:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 01:50 UTC	Up	SELL	7	41¢	$3	0x3b330b…
07-24 01:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 01:50 UTC	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xfadf9a…
07-24 01:29:58	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 01:25 UTC	Up	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x5862d7…
07-24 01:29:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 01:25 UTC	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0xf72a68…
07-23 09:14:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x2b6688…
07-23 09:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf50cef…
07-23 03:49:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 03:45 UTC	Down	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x1a1e47…
07-23 01:39:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 01:35 UTC	Down	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x24c8a5…
07-23 00:49:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 00:45 UTC	Up	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x2013f9…
07-23 00:49:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0x2e792a…
07-21 10:34:52	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:30 UTC	Up	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0xa2104a…
07-21 10:34:51	BNB Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 10:30 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x81bdf1…
07-21 08:44:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 08:40 UTC	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0x261e26…
07-21 06:49:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 06:45 UTC	Down	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xf6f8ae…
07-21 05:44:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 05:40 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xb2266c…
07-20 19:29:46	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 19:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x354edb…
07-20 15:48:33	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 15:45 UTC	Up	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0xa5b894…
07-20 14:19:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:15 UTC	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x1c8bff…
07-20 14:14:49	BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-07-20 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$3	0x14b6c3…
07-20 14:09:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 14:05 UTC	Up	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xa1d01a…
07-20 09:24:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 09:20 UTC	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x285e92…