Favorable-Medication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$1.09K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 05-16 20:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

60% — —

Other

24% — —

Crypto

15% 47% $-17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$178	109	109	+0	open	—	02-28 10:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$91	61	61	+0	open	—	03-01 10:00
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	2	$85	61	61	+0	open	—	02-28 12:31
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	2	$82	48	48	+0	open	—	02-28 15:57
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	02-28 18:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	03-01 09:51
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	2	$55	53	53	+0	open	—	03-05 13:24
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$44	96	96	+0	open	—	02-24 08:02
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	3	$38	95	5	+91	open	—	02-25 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-14 04:14
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	01-24 08:31
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	2	$20	36	36	+0	open	—	03-01 16:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	05-14 04:35
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	01-20 19:52
nothing ever happens january 581	2	$15	17	17	+0	open	—	01-26 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-14 04:25
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	02-24 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 04:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-16 20:20
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 326	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-01 16:10
maduro mugshot released by monday	1	$11	30	0	+30	open	—	01-04 15:14
will trump say make iran great again during wef address on january 21	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	01-21 15:00
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	2	$10	7	7	+0	open	—	02-24 17:23
will trump say denmark or norway during wef address on january 21	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-21 14:17
will israel strike 4 countries in february 2026	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	02-28 10:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	2	$10	217	0	+217	Up	$-10	05-14 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$10	27	0	+27	Up	$-10	05-14 04:41
elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-21 13:20
will trump say greenland during newsnation interview	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	01-21 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	3	$9	55	5	+50	Down	+$1	05-11 23:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 20:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x01284e…
05-16 20:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc66c8e…
05-16 20:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x24e8e4…
05-16 20:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc704d0…
05-14 06:14:22	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xd7d815…
05-14 05:32:19	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa67689…
05-14 05:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xe01288…
05-14 05:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x364231…
05-14 04:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xc5b6af…
05-14 04:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6795c6…
05-14 04:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf39010…
05-14 04:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa7573c…
05-14 04:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x69e207…
05-14 04:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x924d07…
05-14 04:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8ba6fe…
05-14 04:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf212c1…
05-14 04:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf2ac28…
05-14 04:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xef265a…
05-14 04:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5bbed5…
05-14 04:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x073997…
05-14 04:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x9f6b1d…
05-14 04:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5acbea…
05-14 04:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe27fa3…
05-11 23:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7b2def…
05-11 23:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x97b47f…
05-11 23:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa4311e…
05-11 23:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xfd71ef…
05-11 23:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1934e1…
05-11 23:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5bbd42…
05-11 23:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd2178b…
05-11 23:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd6377b…
05-11 23:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8f33bc…
05-11 23:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1a2917…
05-11 23:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xa954d5…
05-11 23:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x430f6f…
05-11 23:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf8bcc7…
05-11 23:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf9d29f…
05-11 23:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1cda5c…
05-11 23:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5989ad…
05-11 23:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x585864…
03-05 13:24:33	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	53	42¢	$22	0xaef70b…
03-03 07:56:55	usisrael strike yemen by march 2	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xda6bd1…
03-01 16:10:51	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 326	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x50bf6e…
03-01 16:10:43	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	Yes	SELL	36	29¢	$10	0xf266b9…
03-01 10:02:41	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 326	Yes	BUY	6	93¢	$6	0x954c16…
03-01 10:00:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0xaa781c…
03-01 09:53:03	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	Yes	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0xb277e0…
