Definitive-Editing — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$618

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

57.9%

Resolved

6,862

Trades

93,848

lifetime

Volume

$228.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$34

4 positions

First seen

2026-02-13

last 11-15 03:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 133 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 60% -$376

Other

0% 49% +$98

Politics

0% 50% -$335

Sports

0% 52% -$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 10124 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	—	+25	$16	98¢	$25	+$9	11-15 04:09
Will Cruz Azul win the 2026 Liga MX Apertura?	Yes		+20	$3	24¢	$5	+$2	07-20 14:08
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?	Yes		+20	$3	24¢	$5	+$2	07-13 19:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	—	+25	$10	2¢	$0	-$10	11-15 04:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	117	$248	503	0	+503	Down	+$2	09-04 21:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 21:40 UTC	92	$248	488	6	+482	Down	+$2	09-28 21:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	122	$244	488	0	+488	Up	+$0	09-07 05:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	95	$243	489	0	+489	Down	+$1	11-14 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	106	$242	488	0	+488	Up	+$2	09-05 20:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	112	$241	484	0	+484	Up	+$1	09-07 04:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	117	$241	492	0	+492	Down	+$3	09-05 20:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	112	$240	467	0	+467	Down	-$5	09-05 21:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	106	$240	480	0	+480	Up	-$2	09-06 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	104	$240	477	0	+477	Down	-$4	09-08 01:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	101	$239	478	0	+478	Up	+$1	09-08 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	106	$239	476	0	+476	Down	-$3	09-05 20:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	112	$238	469	0	+469	Down	-$3	09-06 06:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	105	$236	475	0	+475	Down	+$7	09-06 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	101	$236	464	0	+464	Up	-$4	09-03 03:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	118	$234	467	0	+467	Down	-$5	09-05 20:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	101	$232	467	0	+467	Down	+$2	09-06 15:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	113	$232	459	0	+459	Down	$0	09-08 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	103	$230	455	0	+455	Down	-$3	09-08 08:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	103	$226	454	0	+454	Up	+$0	09-06 14:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	86	$226	461	0	+461	Up	+$4	11-13 09:54
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 21:05 UTC	97	$225	445	0	+445	Down	-$3	08-24 21:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 18:55 UTC	97	$223	362	80	+282	Down	+$2	08-20 18:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	98	$220	445	0	+445	Down	+$3	09-09 01:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 04:15 UTC	92	$213	346	70	+276	Down	-$1	08-20 04:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	98	$213	420	0	+420	Up	-$3	08-23 23:54
will trump say fake news during the 2026 state of the union address	66	$210	430	0	+430	No	-$210	02-24 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 8, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	90	$208	407	0	+407	Down	-$4	09-08 05:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-24 17:30 UTC	88	$206	413	0	+413	Down	+$1	08-24 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	88	$205	400	0	+400	Up	-$4	09-05 20:59

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-15 04:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xa721ed…
11-15 04:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x98ab90…
11-15 04:09:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x6fc785…
11-15 04:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x18314d…
11-15 04:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x34d7a2…
11-15 04:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0x5d20b5…
11-15 04:06:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x5e8b96…
11-15 04:05:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa0d765…
11-15 04:04:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x33121c…
11-15 04:03:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	20	87¢	$17	0x0b76b9…
11-15 04:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xe4fa59…
11-15 04:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xd2ea01…
11-15 04:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0x0d2a9b…
11-15 04:03:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x4a5d8d…
11-15 04:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xe47c36…
11-15 04:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x6fc232…
11-15 04:03:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x2d7b80…
11-15 04:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf979c9…
11-15 04:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0xf88354…
11-15 04:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0xcd8850…
11-15 04:03:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x7b9959…
11-15 04:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x2e7b95…
11-15 04:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0x286245…
11-15 04:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0xb45b70…
11-15 04:02:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	82¢	$3	0xd84853…
11-15 04:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc51056…
11-15 04:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x725511…
11-15 04:02:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x437471…
11-15 04:02:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x05760f…
11-15 04:01:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x826318…
11-15 04:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xceea44…
11-15 04:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x735186…
11-15 04:01:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x8e5b1c…
11-15 04:00:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x695a69…
11-15 04:00:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x4d2b83…
11-15 04:00:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7843ab…
11-15 03:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xf1bb33…
11-15 03:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	11¢	$0	0xc207b4…
11-15 03:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0xf22432…
11-15 03:58:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x9dde44…
11-15 03:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x611cd5…
11-15 03:56:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf288f6…
11-15 03:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x1bf73c…
11-15 03:56:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xa54ae0…
11-15 03:56:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xeee111…
11-15 03:56:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2f78a0…
11-15 03:56:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xc3b26e…
11-15 03:55:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x5d5520…
11-15 03:55:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xdbeca3…
11-15 03:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x4e415d…
11-15 03:54:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xe9c012…
11-15 03:53:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4b7bc9…
11-15 03:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x602de5…
11-15 03:53:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x45211a…
11-15 03:53:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xff7523…
11-15 03:53:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x0de85e…
11-15 03:53:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x159ca9…
11-15 03:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	24¢	$0	0xe95cd5…
11-15 03:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xe10753…
11-15 03:53:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xdd546b…
11-15 03:52:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	20¢	$1	0x7033cb…
11-15 03:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xf8dda9…
11-15 03:52:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0x250392…
11-15 03:52:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x60e4a7…
11-15 03:51:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x1bd8a3…
11-15 03:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3974ae…
11-15 03:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe04f52…
11-15 03:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xefc76d…
11-15 03:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xa74728…
11-15 03:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xdac2bf…
11-15 03:48:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xcd017b…
11-15 03:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x33afa6…
11-15 03:45:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x6cf96d…
11-15 03:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb6e1af…
11-15 03:45:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x95572b…
11-15 03:45:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x0ea754…
11-15 03:45:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x316273…
11-15 03:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7467b9…
11-15 03:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xb22cd4…
11-15 03:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x2ec85e…
11-15 03:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe36d43…
11-15 03:43:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	42¢	$0	0x90fc42…
11-15 03:43:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x369ec3…
11-15 03:43:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	34¢	$0	0xf4aacf…
11-15 03:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0xb76134…
11-15 03:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	32¢	$2	0xda0dc9…
11-15 03:43:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0x7ed5cd…
11-15 03:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x269215…
11-15 03:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xbcbfff…
11-15 03:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x6b7a8b…
11-15 03:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x614e9d…
11-15 03:42:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	7	22¢	$1	0x86ab7a…
11-15 03:42:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	32¢	$0	0x4ccfda…
11-15 03:41:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x348719…
11-15 03:41:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x2a4db2…
11-15 03:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xac2bb8…
11-15 03:41:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xe64045…
11-15 03:41:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	15¢	$1	0x4f2b68…
11-15 03:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xcf0032…
11-15 03:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x8a9fb5…