Lasting-Glue — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$92

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

28.8%

Resolved

Trades

124

lifetime

Volume

$631

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-12 16:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

56% 67% $-93

Sports

23% — —

Politics

19% 100% +$1

Crypto

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	2	$100	208	0	+208	Andrey Rublev	$-100	05-12 16:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$75	60	60	+0	open	—	03-03 07:17
f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	3	$61	66	66	+0	open	—	03-29 05:54
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	5	$54	3,620	3,620	+0	open	—	04-14 13:23
Jamal Musiala: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$24	14	14	+0	No	+$4	05-06 22:43
f1 japanese grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 29	3	$19	122	122	+0	open	—	03-29 06:03
f1 japanese grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 29	7	$18	1,131	0	+1,131	open	—	03-29 05:37
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$14	23	23	+0	open	—	02-18 22:54
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 spread home 2pt5	2	$13	90	0	+90	open	—	04-08 20:50
Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$13	8	8	+0	No	+$3	05-06 22:43
sea mil int 2026 03 08 mil	2	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	03-08 21:38
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	2	$11	35	34	+0	open	—	04-11 12:05
us strikes iran by january 18 2026 991	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	01-14 18:40
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-08 18:57
will carlos alcaraz win the 2026 australian open	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	01-30 09:09
ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 total 2pt5	1	$10	23	0	+23	open	—	03-17 18:52
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$10	556	556	+0	open	—	04-15 19:49
ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	2	$9	14	13	+0	open	—	04-14 20:16
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	2	$8	118	0	+118	open	—	01-20 17:25
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	3	$7	279	0	+279	open	—	04-15 20:54
will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	3	$7	54	54	+0	open	—	03-22 15:53
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 draw	2	$6	10	10	+0	open	—	04-11 12:41
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	2	$6	17	17	+0	open	—	03-10 07:08
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$5	24	0	+24	open	—	03-08 19:30
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	1	$5	8	0	+8	open	—	02-18 22:59
ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	04-07 19:00
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$5	27	27	+0	open	—	03-09 08:02
ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	2	$5	6	5	+0	open	—	04-08 20:03
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	3	$4	35	35	+0	open	—	02-19 08:06
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$4	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-02 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 16:47:57	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0xf63111…
05-12 15:44:07	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili	Nikoloz Basilashvili	BUY	83	60¢	$50	0xaa9055…
05-06 22:43:18	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	No	SELL	8	100¢	$8	0xf8e87b…
05-06 22:43:04	Jamal Musiala: Anytime Goalscorer	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x815316…
05-06 16:07:06	Jamal Musiala: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0xfd9a51…
05-06 16:06:52	Michael Olise: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe3120f…
04-15 20:54:32	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x73c59b…
04-15 19:49:50	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	SELL	556	1¢	$5	0xc69974…
04-15 10:18:56	Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	556	1¢	$5	0x72d861…
04-15 08:23:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?	No	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x20edb5…
04-14 20:16:02	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	SELL	13	32¢	$4	0xdbc024…
04-14 19:06:16	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x460402…
04-14 17:54:56	ucl liv1 psg1 2026 04 14 psg1	Yes	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x2f81ec…
04-14 17:54:28	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 draw	Yes	BUY	10	21¢	$2	0x9c4158…
04-14 17:54:20	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xda512e…
04-14 13:23:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	3,500	1¢	$21	0x025f08…
04-13 19:44:15	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x19655d…
04-13 19:36:19	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,500	1¢	$20	0xc5e57f…
04-11 20:39:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,000	1¢	$7	0xe46561…
04-11 12:41:27	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 draw	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x0cf1ed…
04-11 12:05:55	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	34	17¢	$6	0xa5bfc6…
04-11 12:00:55	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 draw	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x08a58e…
04-08 20:50:45	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 spread home 2pt5	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x92c4c8…
04-08 20:03:07	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	Yes	SELL	5	66¢	$4	0x42d068…
04-08 19:09:11	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x75aaee…
04-08 18:59:21	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 spread home 2pt5	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	19	16¢	$3	0x3c1a50…
04-08 18:57:33	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x566b92…
04-07 20:08:09	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x3624b1…
04-07 19:00:33	ucl spo1 ars 2026 04 07 spo1	Yes	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x5a1f96…
04-07 19:00:01	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0xa5db0e…
04-05 08:05:35	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	35	14¢	$5	0xce1fe4…
04-05 06:31:59	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x21cb4a…
03-29 06:03:10	f1 japanese grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 29	Yes	SELL	122	7¢	$9	0x5a3357…
03-29 06:00:46	f1 japanese grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	115	9¢	$10	0x8f92e4…
03-29 05:56:42	f1 japanese grand prix winner piastri 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x97e8f9…
