Plain-Nonconformist — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4.81K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

71.5%

Resolved

2,704

Trades

11,085

lifetime

Volume

$225.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-04

last 10-28 04:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 173 days

Categories

Crypto

97% 57% +$5,362

Other

3% 54% -$551

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 286 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-16 16:30 UTC	214	$4.9K	4,600	3,600	+1,000	Down	+$1,446	08-16 16:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:10 UTC	29	$4.1K	7,600	0	+7,600	Down	-$4,054	08-01 16:10
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	66	$3.9K	2,500	2,500	+0	Down	+$1,009	05-18 20:42
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:10 UTC	16	$3.6K	6,500	0	+6,500	Up	+$2,940	07-27 23:10
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:05 UTC	53	$2.8K	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	-$2,810	07-27 23:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	56	$2.8K	1,639	1,639	+0	Down	+$517	05-02 10:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:20 UTC	181	$2.7K	4,999	0	+4,999	Up	+$2,251	07-28 01:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET	10	$2.4K	1,411	1,411	+0	Down	+$429	04-30 20:00
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 18:15 UTC	36	$2.2K	1,400	1,400	+0	Down	+$601	07-15 18:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-01 16:05 UTC	28	$2.0K	3,800	0	+3,800	Down	-$1,965	08-01 16:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	20	$1.8K	1,086	1,086	+0	Up	+$303	05-03 02:45
Solana Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	6	$1.7K	1,044	1,044	+0	Down	+$319	05-02 10:15
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	8	$1.7K	1,400	1,400	+0	Down	+$217	05-11 21:05
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	58	$1.7K	995	995	+0	Down	+$263	05-02 10:15
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 00:20 UTC	136	$1.7K	2,800	0	+2,800	Down	+$1,120	07-22 00:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$1.5K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$450	05-11 21:41
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-04-23 03:45 UTC	45	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	Up	+$450	04-23 03:57
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	44	$1.3K	3,696	37	+3,659	Up	-$1,319	05-08 19:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	7	$1.2K	750	750	+0	Down	+$290	05-23 21:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 01:15 UTC	34	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$1,148	07-28 01:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5PM ET	6	$1.1K	750	750	+0	Down	+$317	05-23 21:24
Solana Up or Down - May 5, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET	6	$1.1K	1,300	1,300	+0	Down	+$26	05-05 20:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:00 UTC	1	$1.1K	2,000	0	+2,000	Down	-$1,060	07-27 22:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	15	$1.0K	1,500	500	+1,000	Up	-$510	05-08 19:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:25 UTC	13	$937	750	700	+50	Down	+$96	07-19 00:27
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 3PM ET	8	$911	750	750	+0	Down	+$155	05-08 20:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	23	$900	600	600	+0	Down	+$180	04-29 03:51
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 6AM ET	11	$894	600	600	+0	Down	+$222	04-26 10:46
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 20:10 UTC	3	$868	1,600	0	+1,600	Up	+$732	07-29 20:09
BTC Up/Down 15m · 2026-08-10 17:00 UTC	10	$853	550	550	+0	Up	+$236	08-10 17:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 04:23:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	75	51¢	$38	0xd41b00…
10-28 04:19:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x3b8578…
10-28 04:17:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xcdcba2…
10-28 01:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x83bd63…
10-28 01:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x49349c…
10-28 01:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x33a328…
10-28 01:16:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x15ad43…
10-28 00:48:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x53f218…
10-27 22:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xe9b6a6…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	62	60¢	$37	0xf4d44c…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xf372ff…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0xee5b38…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xe56a6c…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0xdceada…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	60¢	$12	0xc1d85a…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0xbc6e94…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0xb74384…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x91c7de…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	60¢	$0	0x89c30d…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0x730324…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	160	60¢	$96	0x72b06f…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	60¢	$19	0x5ea02a…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x4a58bf…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x46f1a1…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x31b656…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x2c2377…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2c1197…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	428	60¢	$257	0x2167eb…
10-27 20:43:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x03c0b7…
10-27 20:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xe6e246…
10-27 20:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xa88c0b…
10-27 20:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$2	0x9c8c15…
10-27 20:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x30f3c0…
10-27 20:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	41	60¢	$25	0x21d27d…
10-27 20:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	60¢	$3	0x217771…
10-27 20:39:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xee039a…
10-27 20:37:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	51¢	$51	0x068e64…
10-27 20:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	280	52¢	$146	0x7748f0…
10-27 20:33:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	200	52¢	$103	0x7b3a67…
10-27 20:29:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	192	55¢	$106	0xea0bb9…
10-27 20:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xee3df4…
10-27 20:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0xc1f95d…
10-27 20:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x837b39…
10-27 20:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	40¢	$9	0x7d5db5…
10-27 20:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0x3986c8…
10-27 20:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1aea06…
10-27 20:25:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	40¢	$1	0x0e5af1…
10-27 20:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0x0d5e4c…
10-27 20:21:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	30	44¢	$13	0x874449…
10-27 20:15:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0xc972cd…
10-27 20:15:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x15b8f6…
10-25 03:25:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xd59908…
10-25 03:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	60¢	$2	0xf3b67f…
10-25 03:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xeda3c1…
10-25 03:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	60¢	$2	0x320ab5…
10-25 03:25:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x001e96…
10-25 03:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xed7ce0…
10-25 03:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	52¢	$17	0x006f5d…
10-25 03:16:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Down	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xd06fac…
10-25 03:14:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x5c842b…
10-25 02:45:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	20	65¢	$13	0x46d3bd…
10-25 02:42:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x6ade10…
10-25 02:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1	38¢	$0	0x751d58…
10-25 02:41:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	19	38¢	$7	0x28da13…
10-25 02:15:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xd1ac69…
10-25 02:14:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	32	68¢	$22	0x0f5323…
10-25 02:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	16	56¢	$9	0xb477d8…
10-25 02:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x3a6cae…
10-25 02:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	15	53¢	$8	0xa04acd…
10-25 02:09:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0x50f795…
10-25 02:07:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	53¢	$0	0xf97d2b…
10-24 02:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x03e8c3…
10-23 02:58:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	15	51¢	$8	0xc28387…
10-23 02:55:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x6b1353…
10-23 02:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0xeea048…
10-23 02:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xa4eaac…
10-23 02:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x59cf21…
10-23 02:35:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x194615…
10-22 21:24:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0x736fab…
10-22 21:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x84ba65…
10-22 21:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x4cefbd…
10-21 01:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	50¢	$0	0x5d663e…
10-21 01:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x5947a4…
10-21 01:20:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x295967…
10-20 23:35:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xef4e5b…
10-20 23:31:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x59023b…
10-20 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	51¢	$7	0xfd8689…
10-20 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	7	51¢	$3	0xf25abe…
10-20 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0xe5e5fe…
10-20 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xca2129…
10-20 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xaaa3b2…
10-20 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x998ec6…
10-20 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x7e8758…
10-20 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1a9566…
10-20 20:24:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x0d93c3…
10-20 20:21:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	15	50¢	$8	0xf26d7a…
10-20 20:21:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x79a22e…
10-20 01:12:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	30	51¢	$15	0xfb8f5a…
10-20 01:09:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa81d0e…
10-20 00:27:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	50	44¢	$22	0x590837…