Definitive-Editing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$599

Unrealized P&L

+$3

Hit rate

58.2%

Resolved

7,030

Trades

98,360

lifetime

Volume

$240.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$24

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 11-15 18:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% -$358

Other

0% 49% +$98

Politics

0% 50% -$335

Sports

0% 52% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 10124 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	—	+15	$14	100¢	$15	+$1	11-15 18:16
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes		+20	$3	24¢	$5	+$2	07-20 14:08
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+20	$3	22¢	$4	+$2	07-13 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	—	+15	$2	0¢	$0	-$2	11-15 18:16

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	117	$248	503	0	+503	Down	+$2	09-04 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:40 UTC	92	$248	488	6	+482	Down	+$2	09-28 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	87	$246	488	0	+488	Up	-$3	11-15 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	122	$244	488	0	+488	Up	+$0	09-07 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	95	$243	489	0	+489	Down	+$1	11-14 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	106	$242	488	0	+488	Up	+$2	09-05 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	112	$241	484	0	+484	Up	+$1	09-07 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	117	$241	492	0	+492	Down	+$3	09-05 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	112	$240	467	0	+467	Down	-$5	09-05 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	106	$240	480	0	+480	Up	-$2	09-06 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	104	$240	477	0	+477	Down	-$4	09-08 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	101	$239	478	0	+478	Up	+$1	09-08 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	106	$239	476	0	+476	Down	-$3	09-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	112	$238	469	0	+469	Down	-$3	09-06 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	105	$236	475	0	+475	Down	+$7	09-06 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	101	$236	464	0	+464	Up	-$4	09-03 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	118	$234	467	0	+467	Down	-$5	09-05 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	101	$232	467	0	+467	Down	+$2	09-06 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	113	$232	459	0	+459	Down	$0	09-08 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	103	$230	455	0	+455	Down	-$3	09-08 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	103	$226	454	0	+454	Up	+$0	09-06 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	86	$226	461	0	+461	Up	+$4	11-13 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:05 UTC	97	$225	445	0	+445	Down	-$3	08-24 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 18:55 UTC	97	$223	362	80	+282	Down	+$2	08-20 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	98	$220	445	0	+445	Down	+$3	09-09 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 04:15 UTC	92	$213	346	70	+276	Down	-$1	08-20 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	98	$213	420	0	+420	Up	-$3	08-23 23:54
will trump say fake news during the 2026 state of the union address	66	$210	430	0	+430	No	-$210	02-24 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	90	$208	407	0	+407	Down	-$4	09-08 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:30 UTC	88	$206	413	0	+413	Down	+$1	08-24 17:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 18:16:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x4cc981…
11-15 18:16:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x01e183…
11-15 18:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xfd42c4…
11-15 18:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x5077d3…
11-15 18:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	28¢	$0	0xb86645…
11-15 18:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x375553…
11-15 18:12:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd5da47…
11-15 18:12:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x36ce68…
11-15 18:12:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x2def7c…
11-15 18:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x61e198…
11-15 18:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x567176…
11-15 18:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x24765d…
11-15 18:12:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x8a302f…
11-15 18:11:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x1e1661…
11-15 18:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xed41dc…
11-15 18:11:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x0de4fb…
11-15 18:10:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0x164484…
11-15 18:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xbd3e4b…
11-15 18:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xe5471b…
11-15 18:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	21¢	$0	0x6fd771…
11-15 18:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x3ea629…
11-15 18:10:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	0	21¢	$0	0x2872ae…
11-15 18:10:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0xbc3ef6…
11-15 18:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xd652e8…
11-15 18:10:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0xa4876c…
11-15 18:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x609f34…
11-15 18:09:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xd0ea9a…
11-15 18:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x002eaf…
11-15 18:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xb3e9c3…
11-15 18:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	74¢	$5	0x03e151…
11-15 18:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x4756fd…
11-15 18:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x382f8c…
11-15 18:07:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x37294f…
11-15 18:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x6e6792…
11-15 18:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x884c6f…
11-15 18:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	57¢	$1	0xf46314…
11-15 18:07:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x35aafc…
11-15 18:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xadbbf0…
11-15 18:06:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x84f735…
11-15 18:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5b9f7c…
11-15 18:06:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x8bf7ad…
11-15 18:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	37¢	$1	0xd5a322…
11-15 18:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x7e1e2b…
11-15 18:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x2d50f8…
11-15 18:06:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x95049b…
11-15 18:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x78707c…
11-15 18:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0x2d1fc1…
11-15 18:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2282d6…
11-15 18:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x2243a4…
11-15 18:03:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x3409a8…
11-15 18:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xf85c6b…
11-15 18:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x0ef9a3…
11-15 18:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	5¢	$0	0x51cec4…
11-15 18:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xfcca6b…
11-15 18:02:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xe4df0b…
11-15 18:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x886b6c…
11-15 18:02:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x56d961…
11-15 18:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x1604fa…
11-15 18:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x4e9c18…
11-15 18:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd7c92c…
11-15 18:01:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x228439…
11-15 18:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x233ef5…
11-15 18:01:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0x35248a…
11-15 18:00:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	0	28¢	$0	0xd68506…
11-15 18:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0xabafc3…
11-15 18:00:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xb802b9…
11-15 18:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	46¢	$0	0x4ef065…
11-15 17:59:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	2¢	$0	0xa2e8c2…
11-15 17:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xe9c655…
11-15 17:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x3a7903…
11-15 17:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3a76ba…
11-15 17:59:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2c6e1f…
11-15 17:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0xe9dce2…
11-15 17:58:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x7c955f…
11-15 17:58:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x45133f…
11-15 17:58:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xeed6e1…
11-15 17:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0xffbea8…
11-15 17:58:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	21¢	$2	0x21fb85…
11-15 17:58:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xc453db…
11-15 17:57:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0x00f072…
11-15 17:57:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x43bd5e…
11-15 17:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x743b64…
11-15 17:57:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	0	80¢	$0	0x0002fc…
11-15 17:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x66853d…
11-15 17:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xe11322…
11-15 17:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x0f3e34…
11-15 17:56:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	18¢	$1	0xf050d3…
11-15 17:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xb7a693…
11-15 17:56:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x52fffd…
11-15 17:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5d9f18…
11-15 17:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	0	9¢	$0	0x74cf50…
11-15 17:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x41067d…
11-15 17:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	90¢	$11	0x0d03e5…
11-15 17:52:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x5026e3…
11-15 17:52:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xb3e2d0…
11-15 17:52:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x1cedcb…
11-15 17:52:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xbc5e3b…
11-15 17:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0xc94d52…
11-15 17:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xa7a097…
11-15 17:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x3500e6…