Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$357

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

33.8%

Resolved

233

Trades

1,265

lifetime

Volume

$1.95K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-09

last 03-21 16:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 25 days

Categories

Politics

51% 42% -$104

Crypto

34% 24% -$140

Other

15% 6% -$101

Tech

1% 0% -$11

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-03-21).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	7	$335	225	225	+0	Yes	-$65	03-15 22:33
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	17	$157	1,099	0	+1,099	Yes	-$14	03-09 13:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	7	$108	66	66	+0	No	+$8	03-16 01:15
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	12	$62	59	59	+0	Yes	-$6	03-16 01:08
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	4	$62	32	32	+0	No	+$2	03-14 14:19
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?	6	$60	61	0	+61	Yes	+$1	03-09 11:31
us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	6	$55	84	84	+0	No	-$16	03-17 23:09
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:40 UTC	46	$46	97	0	+97	Down	+$2	03-09 03:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:40 UTC	44	$44	100	0	+100	Down	-$23	03-09 03:43
will trump create a tariff dividend by march 31	3	$40	21	21	+0	No	+$0	03-16 01:24
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	7	$39	790	0	+790	Yes	-$9	03-09 12:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 04:15 UTC	36	$36	757	0	+757	Up	-$22	03-09 04:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:25 UTC	35	$35	80	0	+80	Up	-$24	03-09 03:28
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 03:15 UTC	30	$32	6,374	0	+6,374	Down	-$31	03-09 03:28
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	16	$31	247	247	+0	No	-$10	03-16 16:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 04:05 UTC	30	$30	98	0	+98	Down	+$50	03-09 04:08
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 04:15 UTC	30	$30	230	0	+230	Up	-$19	03-09 04:20
bitcoin up or down march 9 12am et	15	$28	26	15	+10	Down	+$11	03-09 04:37
highest temperature in seoul on march 9 2026 6c	10	$27	81	183	-102	No	+$17	03-09 03:51
solana up or down march 8 11pm et	21	$25	178	0	+178	Up	-$16	03-09 03:41
XRP Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 04:15 UTC	25	$25	623	0	+623	Up	+$7	03-09 04:20
bitcoin up or down march 8 11pm et	3	$24	30	12	+17	Up	-$1	03-09 03:23
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	4	$24	20	20	+0	Yes	+$2	03-15 22:15
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:15 UTC	8	$23	19	16	+3	Up	+$9	03-09 03:20
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 03:40 UTC	22	$22	53	0	+53	Down	-$17	03-09 03:43
iran leadership change by march 31	2	$21	15	15	+0	No	+$1	03-16 01:25
will germany strike iran by march 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	+$0	03-15 22:15
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-03-09 04:00 UTC	19	$19	34	0	+34	Down	-$14	03-09 04:07
SOL Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-09 04:15 UTC	19	$19	361	0	+361	Up	-$7	03-09 04:20
netanyahu out by march 31 854	16	$18	10	9	+0	No	+$1	03-21 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
03-21 16:50:53	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	SELL	6	46¢	$3	0x804896…
03-21 16:50:41	will bruno mars have the second greatest number of monthly spotify listeners this month	Yes	SELL	115	0¢	$0	0xfe4f4a…
03-21 16:50:27	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0x30dfe6…
03-21 16:50:21	will affirm holdings afrm be added to the sp 500 by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	83	0¢	$0	0x31b7fb…
03-21 16:48:19	Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	SELL	125	1¢	$1	0x669b21…
03-21 16:47:59	EdgeX FDV above $10B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	500	0¢	$0	0xd37055…
03-21 16:47:49	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by March 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	71	1¢	$1	0x5a1db4…
03-21 16:46:05	will crude oil cl settle over 52 on the final trading day of march 2026	No	SELL	91	0¢	$0	0x7ed6d5…
03-21 08:20:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf27e75…
03-21 08:08:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xb51e24…
03-21 07:49:31	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x564d5a…
03-21 07:43:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xdc10bc…
03-21 07:38:55	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x020634…
03-21 07:37:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x7b842c…
03-21 06:52:35	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x47bd2f…
03-17 23:09:29	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	No	SELL	16	91¢	$14	0xd68180…
03-16 16:28:57	US strike on Cuba by March 31?	Yes	SELL	81	4¢	$3	0xf4592f…
03-16 16:28:01	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	SELL	247	4¢	$10	0x065618…
03-16 16:26:23	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	SELL	69	7¢	$5	0x68234a…
03-16 05:26:37	will the democrats d win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	250	2¢	$4	0x588fca…
03-16 01:26:29	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	784	0¢	$2	0x38ee54…
03-16 01:25:17	iran leadership change by march 31	No	SELL	15	78¢	$11	0xbe548d…
03-16 01:24:07	will trump create a tariff dividend by march 31	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x4754b9…
03-16 01:21:23	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	43	7¢	$3	0xf3f47e…
03-16 01:15:49	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	9	88¢	$8	0x63f8a1…
03-16 01:11:49	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 6 9	Yes	SELL	83	5¢	$4	0xfdeec4…
03-16 01:09:53	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	57	88¢	$50	0xc2c983…
03-16 01:08:45	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	Yes	SELL	59	47¢	$28	0x1af7ec…
03-15 22:33:57	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	SELL	48	60¢	$29	0x6bab9c…
03-15 22:33:51	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	SELL	12	60¢	$7	0x3ddfcc…
03-15 22:32:29	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	SELL	108	60¢	$65	0x69e88c…
03-15 22:15:33	will germany strike iran by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x8f5bdb…
03-15 22:15:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	20	64¢	$13	0xd61e53…
03-15 22:13:23	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	SELL	8	60¢	$5	0x9a0968…
