Beloved-Pile — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$87

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

314

Trades

328

lifetime

Volume

$8.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

$54

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-02 11:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 236 days

Categories

Crypto

95% 99% +$1

Other

4% 51% -$70

Politics

1% 17% -$9

Sports

0% 0% -$8

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

37 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	-37	-$31	81¢	$-30	+$1	09-24 18:09
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+10	$10	94¢	$9	$0	11-02 11:29
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	+10	$7	78¢	$8	+$0	11-02 11:31
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	-37	-$8	19¢	$-7	+$1	06-24 12:25

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of ethereum be between 2500 2600 on april 1	1	$92	92	+92	No	+$0	03-31 20:21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 25?	1	$90	90	+90	No	+$0	04-24 20:16
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on April 28?	1	$85	85	+85	No	+$0	04-27 19:19
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 26?	1	$84	84	+84	No	+$0	04-25 20:09
will the price of ethereum be greater than 2400 on april 3	1	$80	80	+80	No	+$0	04-02 20:56
will the price of bitcoin be between 76000 78000 on march 31	1	$75	75	+75	No	+$0	03-30 19:47
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on April 27?	1	$65	65	+65	No	+$0	04-27 05:29
ethereum above 2500 on april 8	1	$65	65	+65	No	+$0	04-07 20:05
solana above 100 on april 24	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	04-23 19:54
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 24	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	03-23 21:57
ethereum above 3300 on january 2	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	01-02 10:07
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 1	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	01-01 08:38
will the price of solana be between 100 110 on april 2	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	04-01 19:59
solana above 130 on january 10	1	$60	60	+60	Yes	+$0	01-10 12:30
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 14?	1	$60	60	+60	No	+$0	05-13 19:02
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on April 30?	1	$59	59	+59	No	+$0	04-29 19:46
bitcoin above 96k on january 13	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	01-13 11:42
will the price of ethereum be greater than 3300 on january 28	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	01-28 04:24
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on May 25?	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	05-24 18:10
bitcoin above 104k on january 12	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	01-12 04:32
ethereum above 3200 on january 29	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	01-29 09:53
xrp above 2 on january 30	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	01-30 04:07
ethereum above 2500 on march 19	1	$55	55	+55	No	+$0	03-18 19:51
will solana reach 150 in january 2026	1	$54	54	+54	No	+$0	01-31 09:11
bitcoin above 86k on february 2	1	$53	53	+53	No	+$0	02-02 10:12
will the price of solana be between 110 120 on march 22	1	$53	53	+53	No	+$0	03-21 20:14
will the price of bitcoin be between 84000 86000 on february 4	1	$52	52	+52	No	+$0	02-04 04:18
will the price of bitcoin be between 94000 96000 on january 24	1	$52	52	+52	No	+$0	01-24 12:31
will the price of solana be between 120 130 on february 1	1	$52	52	+52	No	+$0	02-01 09:10
ethereum above 2600 on february 5	1	$52	52	+52	No	+$0	02-05 09:05

