Favorable-Medication — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

Trades

157

lifetime

Volume

$1.40K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 07-14 23:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

47% — —

Crypto

32% 47% $-17

Other

20% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$178	109	109	+0	open	—	02-28 10:26
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$91	61	61	+0	open	—	03-01 10:00
iran strike on qatar by february 28 2026 334	2	$85	61	61	+0	open	—	02-28 12:31
elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 40 64	2	$82	48	48	+0	open	—	02-28 15:57
khamenei seen in public by february 28 888 166	2	$69	40	40	+0	open	—	02-28 18:12
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	3	$63	32	32	+0	open	—	03-01 09:51
btc updown 5m 1783892100	8	$60	63	63	+0	open	—	07-12 21:39
will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	2	$55	53	53	+0	open	—	03-05 13:24
btc updown 5m 1783893000	7	$46	188	48	+140	open	—	07-12 21:54
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	2	$44	96	96	+0	open	—	02-24 08:02
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	3	$38	95	5	+91	open	—	02-25 14:17
btc updown 5m 1783893300	5	$32	109	13	+96	open	—	07-12 21:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	3	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-14 04:14
btc updown 5m 1783893600	5	$25	679	0	+679	open	—	07-12 22:03
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	2	$24	14	14	+0	open	—	01-24 08:31
btc updown 5m 1783894200	4	$21	21	21	+0	open	—	07-12 22:13
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 220 239	2	$20	36	36	+0	open	—	03-01 16:10
btc updown 5m 1783891500	2	$18	13	13	+0	open	—	07-12 21:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	2	$16	11	11	+0	Down	+$6	05-14 04:35
btc updown 5m 1783891800	3	$16	173	6	+167	open	—	07-12 21:33
btc updown 5m 1783892700	3	$15	517	17	+500	open	—	07-12 21:48
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	2	$15	20	20	+0	open	—	01-20 19:52
nothing ever happens january 581	2	$15	17	17	+0	open	—	01-26 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	2	$15	10	10	+0	Down	+$5	05-14 04:25
will nick shirley attend the 2026 state of the union address	2	$14	7	7	+0	open	—	02-24 17:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	2	$13	8	8	+0	Up	+$3	05-14 04:30
btc updown 5m 1784066100	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	07-14 22:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	2	$12	7	7	+0	open	—	05-16 20:20
will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 326	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-01 16:10
maduro mugshot released by monday	1	$11	30	0	+30	open	—	01-04 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-14 23:48:43	atp suresh echargu 2026 07 14	Moez Echargui	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x20e11a…
07-14 23:34:52	atp zh bu 2026 07 14	Evan Zhu	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x157380…
07-14 23:34:22	atp zh bu 2026 07 14	Evan Zhu	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0x0f7921…
07-14 23:32:38	atp zh bu 2026 07 14	Evan Zhu	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x419e37…
07-14 23:32:10	atp zh bu 2026 07 14	Evan Zhu	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xb93ea0…
07-14 23:19:10	atp zh bu 2026 07 14	Evan Zhu	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd7cc73…
07-14 22:40:59	btc updown 5m 1784068800	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x4e5bf5…
07-14 22:40:29	btc updown 5m 1784068800	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xaf0ff3…
07-14 22:36:13	btc updown 5m 1784068500	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x47ac04…
07-14 22:11:38	btc updown 5m 1784067000	Up	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0x408567…
07-14 22:05:10	btc updown 5m 1784066700	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xe03b21…
07-14 22:01:19	btc updown 5m 1784066400	Up	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2b44d5…
07-14 22:00:55	btc updown 5m 1784066100	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x059786…
07-14 21:58:56	btc updown 5m 1784066100	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x31464d…
07-14 21:46:56	btc updown 5m 1784065500	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x264af1…
07-14 18:58:50	atp holmgre watanuk 2026 07 13 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x9d5a4d…
07-14 18:58:46	atp mrva caniato 2026 07 13	Maxim Mrva	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x8cc192…
07-14 18:07:01	atp mrva caniato 2026 07 13	Maxim Mrva	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x712bee…
07-13 22:57:13	atp holmgre watanuk 2026 07 13 set totals 2pt5	Over 2.5	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x8a82b8…
07-12 22:13:47	btc updown 5m 1783894200	Up	SELL	9	66¢	$6	0xbe24e6…
07-12 22:13:34	btc updown 5m 1783894200	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x865841…
07-12 22:13:10	btc updown 5m 1783894200	Down	SELL	11	45¢	$5	0xa3fd8d…
07-12 22:10:20	btc updown 5m 1783894200	Down	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xef3b5f…
07-12 22:07:13	btc updown 5m 1783893900	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0x9036c1…
07-12 22:03:13	btc updown 5m 1783893600	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xdf07be…
07-12 22:01:46	btc updown 5m 1783893600	Up	BUY	47	11¢	$5	0x8c7a77…
07-12 22:01:25	btc updown 5m 1783893600	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0xc74edd…
07-12 22:00:46	btc updown 5m 1783893600	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc51a9c…
07-12 22:00:25	btc updown 5m 1783893600	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x718942…
07-12 21:58:43	btc updown 5m 1783893300	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xf8d8a7…
