Realized P&L
+$4.76K
Unrealized P&L
+$409
Hit rate
58.0%
Resolved
120
Trades
1,130
lifetime
Volume
$119.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$105
Open exposure
$4.82K
27 positions
First seen
2026-07-30
last 11-02 05:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 47 days
Categories
Other
73% 54% +$5,032
Politics
21% 20% -$1,182
Tech
4% 67% +$312
Crypto
3% 100% +$601
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +1,000 $920 94¢ $945 +$25 10-27 21:15
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $810 80¢ $805 -$5 10-31 10:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $501 74¢ $588 +$87 10-19 18:25
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +800 $488 72¢ $580 +$92 10-04 09:30
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +500 $326 84¢ $420 +$94 10-28 08:59
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +475 $343 80¢ $382 +$39 11-01 20:18
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026? Yes +540 $292 64¢ $348 +$57 10-10 19:31
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? Yes +400 $284 78¢ $314 +$30 09-30 22:04
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +1,466 $205 16¢ $227 +$22 11-02 05:38
Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? No +300 $135 37¢ $111 -$24 10-31 15:38
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Kansas, and lose Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +1,040 $15 2¢ $16 +$1 11-02 03:37
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Alaska, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +1,000 $10 1¢ $14 +$4 11-01 17:42
Will Republicans win Alaska and Iowa, and lose Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +800 $10 1¢ $12 +$1 11-02 02:49
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? Yes +86 $9 12¢ $10 +$0 11-02 06:45
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +1,300 $9 1¢ $10 +$1 11-02 02:49
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Texas, and lose Alaska, Maine, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +1,000 $10 1¢ $9 $0 11-02 02:49
Will Republicans win Iowa and Maine, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +1,000 $10 1¢ $9 $0 11-01 17:39
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, and Texas, and lose Michigan and Ohio? Yes +1,000 $7 1¢ $6 $0 11-01 17:42
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, and Maine, and lose Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +1,000 $4 0¢ $3 $0 11-01 18:50
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, and Maine, and lose Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +600 $2 0¢ $2 +$0 11-02 02:09
Will Republicans win Iowa and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +300 $3 0¢ $1 -$1 11-02 01:59
Will Republicans win Alaska and Maine, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +300 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 11-02 02:08
Will Republicans win Maine and Texas, and lose Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, and Ohio? Yes +340 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 11-02 02:53
Will Republicans win Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, and Texas, and lose Ohio? Yes +150 $1 1¢ $1 +$0 11-02 02:33
Will Republicans win Iowa, Kansas, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Maine, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +150 $1 1¢ $1 $0 11-02 02:09
Will Republicans win Iowa, Maine, and Michigan, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Ohio, and Texas? Yes +211 $1 0¢ $1 +$0 11-02 04:43
No one announced as next James Bond? No +0 $13 85¢ $0 -$13 09-27 15:29