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 11:31:27	Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	73¢	$7	0xd82c4b…
11-02 11:29:27	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	10	95¢	$10	0xb5565b…
10-18 08:01:02	Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?	Yes	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xe0f5ab…
10-06 17:00:51	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on October 7?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9840a0…
10-05 16:57:59	Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on October 6?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xa227bf…
10-05 14:07:56	Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Spirit	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xe5d619…
10-04 17:31:59	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,100 on October 5?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x9ac64a…
10-04 13:19:43	Counter-Strike: G2 vs 1WIN (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	G2	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xb5ecc0…
10-04 13:19:35	Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage	Vitality	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0x7b6625…
10-03 17:04:50	Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on October 4?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xb423bd…
10-02 17:36:47	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,100 on October 3?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x6d411d…
10-01 18:31:08	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on October 2?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xca45a9…
09-30 18:33:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on October 1?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0x2776c9…
09-30 07:17:00	Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on September 30?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xb4133f…
09-28 17:12:45	Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on September 29?	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x5a5561…
09-27 10:50:38	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 27?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfbc69d…
09-25 18:59:24	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,100 on September 26?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xd71fa4…
09-24 18:09:54	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 25?	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x43ebf9…
09-24 18:09:11	Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	SELL	37	85¢	$31	0x6ce2fe…
09-24 08:58:38	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,900 on September 24?	No	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x291571…
09-19 06:15:27	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19 game1	Vitality	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xbe6d36…
09-19 06:15:16	cs2 aur1 vit 2026 09 19	Vitality	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xd5259b…
09-18 19:47:57	Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FURIA (+1.5)	Vitality	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x6b3f78…
09-18 19:47:18	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 19?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x681fe0…
09-18 19:46:15	cs2 vit furia 2026 09 18	Vitality	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x988684…
09-17 20:48:58	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 18?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9c27fb…
09-16 17:08:12	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 17?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xc82c4c…
09-15 17:34:39	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 16?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x9f6cb9…
09-14 18:53:57	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on September 15?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x5a4152…
09-13 18:52:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x68a451…
09-13 18:51:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on September 14?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x947d86…
09-13 14:27:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 13?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa1e1c5…
09-11 17:27:36	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 12?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x5f0068…
09-08 18:53:04	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,800 on September 9?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x9edd49…
09-07 16:47:10	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on September 8?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0xfd3c5c…
09-07 10:24:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 7?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x64bc4a…
09-02 18:50:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on September 3?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x31e435…
09-02 06:06:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on September 2?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4c5ed7…
08-31 18:49:09	ethereum above 2800 on september 1 2026	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xdd1ffa…
08-30 08:32:48	Will the price of Solana be between $120 and $130 on August 30?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xe7e94b…
08-28 18:27:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $86,000 on August 29?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x0a4a95…
08-28 11:00:25	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on August 28?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0xa68c1b…
08-24 06:54:58	ethereum above 2600 on august 24 2026	No	BUY	13	98¢	$13	0xeb5f3d…
08-20 08:05:09	ethereum above 2400 on august 20 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x2e11db…
08-19 17:06:46	cs2 fut mgc 2026 08 19	FUT Esports	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xdf0e02…
08-19 15:37:45	bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	No	SELL	13	36¢	$5	0xbc488f…
08-19 15:37:22	bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x3bd84d…
08-19 12:28:01	cs2 fut mgc 2026 08 19	FUT Esports	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7803d9…
08-19 04:00:21	bitcoin above 68k on august 19 2026	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x011c05…
08-17 17:04:48	bitcoin above 68k on august 18 2026	No	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0x8970c0…
08-16 19:25:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on August 17?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x63b7fa…
08-15 18:37:42	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0xefb261…
08-15 13:01:40	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Islam Makhachev	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0x0b2dd1…
08-14 18:39:06	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 15?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3d1e41…
08-13 17:11:42	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 14?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xb19108…
08-13 09:22:48	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xa8dea9…
08-12 19:10:39	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on August 13?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x8be575…
08-11 19:37:27	bitcoin above 66k on august 12 2026	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc557fa…
08-10 17:36:27	ethereum above 2000 on august 11 2026	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0x90a004…
08-09 19:12:01	bitcoin above 70k on august 10 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xec8039…
08-08 17:50:16	bitcoin above 68k on august 9 2026	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x0fd0ab…
08-07 17:52:03	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on August 8?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0xbc8f00…
08-06 17:06:20	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 7?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xea4c50…
08-05 19:51:35	bitcoin above 68k on august 6 2026	No	BUY	26	99¢	$26	0x88e279…
07-31 19:25:38	ethereum above 2100 on august 1 2026	No	BUY	29	100¢	$29	0x825577…
07-31 10:50:36	ethereum above 2100 on july 31 2026	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xbd1132…
07-28 17:14:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 29?	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0xa44954…
07-22 17:09:22	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on July 23?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x0efb66…
07-22 11:48:09	cs2 nemi1 g2 2026 07 22 map handicap home 1pt5	G2	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x29d7d3…
07-22 11:47:58	cs2 nemi1 g2 2026 07 22	G2	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0x49b8b1…
07-22 11:47:49	cs2 fal2 100t 2026 07 22 map handicap away 1pt5	Team Falcons	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xf9adb1…
07-22 11:47:39	cs2 fal2 100t 2026 07 22	Team Falcons	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x5233b2…
07-21 17:42:51	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on July 22?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x066e77…
07-21 11:16:49	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 21?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x09b0e9…
07-21 11:16:21	cs2 ntr mouz 2026 07 21 map handicap home 1pt5	MOUZ	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0xc88dda…
07-19 16:45:48	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x3a6fb0…
07-18 05:24:19	Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,200 on July 20?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x4926ee…
07-16 17:25:28	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 17?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xd5b579…
07-16 17:25:05	Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?	Yes	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x619f73…
07-16 17:24:56	Will England win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6d7558…
07-15 17:08:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on July 16?	No	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xf1fec0…
07-15 04:38:40	ethereum above 2000 on july 15 2026	No	BUY	32	99¢	$32	0x0c3335…
07-13 19:57:43	ethereum above 1900 on july 14 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xb81b87…
07-12 17:27:17	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 13?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x1d40b1…
07-12 12:13:25	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 12?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x362b35…
07-12 12:13:05	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?	Yes	BUY	6	31¢	$2	0x2bb96f…
07-12 12:12:56	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xdf61fb…
07-09 07:23:22	dota2 bb4 re 2026 07 09	BetBoom Team	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x606a3a…
07-09 06:12:07	bitcoin above 66k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x638287…
07-09 06:11:44	Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?	Yes	BUY	3	60¢	$2	0x6201c0…
07-09 06:11:37	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0xed5ce3…
07-08 09:12:31	lol g2 t1 2026 07 08	T1	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0xa1c5a8…
07-08 06:15:16	ethereum above 1900 on july 8 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x6cb7c8…
07-08 06:14:56	Will France win on 2026-07-09?	Yes	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x7664e6…
07-07 06:52:56	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 7?	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x990fdb…
07-07 06:45:46	us government removes public access to another anthropic ai model in 2026 20260703203121674	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xb65a91…
07-06 06:14:56	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 6?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x24578b…
07-06 06:14:31	Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?	Yes	BUY	6	72¢	$4	0xc8013a…
07-05 15:19:37	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	Yes	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x786507…
07-04 17:24:44	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 5?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0xa43701…