03-01 09:51:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xd9a546…
02-28 20:38:59	usisrael strike yemen by march 2	Yes	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0x273d01…
02-28 20:38:37	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	8	92¢	$7	0x1b5ec8…
02-28 19:50:17	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x497ee3…
02-28 19:45:13	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xae676a…
02-28 18:12:49	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0xbc4c2a…
02-28 17:50:13	khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	No	BUY	40	84¢	$34	0x814a74…
02-28 17:49:51	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	52	65¢	$34	0x0f160e…
02-28 15:57:49	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x31c770…
02-28 15:57:37	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	Yes	SELL	48	98¢	$47	0x00587a…
02-28 12:42:39	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	Yes	BUY	48	73¢	$35	0xf66250…
02-28 12:40:29	will france uk or germany strike iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	273	2¢	$5	0xe4aafc…
02-28 12:31:31	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	Yes	SELL	61	65¢	$40	0x275241…
02-28 10:31:31	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	BUY	53	61¢	$32	0x070bbb…
02-28 10:31:07	will israel strike 4 countries in february 2026	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x6cd972…
02-28 10:29:01	iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	Yes	BUY	61	74¢	$45	0x8eaaae…
02-28 10:26:49	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	SELL	109	81¢	$87	0xd392db…
02-28 10:20:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	No	BUY	109	83¢	$91	0x0e8793…
02-25 14:17:56	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 65 89	No	BUY	19	9¢	$2	0x51ea38…
02-25 14:17:42	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	35¢	$2	0x202ece…
02-25 08:49:56	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0xe6a302…
02-24 17:54:18	elon musk of tweets february 23 february 25 115 139	Yes	BUY	53	13¢	$7	0xbff776…
02-24 17:52:44	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	SELL	7	97¢	$7	0x3577a2…
02-24 17:30:28	will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	Yes	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x7592a5…
02-24 17:23:38	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	Yes	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x160062…
02-24 08:04:08	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 360 379	Yes	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xaa7cbd…
02-24 08:02:54	US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	40¢	$16	0xe9c4f4…
02-24 08:02:28	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	SELL	96	20¢	$19	0xd6e0c8…
02-02 21:26:38	Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x9b6782…
01-26 14:06:05	elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 90 114	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0xea836b…
01-26 14:04:31	nothing ever happens january 581	Yes	SELL	17	18¢	$3	0x52fa76…
01-24 08:31:54	nothing ever happens january 581	Yes	BUY	17	71¢	$12	0xc18a2f…
01-24 08:31:22	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	No	SELL	14	88¢	$12	0xad0e82…
01-23 10:22:32	us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x080dfa…
01-22 15:00:36	will jd vance say job 12 times in ohio on thursday	Yes	SELL	6	15¢	$1	0x970e79…
01-22 11:20:58	will jd vance say job 12 times in ohio on thursday	Yes	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x0b2213…
01-22 10:53:50	will trump say historic during the board of peace charter announcement	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe7f474…
01-22 10:49:28	will trump say peace 20 times during the board of peace charter announcement	Yes	SELL	4	13¢	$1	0x1ec946…
01-21 22:36:04	will trump say peace 20 times during the board of peace charter announcement	Yes	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xd85056…
01-21 22:35:44	will trump say historic during the board of peace charter announcement	Yes	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0x1b40a2…
01-21 15:20:26	will united airlines say starlink during earnings call	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xedbbf9…
01-21 15:00:56	will trump say make iran great again during wef address on january 21	No	SELL	6	85¢	$5	0xe12378…
01-21 14:18:02	will trump say make iran great again during wef address on january 21	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x88a004…
01-21 14:17:16	will trump say denmark or norway during wef address on january 21	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9d295f…
01-21 13:21:26	will trump say denmark or norway during wef address on january 21	Yes	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x931118…
01-21 13:20:36	elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	Yes	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xd14e41…
01-21 12:29:38	elon musk of tweets january 19 january 21 90 114	Yes	BUY	5	89¢	$5	0x7d833b…
01-21 06:33:00	will keir starmer say denmark or greenland during the next prime ministers questions 834	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x007087…
01-21 06:32:06	will trump say greenland during newsnation interview	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xa9c0a0…
01-20 19:53:50	will trump say greenland during newsnation interview	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0xab97b0…
01-20 19:52:22	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0x648cad…
01-15 10:10:36	Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x7642e2…
01-04 15:14:49	maduro mugshot released by monday	Yes	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0xceaefd…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Mixed-Journal 0x2fe7…42c1	30	$58.8K	13,241	05-16 20:28
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	28	$28.3K	325	05-16 20:29
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	27	$63.1K	5,405	03-28 06:03
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	25	$99.4K	8,184	04-02 17:42
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	24	$3.80M	4,628	05-15 08:26
Friendly-Legislation 0xa9b7…f43c	22	$1.18K	488	05-16 20:30
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	21	$227.0K	3,304	05-14 02:00
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	21	$8.54K	742	05-15 06:01