03-29 05:54:28	f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	Yes	SELL	66	80¢	$53	0x99bb35…
03-29 05:37:08	f1 japanese grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	17	1¢	$0	0xe72aea…
03-29 05:36:34	f1 japanese grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4c3259…
03-29 05:35:16	f1 japanese grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	940	1¢	$9	0x05248c…
03-29 05:35:06	f1 japanese grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xc9ef19…
03-29 05:34:42	f1 japanese grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0xc66448…
03-29 05:28:48	f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x4b6e6f…
03-29 05:20:48	f1 japanese grand prix winner antonelli 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	15	22¢	$3	0xfa4e40…
03-28 10:59:03	f1 japanese grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	111	4¢	$5	0x70486d…
03-28 06:31:21	f1 japanese grand prix winner leclerc 2026 03 29	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x8fecb2…
03-28 06:30:33	f1 japanese grand prix driver pole position leclerc 2026 03 28	Yes	BUY	22	14¢	$3	0x9006da…
03-28 06:30:17	f1 japanese grand prix driver pole position antonelli 2026 03 28	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa542f4…
03-24 17:29:45	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	7	31¢	$2	0x2a9840…
03-24 17:29:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	120	4¢	$4	0xfa23c1…
03-22 15:53:55	will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x137fae…
03-22 15:53:51	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	SELL	54	1¢	$1	0x57ddd8…
03-18 18:19:03	ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 exact score 2 2	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x8cdc8e…
03-18 17:30:37	will galatasaray reach the uefa champions league quarter finals	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0xd33b49…
03-18 17:29:33	ucl tot atm1 2026 03 18 atm1	Yes	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0x458f78…
03-17 18:55:17	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 rma1	Yes	BUY	18	17¢	$3	0x288fb3…
03-17 18:52:13	ucl ars lev 2026 03 17 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xee6e10…
03-15 11:41:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	120	2¢	$2	0xffc3c1…
03-10 07:09:15	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	BUY	43	7¢	$3	0xc38455…
03-10 07:08:01	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	17	25¢	$4	0x839e1d…
03-09 08:07:35	will tsla dip to 330 in march	Yes	BUY	12	24¢	$3	0x04f313…
03-09 08:02:53	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xf314a3…
03-09 07:05:49	will annual inflation increase by 2pt8 in march	No	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0xc0df0f…
03-09 07:02:55	will crude oil cl hit low 55 by end of march 636 962 469 326 685 977 449 282 342 385 842	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0xf9c6f6…
03-08 21:47:15	will iran claim responsibility for oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xb666ce…
03-08 21:38:47	sea mil int 2026 03 08 mil	Yes	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x0b362d…
03-08 19:34:59	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 draw	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb8da7d…
03-08 19:34:39	ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 bog1	Yes	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xb21ffb…
03-08 19:34:19	ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 draw	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf98f63…
03-08 19:34:11	ucl lev ars 2026 03 11 draw	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xfc5f74…
03-08 19:33:31	sea mil int 2026 03 08 mil	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x220f93…
03-08 19:30:37	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	Yes	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xa6f054…
03-08 19:29:11	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0x0ebe68…
03-08 04:09:23	f1 australian grand prix safety car 2026 03 07	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0x6c9467…
03-08 03:47:29	f1 australian grand prix safety car 2026 03 07	No	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x06f107…
03-08 03:44:13	f1 australian grand prix safety car 2026 03 07	No	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0x04603a…
03-03 07:21:59	will crude oil cl hit low 65 by end of march 687 631 179 583 222 896 946 953 469 231 749	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x7dc37b…
03-03 07:21:47	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	17	12¢	$2	0x7a31df…
03-03 07:17:35	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	60	100¢	$60	0x25deca…
03-02 13:51:25	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$4	0xacb59e…
02-21 08:39:16	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x706957…
02-20 15:38:44	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	44¢	$3	0x0b62ed…
02-19 08:07:08	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0x62842f…
02-19 08:06:14	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	SELL	35	7¢	$2	0xd273da…
02-18 22:59:06	US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x5c1814…
02-18 22:55:50	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0xfde426…
02-18 22:54:58	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	23	41¢	$9	0xad97c6…
02-18 19:58:34	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x1d8f94…
02-18 19:55:54	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xfccdc4…
02-18 19:30:40	sea mil com 2026 02 18 mil	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x303e9d…
02-18 06:28:08	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x579eb8…
02-18 06:27:52	US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x16bfbb…
02-18 06:27:28	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x9fec6c…
02-18 06:26:30	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0x1924fc…
02-18 06:22:40	will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0xe871f4…
02-18 06:20:04	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x9fc93f…
02-18 06:13:36	nhl lak cbj 2026 01 26	Kings	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6c0fc8…
02-18 06:03:10	sea mil com 2026 02 18 mil	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe1d8f9…
02-18 06:01:20	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	83	1¢	$1	0x9c9939…
02-18 06:00:42	Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x28681a…
02-18 06:00:36	Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0xabe88e…