Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$573

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

27.0%

Resolved

395

Trades

1,535

lifetime

Volume

$13.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-09-05

last 09-21 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 22 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 41% -$368

Other

32% 33% -$96

Politics

11% 9% -$83

Tech

4% 0% -$26

Sports

0% 0% —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 402 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
spy up or down on september 9 2026	15	$754	1,448	0	+1,448	Down	-$27	09-09 05:01
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	10	$386	715	0	+715	No	-$29	09-10 08:00
Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	8	$309	616	0	+615	No	-$1	09-21 08:01
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 9?	8	$273	509	0	+509	No	-$1	09-09 06:42
Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	12	$269	530	0	+530	Yes	-$3	09-10 08:33
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	5	$254	502	0	+502	No	-$2	09-11 12:36
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 9?	9	$243	465	0	+465	No	-$11	09-09 06:42
Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	11	$218	391	53	+338	open	—	09-12 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	89	$207	206	211	-5	Up	+$8	09-05 05:09
Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	4	$202	400	0	+400	Yes	-$3	09-10 21:50
Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	4	$201	401	0	+401	Yes	-$1	09-10 20:50
Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?	6	$196	387	2	+385	Yes	$0	09-21 08:00
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?	4	$183	395	0	+395	No	+$17	09-10 02:46
will sb energy ipo by september 30 2026	4	$181	247	47	+200	No	-$61	09-12 01:19
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 9?	6	$174	338	0	+338	Yes	+$26	09-09 04:36
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on September 9?	6	$170	327	0	+327	Yes	+$6	09-09 06:17
wti up or down on september 9 2026	2	$154	303	0	+303	Up	-$4	09-09 05:01
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	7	$149	290	0	+290	No	-$4	09-10 23:43
Will the PLQ win fewer than 28 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	2	$141	100	100	+0	No	-$3	09-12 01:19
Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?	16	$141	281	0	+281	Yes	+$0	09-09 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on September 9?	7	$131	264	0	+264	Yes	-$9	09-09 06:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 5, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	58	$121	117	122	-5	Down	-$2	09-05 04:59
Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	4	$121	200	0	+200	Yes	-$21	09-10 23:48
Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	4	$109	201	0	+201	No	-$8	09-10 15:10
Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win between 27% and 30% of all valid votes?	4	$108	201	0	+201	Yes	-$8	09-09 11:26
Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of September 2026?	2	$105	201	0	+201	Yes	-$4	09-10 02:40
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	5	$104	204	0	+204	Yes	-$2	09-10 12:14
LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 30?	2	$103	205	0	+205	No	-$3	09-11 07:07
Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	2	$103	202	0	+202	No	-$3	09-10 07:17
Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	2	$103	203	0	+203	open	—	09-10 16:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-21 08:01:21	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x80ceda…
09-21 08:00:44	Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?	Yes	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x260ace…
09-12 01:20:01	Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	SELL	20	68¢	$14	0xbc64f8…
09-12 01:20:00	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Yes	SELL	40	36¢	$14	0x53c965…
09-12 01:19:58	Will SB Energy IPO by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	47	21¢	$10	0xd8d098…
09-12 01:19:58	Will the PLQ win fewer than 28 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	SELL	100	69¢	$69	0x36bd50…
09-12 01:19:57	Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by September 15?	Yes	SELL	100	3¢	$3	0x547043…
09-12 01:19:55	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	SELL	100	39¢	$39	0x290705…
09-12 01:19:54	Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	SELL	140	21¢	$29	0xa36ae4…
09-11 23:48:30	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	No	SELL	13	62¢	$8	0xb4270f…
09-11 12:36:37	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	201	61¢	$122	0x3c24e1…
09-11 12:35:42	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	40¢	$40	0xb0e6b0…
09-11 12:35:36	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0x4ff4a5…
09-11 12:34:45	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	BUY	77	47¢	$36	0x27f2bf…
09-11 12:34:45	Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in August?	Yes	BUY	23	47¢	$11	0x182fab…
09-11 11:42:28	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	59¢	$30	0x39d85a…
09-11 11:42:19	Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x5f942f…
09-11 11:29:45	Will Luis Arraez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?	Yes	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0x55af57…
09-11 11:26:49	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x086547…
09-11 11:08:49	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0x7eb805…
09-11 10:48:01	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0xa8fe50…
09-11 10:47:43	Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0x573016…
09-11 10:28:45	Will the PLQ win fewer than 28 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0xeba945…
09-11 08:18:48	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	No	BUY	12	62¢	$8	0xd8c827…
09-11 07:07:49	LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 30?	Yes	BUY	105	22¢	$23	0x65386e…
09-11 06:51:34	LAPTOP airdrop to $TRUMP holders by September 30?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x5cd53f…
09-11 03:32:25	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	19	44¢	$9	0xf9aefb…
09-11 02:46:21	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	17	44¢	$7	0x7b9fb9…
09-11 02:28:54	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	108	13¢	$14	0xf302e5…
09-11 02:12:42	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x853155…
09-11 01:52:40	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x017f94…
09-11 01:52:31	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x2cae3b…