07-12 21:57:44	btc updown 5m 1783893300	Down	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x988f79…
07-12 21:57:13	btc updown 5m 1783893300	Up	SELL	13	91¢	$12	0x193c52…
07-12 21:56:38	btc updown 5m 1783893300	Up	BUY	6	78¢	$5	0x1c14bd…
07-12 21:55:28	btc updown 5m 1783893300	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x71f9c8…
07-12 21:54:11	btc updown 5m 1783893000	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0x0ec0f3…
07-12 21:52:46	btc updown 5m 1783893000	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0x8922c8…
07-12 21:52:32	btc updown 5m 1783893000	Up	SELL	12	50¢	$6	0x77b255…
07-12 21:52:11	btc updown 5m 1783893000	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0xde61ec…
07-12 21:51:53	btc updown 5m 1783893000	Up	SELL	35	43¢	$15	0x53f2ea…
07-12 21:51:11	btc updown 5m 1783893000	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xe85e6a…
07-12 21:50:34	btc updown 5m 1783893000	Up	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x42f42b…
07-12 21:48:32	btc updown 5m 1783892700	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x7767cb…
07-12 21:46:35	btc updown 5m 1783892700	Up	SELL	17	31¢	$5	0xd9faba…
07-12 21:45:28	btc updown 5m 1783892700	Up	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xf881ab…
07-12 21:39:37	btc updown 5m 1783892100	Up	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x009f15…
07-12 21:39:14	btc updown 5m 1783892100	Up	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x77b668…
07-12 21:38:44	btc updown 5m 1783892100	Up	SELL	21	52¢	$11	0x60874f…
07-12 21:38:14	btc updown 5m 1783892100	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xa3c9cb…
07-12 21:37:40	btc updown 5m 1783892100	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5429fd…
07-12 21:37:19	btc updown 5m 1783892100	Up	SELL	34	52¢	$18	0xee47da…
07-12 21:37:01	btc updown 5m 1783892100	Up	BUY	19	25¢	$5	0x0aa248…
07-12 21:35:38	btc updown 5m 1783892100	Up	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xf04993…
07-12 21:33:23	btc updown 5m 1783891800	Up	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x1d2e8a…
07-12 21:32:32	btc updown 5m 1783891800	Down	SELL	6	91¢	$6	0x9ce946…
07-12 21:31:17	btc updown 5m 1783891800	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x7e06a9…
07-12 21:30:50	btc updown 5m 1783891500	Down	SELL	13	99¢	$13	0x60e8f1…
07-12 21:28:49	btc updown 5m 1783891500	Down	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x654ff6…
05-16 20:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x01284e…
05-16 20:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xc66c8e…
05-16 20:20:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	7	99¢	$7	0x24e8e4…
05-16 20:19:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xc704d0…
05-14 06:14:22	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	70¢	$2	0xd7d815…
05-14 05:32:19	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xa67689…
05-14 05:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xe01288…
05-14 05:21:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x364231…
05-14 04:48:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	SELL	10	5¢	$0	0xc5b6af…
05-14 04:47:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x6795c6…
05-14 04:41:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xf39010…
05-14 04:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xa7573c…
05-14 04:35:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Down	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x69e207…
05-14 04:35:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x924d07…
05-14 04:31:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x8ba6fe…
05-14 04:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0xf212c1…
05-14 04:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xf2ac28…
05-14 04:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xef265a…
05-14 04:20:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5bbed5…
05-14 04:15:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x073997…
05-14 04:14:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	17	98¢	$17	0x9f6b1d…
05-14 04:13:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5acbea…
05-14 04:13:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xe27fa3…
05-11 23:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x7b2def…
05-11 23:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x97b47f…
05-11 23:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa4311e…
05-11 23:40:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xfd71ef…
05-11 23:38:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x1934e1…
05-11 23:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x5bbd42…
05-11 23:32:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd2178b…
05-11 23:30:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0xd6377b…
05-11 23:27:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x8f33bc…
05-11 23:26:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x1a2917…
05-11 23:23:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xa954d5…
05-11 23:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x430f6f…
05-11 23:19:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xf8bcc7…
05-11 23:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xf9d29f…
05-11 23:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x1cda5c…
05-11 23:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x5989ad…
05-11 23:14:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0x585864…
03-05 13:24:33	will israel strike 4 countries in march 2026	Yes	SELL	53	42¢	$22	0xaef70b…
03-03 07:56:55	usisrael strike yemen by march 2	Yes	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xda6bd1…
03-01 16:10:51	will israel or the us target an iranian nuclear facility 326	Yes	SELL	6	95¢	$6	0x50bf6e…