Positive-Granola — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,058

lifetime

Volume

$2.05K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-20

last 06-08 19:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 42% $-9

Tech

1% — —

Sports

1% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

21 active days in 12wk • peak 285 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	2	$20	684	0	+684	open	—	05-22 07:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	2	$19	18	9	+9	Up	+$8	05-09 10:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	3	$18	19	11	+8	Up	$-2	05-09 11:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	2	$16	28	28	+0	Up	+$6	05-09 11:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$15	9	9	+0	open	—	05-03 11:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	4	$13	21	21	+0	Down	+$3	05-09 10:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$12	9	9	+0	Up	+$2	05-09 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	05-09 11:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	1	$10	83	0	+83	Up	$-10	05-09 10:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	2	$10	24	24	+0	open	—	05-14 08:19
sol updown 5m 1776019800	3	$10	9	8	+0	open	—	04-12 18:53
xrp updown 5m 1776181200	7	$10	11	8	+3	open	—	04-14 14:44
xrp updown 5m 1776181800	7	$10	11	8	+3	open	—	04-14 14:54
eth updown 5m 1776180900	6	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	04-14 14:39
eth updown 5m 1776181500	6	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	04-14 14:49
eth updown 5m 1776180600	6	$9	9	9	+0	open	—	04-14 14:34
eth updown 5m 1776179700	4	$9	9	8	+0	open	—	04-14 14:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	2	$8	19	19	+0	Up	$-2	05-09 10:13
eth updown 5m 1775730900	3	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	04-09 09:39
btc updown 5m 1775755800	3	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	04-09 17:05
eth updown 5m 1775755800	4	$8	8	8	+0	open	—	04-09 17:07
sol updown 5m 1775730900	3	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	04-09 09:38
eth updown 5m 1775730300	3	$8	15	0	+15	open	—	04-09 09:28
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	5	$8	10	10	+0	open	—	05-15 05:38
sol updown 5m 1776021600	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	04-12 19:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	2	$6	12	12	+0	Down	$-4	05-09 10:29
sol updown 5m 1776019500	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-12 18:50
xrp updown 5m 1776020100	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-12 19:01
btc updown 5m 1776017100	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	04-12 18:11
sol updown 5m 1776179700	6	$6	6	6	+0	open	—	04-14 14:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 19:38:04	btc updown 5m 1780947300	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xdc7ddb…
06-08 19:37:37	btc updown 5m 1780947300	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x6e860d…
06-08 19:31:30	btc updown 5m 1780947000	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x264404…
06-08 19:30:52	btc updown 5m 1780947000	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x72fd02…
05-22 07:50:54	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	No	BUY	587	3¢	$15	0x44ab4b…
05-21 13:05:25	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	TYLOO	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb177d1…
05-21 13:02:34	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Federico Cina	Alexis Galarneau	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xcd72ff…
05-21 13:02:23	Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alexis Galarneau vs Federico Cina	Alexis Galarneau	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xf52190…
05-21 13:01:38	Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs paiN (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group A	TYLOO	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xd6fd76…
05-21 12:58:22	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xc41577…
05-21 12:57:45	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	1	50¢	$1	0x7a759c…
05-21 12:56:28	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x878cb2…
05-21 12:55:44	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 21, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa20b3a…
05-21 12:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	17¢	$2	0x87ca19…
05-21 12:44:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x78951b…
05-21 12:41:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x006230…
05-21 12:35:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x775788…
05-21 12:35:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4bd472…
05-21 12:33:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x979628…
05-21 09:43:23	Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?	No	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0x711f85…
05-15 05:42:31	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9b03d5…
05-15 05:38:52	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x40f20d…
05-15 05:38:01	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xfbff4b…
05-15 05:36:06	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x426a71…
05-15 05:36:04	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xecc1e6…
05-15 05:36:02	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$1	0x7c0705…
05-15 05:32:25	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	28¢	$0	0xfdf569…
05-15 05:30:38	Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6db9f5…
05-14 08:21:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x90e632…
05-14 08:19:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	24	20¢	$5	0x3fbdb4…
05-14 08:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x363975…
05-13 14:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x3d2657…
05-09 12:01:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x8b14c9…
