Zany-Scotch — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

+$8

Hit rate

68.2%

Resolved

Trades

958

lifetime

Volume

$8.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$11

1 position

First seen

2026-01-14

last 07-04 02:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

44% — —

Crypto

27% 51% +$17

Sports

21% — —

Politics

6% — —

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No		+13	$3	88¢	$11	+$8	07-04 02:27

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	5	$81	193	59	+133	open	—	05-28 21:02
trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	23	$66	80	80	+0	open	—	06-09 14:43
iran closes its airspace by june 8	4	$64	38	38	+0	open	—	06-08 00:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	5	$63	71	58	+13	open	—	07-04 02:27
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	7	$63	62	62	+0	open	—	06-09 14:44
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	6	$58	111	111	+0	open	—	06-01 16:30
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	5	$54	54	54	+0	open	—	06-01 12:30
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	4	$53	32	32	+0	open	—	05-29 20:00
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	2	$49	45	45	+0	open	—	06-08 08:00
gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	5	$46	58	58	+0	open	—	06-06 22:00
nhl fla wpg 2026 01 22	2	$45	25	25	+0	open	—	01-23 03:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$45	30	30	+0	open	—	06-05 05:30
nba gsw dal 2026 01 22 spread away 6pt5	3	$43	24	24	+0	open	—	01-23 02:52
nhl pit edm 2026 01 22	2	$43	23	23	+0	open	—	01-23 03:33
nhl las bos 2026 01 22	2	$41	21	21	+0	open	—	01-23 02:45
epl tot wes 2026 01 17 tot	3	$38	18	23	-5	open	—	01-17 16:57
will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	2	$36	50	50	+0	open	—	06-15 15:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$34	24	24	+0	open	—	05-03 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	2	$33	23	23	+0	open	—	04-30 19:44
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	2	$33	57	57	+0	open	—	05-29 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	2	$32	22	22	+0	Down	+$12	05-07 10:26
btc updown 15m 1776873600	2	$31	23	22	+1	open	—	04-22 16:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	2	$30	23	23	+0	open	—	04-30 03:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	2	$30	21	21	+0	open	—	05-03 08:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$30	22	22	+0	Up	+$10	05-10 08:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$30	23	23	+0	Down	+$15	05-04 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	04-30 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	3	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	04-29 14:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	2	$29	20	20	+0	Down	+$10	05-11 18:59
will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	2	$29	34	34	+0	open	—	06-09 14:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 02:27:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x01070b…
06-16 01:30:22	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0x072df5…
06-16 01:30:03	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	20¢	$10	0x649851…
06-15 19:54:00	will trump speak to ahmed al sharaa in june	Yes	SELL	20	37¢	$7	0xb31722…
06-15 15:37:24	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	SELL	50	37¢	$18	0xad628a…
06-15 14:33:40	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026	Yes	SELL	20	48¢	$10	0x5c0dff…
06-15 10:23:37	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xcbcf19…
06-15 08:50:46	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x070a0a…
06-15 07:40:58	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	35	27¢	$9	0x3c1c27…
06-15 07:30:42	will trump speak to elon musk in june	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0x1a3dff…
06-15 07:23:03	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0x20fd31…
06-15 06:25:25	will donald trump sign a uptspt x iran deal by july 31 20260611235950067	Yes	BUY	50	36¢	$18	0x146850…
06-15 05:49:07	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	27¢	$4	0x3b934a…
06-09 14:44:04	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	SELL	19	57¢	$11	0xe25e55…
06-09 14:44:01	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	26	44¢	$11	0x72ffd2…
06-09 14:43:58	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	SELL	34	40¢	$14	0x5e23bb…
06-09 14:43:55	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	SELL	46	39¢	$18	0x77ebc8…
06-09 04:04:03	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	26	55¢	$14	0xf96b20…
06-08 16:03:58	will japan reach the round of 16 at the 2026 fifa world cup 20260602025120756	Yes	BUY	34	43¢	$15	0x2b669d…
06-08 11:00:37	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	18	56¢	$10	0x206b34…
06-08 10:56:42	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0xac5db9…
06-08 08:00:42	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	45	45¢	$20	0x78e49b…
06-08 07:31:58	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	17	70¢	$12	0x7418eb…
06-08 07:31:16	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	SELL	1	74¢	$1	0xebea43…
06-08 06:34:10	Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?	Yes	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0x4a3ae8…
06-08 01:36:03	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	BUY	45	64¢	$29	0x990cd1…
06-08 00:42:21	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$37	0xcd5d35…
06-07 20:04:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	24	71¢	$17	0x56ba34…
06-07 20:04:04	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	8	71¢	$5	0x2dde8f…
06-07 20:04:03	iran closes its airspace by june 8	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x781a37…
06-07 08:00:25	will a claude mythos model be released by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	18	82¢	$15	0x498b19…
06-06 22:00:25	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	SELL	32	20¢	$6	0x78feee…
06-06 21:30:27	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xc599fc…