03-15 22:13:23	will israel or the us target isfahan nuclear technology center nuclear facility	Yes	SELL	49	60¢	$29	0x2666f5…
03-14 14:32:15	will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 3 6	Yes	SELL	25	7¢	$2	0x44bb82…
03-14 14:19:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	SELL	32	99¢	$32	0x4ac50e…
03-14 14:18:59	will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x958636…
03-14 14:18:01	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x24d7c2…
03-14 13:06:33	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xde3e40…
03-14 12:53:03	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x9e0b8f…
03-14 11:10:49	will israel launch a major ground offensive in gaza by march 31	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4510f3…
03-14 09:34:07	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	2	45¢	$1	0x609673…
03-14 09:33:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	0	44¢	$0	0x1e67d0…
03-14 01:38:47	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x6aa660…
03-13 23:20:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x53d8cd…
03-13 22:59:43	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xcb31b0…
03-13 21:59:37	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x801834…
03-13 21:59:35	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd8cecf…
03-13 21:59:35	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xaa4ef6…
03-13 21:59:35	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xa04b22…
03-13 21:59:35	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x6cadd2…
03-13 21:59:33	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xb4466b…
03-13 21:59:33	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x63b294…
03-13 21:59:33	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x452e65…
03-13 21:59:33	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x25d31c…
03-13 21:59:31	will bahrain strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x5d4b4a…
03-13 20:54:59	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb6028e…
03-13 20:44:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x9d4e18…
03-13 20:41:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x1947c1…
03-13 20:37:31	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x437776…
03-13 20:29:07	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x76b823…
03-13 16:00:21	Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	Yes	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb68f8f…
03-13 15:59:29	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6dad56…
03-13 15:00:59	will the bank of canada announce a 50 bps decrease at the march meeting	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x4fdd70…
03-13 14:33:37	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xc108f1…
03-13 14:33:01	will france strike iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xca139a…
03-12 04:55:35	Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x8c487e…
03-10 13:48:41	Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7ab6ca…
03-10 02:52:43	Will Burnley be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	No	SELL	59	1¢	$1	0xc214d5…
03-10 00:09:07	will annual inflation increase by 2pt6 in march 845	Yes	SELL	125	8¢	$10	0x209c32…
03-09 17:29:17	Yellow FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	25	2¢	$0	0xff5e6a…
03-09 17:29:15	usisrael strike yemen by march 7	Yes	SELL	441	0¢	$1	0x9e354b…
03-09 16:04:31	Will Rizo Velovic win Survivor Season 50?	Yes	BUY	21	1¢	$0	0x6651f6…
03-09 13:47:41	Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?	No	BUY	6	24¢	$1	0x486317…
03-09 13:38:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	267	2¢	$5	0x8c2538…
03-09 13:27:11	will israel strike gaza on march 6 2026	Yes	SELL	167	1¢	$1	0x7ea841…
03-09 13:12:03	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 11	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x4cc4e7…
03-09 13:11:33	highest temperature in atlanta on march 11 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0xf5a731…
03-09 13:09:45	highest temperature in miami on march 11 2026 75forbelow	Yes	BUY	23	0¢	$0	0x5d5cd3…
03-09 13:08:43	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0x5833f3…
03-09 13:08:13	highest temperature in miami on march 11 2026 75forbelow	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x06d773…
03-09 13:08:03	highest temperature in miami on march 11 2026 75forbelow	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x700368…
03-09 12:58:45	highest temperature in miami on march 11 2026 75forbelow	Yes	BUY	41	0¢	$0	0x8db96c…
03-09 12:46:47	highest temperature in miami on march 11 2026 75forbelow	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x268eec…
03-09 12:44:27	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	556	1¢	$6	0x6528e1…
03-09 12:41:13	aapl close above 260 on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	1	3¢	$0	0xfbdc74…
03-09 12:35:29	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 11	Yes	BUY	17	0¢	$0	0xad3254…
03-09 12:33:23	highest temperature in miami on march 11 2026 75forbelow	Yes	BUY	30	0¢	$0	0x666b62…
03-09 12:25:31	highest temperature in chicago on march 11 2026 54forhigher	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x487b7e…
03-09 12:25:17	highest temperature in nyc on march 11 2026 56forhigher	No	BUY	18	3¢	$1	0xca12e6…
03-09 12:24:59	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	No	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xbb6284…
03-09 12:23:01	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 10	Yes	BUY	208	0¢	$0	0x08d7b6…
03-09 12:22:27	will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on march 11	Yes	BUY	158	0¢	$0	0x70e01b…
03-09 12:19:57	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 10	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x8022b6…
03-09 12:13:49	will israel strike gaza on march 6 2026	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x0adb3b…
03-09 12:13:17	aapl close above 260 on march 9 2026	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0x648303…
03-09 12:09:31	will the price of ethereum be between 1500 1600 on march 10	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x05bf4a…
03-09 12:08:21	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 2 march 8 be greater than 17500000	Yes	BUY	499	0¢	$1	0x2b465f…
03-09 12:08:21	will the total number of tsa passengers for march 2 march 8 be greater than 17500000	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x1a6f60…