Likely-Gentleman — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$954

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.6%

Resolved

5,499

Trades

26,458

lifetime

Volume

$50.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-03

last 08-30 22:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 87 days

Categories

Other

93% 65% -$1,115

Sports

6% 57% +$158

Politics

0% 67% $0

Crypto

0% 60% +$3

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 57 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?	59	$309	372	167	+205	Yes	+$73	06-29 18:59
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?	65	$266	261	160	+101	No	+$34	06-26 03:56
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	3	$248	222	222	+0	Yes	+$168	07-19 21:57
atp jodar nakashi 2026 08 12	35	$230	90,290	0	+90,290	Brandon Nakashima	-$230	08-13 00:23
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	52	$200	269	103	+166	No	-$71	06-18 17:49
fifwc prt cdr 2026 06 17 spread home 1pt5	31	$186	133	123	+10	DR Congo	+$62	06-17 18:56
atp jodar fils 2026 08 11	6	$180	189	128	+61	Rafael Jodar	+$25	08-11 13:03
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?	44	$177	281	7	+274	No	-$17	06-20 04:52
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?	1	$175	304	0	+304	No	-$175	07-12 00:07
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?	82	$170	259	6	+253	Yes	-$137	06-12 03:47
fifwc bel irn 2026 06 21 spread home 1pt5	51	$164	290	3	+287	IR Iran	+$97	06-21 19:50
fifwc arg aut 2026 06 22 spread home 1pt5	51	$163	267	1	+266	Argentina	-$151	06-22 18:27
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?	38	$163	295	0	+295	No	+$125	05-19 19:41
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw?	28	$160	111	76	+35	No	+$0	06-23 00:36
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?	48	$157	244	22	+222	Yes	+$41	06-13 01:50
fifwc aus egy 2026 07 03 team to advance	3	$155	310	0	+310	Egypt	-$63	07-03 20:13
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?	60	$154	236	136	+100	No	-$6	06-26 00:42
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?	54	$151	319	30	+289	Yes	-$75	06-23 01:35
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?	24	$142	88	85	+3	No	+$28	05-04 18:38
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?	65	$141	250	18	+232	No	-$42	06-16 02:56
Will Austria win on 2026-06-27?	40	$140	194	6	+188	No	+$52	06-28 03:53
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?	59	$138	212	51	+161	No	-$10	06-14 21:58
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?	26	$137	85	85	+0	No	+$32	07-01 22:17
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	57	$135	297	107	+190	No	+$44	06-14 00:01
fifwc fra mar 2026 07 09 spread home 1pt5	2	$132	103	102	+1	France	+$59	07-09 21:56
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?	52	$129	253	2	+251	Yes	+$55	06-28 20:54
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?	50	$124	172	22	+150	No	-$53	06-21 01:50
fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 btts	3	$124	154	108	+46	Yes	+$19	07-10 17:39
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	36	$120	166	141	+25	France	-$15	06-23 00:36
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 15?	46	$119	100	99	+0	Yes	-$29	08-15 09:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-30 22:27:39	atp faria brooksb 2026 08 30	Jenson Brooksby	BUY	13	24¢	$3	0xcb9bbb…
08-29 16:49:16	Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-08-29?	Yes	BUY	27	43¢	$11	0x26d14f…
08-28 12:30:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 29?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x1bae24…
08-27 12:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 28?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x394dd8…
08-26 12:30:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 27?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x4d9944…
08-22 09:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 22?	Yes	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0xc07671…
08-22 08:03:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	31	35¢	$11	0x16044a…
08-22 06:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x0c54be…
08-22 05:39:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xc5c825…
08-22 05:00:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	11	79¢	$9	0xb14dd1…
08-22 04:39:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x0c8559…
08-22 04:03:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 22?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x06f3ca…
08-22 03:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x6981ca…
08-22 00:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 22?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x89635c…
08-21 22:05:09	atp fritz nakashi 2026 08 21	Taylor Fritz	BUY	24	80¢	$19	0x3e6704…
08-21 20:01:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	No	SELL	25	56¢	$14	0x29cb46…
08-21 19:58:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$14	0x4c89b2…
08-21 19:57:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	No	SELL	24	57¢	$14	0xf40d34…
08-21 19:51:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	No	BUY	24	60¢	$14	0xd4ea6b…
08-21 19:49:45	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	No	SELL	18	57¢	$10	0x4a30e1…
08-21 17:25:12	wta bejlek keys 2026 08 21	Sara Bejlek	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x47b725…
08-21 00:45:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 22?	No	BUY	18	77¢	$13	0x57ca9c…
08-20 14:35:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 22?	Yes	BUY	34	46¢	$15	0x4679b0…
08-20 05:13:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	23	57¢	$13	0x1946c3…
08-20 05:13:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 21?	No	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0x1f786f…
08-20 04:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x87dbe4…
08-20 04:59:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	15	9¢	$1	0x18ba9a…
08-20 04:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	26	32¢	$8	0x5fe486…
08-20 04:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	5	69¢	$4	0x5ef94c…
08-20 04:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x85e8ad…
