Zany-Scotch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$151

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.9%

Resolved

440

Trades

1,024

lifetime

Volume

$9.10K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-22 03:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 94 days

Categories

Other

44% 84% -$62

Crypto

26% 45% -$63

Sports

20% 86% -$3

Politics

7% 50% -$18

Tech

3% 60% -$5

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	5	$81	193	59	+133	Matteo Arnaldi	-$38	05-28 21:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	6	$76	71	71	+0	No	+$9	07-22 03:47
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	23	$66	80	80	+0	No	-$12	06-09 14:43
iran closes its airspace by june 8	4	$64	38	38	+0	Yes	+$11	06-08 00:42
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	7	$63	62	62	+0	No	+$5	06-09 14:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$58	111	111	+0	No	-$7	06-01 16:30
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	5	$54	54	54	+0	No	+$7	06-01 12:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$53	32	32	+0	No	+$4	05-29 20:00
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	2	$51	43	43	+0	Yes	+$2	06-09 23:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	4	$49	35	35	+0	No	+$5	06-05 05:30
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$49	45	45	+0	No	-$8	06-08 08:00
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	4	$48	50	50	+0	Yes	-$3	06-09 23:40
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	5	$46	58	58	+0	No	-$5	06-06 22:00
nhl fla wpg 2026 01 22	2	$45	25	25	+0	Panthers	+$5	01-23 03:43
nba gsw dal 2026 01 22 spread away 6pt5	3	$43	24	24	+0	Mavericks	+$4	01-23 02:52
Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	2	$43	61	61	+0	Yes	-$12	06-09 11:30
nhl pit edm 2026 01 22	2	$43	23	23	+0	Penguins	+$3	01-23 03:33
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	4	$42	50	50	+0	Yes	+$2	06-15 15:35
Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	4	$41	37	37	+0	Yes	-$1	06-09 03:30
nhl las bos 2026 01 22	2	$41	21	21	+0	Bruins	+$1	01-23 02:45
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	2	$39	27	27	+0	Marta Kostyuk	+$16	06-02 12:30
epl tot wes 2026 01 17 tot	3	$38	18	23	-5	No	+$2	01-17 16:57
will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	2	$36	50	50	+0	Yes	+$0	06-15 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$34	24	24	+0	Down	+$14	05-03 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$33	23	23	+0	Down	+$13	04-30 19:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	2	$33	57	57	+0	No	-$6	05-29 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$12	05-07 10:26
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?	2	$32	20	20	+0	No	+$0	06-15 08:50
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-22 16:00 UTC	2	$31	23	22	+1	Down	+$12	04-22 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$30	23	23	+0	Up	+$12	04-30 03:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-22 03:47:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x58cf32…
07-04 02:29:55	Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?	Yes	BUY	11	54¢	$6	0x2f4ff0…
07-04 02:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x01070b…
06-16 01:30:22	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x072df5…
06-16 01:30:13	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	SELL	50	19¢	$10	0x71f098…
06-16 01:30:03	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x649851…
06-15 19:54:00	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xb31722…
06-15 15:37:24	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0xad628a…
06-15 15:35:19	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	SELL	50	43¢	$22	0xcd65ec…
06-15 14:33:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x5c0dff…
06-15 10:36:21	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x92f522…
06-15 10:23:37	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xcbcf19…
06-15 08:50:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x070a0a…
06-15 08:11:33	Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?	Yes	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xcbacc5…
06-15 07:49:34	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0x9ed48f…
06-15 07:49:30	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	78¢	$16	0x31af6b…
06-15 07:40:58	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0x3c1c27…
06-15 07:30:42	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x1a3dff…
06-15 07:30:01	Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?	Yes	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x45c2a7…
06-15 07:28:19	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x9a1796…
06-15 07:28:19	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x72f738…
06-15 07:28:19	Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x5d1e95…
06-15 07:23:03	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x20fd31…
06-15 06:25:25	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x146850…
06-15 05:49:07	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x3b934a…
06-09 23:40:58	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	34	38¢	$13	0xd2bf4b…
06-09 23:40:55	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	No	SELL	43	62¢	$27	0x4b9708…
06-09 19:34:16	Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 13, 2026?	No	BUY	43	56¢	$24	0xbd5cc5…
06-09 17:33:58	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	34	38¢	$13	0xb4fdd8…
06-09 14:44:10	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	SELL	16	63¢	$10	0x4f051d…
06-09 14:44:07	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?	No	SELL	16	87¢	$14	0x365cb6…
06-09 14:44:04	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0xe25e55…
