Villainous-Yard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

85.7%

Resolved

Trades

108

lifetime

Volume

$275

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 06-22 08:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 30 days

Categories

Other

73% 74% $0

Politics

26% 89% -$9

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-22).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Nothing Ever Happens: March	10	$27	50	50	+0	Nothing	+$1	03-29 19:55
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	6	$24	15	15	+0	No	+$2	05-12 16:41
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	2	$14	30	30	+0	Yes	-$12	02-28 22:46
will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	3	$11	6	6	+0	Yes	+$0	04-03 06:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	3	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	05-22 14:23
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	4	$11	6	6	+0	No	+$0	03-26 19:39
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$10	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	04-23 17:06
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?	2	$9	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-29 14:57
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	2	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 17:36
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?	3	$8	4	4	+0	No	+$0	05-21 14:26
will starmer say conservative during the next prime ministers questions event	2	$8	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	03-08 00:37
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$8	5	5	+0	No	+$0	05-21 11:02
Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	2	$8	4	4	+0	Yes	+$0	04-04 15:37
will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$0	03-28 10:16
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	3	$7	46	42	+4	Yes	+$1	05-15 17:14
Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	3	$6	10	10	+0	Yes	+$2	05-04 09:32
will starmer say united states during the next prime ministers questions event 923 539	3	$6	7	5	+2	No	$0	04-22 08:43
Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	1	$5	5	0	+5	No	+$0	03-29 20:18
greg bovino firedresigns by march 31	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	03-16 22:03
will starmer say khamenei during the next prime ministers questions event	2	$5	13	13	+0	No	+$1	03-07 18:17
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 2 645 466 285 492	4	$5	6	6	+0	No	+$0	03-01 00:38
Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$5	3	3	+0	Yes	+$0	05-09 17:26
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?	2	$5	6	6	+0	No	-$5	05-29 18:28
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?	3	$5	7	5	+2	No	-$2	05-22 14:42
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	2	$4	3	3	+0	No	+$0	05-13 16:26
UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	4	$4	10	15	-5	Yes	+$1	04-02 18:22
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	1	$3	4	0	+4	Yes	+$0	05-27 19:32
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?	2	$3	2	2	+0	Yes	+$0	05-21 10:29
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 21?	2	$3	2	2	+0	No	$0	05-21 11:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$3	4	0	+4	No	+$1	05-24 08:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-22 08:26:56	will starmer say victim during the next pmq 20260610160650651 563 639	Yes	BUY	3	23¢	$1	0x5ebf5d…
06-13 08:17:15	will starmer say victim during the next pmq 20260610160650651	Yes	BUY	2	23¢	$0	0x39cc38…
06-10 09:07:36	will starmer say mrpt speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 20260604160137132	Yes	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xd13c26…
06-01 14:44:00	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on June 1?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x3a23d5…
06-01 14:42:55	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?	Yes	SELL	12	9¢	$1	0x86e1d8…
05-29 18:28:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x9ac354…
05-29 14:57:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on May 29?	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x57e897…
05-29 14:57:36	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xc71b07…
05-29 08:51:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 29?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xf77932…
05-28 15:10:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C or higher on May 28?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe0750e…
05-27 19:32:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 27?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$3	0x860908…
05-24 08:31:53	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xf81f48…
05-22 14:57:30	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x2a6203…
05-22 14:42:28	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?	No	SELL	5	21¢	$1	0x7e3f48…
05-22 14:27:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?	No	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0x02a6d1…
05-22 14:27:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x37e12c…
05-22 14:23:24	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	SELL	6	94¢	$6	0x6a3212…
05-21 17:37:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	5	91¢	$4	0x598c7c…
05-21 17:36:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xbb8897…
05-21 14:56:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0x68109e…
05-21 14:26:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?	No	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0x138773…
05-21 12:46:15	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?	No	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x509abe…
05-21 11:31:55	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on May 21?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x07de40…
05-21 11:31:27	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 21?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x14bbcb…
05-21 11:10:23	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xad10d4…
05-21 11:02:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	4	81¢	$3	0x3cf27a…
05-21 10:47:42	Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on May 21?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x37c988…
05-21 10:29:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa5cca9…
05-21 09:28:02	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 21?	Yes	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3e8e17…
05-21 09:24:20	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x18174c…
05-20 17:51:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x2370c6…
05-20 17:21:48	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3d08fb…
05-15 17:14:05	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	4	95¢	$3	0xab70fe…
