Normal-Quest — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

+$125

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,901

lifetime

Volume

$123.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$43

Open exposure

$665

1 position

First seen

2026-01-09

last 06-27 08:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

87% 100% +$0

Other

10% — —

Politics

4% 100% +$17

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 42 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No		+669	$540	99¢	$665	+$125	06-27 08:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down march 6 7am et	19	$1.2K	750	500	+250	open	—	03-06 12:59
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	25	$1.1K	550	570	-20	open	—	02-28 18:25
bitcoin up or down february 25 1pm et	4	$849	617	240	+377	open	—	02-25 18:57
bitcoin up or down february 13 9am et	12	$751	395	395	+0	open	—	02-13 14:55
bitcoin up or down march 6 10am et	6	$731	500	250	+250	open	—	03-06 15:59
ethereum up or down february 16 10am et	7	$686	460	230	+230	open	—	02-16 15:56
bitcoin up or down february 13 11am et	7	$682	460	230	+230	open	—	02-13 16:56
ethereum up or down february 16 7am et	7	$678	460	230	+230	open	—	02-16 12:56
bitcoin up or down february 13 10am et	8	$666	450	220	+230	open	—	02-13 15:56
bitcoin up or down january 28 12pm et	6	$646	460	230	+230	open	—	01-28 17:55
ethereum up or down march 16 2026 9am et	25	$582	332	331	+1	open	—	03-16 13:51
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	24	$540	669	0	+669	open	—	06-27 08:10
cz binance of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 0 19	10	$503	509	0	+509	open	—	04-19 06:31
ethereum up or down february 23 7am et	4	$475	240	240	+0	open	—	02-23 12:58
bitcoin up or down february 23 11am et	2	$473	240	240	+0	open	—	02-23 16:56
bitcoin up or down february 25 8am et	3	$473	240	240	+0	open	—	02-25 13:55
bitcoin up or down february 23 1pm et	8	$464	240	240	+0	open	—	02-23 18:58
bitcoin up or down on february 28	2	$463	240	240	+0	open	—	02-28 15:13
bitcoin up or down february 16 7am et	3	$456	230	230	+0	open	—	02-16 12:50
bitcoin up or down february 15 8am et	2	$445	230	230	+0	open	—	02-15 13:52
ted cruz of tweets april 14 april 21 2026 180 199	6	$441	442	0	+442	open	—	04-20 20:07
elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 360 379	7	$440	600	0	+600	open	—	03-13 14:20
bitcoin up or down february 13 8am et	3	$433	220	220	+0	open	—	02-13 13:55
ethereum up or down february 12 10am et	6	$433	220	220	+0	open	—	02-12 15:53
bitcoin up or down february 12 12pm et	2	$431	220	220	+0	open	—	02-12 17:57
ethereum up or down february 12 1pm et	16	$429	220	220	+0	open	—	02-12 18:55
ethereum up or down february 15 2pm et	11	$428	230	230	+0	open	—	02-15 19:52
ethereum up or down february 12 9am et	16	$422	220	220	+0	open	—	02-12 14:55
xrp up or down january 15 1pm et	10	$416	427	0	+427	open	—	01-15 18:45
solana up or down january 21 4am et	16	$375	247	247	+0	open	—	01-21 09:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-27 08:10:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	69	95¢	$66	0xf4ddcf…
06-27 08:09:52	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	61	2¢	$1	0x13d963…
06-22 14:52:56	fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	50	97¢	$49	0x053fd0…
06-17 18:39:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0x32f2eb…
06-17 18:38:55	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	13¢	$1	0x5e46f8…
06-17 18:29:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xdfa29c…
06-17 18:29:04	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x0615b2…
06-17 18:28:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x13ddf5…
06-17 18:28:02	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xba853b…
06-17 18:24:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x8b75e7…
06-17 18:23:50	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	11	14¢	$2	0x6a5584…
06-17 18:07:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0xf645d3…
06-17 18:05:56	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x38868a…
06-17 17:59:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	14	78¢	$11	0x0f0f05…
06-17 17:55:50	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xbeff67…
06-17 17:54:47	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x3d9d9e…
06-17 17:54:44	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x0aa7a7…
06-17 17:54:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x117044…
06-17 17:53:41	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x42be6e…
06-17 17:53:38	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x7b857e…
06-17 17:47:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0xa7dbb3…
06-17 17:44:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x6ca8a7…
06-17 17:43:53	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x70d229…
06-17 17:43:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x466b8d…
06-17 17:42:59	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x21a7c6…
06-17 17:42:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x523430…
06-17 17:41:59	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf3e521…
06-17 17:41:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0x9fb4c4…
06-17 17:41:02	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xf3777c…
06-17 17:40:37	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x2e2e42…
06-17 17:40:13	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xfa87f3…
06-17 17:39:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xb6ba3c…
06-17 17:39:20	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x480d40…
06-17 17:38:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x386166…
06-17 17:38:37	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xff4ba2…
06-17 17:38:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xf4b57c…
06-17 17:37:52	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x0f7e10…
06-17 17:37:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x2b505d…
