Quiet-Scene — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.2%

Resolved

283

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$3.23K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 10-27 08:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 220 days

Categories

Other

95% 100% +$4

Politics

5% 89% -$23

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 14:34
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	26	+26	No	-$25	05-15 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on May 2?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-02 13:24
Trump out as President by April 30?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	04-30 08:45
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	1	$24	25	+25	Yes	+$1	05-03 03:29
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 29?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-29 12:55
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 28?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-28 10:41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-28 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on April 27?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-27 10:26
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-27 01:28
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on April 26?	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-26 09:05
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-25 11:47
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 24th?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-24 08:58
highest temperature in jakarta on april 24 2026 28corbelow	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 22:46
highest temperature in tokyo on april 23 2026 20c	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	04-23 06:42
highest temperature in manila on april 22 2026 35c	1	$24	24	+24	Yes	+$0	04-22 10:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 21st	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$1	04-21 04:20
highest temperature in lucknow on april 20 2026 42c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-20 16:38
highest temperature in wellington on april 20 2026 17c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-20 03:40
highest temperature in karachi on april 19 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-19 16:18
highest temperature in wellington on april 19 2026 20c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-19 04:40
highest temperature in karachi on april 18 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 15:12
highest temperature in wellington on april 18 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-18 07:33
highest temperature in jakarta on april 17 2026 33c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-17 10:48
highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 70 71f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-17 02:11
highest temperature in ankara on april 16 2026 23c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 15:32
highest temperature in wellington on april 16 2026 18c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-16 08:21
highest temperature in atlanta on april 15 2026 86 87f	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-16 04:10
highest temperature in shanghai on april 15 2026 19c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-15 10:52
highest temperature in denver on april 14 2026 56 57f	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-15 03:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 08:01:00	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb2a128…
10-26 05:36:20	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb84a54…
10-24 06:54:44	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9739f…
10-22 09:55:17	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x851b3d…
10-20 04:39:56	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x63fdd5…
10-19 07:44:12	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on October 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x18b5ce…
10-18 07:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on October 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7ec38…
10-17 07:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc2eaea…
10-16 08:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6d8a4…
10-15 08:12:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x34915c…
10-14 08:05:46	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf29b7c…
10-13 05:36:37	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x09043a…
10-12 07:40:49	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2bd6a3…
10-11 03:16:47	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x589b91…
10-08 07:17:04	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc616b0…
10-07 09:05:59	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x912a9f…
10-06 07:20:48	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48824d…
10-04 08:30:14	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on October 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1e98b0…
10-03 04:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33bad2…
10-02 07:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ce0fd…
10-02 03:16:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x80f06a…
10-01 07:55:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xad7be0…
09-30 09:30:47	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cde6c…
09-29 08:14:09	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x590ac4…
09-28 08:21:03	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe35f8d…
09-27 08:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on September 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95c0bf…
09-25 07:57:36	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x536aa2…
09-24 06:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe17c8d…
09-23 05:18:31	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe28236…
09-22 06:17:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc8b7e5…
09-21 08:26:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9159db…
09-20 03:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf63c17…
09-19 07:44:42	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on September 19?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0c830e…
09-18 01:13:58	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa4ee88…
09-17 03:46:21	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x03d65a…
09-16 08:49:36	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on September 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76921c…
09-15 23:38:03	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb7e5d5…
09-15 02:30:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x425249…
09-14 02:47:40	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x83f68a…
09-12 09:14:30	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57fb1a…
09-11 06:29:55	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C or below on September 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3185b2…
09-10 01:51:16	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 24°C on September 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c745b…
09-09 01:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79f9ec…
09-08 01:12:03	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa644be…
09-07 01:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4d9e0a…
09-06 01:28:01	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C or below on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf224c7…
09-05 09:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x910638…
09-04 08:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5a3d70…
09-03 07:12:55	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48db16…
09-01 01:28:21	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on August 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe9055d…
08-30 01:05:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf11df7…
08-29 05:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x503cd0…
08-28 02:03:22	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01bb5a…
08-27 01:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on August 27?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0xd71827…
08-26 02:05:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfe1137…
08-25 08:13:03	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6eb49…
08-24 07:23:58	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x37a293…
08-23 07:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb95b75…
08-22 06:34:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0ce766…
08-21 02:00:12	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8e34f…
08-20 08:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on August 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x684909…
08-19 07:26:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe48b85…
08-18 01:16:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f31ef…
08-17 06:10:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x252c4e…
08-16 10:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xef097b…
08-15 05:02:27	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaaa223…
08-14 06:22:22	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on August 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbec93e…
08-13 01:01:01	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5303fd…
08-12 06:51:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa147cd…
08-11 00:28:40	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C or below on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2ff455…
08-10 00:30:46	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 34°C on August 10?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a2fab…
08-09 01:01:13	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb79e09…
08-08 07:03:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcb32fe…
08-07 00:30:12	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xed9b92…
08-06 00:27:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x54ca62…
08-05 00:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x48ef73…
08-04 03:30:30	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9a4675…
08-03 01:06:21	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 102-103°F on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8d2563…
08-02 00:32:54	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd580e3…
08-01 00:20:59	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on July 31?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x08d4de…
07-31 07:19:48	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9be537…
07-30 00:23:08	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on July 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf77f4d…
07-29 01:16:14	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3ee099…
07-28 00:26:15	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x425be0…
07-27 07:23:25	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x781bfe…
07-26 01:17:49	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on July 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb93e64…
07-25 00:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa98d4c…
07-24 06:15:18	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 39°C or higher on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb35b1c…
07-23 01:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 94-95°F on July 22?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0efb00…
07-22 01:36:27	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x179adf…
07-20 23:39:12	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64ab84…
07-19 22:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xaf25ed…
07-18 22:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x337cb3…
07-17 23:48:24	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x10d9f2…
07-17 01:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdc72c3…
07-15 21:43:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 98-99°F on July 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x00bb01…
07-15 05:26:26	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 32°C on July 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdde781…
07-14 06:10:35	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 36°C on July 14?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3b96e1…
07-13 02:04:20	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on July 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe3f890…
07-12 01:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$7	0x4024a7…