06-06 21:08:28	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	Yes	BUY	37	34¢	$13	0x0a2193…
06-06 20:30:28	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	SELL	21	61¢	$13	0xb1bd79…
06-06 20:04:21	gme quarterly earnings nongaap eps 06 09 2026 0pt19	No	BUY	21	62¢	$13	0xffc9bc…
06-06 06:34:21	trump declassifies new ufo files by june 30	Yes	BUY	19	67¢	$13	0xb5b324…
06-05 14:30:25	will trump praise gianni infantino by june 30	Yes	SELL	20	79¢	$16	0x35cdfd…
06-05 09:03:37	will trump praise gianni infantino by june 30	Yes	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xb30e36…
06-05 05:30:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	30	83¢	$25	0xde9c86…
06-04 12:00:52	gpt 5pt6 released by june 15 2026 343	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0xb86456…
06-04 04:43:48	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xc6b227…
06-04 04:43:48	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	3	43¢	$1	0x2f21b4…
06-04 04:43:46	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe6670b…
06-04 04:43:46	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd73af3…
06-04 04:43:46	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6321ad…
06-04 04:43:45	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0cdfe8…
06-04 04:43:43	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8a18eb…
06-04 04:43:43	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x43ef7c…
06-04 04:43:42	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xe2f398…
06-04 04:43:42	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x535709…
06-04 04:43:42	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x4c74cb…
06-04 04:41:46	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x611d6d…
06-04 04:41:24	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xceab28…
06-04 04:41:24	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xa63a48…
06-04 04:41:22	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8d9f51…
06-04 04:16:25	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	43¢	$1	0xf19cf1…
06-04 04:04:48	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0x93c830…
06-03 21:36:07	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	SELL	23	26¢	$6	0x871b6a…
06-03 21:30:12	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x8c71c0…
06-03 21:30:07	trump orders federal review of ai model releases by june 30	Yes	SELL	10	26¢	$3	0xeb543d…
06-03 17:36:55	Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	18	64¢	$12	0x266d39…
06-03 17:31:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	23	64¢	$15	0xa6b139…
06-03 14:15:06	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?	Yes	BUY	14	59¢	$8	0x5dbe7a…
06-03 14:05:16	Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	57¢	$11	0xc66220…
06-03 12:01:01	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	17	83¢	$14	0xa23bd1…
06-02 20:30:43	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0xea6fbc…
06-02 19:05:21	Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca	Jakub Mensik	BUY	26	46¢	$12	0xbbbd41…
06-02 12:30:43	Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyuk	Marta Kostyuk	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0xed94fc…
06-01 16:30:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	53¢	$15	0x2f1782…
06-01 13:36:02	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x26a3b3…
06-01 12:30:47	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0x32409f…
06-01 08:06:03	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	6	57¢	$3	0x7ad1a4…
06-01 08:04:39	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	15	55¢	$8	0x04e935…
06-01 04:30:27	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	SELL	33	29¢	$10	0x51b9ff…
06-01 03:04:22	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	33	35¢	$12	0xbb8b39…
05-30 21:03:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	23	51¢	$12	0xb77440…
05-30 11:00:08	Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska	Maria Sakkari	SELL	31	13¢	$4	0xbb15de…
05-30 10:34:00	Roland Garros WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Maja Chwalinska	Maria Sakkari	BUY	31	37¢	$11	0x8fe5dd…
05-30 10:30:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	35	43¢	$15	0x7b1370…
05-30 02:03:56	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0x33e26f…
05-30 02:03:54	GPT-5.6 released by June 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0x4a61e6…
05-29 22:00:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	57	23¢	$13	0x4de0ce…
05-29 20:00:50	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	SELL	25	91¢	$23	0x03cb29…
05-29 15:34:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	34¢	$19	0x292e85…
05-29 15:04:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	35	33¢	$12	0xa68b3a…
05-29 14:00:31	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	15	85¢	$13	0xdfb162…
05-29 09:04:41	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x9ba1c7…
05-29 00:04:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x3efea1…
05-28 21:02:45	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0xb47fc9…
05-28 20:30:15	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	SELL	29	30¢	$9	0x7004f0…
05-28 20:03:48	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xba7f00…
05-28 19:30:17	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	SELL	30	43¢	$13	0xbc64d2…
05-28 18:32:44	Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipas	Stefanos Tsitsipas	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x8c24ea…
05-28 18:02:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?	No	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0xc7d69b…
05-28 15:00:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	14¢	$5	0x20c882…
05-28 14:32:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	17¢	$6	0x3baa48…
05-28 13:32:33	Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo	Jannik Sinner	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xf4342f…
05-28 12:00:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	44	12¢	$5	0xb446ef…
05-28 10:33:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	44	15¢	$7	0x345bbf…