08-20 03:31:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	SELL	26	95¢	$25	0x3fb66f…
08-20 02:51:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1b0a6c…
08-20 02:46:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	22	91¢	$20	0x43a55c…
08-20 02:18:22	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	SELL	105	21¢	$22	0x7fb50b…
08-20 01:39:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0xcf370c…
08-20 01:23:13	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	74	11¢	$8	0x3ef2d1…
08-20 01:22:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	28	12¢	$3	0xda4b99…
08-20 01:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	61	25¢	$15	0x399545…
08-20 01:20:52	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	10	15¢	$1	0x80731f…
08-20 01:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	32	18¢	$6	0xdaf2eb…
08-20 00:52:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	51	28¢	$14	0xb91543…
08-20 00:41:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	31	28¢	$9	0xa223bb…
08-20 00:10:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	82¢	$4	0x8d3931…
08-20 00:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0x175bfc…
08-19 23:14:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xe46c09…
08-19 22:36:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0x2457a1…
08-19 22:31:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x9b1e4d…
08-19 19:08:57	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$7	0x00845c…
08-19 19:03:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 21?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x65d506…
08-19 17:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x89ecb6…
08-19 17:07:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xff4817…
08-19 13:28:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	19	40¢	$8	0x3304e0…
08-19 12:48:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 21?	Yes	BUY	9	30¢	$3	0x2fca7c…
08-19 11:36:54	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	54	36¢	$19	0x287cf6…
08-19 11:31:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	9	34¢	$3	0x32cfa1…
08-19 05:50:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x567be9…
08-19 01:53:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?	No	SELL	44	28¢	$12	0xdf838a…
08-19 01:39:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	SELL	10	63¢	$6	0x88b26b…
08-19 01:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xe33484…
08-19 00:40:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0x173bbc…
08-18 22:12:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x0fcbdc…
08-18 18:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x3932a4…
08-18 18:53:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x9c71b1…
08-18 18:27:03	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6fb2a0…
08-18 17:50:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x897a3e…
08-18 17:12:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	14	85¢	$12	0xce250e…
08-18 17:07:04	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 20?	No	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x492e73…
08-18 16:57:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x517384…
08-18 16:47:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?	No	BUY	24	69¢	$16	0xf03140…
08-18 16:42:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xd48972…
08-18 14:17:40	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	No	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0x324233…
08-18 11:56:10	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x006306…
08-18 11:50:46	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	4	36¢	$1	0xdc14ba…
08-18 06:25:51	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xa944a2…
08-18 04:21:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x45475f…
08-18 04:21:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x290f24…
08-18 04:21:27	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	No	SELL	8	95¢	$7	0x48bec7…
08-18 04:21:25	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	No	SELL	2	96¢	$1	0x400a7b…
08-18 04:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2d5295…
08-18 03:02:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	2	23¢	$0	0x0419b3…
08-18 02:52:39	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	1	5¢	$0	0xca60c6…
08-18 02:38:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x6d79a9…
08-18 02:33:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 19?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x2e57c8…
08-18 01:44:55	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	SELL	2	4¢	$0	0x37d943…
08-17 23:13:48	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0xd72e60…
08-17 16:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa59cb5…
08-17 14:46:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x3aa1ba…
08-17 06:09:19	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?	No	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x0d6fc7…
08-17 06:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?	No	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x2114e8…
08-17 06:09:15	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17?	Yes	SELL	13	10¢	$1	0x95e547…
08-17 05:43:36	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xc7ec64…
08-17 05:41:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 18?	Yes	BUY	45	17¢	$8	0x272cea…
08-17 05:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 18?	No	BUY	33	70¢	$23	0x65108a…
08-17 05:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0x51af14…
08-17 05:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x88e674…
08-17 04:41:24	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17?	No	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xf54e3b…
08-17 04:36:42	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xb73434…
08-17 03:48:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xf80c36…
08-17 03:29:00	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on August 17?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x7ef51d…
08-17 03:15:31	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 17?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3056fe…