Normal-Quest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$229

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

94.4%

Resolved

1,357

Trades

3,542

lifetime

Volume

$142.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$40

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-05 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 188 days

Categories

Crypto

76% 91% +$617

Other

17% 63% -$608

Politics

6% 85% -$202

Sports

1% 28% -$39

Tech

0% 100% +$4

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-05).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes		-6	-$1	13¢	$-1	+$0	04-30 06:47

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	19	$1.2K	750	500	+250	Down	+$8	03-06 12:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	25	$1.1K	550	570	-20	Yes	-$17	02-28 18:25
bitcoin up or down february 25 1pm et	4	$849	617	240	+377	Up	+$3	02-25 18:57
bitcoin up or down february 13 9am et	12	$751	395	395	+0	Up	+$10	02-13 14:55
bitcoin up or down march 6 10am et	6	$731	500	250	+250	Up	+$9	03-06 15:59
ethereum up or down february 16 10am et	7	$686	460	230	+230	Down	+$1	02-16 15:56
bitcoin up or down february 13 11am et	7	$682	460	230	+230	Up	+$4	02-13 16:56
ethereum up or down february 16 7am et	7	$678	460	230	+230	Up	+$8	02-16 12:56
bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	8	$666	450	220	+230	Up	+$1	02-13 15:56
bitcoin up or down january 28 12pm et	6	$646	460	230	+230	Up	+$12	01-28 17:55
ethereum up or down march 16 2026 9am et	25	$582	332	331	+1	Up	+$23	03-16 13:51
Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?	6	$561	580	0	+580	No	+$19	05-06 17:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	24	$540	669	0	+669	No	+$128	06-27 08:10
cz binance of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 0 19	10	$503	509	0	+509	No	+$6	04-19 06:31
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 22?	2	$476	499	0	+499	No	+$23	07-22 11:54
ethereum up or down february 23 7am et	4	$475	240	240	+0	Up	+$2	02-23 12:58
bitcoin up or down february 23 11am et	2	$473	240	240	+0	Down	+$2	02-23 16:56
bitcoin up or down february 25 8am et	3	$473	240	240	+0	Up	+$2	02-25 13:55
Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?	5	$469	481	0	+481	No	+$12	05-07 15:43
bitcoin up or down february 23 1pm et	8	$464	240	240	+0	Down	+$6	02-23 18:58
bitcoin up or down on february 28	2	$463	240	240	+0	Down	+$2	02-28 15:13
bitcoin up or down february 16 7am et	3	$456	230	230	+0	Up	+$2	02-16 12:50
bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	2	$445	230	230	+0	Down	+$5	02-15 13:52
ted cruz of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 180 199	6	$441	442	0	+442	No	+$1	04-20 20:07
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	7	$440	600	0	+600	Yes	-$440	03-13 14:20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	10	$440	489	245	+244	No	-$136	08-04 12:11
bitcoin up or down february 13 8am et	3	$433	220	220	+0	Up	+$2	02-13 13:55
ethereum up or down february 12 10am et	6	$433	220	220	+0	Down	+$3	02-12 15:53
bitcoin up or down february 12 12pm et	2	$431	220	220	+0	Down	+$4	02-12 17:57
ethereum up or down february 12 1pm et	16	$429	220	220	+0	Up	+$7	02-12 18:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 17:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x4de1ba…
08-05 17:32:02	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x45ac7e…
08-05 17:30:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	59	27¢	$16	0xb7718d…
08-05 17:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x17f103…
08-05 17:28:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	200	48¢	$97	0x0360c3…
08-05 17:27:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x035241…
08-05 17:27:15	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xc9c031…
08-05 17:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	29	6¢	$2	0x3d6fc5…
08-05 17:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xbd5f75…
08-05 17:16:32	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	56	6¢	$3	0x86f40f…
08-05 16:57:53	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0x6a3458…
08-05 16:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	20	6¢	$1	0xb59b0d…
08-05 16:18:54	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	64	0¢	$0	0x70320d…
08-05 15:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0x6b1919…
08-05 15:40:20	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0xdac255…
08-05 15:39:59	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	13	6¢	$1	0x6f5eb5…
08-05 15:38:39	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 6?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x269ba6…
08-05 07:02:33	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or below on August 5?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbdd1a8…
08-04 13:03:48	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	80¢	$16	0x62a74c…
08-04 12:35:39	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x299860…
08-04 12:11:18	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	38¢	$38	0xd86666…
08-04 12:09:47	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	SELL	245	62¢	$152	0x9f4a3d…
08-04 12:05:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0xc41ef6…
08-04 12:05:35	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	37¢	$2	0x9e18b7…
08-04 12:05:03	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	32	37¢	$12	0x7c19f1…
08-04 12:04:02	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x0ed6cf…
08-04 12:01:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x9c5cbf…
08-04 12:01:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	0	37¢	$0	0x4f449e…
08-04 12:01:42	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xc330bc…
08-04 05:10:23	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	245	80¢	$197	0x890a8d…
08-03 17:35:42	Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	28	97¢	$28	0x10e357…
08-03 17:20:02	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	27¢	$6	0x41931a…
08-03 17:19:39	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xf36ddd…
08-03 17:17:12	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	17¢	$3	0x4d728a…
08-03 17:16:33	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x35488a…
