Flickering-Sausage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$468

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.6%

Resolved

2,412

Trades

4,110

lifetime

Volume

$67.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-06

last 10-30 08:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 154 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 56% -$468

Other

0% 56% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

57 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-25 23:40 UTC	2	$793	587	587	+0	Down	+$276	07-25 23:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-17 07:10 UTC	2	$609	384	384	+0	Down	+$9	08-17 07:13
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 09:00 UTC	2	$583	315	314	+1	Up	+$34	01-14 09:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	10	$476	316	316	+0	Down	+$13	05-27 06:56
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 14:00 UTC	2	$461	234	234	+0	Up	+$2	01-14 14:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 13:45 UTC	2	$422	238	237	+1	Down	+$38	01-14 13:54
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 11:00 UTC	5	$359	208	207	+1	Down	+$7	01-08 11:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-18 13:05 UTC	8	$346	200	200	+0	Up	+$11	06-18 13:08
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 04:00 UTC	2	$300	156	156	+0	Down	+$9	01-14 04:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	2	$300	171	171	+0	Up	+$39	05-26 11:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-20 11:35 UTC	4	$296	170	170	+0	Up	+$12	06-20 11:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-30 23:05 UTC	6	$292	157	157	+0	Up	+$7	06-30 23:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 06:00 UTC	5	$284	157	157	+1	Down	+$24	01-08 06:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 22:00 UTC	2	$273	162	162	+0	Down	-$5	07-15 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	2	$266	209	209	+0	Up	-$22	05-27 15:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 07:30 UTC	1	$258	275	0	+275	Up	+$17	01-14 07:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	2	$256	149	149	+0	Up	+$11	05-27 06:52
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-13 04:30 UTC	2	$256	138	137	+1	Down	+$19	01-13 04:43
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 05:45 UTC	2	$254	142	142	+0	Down	+$7	01-08 05:55
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 13:00 UTC	2	$254	266	36	+230	Down	+$19	01-14 13:07
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-09 05:15 UTC	5	$247	181	92	+89	Down	+$4	01-09 05:22
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-17 14:40 UTC	4	$246	129	129	+0	Up	$0	06-17 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-01 21:55 UTC	6	$246	146	146	+0	Up	+$13	07-01 21:59
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 06:15 UTC	1	$240	258	0	+258	Down	+$18	01-14 06:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	8	$234	149	149	+0	Up	+$13	05-27 06:46
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-14 16:30 UTC	1	$232	277	0	+277	Up	-$232	01-14 16:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-13 17:45 UTC	4	$231	156	156	+0	Down	+$34	06-13 17:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-11 00:00 UTC	10	$230	126	126	+0	Down	+$19	07-11 00:03
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-01-08 04:30 UTC	3	$227	127	126	+1	Down	+$21	01-08 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$223	157	157	+0	Up	+$6	05-27 06:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 08:42:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Up	BUY	23	30¢	$7	0x1bf14c…
10-30 08:40:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x8614dd…
10-30 07:25:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x950951…
10-30 03:26:45	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x8ad68e…
10-29 23:25:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xdbaf76…
10-29 22:28:15	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x712a73…
10-29 21:26:19	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xe86c9f…
10-29 19:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x38584b…
10-29 19:58:37	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	34¢	$6	0x1c4ab1…
10-29 19:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0xaba7d1…
10-29 19:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x24d1a3…
10-29 17:29:16	XRP Up or Down - October 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x954b9a…
10-29 16:42:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0x98cc01…
10-29 16:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb2453b…
10-29 13:12:37	BNB Up or Down - October 29, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x7a4a9e…
10-29 12:28:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	15	61¢	$9	0xc5692c…
10-29 12:25:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0xdaa44c…
10-29 11:10:38	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x822420…
10-29 10:25:53	Solana Up or Down - October 29, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x68dee7…
10-29 00:57:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	53¢	$12	0x4a3e3d…
10-29 00:57:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	18	24¢	$4	0x9b36ad…
10-29 00:13:01	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x53c7c1…
10-28 19:28:56	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	12	21¢	$3	0x0b0af9…
10-28 17:26:25	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8fbe23…
10-28 17:25:29	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x4bf208…
10-28 16:40:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	62	47¢	$29	0x87ec45…
10-28 16:13:34	Ethereum Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x56cc28…
10-28 16:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	25¢	$3	0x55e2a9…
10-28 15:27:13	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0x2e0bd9…
10-28 13:13:25	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xae95e9…
10-28 13:12:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xd43256…