05-13 16:28:31	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x8343e7…
05-13 16:26:18	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0x5a84b5…
05-13 15:29:36	Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf38edf…
05-13 11:28:57	Starmer out by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x516a70…
05-12 16:41:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0x38503a…
05-12 08:37:07	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xb8dcf8…
05-10 21:22:51	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	SELL	42	5¢	$2	0xf6188c…
05-10 07:21:30	Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	No	BUY	42	3¢	$1	0x4ce296…
05-09 17:27:22	Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be at least 4.5%?	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0x6d6648…
05-09 17:26:09	Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x313c18…
05-09 13:15:19	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	No	SELL	26	0¢	$0	0x05078e…
05-08 12:10:12	Will Starmer say "Anti-Semitism" or "Anti-Semitic" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x835c31…
05-08 12:09:58	Will Starmer say "Green" or "Greens" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	Yes	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xcbc13a…
05-08 10:45:18	Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?	No	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x01e53e…
05-08 10:44:57	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x2a9c9c…
05-06 11:09:48	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xa4bad8…
05-04 09:32:20	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x478292…
05-03 20:06:02	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	37¢	$2	0x8e1fcc…
04-29 18:42:10	Will the Green Party win at least 500 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	Yes	BUY	3	88¢	$2	0x914548…
04-29 18:41:20	Will the Green Party win control of the most London borough councils?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x6ec673…
04-29 15:41:28	Bank of England rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x509d51…
04-28 18:36:46	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	7	83¢	$6	0xe7c11e…
04-23 17:11:40	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0xf3a37f…
04-23 17:06:54	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0xf6e57b…
04-22 09:49:04	will starmer say thank 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xfdfec6…
04-22 08:43:28	will starmer say united states during the next prime ministers questions event 923 539	Yes	SELL	4	58¢	$2	0x2668ee…
04-22 08:13:54	will starmer say united states during the next prime ministers questions event 923 539	Yes	SELL	1	58¢	$1	0x7f754b…
04-20 11:58:30	will starmer say united states during the next prime ministers questions event 923 539	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x9139b6…
04-16 08:47:00	Claude 4.7 released by June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdfbfe4…
04-14 10:14:07	will starmer say mr speaker 10 times during the next prime ministers questions event 172	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x48206e…
04-06 10:22:41	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfb61c8…
04-04 15:37:37	Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	SELL	4	100¢	$4	0xab68c7…
04-04 13:35:05	Will Richard Branson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$4	0xbde55b…
04-03 06:32:49	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xc3f630…
04-02 21:23:03	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xbfd847…
04-02 21:20:17	will trump talk to mohammed bin salman in march 915	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x3b43d1…
04-02 18:22:41	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	17¢	$1	0x4d6747…
04-02 18:04:25	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	18¢	$1	0x38384b…
04-02 17:31:51	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xde8114…
04-01 19:13:05	UK Cabinet Minister resigns by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x3271e4…
03-29 20:18:22	Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x9c5a1d…
03-29 19:55:30	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0xb8304f…
03-29 19:43:14	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xdb0a05…
03-29 19:39:50	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x30f1c8…
03-29 19:37:06	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0x340c03…
03-29 01:50:42	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x16cc2b…
03-28 19:51:26	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	SELL	16	30¢	$5	0x0d6bd3…
03-28 18:14:27	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0x5325d9…
03-28 10:16:03	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	Yes	SELL	5	79¢	$4	0xbac8b9…
03-28 09:52:51	will starmer say mr speaker 20 times during the next prime ministers questions event 798	Yes	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x6d086e…
03-28 05:22:53	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	SELL	14	29¢	$4	0xbfdfa4…
03-27 21:45:39	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	11	26¢	$3	0x8200ca…
03-26 20:42:51	Nothing Ever Happens: March	Something	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xa5a83e…
03-26 19:39:39	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0xcc9f0c…
03-21 09:52:13	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0xff04b4…
03-16 22:03:35	greg bovino firedresigns by march 31	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x0e4443…
03-16 20:39:53	greg bovino firedresigns by march 31	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x38cf04…
03-16 11:38:07	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x47f986…
03-12 23:31:59	Starmer out by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0xd2a4e3…
03-08 15:17:07	will starmer say labour during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xbbcc5c…
03-08 00:37:57	will starmer say conservative during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	7	66¢	$5	0xf2db2c…
03-07 22:13:07	will starmer say conservative during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	7	45¢	$3	0x096596…
03-07 18:17:47	will starmer say khamenei during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	SELL	13	24¢	$3	0xa39a70…
03-06 13:47:15	will starmer say khamenei during the next prime ministers questions event	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x33cf5a…
03-01 17:08:49	will starmer say labour during the next prime ministers questions 567	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x81444b…
03-01 01:53:13	uk cabinet minister resigns by february 28 2026	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x989dd6…
03-01 01:05:51	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 1 334	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0xcc926a…