Dear-Circadian — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

Trades

200

lifetime

Volume

$3.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$18

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 06-08 07:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 67% +$10

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 34 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ethereum above 2100 on april 17	5	$1.2K	585	584	+0	open	—	04-16 14:16
sol updown 15m 1772950500	9	$86	57	56	+1	open	—	03-08 06:28
xrp updown 15m 1772941500	2	$86	57	56	+1	open	—	03-08 03:56
btc updown 15m 1772944200	2	$85	58	57	+1	open	—	03-08 04:44
btc updown 15m 1772948700	2	$84	58	57	+1	open	—	03-08 05:59
eth updown 15m 1772951400	2	$72	48	47	+1	open	—	03-08 06:41
xrp updown 15m 1772952300	2	$71	48	47	+1	open	—	03-08 06:57
xrp updown 15m 1772937900	3	$62	66	56	+11	open	—	03-08 02:44
eth updown 15m 1776010500	2	$56	37	36	+1	open	—	04-12 16:29
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	3	$53	36	36	+0	open	—	05-17 09:11
sol updown 15m 1777035600	2	$53	38	37	+1	open	—	04-24 13:06
btc updown 15m 1772941500	2	$52	60	59	+1	open	—	03-08 03:57
xrp updown 15m 1772944200	2	$49	57	56	+1	open	—	03-08 04:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	2	$40	26	26	+0	open	—	05-02 02:37
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	5	$33	24	24	+0	open	—	05-17 09:29
sol updown 15m 1776382200	3	$32	23	22	+1	open	—	04-16 23:43
xrp updown 15m 1772931600	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	03-08 00:51
sol updown 15m 1773014400	1	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	03-08 23:53
sol updown 15m 1772933400	1	$30	58	0	+58	open	—	03-08 01:25
eth updown 15m 1772948700	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	03-08 05:31
btc updown 15m 1773023400	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-09 02:18
btc updown 15m 1772946000	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	03-08 04:48
sol updown 15m 1773017100	1	$30	60	0	+60	open	—	03-09 00:34
btc updown 15m 1772931600	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	03-08 00:46
eth updown 15m 1772937000	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-08 02:28
sol updown 15m 1772943300	1	$30	56	0	+56	open	—	03-08 04:14
eth updown 15m 1772931600	1	$30	59	0	+59	open	—	03-08 00:49
xrp updown 15m 1773014400	1	$30	57	0	+57	open	—	03-08 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	2	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	05-17 00:56
eth updown 15m 1776383100	2	$30	19	19	+1	open	—	04-16 23:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 07:12:25	xrp updown 15m 1780902000	Up	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xd2ce3e…
06-08 07:00:16	xrp updown 15m 1780902000	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa19130…
06-08 06:59:15	btc updown 15m 1780902000	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x901781…
06-08 06:29:40	xrp updown 15m 1780901100	Down	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x8bba7b…
06-08 06:22:48	xrp updown 15m 1780899300	Up	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xbbc329…
06-08 06:22:48	xrp updown 15m 1780899300	Up	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x507789…
06-08 06:12:52	xrp updown 15m 1780899300	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x77de63…
06-08 04:46:15	xrp updown 15m 1780894800	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xa07a0b…
06-08 04:40:21	xrp updown 15m 1780893000	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$3	0xbafd32…
06-08 04:40:21	xrp updown 15m 1780893000	Down	SELL	7	90¢	$6	0x66a567…
06-08 04:27:07	xrp updown 15m 1780893000	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdf2dc4…
05-30 11:45:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xcb5fc2…
05-18 09:44:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xcdcd1c…
05-18 08:56:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x1784f9…
05-18 08:56:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x67d3a0…
05-18 08:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5d9c7d…
05-18 08:39:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	SELL	19	90¢	$17	0xe36cf2…
05-18 08:25:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x603e3b…
05-18 06:10:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x17bc7a…
05-18 06:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$4	0xe675fd…
05-18 06:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	15	98¢	$15	0xed7a79…
05-18 05:39:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2ad236…
05-18 05:29:56	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x8b71e9…
05-18 05:29:54	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	15	98¢	$14	0x0ad0f4…
05-18 05:12:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x3dfa77…
05-18 05:11:05	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x9f7cab…
05-18 04:06:20	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	88¢	$17	0x579c58…
05-18 03:57:18	Solana Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x258d9e…
05-18 03:56:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$19	0x05a229…
05-18 03:42:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5db0d3…
05-18 01:55:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	19	98¢	$18	0x37c3a2…
05-18 01:41:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x33a7c4…
