Soft-Duration — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

94.7%

Resolved

Trades

1,313

lifetime

Volume

$12.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 06-30 10:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 16 days

Categories

Other

76% 96% +$0

Sports

19% 100% +$0

Crypto

4% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

84 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 10:12:44	cs2 don for10 2026 06 30 game2	Donstu Esports	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe8918e…
06-30 04:26:05	mlb sf ari 2026 06 29	Arizona Diamondbacks	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x061057…
06-30 00:35:02	Will Germany reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb6201f…
06-29 19:24:44	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x895426…
06-29 19:24:08	will brazil reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120743	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x53664d…
06-29 19:22:28	val ucam fks1 2026 06 29 game1	UCAM Esports Club	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x235a2c…
06-29 19:06:22	fifwc bra jpn 2026 06 29 shots vinicius junior gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x581c9b…
06-29 16:05:02	val mdr bjk 2026 06 29 game1	Mandatory	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3a2ded…
06-29 13:52:40	will nvda reach 196 by june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd80098…
06-28 17:52:04	cs2 ast berg 2026 06 28	ASTRAL	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd516b…
06-28 09:55:26	cs2 hon1 oly 2026 06 28 game1	OlyBet SB	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x274c3d…
06-28 04:01:04	fifwc alg aut 2026 06 27 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59cc3e…
06-27 18:05:49	ufc naz mat36 2026 06 27 totals 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x39f029…
06-27 16:44:01	ufc abu2 mic1 2026 06 27 totals 1pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf3b380…
06-27 03:05:29	Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6f8cfe…
06-27 01:32:26	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26 spread away 1pt5	New York Mets	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4a3c2b…
06-26 18:19:32	crict20blastw ham yor 2026 06 26	Hampshire	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa5c061…
06-26 11:54:02	wta maria ostapen 2026 06 26	Tatjana Maria	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x383eae…
06-26 00:55:50	fifwc tun nld 2026 06 25 corners total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x786265…
06-25 22:21:10	fifwc ecu ger 2026 06 25 assists florian wirtz gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8a231e…
06-25 11:18:02	cs2 dep dm2 2026 06 25	DEPO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6378ac…
06-25 02:03:04	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x4bc927…
06-25 01:49:26	alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x140c9a…
06-25 00:02:38	fifwc sco bra 2026 06 24 spread away 1pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5b2758…
06-24 00:55:01	fifwc pan hrv 2026 06 23 corners total 9pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xcd0b80…
06-23 20:00:59	arcium fdv above 400m one day after launch	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x561344…
06-23 19:43:40	wta wan guo 2026 06 23 set handicap home 1pt5	Wang	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf2c14c…
06-23 19:43:38	wta wan guo 2026 06 23 set handicap home 1pt5	Wang	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x148cc8…
06-23 18:25:08	wta kinoshi tomova 2026 06 24	Hayu Kinoshita	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x59d6aa…
06-21 18:13:10	fifwc esp ksa 2026 06 21 first half team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0ea00f…
06-21 08:58:37	kbo lot kiw 2026 06 21	Lotte Giants	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c1d0d…
06-21 05:58:05	fifwc tun jpn 2026 06 21 corners total 7pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe6e6e1…
06-20 22:05:46	fifwc ger civ 2026 06 20 team total home 1pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd59a43…
06-20 20:06:43	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 20 total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x18667c…
06-20 19:13:19	atp giron broom 2026 06 20	Marcos Giron	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdbf501…
06-20 18:58:37	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 goals cody gakpo gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbfbd2a…
06-20 18:57:55	fifwc nld swe 2026 06 20 goals crysencio summerville gte1	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3296de…
06-20 12:35:43	kbo kia kt 2026 06 20	KT Wiz	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3f483f…
06-20 05:14:17	Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe97c4a…
06-20 02:55:22	mlb stl kc 2026 06 19 total 11pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x77c80d…
06-20 02:33:17	fifwc bra hai 2026 06 19 spread home 2pt5	Brazil	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0a491f…
06-20 01:48:59	mlb cin nyy 2026 06 19 spread home 1pt5	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa42ef9…
06-19 22:44:17	cs2 vit fal2 2026 06 19 game2 round total 21pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x30b9cd…
06-19 15:45:28	val edg1 pr1 2026 06 19 game2	Paper Rex	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9c8b09…
06-19 00:04:23	fifwc can qat 2026 06 18 spread home 2pt5	Canada	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x76756c…
06-18 22:59:25	val yfp nrga 2026 06 18 game1	YFP Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9ea57a…
06-17 19:17:58	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 btts	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfc243b…
06-17 19:04:14	fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	DR Congo	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1040fb…
06-17 18:09:13	mlb mia phi 2026 06 17 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf78ae…
06-17 17:29:58	atp feldbau gulin 2026 06 17	Kilian Feldbausch	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbbc8b8…
06-17 16:10:02	bitcoin above 72k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf5ee52…
06-17 16:08:10	bitcoin above 70k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2350d2…
06-17 16:06:43	bitcoin above 68k on june 17 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e9164…
06-17 03:06:15	mlb col chc 2026 06 16	Colorado Rockies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd2278…
06-17 00:03:22	fifwc irq nor 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	Norway	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31a45e…
06-16 13:45:55	nik up or down on june 16 2026	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x324698…
06-16 02:29:40	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt5t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3ae7c7…
06-15 19:57:06	cs2 sparta g2a 2026 06 15 game2 round total 21pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb8cfe7…
06-15 12:41:37	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 9 15	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x180320…
06-15 01:32:10	ufc ste6 die4 2026 06 14	Diego Lopes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x917683…
06-14 19:03:09	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0e9c5c…
06-14 19:02:22	fifwc ger kor 2026 06 14 second half total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ec0e4…