09-11 01:32:15	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xdc55db…
09-11 01:31:40	Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x62a41b…
09-10 23:48:36	Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	No	BUY	56	68¢	$38	0xa2539b…
09-10 23:48:36	Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	No	BUY	8	68¢	$6	0x98d720…
09-10 23:48:36	Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	No	BUY	36	68¢	$25	0x6929cd…
09-10 23:48:09	Will Onyeka Oshionwu win the next Göttingen mayoral election?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0x2159f9…
09-10 23:43:28	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0x765e61…
09-10 22:12:18	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x2f3277…
09-10 21:50:43	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	101	17¢	$17	0x058b18…
09-10 21:35:07	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	99	84¢	$83	0x09d299…
09-10 20:50:34	Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	99	63¢	$62	0x032974…
09-10 20:37:57	Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x8a8aee…
09-10 20:37:57	Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x5afd1c…
09-10 20:37:55	Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	BUY	62	34¢	$21	0xafc85f…
09-10 20:00:49	Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	BUY	0	34¢	$0	0xadaa02…
09-10 19:42:09	Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	BUY	33	34¢	$11	0x08829f…
09-10 16:18:42	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	Yes	BUY	100	86¢	$86	0xa48c8b…
09-10 16:17:40	Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	No	BUY	103	35¢	$36	0x395d9b…
09-10 16:11:25	Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xe1fe7c…
09-10 16:03:10	Will SDA win the most seats in the 2026 Bosnian general election?	No	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xa9fe93…
09-10 16:02:15	Will Mattias Ottosson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Östergötland?	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x5451b2…
09-10 15:55:27	Will Seoul have less than 75mm of precipitation in September?	Yes	BUY	100	69¢	$69	0x4f203c…
09-10 15:14:07	Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	100	36¢	$36	0xd477b1…
09-10 15:10:03	Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	46	86¢	$39	0xc2ef4a…
09-10 15:09:01	Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	55	76¢	$42	0x9f05d3…
09-10 15:07:39	Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x3bb374…
09-10 15:07:37	Will SPD win 22-25 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	64	28¢	$18	0x05eb87…
09-10 14:27:13	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x28d408…
09-10 14:11:01	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0xfcda6f…
09-10 14:11:01	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	31	56¢	$17	0x944b9e…
09-10 12:14:12	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x876d04…
09-10 11:58:36	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	24	23¢	$5	0xe9608a…
09-10 11:38:10	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x94b49e…
09-10 10:31:19	Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	102	64¢	$65	0x3ba839…
09-10 10:21:49	Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by September 15?	Yes	BUY	100	22¢	$22	0x271981…
09-10 10:15:27	Will SPD win 26-29 seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?	No	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0x592b0f…
09-10 08:33:46	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x055145…
09-10 08:32:34	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x0ac173…
09-10 08:28:40	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	66	66¢	$44	0x932d87…
09-10 08:13:01	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	BUY	42	34¢	$14	0x497c59…
09-10 08:06:46	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x39764d…
09-10 08:00:24	Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	28¢	$28	0xc5cd45…
09-10 07:47:15	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x583120…
09-10 07:44:00	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	No	BUY	60	72¢	$43	0xe499b0…
09-10 07:44:00	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	BUY	57	36¢	$20	0xb66015…
09-10 07:42:49	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x3aee0a…
09-10 07:22:10	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb38109…
09-10 07:20:06	Will Aécio Neves win the most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election?	Yes	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x536199…
09-10 07:17:01	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x6cf252…
09-10 07:17:01	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x1eb3fb…
09-10 07:17:01	Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	102	34¢	$35	0x0a721c…
09-10 07:16:07	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0x4f977c…
09-10 07:16:06	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	Yes	BUY	99	67¢	$66	0xf6c542…
09-10 07:16:01	Will Branko Blanuša win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	BUY	100	68¢	$68	0x1a73bd…
09-10 07:15:25	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	No	BUY	57	57¢	$33	0xd41248…
09-10 07:15:25	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xc01939…
09-10 07:15:22	Will Roger Cristóbal Gronerth Pinedo win the next Maynas mayoral elections?	Yes	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0x1fc7ea…
09-10 07:15:13	Will Savo Minić win the 2026 Republika Srpska presidential election?	No	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0xc4bed6…
09-10 07:12:45	Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	No	BUY	56	65¢	$36	0x4a936b…
09-10 07:07:03	Will Juliana Brizola win the Governor of Rio Grande do Sul election?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0xe48a4b…
09-10 06:55:54	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0xf36de9…
09-10 06:53:46	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	70¢	$42	0xefdd45…
09-10 06:53:10	Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0x21d1c8…
09-10 06:02:25	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 7-September 13?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x423ff7…
09-10 04:10:19	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x019ea5…
09-10 04:08:58	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	76	79¢	$60	0xd6dc44…
09-10 03:23:52	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	24	79¢	$19	0x6f8009…
09-10 02:57:39	Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xe3ce95…