Definitive-Editing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$602

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

6,838

Trades

93,550

lifetime

Volume

$227.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$55

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 11-15 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% -$361

Other

0% 49% +$98

Politics

0% 50% -$335

Sports

0% 52% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 10124 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	—	+45	$34	99¢	$45	+$11	11-15 02:58
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes		+20	$3	24¢	$5	+$2	07-20 14:08
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+20	$3	24¢	$5	+$2	07-13 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	—	+71	$13	1¢	$1	-$12	11-15 02:58

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	117	$248	503	0	+503	Down	+$2	09-04 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:40 UTC	92	$248	488	6	+482	Down	+$2	09-28 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	122	$244	488	0	+488	Up	+$0	09-07 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	95	$243	489	0	+489	Down	+$1	11-14 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	106	$242	488	0	+488	Up	+$2	09-05 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	112	$241	484	0	+484	Up	+$1	09-07 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	117	$241	492	0	+492	Down	+$3	09-05 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	112	$240	467	0	+467	Down	-$5	09-05 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	106	$240	480	0	+480	Up	-$2	09-06 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	104	$240	477	0	+477	Down	-$4	09-08 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	101	$239	478	0	+478	Up	+$1	09-08 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	106	$239	476	0	+476	Down	-$3	09-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	112	$238	469	0	+469	Down	-$3	09-06 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	105	$236	475	0	+475	Down	+$7	09-06 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	101	$236	464	0	+464	Up	-$4	09-03 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	118	$234	467	0	+467	Down	-$5	09-05 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	101	$232	467	0	+467	Down	+$2	09-06 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	113	$232	459	0	+459	Down	$0	09-08 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	103	$230	455	0	+455	Down	-$3	09-08 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	103	$226	454	0	+454	Up	+$0	09-06 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	86	$226	461	0	+461	Up	+$4	11-13 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:05 UTC	97	$225	445	0	+445	Down	-$3	08-24 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 18:55 UTC	97	$223	362	80	+282	Down	+$2	08-20 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	98	$220	445	0	+445	Down	+$3	09-09 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 04:15 UTC	92	$213	346	70	+276	Down	-$1	08-20 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	98	$213	420	0	+420	Up	-$3	08-23 23:54
will trump say fake news during the 2026 state of the union address	66	$210	430	0	+430	No	-$210	02-24 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	90	$208	407	0	+407	Down	-$4	09-08 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:30 UTC	88	$206	413	0	+413	Down	+$1	08-24 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	88	$205	400	0	+400	Up	-$4	09-05 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 02:58:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x17c2ad…
11-15 02:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xb76b65…
11-15 02:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x539a8f…
11-15 02:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xa87805…
11-15 02:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x63bc03…
11-15 02:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xfb0787…
11-15 02:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0xd149a8…
11-15 02:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x3bedf9…
11-15 02:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x773961…
11-15 02:58:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x4ad161…
11-15 02:58:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x000864…
11-15 02:58:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x0ead51…
11-15 02:57:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x16f21e…
11-15 02:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0xb23992…
11-15 02:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	70¢	$0	0x79294e…
11-15 02:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x1d6d1a…
11-15 02:57:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0xc1cfaf…
11-15 02:57:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x9f9d3c…
11-15 02:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x00cc02…
11-15 02:55:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x7b8d4f…
11-15 02:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x3270a7…
11-15 02:55:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x752221…
11-15 02:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xbf41b5…
11-15 02:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfe2e6f…
11-15 02:54:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x38fe93…
11-15 02:54:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xec2b89…
11-15 02:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xf2c36d…
11-15 02:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xbcf624…
11-15 02:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x5a5146…
11-15 02:51:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0x73084b…
11-15 02:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xa5c415…
11-15 02:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xdab450…
11-15 02:51:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x499cc7…
11-15 02:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	68¢	$2	0xeee0ab…
11-15 02:49:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8eb55b…
11-15 02:49:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xd15053…
11-15 02:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x898428…
11-15 02:49:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x388149…
11-15 02:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0x788e70…
11-15 02:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	29¢	$2	0x66252a…
11-15 02:48:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xd1c568…
11-15 02:48:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0xf11efd…
11-15 02:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xdf9533…
11-15 02:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xca1251…
11-15 02:48:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x8bbcdc…
11-15 02:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x8457bf…
11-15 02:47:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4a6936…
11-15 02:47:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x04edeb…
11-15 02:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x22839e…
11-15 02:47:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x6c6cac…
11-15 02:47:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x595df2…
11-15 02:46:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x3fa716…
11-15 02:46:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0x716c68…
11-15 02:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbc2e6d…
11-15 02:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x9f731b…
11-15 02:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0x2480d4…
11-15 02:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	0	33¢	$0	0xcf60ea…
11-15 02:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	33¢	$1	0x63fd5b…
11-15 02:46:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x61df06…
11-15 02:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x1269f7…
11-15 02:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf90a1d…
11-15 02:45:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa6e18e…
11-15 02:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0xd0b4d8…
11-15 02:45:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0xe080c1…
11-15 02:45:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x18e477…
11-15 02:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xcd6b00…
11-15 02:44:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2a487c…
11-15 02:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xbe2b3d…
11-15 02:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xbde992…
11-15 02:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x449fa6…
11-15 02:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xf4b14f…
11-15 02:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x6e5e50…
11-15 02:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x388bc3…
11-15 02:43:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0xdad507…
11-15 02:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xa0b245…
11-15 02:43:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x5b096b…
11-15 02:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x9f8b96…
11-15 02:42:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0xf26526…
11-15 02:42:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	16¢	$0	0xd610bc…
11-15 02:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	85¢	$6	0xc3e9db…
11-15 02:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x61f95b…
11-15 02:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xf91cab…
11-15 02:42:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0xd8153a…
11-15 02:41:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x92eb2e…
11-15 02:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xdeb7f3…
11-15 02:41:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xa9446b…
11-15 02:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xed6075…
11-15 02:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xd654b3…
11-15 02:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x8f6e4d…
11-15 02:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0x358ce4…
11-15 02:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	17¢	$1	0x65119a…
11-15 02:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x1d7e14…
11-15 02:41:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0x0f1c8a…
11-15 02:40:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xf7bf05…
11-15 02:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x4b51c4…
11-15 02:40:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xb5a4c7…
11-15 02:40:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x35df4b…
11-15 02:38:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x97c236…
11-15 02:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	8	72¢	$5	0x698d8e…
11-15 02:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x623af7…