05-09 12:01:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x133b11…
05-09 11:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x906d51…
05-09 11:50:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x314ebe…
05-09 11:29:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	9	75¢	$7	0x7b5439…
05-09 11:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x259ddb…
05-09 11:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	SELL	28	41¢	$11	0xd26a04…
05-09 11:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x443340…
05-09 11:18:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	SELL	11	68¢	$8	0x6c1308…
05-09 11:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xdbaf1d…
05-09 11:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xdf9cf5…
05-09 11:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xbb3cc1…
05-09 10:43:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0xedd016…
05-09 10:39:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0x28cedc…
05-09 10:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x27522a…
05-09 10:32:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xfbcf4e…
05-09 10:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	SELL	12	12¢	$2	0x929445…
05-09 10:26:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x3f804c…
05-09 10:18:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0xcb8f7f…
05-09 10:18:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x888970…
05-09 10:17:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xe77f30…
05-09 10:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0xcff9aa…
05-09 10:13:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	19	16¢	$3	0x88603e…
05-09 10:11:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x4115ca…
05-09 09:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	8	78¢	$6	0x0f020d…
05-09 09:51:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0xf65213…
05-09 09:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x0b9de9…
05-09 09:42:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xcf5916…
05-09 09:36:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x669402…
05-03 11:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xad503e…
05-03 11:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	SELL	9	99¢	$9	0x2c4e45…
05-03 11:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x3143a8…
05-03 10:50:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x93ecc5…
04-18 19:07:44	Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x426a63…
04-18 19:05:52	Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	294	2¢	$5	0xeb1a26…
04-18 19:05:44	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	258	2¢	$5	0x6d9f3c…
04-18 17:56:34	btc updown 5m 1776534900	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x5c6ad9…
04-16 02:33:30	sol updown 5m 1776310200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x91b42b…
04-16 02:33:00	eth updown 5m 1776310200	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x5c1ef5…
04-16 02:28:28	btc updown 5m 1776309900	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcd5fa8…
04-16 02:24:04	sol updown 5m 1776309600	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x342b7c…
04-16 02:23:12	btc updown 5m 1776309600	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x91e8d9…
04-16 02:18:52	sol updown 5m 1776309300	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x178b32…
04-16 02:18:10	eth updown 5m 1776309300	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xca59d2…
04-16 02:12:54	sol updown 5m 1776309000	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x978f00…
04-16 02:08:54	eth updown 5m 1776308700	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x832fe1…
04-16 02:07:56	btc updown 5m 1776308700	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x45978b…
04-16 02:04:06	eth updown 5m 1776308400	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$1	0xfe777a…
04-16 02:03:08	btc updown 5m 1776308400	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xb77503…
04-16 01:58:58	btc updown 5m 1776308100	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x23f600…
04-16 01:58:08	eth updown 5m 1776308100	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x6448b1…
04-16 01:53:48	sol updown 5m 1776307800	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xf66b0e…
04-16 01:52:58	eth updown 5m 1776307800	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x3a7184…
04-16 01:47:56	sol updown 5m 1776307500	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xa8d7e5…
04-16 01:43:40	eth updown 5m 1776307200	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x8e5b63…
04-16 01:42:58	btc updown 5m 1776307200	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x82c332…
04-16 01:38:14	sol updown 5m 1776306900	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1b9359…
04-16 01:37:24	eth updown 5m 1776306900	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x543654…
04-16 01:33:40	eth updown 5m 1776306600	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x87178e…
04-16 01:32:50	btc updown 5m 1776306600	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe03332…
04-16 01:28:08	btc updown 5m 1776306300	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3457c6…
04-16 01:27:16	eth updown 5m 1776306300	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x74ba1e…
04-16 01:23:18	eth updown 5m 1776306000	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc8c649…
04-16 01:22:28	sol updown 5m 1776306000	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x289cfd…
04-16 01:18:28	sol updown 5m 1776305700	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x50cb24…
04-16 01:17:34	btc updown 5m 1776305700	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x5f05ce…
04-16 01:13:18	sol updown 5m 1776305400	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd058da…
04-16 01:12:22	btc updown 5m 1776305400	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xe17fee…