06-14 17:30:27	cs2 bb3 vit 2026 06 14 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f211f…
06-13 11:58:09	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x79b040…
06-13 09:17:09	cs2 fnc minken 2026 06 13	fnatic	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8903a3…
06-13 01:55:00	mlb phi mil 2026 06 12 spread home 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xce3642…
06-12 23:27:34	spacex ipo will elon musk ring the bell 20260608201006493	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd363ca…
06-12 20:26:58	will spacexs valuation hit high 2pt0t by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x774426…
06-12 20:18:55	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x29e9d8…
06-12 20:17:19	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x40a730…
06-12 20:05:04	tsla above 410 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6c70c4…
06-12 13:30:18	bkvtb zen lok 2026 06 12	Lokomotiv Kuban	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf376d2…
06-12 10:42:21	lol hle1 t1 2026 06 12 game2 kill over 29pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe1b457…
06-11 22:13:42	wti closes above 86 on june 11 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbd6c1f…
06-11 21:13:57	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread home 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x372a6c…
06-11 16:53:30	lol g2nord gal 2026 06 11 game1	G2 NORD	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ec819…
06-11 16:03:33	will the next claude mythos model added to the arena leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1520	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x61c542…
06-10 20:16:54	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10	New York Yankees	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc866ca…
06-10 20:05:15	mlb bos tb 2026 06 10	Tampa Bay Rays	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x192ff7…
06-10 12:30:31	atp boogaar wu 2026 06 08 set handicap away 1pt5	Boogaard	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb48956…
06-10 09:20:42	itf kulikov vaquero 2026 06 10 first set total 8pt5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x47ab61…
06-09 17:17:39	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa30583…
06-08 21:37:03	France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb0a5ea…
06-08 12:03:39	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x41afbf…
06-07 21:58:16	mlb mil col 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Milwaukee Brewers	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xfd7fe0…
06-07 21:09:31	mlb cws phi 2026 06 07	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc56309…
06-07 17:38:58	mlbb ts ver 2026 06 07 game1	Team Spirit	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa16428…
06-07 16:59:27	cs2 bb3 m80 2026 06 07	BetBoom Team	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5c6b74…
06-07 13:09:45	sc2 hero cure 2026 06 07	herO	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4ce928…
06-06 23:09:46	codmw tex riyf 2026 06 06	OpTic Texas	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x8d1e2a…
06-06 14:19:19	lol jdg blg 2026 06 06 game handicap home 1pt5	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xf6d892…
06-06 11:32:36	itf jovanov davies 2026 06 06	Allegra Korpanec Davies	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x330dd0…
06-06 11:32:34	itf haavist petruze 2026 06 06	Lucie Petruzelova	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x1f3c41…
06-05 18:59:49	bkligend bil val 2026 06 05	Valencia	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x279abd…
06-05 15:45:22	atp mensik zverev 2026 06 05 set handicap away 2pt5	Mensik	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ea725…
06-05 01:53:15	fda approves arvinas vepdegestrant 06 05 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x43672a…
06-04 18:17:10	mlb bal bos 2026 06 04 nrfi	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x570055…
06-04 17:14:40	cs2 100t ursa 2026 06 04 total games 2pt5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x2bf792…
06-03 16:06:12	T20 Scotland Tri-Series, Women: Scotland vs Netherlands	Scotland	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdb87c4…
06-03 16:04:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x99768f…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
alien abduction at brazil vs scotland game in miami 20260624221224553	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-25 02:03
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: August Holmgren vs Daniel Jade	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 04:48
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Ivory Coast vs Mali	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	06-03 04:48
highest temperature in milan on april 5 2026 17c	2	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-05 08:55
Games Total: O/U 2.5	3	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-19 00:48
Map Handicap: DRIP (-1.5) vs m1x (+1.5)	2	$20	10	10	+0	m1x	+$0	05-07 11:00
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in May?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-29 22:14
LoL: GTZ Esports vs The Otter Side (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-24 16:02
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 21pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 02:47
atp mena aboian 2026 04 15 match total 22pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 02:47
ITF Men Luan: Completed Match: Eric Jr Olivarez vs Xiaofei Wang	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 05:51
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-09 07:09
blast open rotterdam 2026 will a player break something during a game	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-31 04:00
Over $7M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:53
Istanbul: Laura Pigossi vs Lucia Cortez Llorca	2	$20	10	10	+0	Laura Pigossi	$-0	05-05 15:54
bitcoin above 78k on april 24	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-24 17:11
fl1 psg nan 2026 04 22 total 1pt5	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-22 17:37
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-01 01:30
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 18c	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-15 20:32
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	03-24 20:12
atp shimabu riedi 2026 04 17 set totals 2pt5	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-17 07:01
highest temperature in taipei on april 24 2026 19c	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 16:50
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C on April 25?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-25 07:07
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Basquet Club Andorra	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-02 20:55
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Magda Linette vs Tatjana Maria	1	$10	10	0	+10	Tatjana Maria	+$0	05-06 10:22
Will 1+ world records be broken at the 2026 Enhanced Games?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	05-25 04:48
cs2 red9 m8 2026 04 14 game2	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-14 15:08
Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	04-25 20:05
highest temperature in miami on april 8 2026 72 73f	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-08 19:28
Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 23, 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-23 18:11