10-28 12:55:56	BNB Up or Down - October 28, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	13	46¢	$6	0xdde3f2…
10-28 12:27:37	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	56¢	$6	0x2f6f0e…
10-28 11:28:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	143	21¢	$30	0xca2084…
10-28 10:56:56	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	11	53¢	$6	0x54140f…
10-28 09:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0xe54c66…
10-28 09:10:13	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-28 09:10 UTC	Down	BUY	17	35¢	$6	0xb3b9e0…
10-28 08:10:55	Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x4249d5…
10-28 07:43:08	XRP Up or Down - October 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	12	23¢	$3	0xd0d344…
10-28 06:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	77	27¢	$21	0x36e895…
10-28 06:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	62	19¢	$12	0x169559…
10-28 03:12:32	Ethereum Up or Down - October 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0xe06871…
10-28 00:55:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	57	47¢	$27	0x8c4d63…
10-27 23:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	44	30¢	$13	0x901274…
10-27 17:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	88	34¢	$30	0x61b87c…
10-27 15:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0x30d9ef…
10-27 09:44:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	152	32¢	$49	0x7cde4e…
10-27 08:59:00	XRP Up or Down - October 27, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xad74a3…
10-27 06:43:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xf72ab3…
10-27 02:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x2bc7c1…
10-26 22:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x4fccbb…
10-26 12:13:48	Solana Up or Down - October 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x8e414f…
10-26 09:59:45	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 26, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	21¢	$4	0xd12823…
10-25 20:13:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	31¢	$9	0x5b88d9…
10-25 20:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	46	13¢	$6	0x8169cc…
10-25 18:43:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x40b222…
10-25 17:55:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	51	36¢	$18	0x9b93e4…
10-25 14:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x44054c…
10-25 10:12:32	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x4e8230…
10-25 09:29:06	Solana Up or Down - October 25, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x4a922e…
10-25 04:56:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3b7764…
10-25 03:58:32	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x1f6088…
10-25 03:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x15a8d9…
10-24 11:13:59	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	46	15¢	$7	0x705ca3…
10-24 07:43:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	37	53¢	$20	0xb0ed72…
10-24 07:43:09	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0x7705e5…
10-24 06:29:29	Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	35	24¢	$8	0x0f0ac8…
10-24 05:58:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x044990…
10-24 03:13:56	Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	19	24¢	$4	0x0173b3…
10-23 20:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	38	52¢	$20	0x108572…
10-23 20:27:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	46	66¢	$30	0xda7d4e…
10-23 17:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0x2137ab…
10-23 09:56:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	43	40¢	$17	0xef3a96…
10-22 23:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x68688b…
10-22 13:10:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x1571e0…
10-22 10:58:53	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	25	24¢	$6	0x59c00b…
10-22 09:44:06	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0xb5faa2…
10-22 06:58:59	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	24	11¢	$3	0x9e8d00…
10-22 06:58:56	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	24	23¢	$6	0x909c42…
10-22 06:58:54	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	27	24¢	$7	0xe8d020…
10-22 06:58:51	Solana Up or Down - October 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	27	36¢	$10	0xc91332…
10-22 06:55:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	59	43¢	$25	0x8e0e97…
10-22 04:13:48	Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0xe265fb…
10-21 20:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	33¢	$17	0xb9b16b…
10-21 19:43:11	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	38¢	$18	0x5ff00d…
10-21 16:29:12	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	40	49¢	$20	0x02e095…
10-21 16:29:08	Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x3d7bfd…
10-21 11:10:21	XRP Up or Down - October 21, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x84982c…
10-21 10:59:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	24	36¢	$8	0xf36d3d…
10-21 10:58:41	Solana Up or Down - October 21, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Down	BUY	44	20¢	$9	0xadd83f…
10-21 03:43:27	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	35	20¢	$7	0xee8c2b…
10-21 02:28:00	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0x93389d…
10-21 00:14:17	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	39	52¢	$20	0x2422c2…
10-20 22:40:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x7b115e…
10-20 19:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	44¢	$4	0x80e293…
10-20 17:59:20	Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	38	23¢	$9	0x11d058…
10-20 17:28:39	Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	41	31¢	$13	0x31dfb0…
10-20 05:25:41	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x089a2c…
10-20 05:25:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	36¢	$4	0xaf57c0…
10-20 04:59:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	61	24¢	$15	0xdf68dc…