06-09 14:44:01	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	26	44¢	$11	0x72ffd2…
06-09 14:43:58	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	SELL	34	40¢	$14	0x5e23bb…
06-09 14:43:55	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	SELL	46	39¢	$18	0x77ebc8…
06-09 11:30:09	Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	No	SELL	61	26¢	$16	0x2be903…
06-09 07:04:18	Will Claude Mythos be released on or prior to June 9?	No	BUY	61	45¢	$27	0x178142…
06-09 04:04:03	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0xf96b20…
06-09 03:30:42	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	No	SELL	18	54¢	$10	0x04990a…
06-08 23:33:34	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	No	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0x390c46…
06-08 18:30:45	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	SELL	27	44¢	$12	0x28a3d9…
06-08 16:03:58	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x2b669d…
06-08 11:00:37	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x206b34…
06-08 10:56:42	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0xac5db9…
06-08 08:00:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	45	45¢	$20	0x78e49b…
06-08 07:31:58	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0x7418eb…
06-08 07:31:16	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xebea43…
06-08 06:34:10	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0x4a3ae8…
06-08 01:36:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0x990cd1…
06-08 00:42:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$37	0xcd5d35…
06-07 20:04:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0x56ba34…
06-07 20:04:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$5	0x2dde8f…
06-07 20:04:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x781a37…
06-07 08:00:25	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x498b19…
06-07 06:28:18	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$5	0x73e5e6…
06-07 05:58:33	Will annual inflation be 4.2% in May?	No	SELL	19	54¢	$10	0x47582d…
06-06 22:00:25	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0x78feee…
06-06 21:30:27	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xc599fc…
06-06 21:08:28	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	37	34¢	$13	0x0a2193…
06-06 20:30:28	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0xb1bd79…
06-06 20:04:21	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xffc9bc…
06-06 06:34:21	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0xb5b324…
06-06 03:33:51	Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	16	80¢	$13	0xa96a85…
06-06 03:33:48	Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be below 40.0 in June?	No	BUY	10	78¢	$7	0xe39ef2…
06-05 16:00:25	Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?	No	SELL	55	17¢	$9	0x42ab77…
06-05 14:30:25	will trump praise gianni infantino by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x35cdfd…
06-05 09:03:37	will trump praise gianni infantino by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xb30e36…
06-05 05:30:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xde9c86…
06-05 01:01:13	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	29	29¢	$8	0x00c357…
06-04 12:00:52	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xb86456…
06-04 04:43:48	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc6b227…
06-04 04:43:48	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x2f21b4…
06-04 04:43:46	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe6670b…
06-04 04:43:46	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd73af3…
06-04 04:43:46	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6321ad…
06-04 04:43:45	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0cdfe8…
06-04 04:43:43	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8a18eb…
06-04 04:43:43	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x43ef7c…
06-04 04:43:42	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe2f398…
06-04 04:43:42	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x535709…
06-04 04:43:42	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4c74cb…
06-04 04:41:46	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x611d6d…
06-04 04:41:24	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xceab28…
06-04 04:41:24	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa63a48…
06-04 04:41:22	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8d9f51…
06-04 04:16:25	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0xf19cf1…
06-04 04:04:48	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x93c830…
06-04 01:35:07	No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	40¢	$12	0x10245c…
06-03 21:36:07	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0x871b6a…
06-03 21:30:12	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x8c71c0…
06-03 21:30:07	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xeb543d…
06-03 17:36:55	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	64¢	$12	0x266d39…
06-03 17:31:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	23	64¢	$15	0xa6b139…
06-03 14:15:06	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x5dbe7a…
06-03 14:05:16	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc66220…
06-03 12:01:01	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0xa23bd1…
06-03 01:34:33	Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	No	BUY	27	43¢	$12	0xadf318…
06-02 20:30:43	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0xea6fbc…
06-02 19:05:21	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xbbbd41…
06-02 12:30:43	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Marta Kostyuk	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xed94fc…