05-18 00:57:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x2fa27a…
05-18 00:57:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xaaa1a3…
05-18 00:57:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xba5fc5…
05-18 00:57:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x8b3265…
05-18 00:57:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x226ab9…
05-18 00:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x8fb487…
05-18 00:57:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x7e29e1…
05-18 00:43:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x8a43dc…
05-17 11:13:49	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2bea08…
05-17 10:57:03	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x67a4ab…
05-17 10:56:58	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x62860d…
05-17 09:44:31	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x23a3ab…
05-17 09:29:50	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xc758a9…
05-17 09:29:49	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x07d45b…
05-17 09:29:21	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x304073…
05-17 09:29:19	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xd5d6dd…
05-17 09:18:28	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xf4e749…
05-17 09:11:05	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	SELL	36	93¢	$33	0x62e99f…
05-17 09:00:07	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x113c07…
05-17 09:00:02	XRP Up or Down - May 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2c8eb1…
05-17 08:45:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5fc668…
05-17 08:08:16	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	87¢	$17	0x0b6dd9…
05-17 07:56:16	Solana Up or Down - May 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x11624f…
05-17 06:10:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x20d0e1…
05-17 05:53:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd181c1…
05-17 04:59:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	SELL	19	98¢	$19	0x2e617d…
05-17 04:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3bfa9d…
05-17 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xd29c54…
05-17 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x4c5e27…
05-17 04:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x1b4931…
05-17 03:44:11	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x952763…
05-17 03:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xb9dcde…
05-17 03:27:21	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x08fcca…
05-17 02:39:59	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x880f42…
05-17 02:02:41	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x8f964a…
05-17 00:58:05	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0xee6fb2…
05-17 00:58:05	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x5b3b5b…
05-17 00:58:05	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x00d8be…
05-17 00:58:03	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x2c8cb2…
05-17 00:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x9afc6d…
05-17 00:39:14	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x4eae3d…
05-17 00:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x7262ea…
05-16 12:59:25	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	20	95¢	$19	0xfa059f…
05-16 12:39:59	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd53e83…
05-16 12:38:06	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	SELL	20	96¢	$19	0x91441a…
05-16 12:26:54	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x5d7876…
05-16 11:11:56	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4e1090…
05-16 11:10:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x2ce81d…
05-16 11:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xe5134f…
05-16 11:00:09	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xe1f054…
05-16 06:31:12	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xd932f1…
05-16 06:30:43	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x3d0e4e…
05-16 06:12:04	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$9	0xae8adb…
05-16 06:12:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x13b0b6…
05-16 05:58:03	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2c396f…
05-16 04:59:23	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3a8005…
05-16 04:59:11	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	12	98¢	$12	0xf88b08…
05-16 04:59:08	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xc99b3a…
05-16 04:59:08	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x46d3e4…
05-16 04:57:33	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x752577…
05-16 04:57:28	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1530e6…
05-16 04:57:26	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0xce6b4f…
05-16 04:57:26	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0xc3f131…
05-16 04:44:50	XRP Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0xbd4256…
05-16 04:44:31	Solana Up or Down - May 16, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x98d917…
05-13 07:13:13	Solana Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	92¢	$18	0x483596…
05-13 07:08:03	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	SELL	19	92¢	$17	0x734d2d…
05-13 06:57:21	XRP Up or Down - May 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x286539…