Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.99K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.9%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$42.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$285

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-16 01:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 26 days

Categories

Politics

76% 74% -$1,697

Crypto

24% 56% -$276

Other

0% 50% -$14

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-16).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	20	$6.5K	3,509	3,509	+0	Yes	-$4	01-29 15:51
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	11	$5.1K	2,791	2,791	+0	No	+$439	02-01 05:10
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	21	$4.3K	4,167	1,331	+2,836	Yes	-$2,275	02-27 11:41
us strikes iran by january 15 2026 652 612	5	$3.4K	1,758	1,758	+0	No	+$99	01-16 04:21
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	13	$3.0K	1,649	1,649	+0	No	+$82	01-27 20:25
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	5	$2.7K	1,477	1,477	+0	Yes	+$114	02-15 11:42
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$2.2K	1,280	1,280	+0	Yes	-$38	02-27 11:32
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	2	$2.0K	1,018	1,018	+0	No	+$40	01-24 05:10
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	4	$1.7K	869	869	+0	No	+$62	01-17 06:20
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	2	$1.6K	784	784	+0	No	+$11	01-18 05:30
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$1.5K	1,535	0	+1,535	No	+$53	02-09 17:27
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	2	$1.2K	588	588	+0	No	+$4	01-19 05:50
us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	2	$1.2K	588	588	+0	No	+$16	01-29 04:58
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	2	$1.0K	525	525	+0	No	+$10	01-25 05:41
will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	7	$941	560	560	+0	No	+$38	02-22 05:38
will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	4	$821	422	422	+0	No	+$21	02-02 04:55
will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	5	$428	358	236	+122	Yes	-$88	01-29 07:05
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	3	$425	253	253	+0	No	+$25	02-09 17:25
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	3	$326	181	181	+0	No	+$26	02-14 14:02
ukraine signs peace deal with russia in 2025	1	$307	0	308	-308	No	$0	01-01 07:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	3	$252	465	0	+465	Yes	-$252	06-16 01:04
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	2	$203	109	109	+0	No	+$3	02-02 11:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$199	240	0	+240	No	+$41	05-12 12:35
will bitcoin dip to 66k february 2 8	3	$190	213	0	+213	Yes	-$190	02-04 15:07
will bitcoin dip to 84k january 5 11	2	$178	92	92	+0	No	+$6	01-10 10:07
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by january 11 311	2	$139	84	84	+0	Yes	+$16	01-11 15:58
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	1	$132	347	0	+347	Yes	-$132	02-20 18:05
will ethereum dip to 2800 in january 2026 835	3	$118	81	81	+0	Yes	+$18	01-19 20:23
will bitcoin dip to 88k january 5 11	2	$102	69	69	+0	No	+$22	01-09 17:45
will bitcoin dip to 68k february 2 8	1	$100	120	0	+120	Yes	-$100	02-03 18:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 01:04:40	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	166	3¢	$5	0x6c0653…
06-15 11:52:28	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x2cbfd2…
06-11 15:31:40	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	249	96¢	$241	0x491609…
05-12 12:35:56	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	240	83¢	$199	0x3a8b8e…
02-27 11:41:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	22	83¢	$18	0xcb3fce…
02-27 11:41:19	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	74	83¢	$62	0x2ba5c8…
02-27 11:41:07	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0x8de3b3…
02-27 11:40:55	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	182	83¢	$151	0xd8973a…
02-27 11:40:53	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0xf2828a…
02-27 11:40:53	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	21	83¢	$18	0x7da99c…
02-27 11:40:47	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	189	83¢	$157	0x522434…
02-27 11:40:33	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	49	83¢	$41	0x46fa5c…
02-27 11:40:17	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	21	83¢	$18	0x139cfe…
02-27 11:40:11	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0xc055af…
02-27 11:40:03	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0xd2e21f…
02-27 11:40:03	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	118	83¢	$98	0x830cd3…
02-27 11:32:57	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	1,247	83¢	$1,035	0x34d292…
02-27 11:31:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	SELL	33	83¢	$28	0x3cb65a…
02-22 05:39:28	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	91	82¢	$75	0x43b825…
02-22 05:38:48	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	30	95¢	$29	0x4cbc8b…
02-22 05:38:24	will bitcoin dip to 64k february 16 22	No	SELL	48	97¢	$46	0x49ec9d…
02-20 18:05:16	US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	347	38¢	$132	0x4f6fe0…
02-20 18:04:36	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	110	92¢	$102	0x0789d7…
02-19 07:34:28	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	91	70¢	$64	0x9a37dc…
02-19 07:34:04	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xd903f0…
02-19 07:32:22	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	110	92¢	$101	0x6f9926…
02-18 05:56:04	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	89	80¢	$71	0x8d271e…
02-17 16:45:41	will bitcoin dip to 64k february 16 22	No	BUY	48	63¢	$30	0x114f0f…
02-15 11:55:25	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	1,280	86¢	$1,101	0xb769cb…
02-15 11:53:53	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 22	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x32f353…
02-15 11:42:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	265	97¢	$257	0xf42331…
02-15 11:39:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	780	97¢	$756	0x76ee8a…
02-14 14:02:29	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	139	98¢	$136	0xf3f215…
02-14 12:37:17	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0x209a39…
02-13 20:36:17	will bitcoin dip to 64k february 9 15	No	SELL	7	94¢	$7	0xb5efc4…
