Realized P&L
-$629
Unrealized P&L
-$51
Hit rate
56.5%
Resolved
268
Trades
841
lifetime
Volume
$9.11K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$81
19 positions
First seen
2026-07-06
last 10-27 09:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 66 days
Categories
Other
53% 31% -$492
Crypto
28% 35% -$131
Sports
10% 52% +$60
Politics
5% 13% -$66
Tech
4% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
50 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? OpenAI +401 $37 8¢ $30 -$7 10-23 14:09
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +210 $11 5¢ $10 -$1 10-25 19:22
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +1,074 $4 1¢ $6 +$2 10-22 17:54
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +525 $4 1¢ $6 +$2 10-20 04:52
Will the Cleveland Browns win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +800 $4 1¢ $4 +$0 10-20 04:52
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +20 $3 20¢ $4 +$1 10-23 05:20
France declares state of siege (martial law) by December 31, 2026? Yes +100 $3 4¢ $4 +$1 10-19 19:24
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +61 $3 6¢ $3 +$1 10-06 03:04
Will Trump and Putin meet next in a Gulf country? Yes +212 $3 1¢ $2 -$2 09-28 07:27
New pandemic in 2026? Yes +50 $2 4¢ $2 $0 10-23 04:24
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? Yes +505 $3 0¢ $2 -$1 10-24 03:43
France declares state of emergency by October 31, 2026? Yes +107 $8 2¢ $2 -$6 10-22 09:08
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $1 26¢ $1 $0 10-27 09:01
Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? Yes +241 $27 1¢ $1 -$26 10-20 05:43
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? Yes +71 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 10-23 05:48
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Russia? Yes +220 $5 1¢ $1 -$4 08-28 07:05
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? Yes +20 $1 3¢ $1 -$1 09-30 01:16
Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)? Yes +25 $3 2¢ $0 -$2 09-30 01:29
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? Yes +296 $6 0¢ $0 -$5 08-28 15:33