Happy-Go-Lucky-Liar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

98.7%

Resolved

288

Trades

289

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-12 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 232 days

Categories

Other

94% 100% +$4

Politics

6% 91% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

69 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C on November 14?	No		+8	$8	100¢	$8	$0	11-14 04:04

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:37
Will Trump Leave China on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 04:43
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:24
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:29
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 08:45
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-30 04:23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 09:38
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 08:26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:14
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 08:07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:07
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 08:54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-26 01:17
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-25 09:44
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 07:36
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 23 2026 26corhigher	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 22:28
highest temperature in seoul on april 23 2026 22c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 09:08
highest temperature in nyc on april 22 2026 55forbelow	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-23 00:32
highest temperature in karachi on april 22 2026 33c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 15:53
highest temperature in wellington on april 22 2026 14c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-22 07:50
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 15:41
highest temperature in wellington on april 21 2026 14c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-21 07:12
highest temperature in nyc on april 20 2026 50 51f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-21 01:01
highest temperature in seoul on april 20 2026 15c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 09:19
highest temperature in chicago on april 19 2026 52 53f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 00:42
highest temperature in chongqing on april 19 2026 28c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 15:46
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 08:36
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 62 63f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 00:34
highest temperature in singapore on april 18 2026 34c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 10:46
highest temperature in los angeles on april 17 2026 72 73f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 01:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-14 04:04:11	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 1°C on November 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc4ac02…
11-12 08:23:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 10°C on November 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7fbd82…
11-11 16:13:51	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on November 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x802ea1…
11-09 09:08:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on November 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x292bd1…
11-08 13:08:30	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on November 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfbbdf6…
11-07 11:06:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C or below on November 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c5ee4…
11-05 17:07:55	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on November 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x062f09…
11-03 15:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x29c943…
11-02 13:45:06	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on November 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb0f41b…
10-31 17:28:25	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on November 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ef914…
10-31 09:48:15	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd137d6…
10-30 10:09:42	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe715fc…
10-29 08:52:41	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8146e4…
10-28 07:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf9e26b…
10-27 08:19:05	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9d93e1…
10-26 09:12:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5e398…
10-22 10:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfc1827…
10-20 07:27:17	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb3bfc3…
10-19 08:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6bd76b…
10-18 09:03:05	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9f0792…
10-17 10:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13eb75…
10-16 08:55:25	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x45c04f…
10-15 09:13:41	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf749c9…
10-14 09:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcedc98…
10-13 08:40:14	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbbb6e9…
10-12 08:18:09	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3addec…
10-11 08:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6fdaf…
10-08 08:21:13	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x669a3a…
10-07 14:14:53	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x75f5b6…
10-06 07:37:18	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x701ef3…
10-04 14:43:14	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x501d29…
10-03 05:46:23	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on October 3?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf2b3de…
10-02 07:38:05	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76697b…
10-01 08:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe30d1e…
09-30 07:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcabe1a…
09-29 14:05:50	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8eb297…
09-28 09:23:38	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C or below on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe119f9…
09-27 08:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5ed32…
09-25 10:12:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb77ea9…
09-24 08:22:21	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x11b040…
09-23 06:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d8a7a…
09-22 07:46:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xca89c9…
09-21 08:52:05	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb708b6…
09-20 05:36:40	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9119f7…
09-19 08:16:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f1754…
09-18 06:13:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5efacc…
09-17 03:58:01	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2983a5…
09-16 08:08:21	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd72077…
09-15 09:02:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8dbbb…
09-14 08:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2c2a76…
09-12 16:14:01	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4b4139…
09-11 07:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf8d0e…
09-10 04:56:55	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94ffa5…
09-09 09:14:58	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x437a75…
09-09 01:21:39	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfcbc7f…
09-08 02:31:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b82f7…
09-07 08:14:39	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa8fc07…
09-06 17:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x721712…
09-06 09:05:18	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4fb5d9…
09-05 09:53:15	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbdb472…
09-04 17:32:27	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef971c…
09-03 09:43:46	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x38dd67…
09-02 07:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x875bc9…
08-30 08:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa92c51…
08-29 07:23:16	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa3cb53…
08-28 07:06:12	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x010649…
08-27 07:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e4a91…
08-26 07:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C or higher on August 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6e42c7…
08-25 08:24:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc99aa0…
08-24 09:46:00	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0b9909…
08-23 14:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on August 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc22562…
08-22 08:41:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x931804…
08-21 06:47:55	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7d868e…
08-20 08:35:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf74fcc…
08-19 08:45:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x13b31e…
08-18 08:09:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbe9f3c…
08-17 07:15:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3fa8a6…
08-16 11:06:15	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdab5a9…
08-15 09:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6141a4…
08-14 06:40:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7b4c6d…
08-13 07:44:46	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb24a3d…
08-12 07:42:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 33°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x739bb3…
08-11 06:30:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x49cd4f…
08-10 06:44:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe7f1db…
08-09 01:18:31	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0e3072…
08-08 07:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb427f…
08-07 01:06:00	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6384e6…
08-06 01:06:35	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6b2f82…
08-05 07:46:41	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on August 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0f421e…
08-04 08:08:02	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x6538df…
08-03 07:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa65648…
08-02 01:28:54	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2be27d…
08-01 06:54:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x917c4a…
07-31 08:20:53	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x610358…
07-30 06:44:35	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 39°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x89a1ea…
07-29 06:07:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9fd7ef…
07-28 06:17:16	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1a622d…
07-27 07:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf2ca0…
07-26 06:27:33	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x927338…
07-25 07:42:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8fcf00…