06-17 17:36:58	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x4d5216…
06-17 17:34:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	12	81¢	$10	0xc35015…
06-17 17:29:10	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x95cb08…
06-17 17:19:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	18	80¢	$14	0xd90256…
06-17 17:18:46	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0xadbc15…
06-17 17:12:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0x7a1c9f…
06-17 17:11:38	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x36d383…
06-15 07:25:43	fifwc fra sen 2026 06 16 spread away 1pt5	France	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xd40e22…
06-15 05:24:09	fifwc irn nzl 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	90¢	$18	0x56c0b1…
06-15 05:21:49	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 spread home 1pt5	Uruguay	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xb59f2e…
06-15 05:20:39	fifwc ksa ury 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x3f61fc…
06-15 05:13:48	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x98e950…
06-14 19:25:52	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xd52d9e…
06-14 19:24:18	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5a20ea…
06-14 18:45:30	fifwc bel egy 2026 06 15 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0xa11e5d…
06-14 18:36:45	fifwc esp cvi 2026 06 15 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xbd0b35…
06-14 18:14:10	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 spread away 2pt5	Sweden	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x4d8796…
06-14 18:12:58	fifwc swe tun 2026 06 14 total 5pt5	Under	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x2abe12…
06-14 17:36:54	fifwc civ ecu 2026 06 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x13f9fc…
06-14 17:17:33	fifwc nld jpn 2026 06 14 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0xb5ff89…
06-13 00:42:28	will ethereum reach 2000 june 8 14 2026	No	BUY	62	100¢	$62	0xa10ccd…
06-11 22:03:54	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	100	90¢	$90	0xd220a9…
06-11 17:25:55	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 spread away 1pt5	Mexico	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x39e2e0…
06-11 17:24:25	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	7	92¢	$6	0xb916d7…
06-11 00:34:04	xrp above 1pt3 on june 11 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa23609…
06-10 20:11:07	fif prt nga 2026 06 10 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	96	93¢	$89	0x8d3202…
06-10 20:07:36	fif prt nga 2026 06 10 spread away 2pt5	Portugal	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x219da9…
06-10 13:53:34	will solana reach 100 in june 2026	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0xfaec2e…
06-10 05:12:46	ethereum above 1800 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdcd3fe…
06-10 00:10:52	xrp above 1pt3 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xaed15d…
06-08 23:39:15	xrp above 1pt3 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd28f72…
06-08 23:07:33	solana above 80 on june 9 2026	No	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x551de0…
06-07 18:09:40	bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x886f09…
06-06 22:40:55	solana above 50 on june 7 2026	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x405007…
06-06 21:26:39	xrp above 1pt3 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9ab5a6…
06-06 11:32:07	solana above 70 on june 6 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x316deb…
06-04 19:39:45	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x72c465…
06-04 19:32:04	France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	95¢	$9	0x1e8cf9…
06-04 19:27:09	fif esp irq 2026 06 04 spread home 1pt5	Spain	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0x2d0193…
06-04 18:50:09	Sweden vs. Greece: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0xb44f96…
06-04 18:08:57	Spread: Greece (-2.5)	Sweden	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0x4a6e7f…
06-03 19:08:00	Spread: Luxembourg (-1.5)	Italy	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x21ecc2…
06-03 19:02:00	Spread: Nigeria (-1.5)	Poland	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0xc404ff…
06-03 19:01:03	Albania vs. Israel: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x69a9ff…
06-03 19:01:03	Spread: DR Congo (-1.5)	Denmark	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x48bba9…
06-03 18:59:36	Spread: Algeria (-1.5)	Netherlands	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x62a4f4…
06-03 17:44:16	Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0x70b43e…
06-03 09:18:30	Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on June 3?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc88550…
06-02 20:12:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xb5394e…
06-02 20:11:35	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x045cc0…
06-02 14:15:47	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 2?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x7e56e0…
06-02 05:40:56	Will the price of Solana be above $90 on June 2?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x958bef…
06-02 04:42:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x031598…
06-02 04:41:57	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0xc0f7e8…
06-02 04:25:21	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x940ee6…
06-02 04:24:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xb1acfd…
06-02 04:21:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x5b386b…
06-02 04:20:45	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	20¢	$20	0x4380db…
06-01 20:28:03	Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x619f6d…
06-01 19:00:38	Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x288954…
06-01 17:36:27	Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	10	91¢	$9	0xaf0d9d…
06-01 17:31:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0xad3918…