02-13 20:32:59	will bitcoin dip to 64k february 9 15	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x13349d…
02-13 08:16:57	will bitcoin dip to 64k february 9 15	No	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x12c28b…
02-13 08:12:49	will bitcoin dip to 64k february 9 15	No	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0x6fb29c…
02-11 14:38:49	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	250	80¢	$200	0x0085d7…
02-10 08:05:37	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	1,285	78¢	$1,002	0xcbd250…
02-09 17:27:47	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	1,535	97¢	$1,482	0x477782…
02-09 17:26:05	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	SELL	310	83¢	$258	0x7f81b1…
02-09 17:25:31	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	SELL	1,331	75¢	$998	0xbe41d6…
02-09 17:25:11	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	SELL	253	89¢	$225	0x90adb0…
02-05 20:11:51	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	74	68¢	$50	0xaa37e2…
02-05 20:11:35	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	181	83¢	$150	0x646640…
02-05 20:10:51	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	216	93¢	$201	0x2fa9dd…
02-05 13:40:25	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	236	85¢	$201	0x2518e2…
02-05 13:40:07	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	216	93¢	$201	0x9978c9…
02-04 15:07:16	will bitcoin dip to 66k february 2 8	No	BUY	77	91¢	$70	0x32fa03…
02-03 18:57:36	will bitcoin dip to 66k february 2 8	No	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0x22a656…
02-03 18:02:58	will bitcoin dip to 66k february 2 8	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x943ede…
02-03 18:02:14	will bitcoin dip to 68k february 2 8	No	BUY	120	83¢	$100	0x8c37ba…
02-03 12:35:24	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	886	79¢	$700	0xb1533b…
02-02 11:56:26	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	278	72¢	$200	0xe9e39a…
02-02 11:56:00	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	SELL	109	95¢	$103	0x62c721…
02-02 04:55:48	will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	No	SELL	422	100¢	$421	0x45944c…
02-01 20:02:26	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	1,477	88¢	$1,300	0xc1f308…
02-01 18:11:18	will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	No	BUY	105	96¢	$100	0x5cdb7d…
02-01 12:01:40	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x1cdd9f…
02-01 11:55:04	will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	No	BUY	106	94¢	$100	0x2250f3…
02-01 08:52:38	will bitcoin dip to 74k january 26 1	No	BUY	211	95¢	$200	0x527e52…
02-01 08:50:22	us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	No	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x626cdd…
02-01 08:50:12	us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	No	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0xbefc64…
02-01 08:49:56	us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x752edb…
02-01 05:10:08	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	1,766	100¢	$1,764	0xde1682…
01-31 19:23:24	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	SELL	1,025	98¢	$1,001	0x9ce1ca…
01-29 17:11:44	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	1,132	87¢	$985	0x473065…
01-29 15:51:26	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	SELL	1,125	88¢	$985	0xa6ee1c…
01-29 07:07:04	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	BUY	497	98¢	$487	0x033157…
01-29 07:05:18	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	No	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0x3608e0…
01-29 04:58:18	us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	No	SELL	588	100¢	$587	0xebbba5…
01-28 12:24:03	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	564	90¢	$508	0x7d5f46…
01-28 12:23:01	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	SELL	370	98¢	$361	0x081206…
01-28 12:21:21	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	SELL	37	98¢	$36	0x89b2ed…
01-28 12:21:19	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xe78596…
01-28 12:21:01	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x2eda2a…
01-28 12:20:55	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	SELL	62	98¢	$60	0x0cc47d…
01-27 20:26:19	us strikes iran by january 28 2026 117 856 648 735 438	No	BUY	588	97¢	$571	0x6f7b6c…
01-27 20:25:19	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	409	98¢	$401	0x96eb7b…
01-27 19:22:33	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	No	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xbf24d7…
01-27 19:21:09	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	No	SELL	222	72¢	$160	0x2db98d…
01-26 06:48:52	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	BUY	113	90¢	$101	0x936587…
01-26 06:48:36	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	105	97¢	$101	0xe5ea47…
01-25 17:09:44	will bitcoin dip to 85k in january 2026	No	BUY	59	52¢	$31	0x4d4223…
01-25 17:09:26	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	32	96¢	$31	0xd652e0…
01-25 05:47:06	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	546	96¢	$524	0x4dbc53…
01-25 05:41:14	us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	No	SELL	525	100¢	$524	0x496470…
01-24 20:28:02	us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	No	BUY	525	98¢	$514	0xdcadef…
01-24 20:27:22	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	SELL	547	94¢	$514	0x18fc6d…
01-24 12:41:40	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	52	77¢	$40	0x2765ef…
01-24 05:13:26	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	BUY	1,035	94¢	$975	0x74b6d7…
01-24 05:10:30	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	SELL	1,018	100¢	$1,015	0xbd3928…
01-23 19:40:10	us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	No	BUY	1,018	96¢	$975	0xc87ed3…
01-23 19:39:04	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	SELL	1,035	94¢	$975	0x3f7dad…
01-23 19:18:10	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	136	74¢	$100	0xd9bb50…
01-23 19:17:20	will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	No	SELL	106	95¢	$100	0x48a674…
01-23 14:41:56	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	267	75¢	$201	0x35e8fa…
01-21 16:21:08	us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	No	BUY	127	76¢	$97	0x7d476f…
01-20 07:21:56	will bitcoin dip to 90k january 19 25	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x53b809…