08-03 17:16:12	Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x644beb…
08-02 20:46:26	Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0x484d1a…
08-02 20:00:15	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	No	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xb89c12…
07-30 14:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 30?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x41a27b…
07-28 12:21:46	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xecb9fa…
07-28 12:16:29	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 28?	Yes	BUY	11	86¢	$10	0x27b60b…
07-27 16:36:54	bitcoin above 62k on july 28 2026	Yes	SELL	200	98¢	$197	0x155c4b…
07-27 14:43:58	bitcoin above 62k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0xa7b393…
07-27 14:32:30	bitcoin above 62k on july 28 2026	Yes	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x17f0c6…
07-26 17:51:51	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from July 21 to July 28, 2026?	No	BUY	74	98¢	$73	0x67c8d1…
07-26 15:09:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x8ced7f…
07-26 14:06:24	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0xa49844…
07-26 14:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0xf97e65…
07-26 14:02:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0xafd18b…
07-26 14:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	5¢	$0	0xa5f56b…
07-26 13:59:36	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 26?	Yes	BUY	8	15¢	$1	0x2203fc…
07-23 14:19:45	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	87	98¢	$85	0xca7563…
07-23 14:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	340	97¢	$330	0x1a3d1b…
07-23 12:01:42	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 23?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xb608b7…
07-23 12:01:07	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 23?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xd9e828…
07-23 11:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	389	0¢	$1	0x8dc1fc…
07-23 11:30:49	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 23?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0x6f5049…
07-23 11:28:37	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0x7fb2a8…
07-23 11:28:19	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9bc974…
07-23 08:26:31	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C or below on July 23?	Yes	BUY	113	1¢	$1	0x67ab7b…
07-23 07:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x2f10e4…
07-23 07:29:34	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xdd3d7c…
07-23 07:29:03	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xffe88b…
07-23 07:15:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0x54da46…
07-23 07:14:37	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xd2674d…
07-23 07:14:25	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 23?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x52f1a7…
07-22 14:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	12	94¢	$11	0x92f181…
07-22 14:25:01	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x13d494…
07-22 14:24:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	43	95¢	$41	0x819cb0…
07-22 14:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x95451f…
07-22 14:18:18	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xa963e9…
07-22 14:18:16	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x41d046…
07-22 14:17:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	115	95¢	$110	0x708079…
07-22 14:12:58	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x5b3b29…
07-22 12:30:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 22?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xddbe5f…
07-22 12:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 22?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x2b6224…
07-22 11:54:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 22?	No	BUY	300	95¢	$285	0xe5755f…
07-22 11:52:06	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 22?	No	BUY	199	96¢	$191	0x32ba31…
07-22 11:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on July 22?	No	BUY	14	96¢	$13	0x2374ca…
07-22 08:03:54	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 22?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x5e64b7…
07-22 07:45:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 22?	No	BUY	36	96¢	$35	0x50b778…
07-22 07:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 22?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x5f2054…
07-22 07:24:04	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x92e60b…
07-22 07:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x6711e0…
07-22 07:23:07	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 22?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x5a4f37…
07-22 07:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 22?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0x18296b…
07-21 11:56:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x43c02e…
07-21 11:55:51	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	6	45¢	$3	0xf69162…
07-21 11:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x0aa8ce…
07-21 11:54:06	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0x7f520a…
07-21 10:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x6cc597…
07-21 08:59:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x0151e0…
07-21 08:44:36	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xfc403e…
07-21 08:44:01	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x0a80e9…
07-21 08:38:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x28df9e…
07-21 08:33:21	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x24fb3d…
07-21 08:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on July 21?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x45a15c…
07-20 12:24:24	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 20?	No	BUY	71	99¢	$70	0x80beaa…
07-20 12:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 29°C on July 20?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x28f746…
07-20 12:02:00	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 28°C on July 20?	No	BUY	31	93¢	$29	0x4353ba…